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Thread: Daily picks.

  1. #11061
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    Great tipping.

    Is there any all weather track where you are more likely to get a fast pace? Cubano pulls as bad as any horse you will see but would have a bit of ability in a big field were he could be buried off a fast pace.

    Any idea where he might get it?

  2. #11062
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    Laytown

  3. #11063
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    Quote Originally Posted by trefflich View Post
    Laytown
    We might never see racing there again.

  4. #11064
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    Southwell 12.50


    Silver Nemo 8/1 365/generally 14/1 sportsbook/ppower

    An interesting little race,wouldn't like to discount anything,Swinton Noon so far the only runner guaranteed to get trip on this track has won over a mile here ,the fav switches to fibresand progressive,Woke Media is off a nothing mark not done much but out of Kentucky Derby winner Orb so switching to surface could be a big improver,the Johnson horse got behind when it ran against Swinton Noon..
    I was hoping to see Silver Nemo in a race where it was an ew bet and bigger prices,i don't know what its best trip is likely to be or surface,ran ok here when 3rd over 5fs a weak looking 0-65 but that race was 1.19 seconds quicker than the 0-60 for older horses,Silver Nemo then stepped up in trip running over 6fs at Wolves..That race was a 0-70 got behind but looked like it was staying on then stopped in run and slightly eased finishing 7th possibility it was the 4th best horse in the race,those last two runs staying on has enabled it too be now dropped four pound to 54..It may not like the 7fs and not sure which surface suits best,the sire is desperate Markaz just 2/59 on the aw and strangely no runners on the surface..a decent top class sprinter but a sire with very poor stats..The only positive i can see for this surface is that the grandsire Dark Angel is 17% on surface,although it could turn out Silver Nemo is a 6f horse not a 7f horse,will have a small bet on it..Won't be crossing it off as off this mark looks like it will win a race and maybe at a bigger price,just too many ? in tomorrows race to have a great deal of confidence and could be running against horses well in.Plenty of opprtunities to run in lower class races off current marks..
    With all books going at least 8/1 then maybe a nice little trade,plenty of 9s as well can see it going off 5/1-11/2 tops.


    Looked like it was going to win,then switched and eased at finish the track is so different at the moment surface is desperate out and out stayers needed there with colder weather,it might stay 7fs if the track was running atandard today the race was slow by 6 seconds usually you'd expect that race to be 3 or 4 seconds quicker..Same in the third race that shouldv'e been a tight handicap but the horses that have run decent times there were beaten out of sight,they hated it..
    Last edited by gigilo; 10th January 2021 at 3:00 PM.

  5. #11065
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    Lingfield 2.50


    Kodiac Harbour 7/1 skybet/unibet The Game Is On 141 365/hills 11/1 sportsbook/ppower gebnerally


    A couple of small bets,this 1m2f race has quite a few unexposed 4yr olds making reappearences after breaks and they could be open to improvement
    the one that's run well here before Madam Peltier won here in November just seven runs and could easily be well involved..Kodiac Harbour been very consistent this season,6yr old ninteen runs was rated 86 earlier in the year,plumetted down the weights the ran consistently a second here to Lady Pendragon over this c/d in a decent time,that race also had the other pick The Game Is on ,that one staying on at finish 1 3/4ls behind Kodiac Harbour has a 7 pound turnaround 1 3/4ls..Two more decent runs Kodia Harbour over this c/d second twice,then won over a mile just a case of too manty races too soon as was a bit disappointing last time out over the mile here..The times at even adjusted weights suggest still has decent ew chances,The Game is On obviously has ability but unreliable,the run before that fourth and last time out finished out the back and it was reflected in the betting.The positives could be coming back here and Kirby rides it the only time was when it was that fourth..Simon Dows had four wnners in last 14 days..be interesting to see if there's any oney for it after last run run when looked like it shouldv'e been backed..bound to win a race at some point..

    What a wierd race they go pace and Kodica bay runs its worst race all season,run there three times this seaso over c/d and all three runs quicker on the clock,the betting looked very suspect to me even thoigh went off 6.6 all its runs were quicker than that was never even attempted to be put in the race,maybe a false pace but horse has laid up handy previously..And the other has thrown in another bad run,would need to watch the race again.The two horses with the fastest times over c/d this season finish last and second last
    Last edited by gigilo; 12th January 2021 at 5:21 PM.

  6. #11066
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Southwell 12.50


    Silver Nemo 8/1 365/generally 14/1 sportsbook/ppower

    An interesting little race,wouldn't like to discount anything,Swinton Noon so far the only runner guaranteed to get trip on this track has won over a mile here ,the fav switches to fibresand progressive,Woke Media is off a nothing mark not done much but out of Kentucky Derby winner Orb so switching to surface could be a big improver,the Johnson horse got behind when it ran against Swinton Noon..
    I was hoping to see Silver Nemo in a race where it was an ew bet and bigger prices,i don't know what its best trip is likely to be or surface,ran ok here when 3rd over 5fs a weak looking 0-65 but that race was 1.19 seconds quicker than the 0-60 for older horses,Silver Nemo then stepped up in trip running over 6fs at Wolves..That race was a 0-70 got behind but looked like it was staying on then stopped in run and slightly eased finishing 7th possibility it was the 4th best horse in the race,those last two runs staying on has enabled it too be now dropped four pound to 54..It may not like the 7fs and not sure which surface suits best,the sire is desperate Markaz just 2/59 on the aw and strangely no runners on the surface..a decent top class sprinter but a sire with very poor stats..The only positive i can see for this surface is that the grandsire Dark Angel is 17% on surface,although it could turn out Silver Nemo is a 6f horse not a 7f horse,will have a small bet on it..Won't be crossing it off as off this mark looks like it will win a race and maybe at a bigger price,just too many ? in tomorrows race to have a great deal of confidence and could be running against horses well in.Plenty of opprtunities to run in lower class races off current marks..
    With all books going at least 8/1 then maybe a nice little trade,plenty of 9s as well can see it going off 5/1-11/2 tops.


    Looked like it was going to win,then switched and eased at finish the track is so different at the moment surface is desperate out and out stayers needed there with colder weather,it might stay 7fs if the track was running atandard today the race was slow by 6 seconds usually you'd expect that race to be 3 or 4 seconds quicker..Same in the third race that shouldv'e been a tight handicap but the horses that have run decent times there were beaten out of sight,they hated it..
    Kempton 4.15


    Silver Nemo 7/1 365/hills


    Out again,drops into a 0-55 drops too 6fs a completely different track,Onaledge was 5th in the wolves race where it was a little bit of an eyecatcher off 57,tomorrow heads the weights off 55 so worst ever race it's run in..and Onaledge won a 0-75 today..Again things look to have conspired against it be interestig to see if it actually runs,gets the carpark draw in 12,the claimer takes another 7 off so only runs off 48 but i presume Molly Presland isn't upto much,but i did say would probably have to back it a few ties ashae it just wasn't a bigger pruce in the right race great mark but obvious negatives too see..

    Waste of time with her riding draw comes up 1,2,3 will have to wait for another race got hammered just befire the off as well,just seems to be suc a huge advantage recently drawn low..drawn 12 was beaten after 2 furlongs..all predictable..
    Last edited by gigilo; 13th January 2021 at 5:26 PM.

  7. #11067
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    Saturday some early prices up,low grade races so minimum stakes although i think the two last time out winners look sure to get backed even though favs..

    Lingfield 2.0


    Dutugamunu 9/2 hills/365


    Dutugamunu had only its fifth run over this c/d at lingfield was a lower grade race a 0-58 the horse looks huge looks more like a swell type sire stats at lingfield are not great just 1/15 although on poly 10/66 so 15% on surfacer,the time was decent in the race it won so it may have been the pace that allowed it get involved,looked open to more imprivement and with the first time TP for the win on again..Doesn't look anything like a lingfield horse to me,and it maybe better at swell sire stats there 2/8,think there's more races to be won with it just hope there's plenty of pace in the race..
    Deb's delight has been an eyecatcher in most runs this season best form at Newcastle in class 5s staying on well did run here in this class and on this sharper track again think she needs the pace to collapse but another with just nine runs must have a decent ew chance at least 8/1 hills maybe bigger if fav gets bet..I can also see Roman Spinner running well,would be fav if at its best,shown very little lately but some glimpses of form was placed on the turf in 0-70s back in the summer,no wins on the turf but 5/29 on the aw last three wins have all come over a mile,thirteen months ago last win but that was a 0-85 recent runs on the aw midfield in better races,first run in a class 6 since november 2017 winning off 65 off 64 saturday..Wouldn't discount in this race currently 12/1 hills may get slightly bigger if fav gets backed.,frustrating thing about these runners they all need some pace to aim at and there does appear to be a lack of it..


    2.35


    Apollinaris 9/2 hills/betfred 5/1 365 Porto Ferro 25/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor


    Another last time out c/d winner,again won a weaker race than this last time out but was dropped out from a low draw gave the field at least 10ls and then stayed on running wide,just like the other pick lightky raced that was sixth ever run and again looks like one of those that may need a decent pace to aim at..Will probably get well backed just because of stable form,although the two horses i;ve backed from the stable recentky were nearr last than first,hopefully stable not gig out of form..got a four pound rise for that win these horses in this grade rarely back up a win with another but at least looks open to some improvement.
    I put up Port Ferro last time out over 6fs,he;s only ever won over that trip and just 4/60 but three races back they put first time TP on,the next three runs was 3/4/5 the first two over 7fs one over tomorrows c/d third behind Cape Greco in a decent time,then fourth at kempton staying on again,the third confrerie won yesterday..Then i put him up over 6fs here,was never in the race outpaced till the last 100 yards when coming back on the bridle so worth a speculatuve bet again with that TP on even though never won over the trip,he's 20/1 he drifted like a barge last time out may well do again..If he can just run to that c/d run he would have a decent ew chance..


    Kempton 4.15


    Global Acclaim 7/4 365 6/4 generally

    Global Acclaim won over 6fs here on December 2nd,won in 1m12.84 nothing outstanding but for first run a respectable time probably a mid 80s horse based on that run and maybe open to some improvement..The question mark is probably the 7fs,will probably get overbet so a decent trade in there,unless there's something decent in here,could well be with little form to go on if there isn't then this will go off odds on..
    Last edited by gigilo; 15th January 2021 at 8:11 PM.

  8. #11068
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    Homeschooling a complete nightmare,but has to be done so betting on sidelines,chuck up the occasional bet..


    Wolves 5.15 Friday.


    Kodi Koh 14/1 hills/365 generally


    A dodgepots lowgrade race for horses rated upto 52,Kodi Koh is 1/29 so poor win record its only win back in May 2019 winning over 1m2fs at Newcastle,has plenty of form there over that trip,they maybe getting its mark as low as possible because they havn't run it over that trip recently..
    It's last two runs have been here at wolves ran well over this c/d when second in a 0-55 then last time out over further fifth in a slowly run race,looks an unlikely winner drawn in the carpark in 13,trainer simon west no winners for 635 days and trip looks on short side loads of negatives just looks a little bit overpriced on place side..Windsorlot like the rest unreliable but has a decent draw,Blue Whisper looked likely to win again,but then flopped another with a terrible draw but in the right race..


    4.05 Lingfield


    Bird To Love 22/1 ppower/sportsbook 20/1 betway Double Legend 33/1 ppower/sportsbook betway go 4 places 22/1


    Another terrible race for horses rated 0-60 there's only two of the thirteen runners that have won over the trip and Bird To LOve os ine of them,completely unreliable drops itself out more often than not usually too much to do or never gets involved at all..But the current prices look about double what i thought it would be,will be amazed if it's allowed to go off bigger than 11-12/1 unless of course it's a complete non trier,jockeys hopeless Isobel Francis but she has won on him befiore,probably why such a big price/drufter with books..Will probably need then to go quick,the horse still has 3/21 runs has won off 51,52 and 55 but claimers taking off 7 off those marks,tomorrow off 59 so would be highest winning mark even though 7 off..Record here's quite good 3/1/2 then last time out was 8/10 no pace and althoigh was never far off the pace just dropped away..It's penultimate run over c/d was beaten 7ls but ran on well and the time was around 3 seconds quicker than it's last run..Can't see much pace in the race again just hope that with so many horse that are 1m2f horses one or two go off too quick,then would have a better ew chance than the current prices.
    Double Legend is the other distance winner in the rsace 2/17 on the aw hasn't been running quite as bad as latest runs suggest,was 4ls behind Bird To Love when that was second but didn't get a clear run and was eased,couldn't say it was unlucky but tomorrow runs off lowest ever mark of 51 and although the grandaughter rides and she's not very good her 5 takes it down too 46,won off 51 and 58 in the past..In june was 4th over this c/d off 62,also ran better than it looked on paper when 9th of 14 to Beat The Breeze,again wouldn't have won but may have finisjed in the first five..These two runners have the two weaker jocks and trainers in the race but they would be overpriced ew bets on a going day.
    Last edited by gigilo; 28th January 2021 at 11:18 PM.

  9. #11069
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Homeschooling a complete nightmare,but has to be done so betting on sidelines,chuck up the occasional bet..


    Wolves 5.15 Friday.


    Kodi Koh 14/1 hills/365 generally


    A dodgepots lowgrade race for horses rated upto 52,Kodi Koh is 1/29 so poor win record its only win back in May 2019 winning over 1m2fs at Newcastle,has plenty of form there over that trip,they maybe getting its mark as low as possible because they havn't run it over that trip recently..
    It's last two runs have been here at wolves ran well over this c/d when second in a 0-55 then last time out over further fifth in a slowly run race,looks an unlikely winner drawn in the carpark in 13,trainer simon west no winners for 635 days and trip looks on short side loads of negatives just looks a little bit overpriced on place side..Windsorlot like the rest unreliable but has a decent draw,Blue Whisper looked likely to win again,but then flopped another with a terrible draw but in the right race..


    4.05 Lingfield


    Bird To Love 25/1 victor/skybet 22/1 ppower/sportsbook 22/1 betway Double Legend 33/1 ppower/sportsbook betway go 4 places 22/1


    Another terrible race for horses rated 0-60 there's only two of the thirteen runners that have won over the trip and Bird To Love is one of them,completely unreliable drops itself out more often than not usually too much to do or never gets involved at all..But the current prices look about double what i thought it would be,will be amazed if it's allowed to go off bigger than 11-12/1 unless of course it's a complete non trier,jockeys hopeless Isobel Francis but she has won on him before,probably why such a big price/drifter with books..Will probably need them to go quick,the horse still has 3/21 runs has won off 51,52 and 55 but claimers taking off 7 off those marks,tomorrow off 59 so would be highest winning mark even though 7 off..Record here's quite good 3/1/2 then last time out was 8/10 no pace and although was never far off the pace just dropped away..It's penultimate run over c/d was beaten 7ls but ran on well in 2nd and the time was around 3 seconds quicker than it's last run..Can't see much pace in the race again just hope that with so many horses' that are 1m2f horses one or two go off too quick,then would have a better ew chance than the current prices.
    Double Legend is the only other distance winner in the race, 2/17 on the aw hasn't been running quite as bad as latest runs suggest,was 4ls behind Bird To Love when that was second but didn't get a clear run and was eased,couldn't say it was unlucky but tomorrow runs off lowest ever mark of 51 and although the grandaughter rides and she's not very good her 5 takes it down too 46,won off 51 and 58 in the past..In june was 4th over this c/d off 62,also ran better than it looked on paper when 9th of 14 to Beat The Breeze penultimate run,again wouldn't have won but may have finisjed in the first five..These two runners have the two weaker jocks and trainers in the race but they would be overpriced ew bets on a going day.
    Bird In Love 25/1 generally now,looks ominous.
    Last edited by gigilo; 29th January 2021 at 2:13 PM.

  10. #11070
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    Very apt indeed giggs, you are a double legend!!

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  12. #11071
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Homeschooling a complete nightmare,but has to be done so betting on sidelines,chuck up the occasional bet..


    Wolves 5.15 Friday.


    Kodi Koh 14/1 hills/365 generally


    A dodgepots lowgrade race for horses rated upto 52,Kodi Koh is 1/29 so poor win record its only win back in May 2019 winning over 1m2fs at Newcastle,has plenty of form there over that trip,they maybe getting its mark as low as possible because they havn't run it over that trip recently..
    It's last two runs have been here at wolves ran well over this c/d when second in a 0-55 then last time out over further fifth in a slowly run race,looks an unlikely winner drawn in the carpark in 13,trainer simon west no winners for 635 days and trip looks on short side loads of negatives just looks a little bit overpriced on place side..Windsorlot like the rest unreliable but has a decent draw,Blue Whisper looked likely to win again,but then flopped another with a terrible draw but in the right race..


    4.05 Lingfield


    Bird To Love 22/1 ppower/sportsbook 20/1 betway Double Legend 33/1 ppower/sportsbook betway go 4 places 22/1


    Another terrible race for horses rated 0-60 there's only two of the thirteen runners that have won over the trip and Bird To LOve os ine of them,completely unreliable drops itself out more often than not usually too much to do or never gets involved at all..But the current prices look about double what i thought it would be,will be amazed if it's allowed to go off bigger than 11-12/1 unless of course it's a complete non trier,jockeys hopeless Isobel Francis but she has won on him befiore,probably why such a big price/drufter with books..Will probably need then to go quick,the horse still has 3/21 runs has won off 51,52 and 55 but claimers taking off 7 off those marks,tomorrow off 59 so would be highest winning mark even though 7 off..Record here's quite good 3/1/2 then last time out was 8/10 no pace and althoigh was never far off the pace just dropped away..It's penultimate run over c/d was beaten 7ls but ran on well and the time was around 3 seconds quicker than it's last run..Can't see much pace in the race again just hope that with so many horse that are 1m2f horses one or two go off too quick,then would have a better ew chance than the current prices.
    Double Legend is the other distance winner in the rsace 2/17 on the aw hasn't been running quite as bad as latest runs suggest,was 4ls behind Bird To Love when that was second but didn't get a clear run and was eased,couldn't say it was unlucky but tomorrow runs off lowest ever mark of 51 and although the grandaughter rides and she's not very good her 5 takes it down too 46,won off 51 and 58 in the past..In june was 4th over this c/d off 62,also ran better than it looked on paper when 9th of 14 to Beat The Breeze,again wouldn't have won but may have finisjed in the first five..These two runners have the two weaker jocks and trainers in the race but they would be overpriced ew bets on a going day.
    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMM!!Hsve some of that RELENTLESS!!!!!Non stayers riddled with them,what a touch!!

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  14. #11072
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    Some tiny interests on some speculative poor races..

    12.40 Wolves


    Unapologetic 14/1sportsbook/ppower


    A 7f race for horses rated upto 60,favourite Onebaba i put up three races back when it won then penultimaterun when staying on from a mile back here in a 0-65,then went to Southwell looked likely to be wrong surface as run poorly there previously not looking to have the stamina..If anything it stayed on strongest i've seen it,beating Qaaraat and thats come out and won a 0-65 as well since..The Tony Carroll horse runs of 61 but steps up a furlong,that looks a slight negative but if you look at its runs last season was running in the 70s and got beat here in 2nd to Inaam off 70,if its back to its best then will probably win..Eldelbar rarely runs a bad race form over the c/d obvious place chances at worst same with Mo Henry never won over this trip but chucked in on even the one run here this season when 2nd in a 0-65 to Tuaranga Leela off 58 in a good time,tomorrow runs off just 54 and caimer takes off 7..These three look the obvious three to me..
    At bigger price Unapologetic a more speculatve bet,six lifetime runs has shown nothing previously till the one run over this c/d when it was 2nd getting touched off in a 0-65,three winners have come out of that race in December and the horse looks like it will pick up a race...The negatives are there too see next time out was 7th of 9 at Newcastle and it went off 10/1 after the decent Wolves run,which seemed odd as sam grade then went to Swell and went off 40/1,so stable were not expecting it to back up that decent second..Will have a small bet on it looks like one of those you may have to back a few times and might pop up at a big price..
    I've also been keeping an eye on the Evans horse Jungle Bells ran a fairly decent maiden on debut beaten just over 7ls,has been beaten easily on all other runs going off 50/1,40/1,50/1 33/1 and 150/1,it is obviously very limited but it's been hit with the whip once,pretty convinced they have not tried with it and trying to get it in a terrible race...Last time out was last of 13,but looked to come back on the bridle over 6fs here,wouldv'e passed half the field in the last 2fs if it had got a run,it steps up in trip tomorrow i still get the feeling this race would be too strong for it,but just don't know if its much better than that last run currently 25/1.

    Obvious pick wins after Onebaba non runner Elderbar, got stake back on Unapologetic 4 places at 1.8




    1.10


    Word Of Honoue 6/1 365


    Word of Honour has already won this season over 1m1/2f here just 12 lifetime runs nine on the aw won off 50 then ran over that trip again 3rd off 55 in a 0-60,since has run second in a selling handicap over 7fs didn't look the right trip time,if the go a decent pace which is what helped it LTO over this c/d then obvious ew chances in a 0-55.Velvet Vita won its first race in 19 starts last time out,won by 5ls looks the one to beat on that run,it's last two runs has had EB on so could still be wel handicapped off just 50..Volia Par has been on the diwngrade and showed a glimmer last time out when fourth and dropped another two pound,could be the one for inrunning as nearly always leads.

    Turning into an annoying day no pace got stopped i run,had a saver on the obvious fav at 3/1 so got stakes back again..won easy did look well in word of honour got outpaced off slow pace then hampered when running on...



    2.10


    G For Gabrial 5/1 365 9/2 generally Quoteline Direct 8/1 hills/skybet 15/2 sportsbook/ppower/skybet

    Only two runners in this race have won over the trip and both rags Enmeshing is a c/d winner and ran ok in a 1m2f race at lingfield last time out not getting a clear run,could run well back on a track it has loads of placed form in this grade and even stronger..G For Gabrial dioesn't look reliable but has caught they eye a few times,just 1/23 0/7 on the aw this season has been consistent here over 1m 1 1/2fs and has finished third in a 0-70,but last time out led a 0-65 didn't look to get home over the 1m 1 1/2fs tomorrow steps up further in trip to 1m4fs might be the wrong trip but just a 0-55 so a small bet on that..
    The other Quoteline Direct 0-8 on the aw but two 2nds here this season over c/d,looks an unlikely winner as those races were 0-55 this is a 0-60
    but still has ew chances even though maybe only battling fir 3rd or 4th..


    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOO MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!! 8.0 bfsp plus the ew on Quoteline direct 3rd,that will do me!!



    2.40

    Alsvinder 5/1 365 Tathmeen 5/1 generally Dazzling Des 12/1 365 11/1 hills

    Ultra compettve race,looks to be a lot of pace in the race Alsvinder rarely get much value in its pruces,same tomorrow has been running well but hasn't really looked like winning decent draw in 4 has been 2nd and 3rd here over this c/d this season it looks more obvious place than anything else..Tatmeen hasn't win in 19 races its form suggest it's not well handicapped but very consitent and has run wel in this grade over 6fs here recently so loads of psce may suit another obvious place chance..Out of the biger prced ones Dazzking Des has a squak,it's a horse i usually leave
    as another that gets left and finishes and one that you could keep bettingmbut as there's so much pace in the race might suit and another token bet..This season already 2nd and 3rd over c/d in similar races to this..ran a poor race last time out at lingfield over 6fs so like all the picks would be small interest.

    Dazzling des second got 14/1 Tasmeen reared in the stalls and Alsvinder looked like a non trier to me or just totally lost interest,was a bit of entertainment for the day anyway..and a bit of profit.
    Last edited by gigilo; 31st January 2021 at 3:53 PM.

  15. #11073
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    Southwell 6.40

    Bellevarde 25/1 victor

    Not been in great form Bellevarde plenty of racing now as 7yr old 56 races so on downgrade,hasn't won since October 2019 when winning off 73 best run last turf season was 4th off 75 in a 0-85 at windsor and shown nothing since..Mark has tumbled down now to just 65,ran last night finishing 6th at wolves over 5fs,was passing horses on the bridle at finish then got hampered 1/2 furlong out,might've been third..I was hoping it would run again in this grade and get some massive prices,but Richard Price has him entered again at swell,so sort of forced into having a small bet on it,doesn't look the right race has won at swell but over 6fs won off 72 in January 2019,a weaker race than tomorrows' race and this is 5fs..
    With the claimer taking off 7 down to just 58 tomorrow but running against 5f swell specialists and they are in form Mulzim,Fantasy Keeper and Mondammej,the most interesting runner in the race is Mondammej long term i think this could be half decent...On debut won at Newcastle over 6fs,that night beat two next time out winners hacking up,they are now rated 71 and 70 and the winning time was only .09 slower than Astro Jakk rated 85,that nights run suggested Mondammej could be anything..You couldv'e put it on 85 just based on that run on the times that night,since has just pulled its races away beaten in a two horse race and then last time out didn't get a great run although faded at finish in a 0-85..
    Once they get this horse settled he will be far better than its current mark of just 81 looks thrown on that debut run,it might click tomorrow sire
    stats aren't very high 11% but 17% over 5fs,seems strange that he hacked up on debut but last two races has not got home over 5fs or 6fs,i will be following this one through the turf season...even if it again bombs out as could yet be a turf horse.
    Last edited by gigilo; 1st February 2021 at 7:18 PM.

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  17. #11074
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    Southwell 1.45



    Silver Nemo 25/1 sportsbook/ppower/victor 22/1 betfred 22/1 20/1 generally Galeophobia 11/1 hills/betfred/betway 10/1 generally 12/1 365

    An interesting little race,wouldn't like to discount anything,Swinton Noon so far the only runner guaranteed to get trip on this track has won over a mile here ,the fav switches to fibresand progressive,Woke Media is off a nothing mark not done much but out of Kentucky Derby winner Orb so switching to surface could be a big improver,the Johnson horse got behind when it ran against Swinton Noon..
    I was hoping to see Silver Nemo in a race where it was an ew bet and bigger prices,i don't know what its best trip is likely to be or surface,ran ok here when 3rd over 5fs a weak looking 0-65 but that race was 1.19 seconds quicker than the 0-60 for older horses,Silver Nemo then stepped up in trip running over 6fs at Wolves..That race was a 0-70 got behind but looked like it was staying on then stopped in run and slightly eased finishing 7th possibility it was the 4th best horse in the race,those last two runs staying on has enabled it too be now dropped four pound to 54..It may not like the 7fs and not sure which surface suits best,the sire is desperate Markaz just 2/59 on the aw and strangely no runners on the surface..a decent top class sprinter but a sire with very poor stats..The only positive i can see for this surface is that the grandsire Dark Angel is 17% on surface,although it could turn out Silver Nemo is a 6f horse not a 7f horse,will have a small bet on it..Won't be crossing it off as off this mark looks like it will win a race and maybe at a bigger price,just too many ? in tomorrows race to have a great deal of confidence and could be running against horses well in.Plenty of opprtunities to run in lower class races off current marks..
    With all books going at least 8/1 then maybe a nice little trade,plenty of 9s as well can see it going off 5/1-11/2 tops.


    Looked like it was going to win,then switched and eased at finish the track is so different at the moment surface is desperate out and out stayers needed there with colder weather,it might stay 7fs if the track was running atandard today the race was slow by 6 seconds usually you'd expect that race to be 3 or 4 seconds quicker


    Will try Silver Nemo again,it's back at swell drops back to 6fs which might be more suitable and the surface has been quicker last few meetings but has run again since and reared at Kempton finishing stone last,as said the sire is dire Markaz just 2/62 now..Has dropped another pound to 53,that wolves run i mentioned previously has still kept working out that it was an eyecather in,maybe give it one more chance if it shows nothing tomorrow as that was its best run by a long way at wolves and in a 0-70..pieces are taken off after running in them last time out.Desert Boots is 11/2 in this race yet Silver Nemo upsides it in that four horse race where it faded..Unless its a complete non trier i can't see why this should be going off bigger than 10-12/1 tops..based on its two runs at thew track..
    The other Galephobia has shown very little two poor runs on the turf then got beat in a three horse race at swell after a 6 month break was beaen 4ls and faheys other runner was 25/1 and 2nd,so the form looks very weak..The horse looked in need of the run,looks to have plenty of scope and even though looked beaten 2fs out,lost no more ground at finish, it runs off 60 jock takes off three,the time of the race wasn't a lot slower than the 6f race Tashbeeh ran here thats 6/1 but at weights the Fahey horse would look well in with that one..Hard to get precise goings at swell as they see to be changing every otherday so i could be wrong but as it's so lightly raced will have a little bet on that as well off just 57 and the least exposed runner in the race..
    Last edited by gigilo; 4th February 2021 at 10:42 AM.

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  19. #11075
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Southwell 1.45



    Silver Nemo 25/1 sportsbook/ppower/victor 22/1 betfred 22/1 20/1 generally Galeophobia 11/1 hills/betfred/betway 10/1 generally 12/1 365

    An interesting little race,wouldn't like to discount anything,Swinton Noon so far the only runner guaranteed to get trip on this track has won over a mile here ,the fav switches to fibresand progressive,Woke Media is off a nothing mark not done much but out of Kentucky Derby winner Orb so switching to surface could be a big improver,the Johnson horse got behind when it ran against Swinton Noon..
    I was hoping to see Silver Nemo in a race where it was an ew bet and bigger prices,i don't know what its best trip is likely to be or surface,ran ok here when 3rd over 5fs a weak looking 0-65 but that race was 1.19 seconds quicker than the 0-60 for older horses,Silver Nemo then stepped up in trip running over 6fs at Wolves..That race was a 0-70 got behind but looked like it was staying on then stopped in run and slightly eased finishing 7th possibility it was the 4th best horse in the race,those last two runs staying on has enabled it too be now dropped four pound to 54..It may not like the 7fs and not sure which surface suits best,the sire is desperate Markaz just 2/59 on the aw and strangely no runners on the surface..a decent top class sprinter but a sire with very poor stats..The only positive i can see for this surface is that the grandsire Dark Angel is 17% on surface,although it could turn out Silver Nemo is a 6f horse not a 7f horse,will have a small bet on it..Won't be crossing it off as off this mark looks like it will win a race and maybe at a bigger price,just too many ? in tomorrows race to have a great deal of confidence and could be running against horses well in.Plenty of opprtunities to run in lower class races off current marks..
    With all books going at least 8/1 then maybe a nice little trade,plenty of 9s as well can see it going off 5/1-11/2 tops.


    Looked like it was going to win,then switched and eased at finish the track is so different at the moment surface is desperate out and out stayers needed there with colder weather,it might stay 7fs if the track was running atandard today the race was slow by 6 seconds usually you'd expect that race to be 3 or 4 seconds quicker


    Will try Silver Nemo again,it's back at swell drops back to 6fs which might be more suitable and the surface has been quicker last few meetings but has run again since and reared at Kempton finishing stone last,as said the sire is dire Markaz just 2/62 now..Has dropped another pound to 53,that wolves run i mentioned previously has still kept working out that it was an eyecather in,maybe give it one more chance if it shows nothing tomorrow as that was its best run by a long way at wolves and in a 0-70..pieces are taken off after running in them last time out.Desert Boots is 11/2 in this race yet Silver Nemo upsides it in that four horse race where it faded..Unless its a complete non trier i can't see why this should be going off bigger than 10-12/1 tops..based on its two runs at thew track..
    The other Galephobia has shown very little two poor runs on the turf then got beat in a three horse race at swell after a 6 month break was beaen 4ls and faheys other runner was 25/1 and 2nd,so the form looks very weak..The horse looked in need of the run,looks to have plenty of scope and even though looked beaten 2fs out,lost no more ground at finish, it runs off 60 jock takes off three,the time of the race wasn't a lot slower than the 6f race Tashbeeh ran here thats 6/1 but at weights the Fahey horse would look well in with that one..Hard to get precise goings at swell as they see to be changing every otherday so i could be wrong but as it's so lightly raced will have a little bet on that as well off just 57 and the least exposed runner in the race..

    Lovely touch and i added in Desert Boots for the firecast just incredible how that forms worked out and the fahey horse got 4th place money as well.

  20. #11076
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    A couple of small interests might do something at newcastle as well,minimum stakes anyway..

    Wolves 7.45

    Global Humour 9/1 365/hills/skybet 17/2 ppower/sportsbook

    Global Humour has three runs over the 6fs at Wolves,1/2/3 off marks of 60,64 and 64 those runs were all back to back August/September time
    hasn't been at its best since although last three runs have been over 5fs at Newcastle running on in two of them 0-65s..Its recent form has enabled it to drop to a mark of 59 and claimer takes off another 5 down to just 54,so returns here off a ten pound lower mark when it went off 5/2 favourite finishing third..Was hoping it would be a bigger price as Goldies horses not running well,this 0-60 is the right grade but runs agaunst a couple that could be improving like the impressive Eldelbar,Chooseys come back to form as well beat that one last time out over this c/d and still very well handicapped..Global Humour decent ew chances if anywhere near its best..



    8.15


    Toolmaker 33/1 victor/betfred/sportsbook/ppower


    Toolmakers a speculative pick had seven runs where looked useless then last time out ran over tomorrows c/d was 5th behind Choosey and Eldebar and Charles Le Brun was fourth,finished 3 34ls behind the winner,but go stopped a little in run twice during the race may have finished close up to Charles Le Brun the three horses mentioned are 1,2,3 heading the market in the first division tomorrrow.Probably worth following for a few runs,suspect it might have too run in one of those classified races to win,so a speculative bet eve though a pound out of the handicap..
    Kingsley Klarion showed promise in only third run in 12 months,if john butlers got it back to its best then would taje some beating and Secret Potions been running consistently and not beaten far in 0-65s recently hasn't won since april 2019 but runs off just 57,decent ew chances..



    Newcastle

    1.30

    Major Blush 9/2 365 Ajman prince 13/2 ppower/sportsbook


    Ajmam Prince a veteran at 8 but only 21 runs 2/17 on the aw has been one to avoid in recent time was running in far better races here in the past was rated 77 in june on the aw,lots of poor runs since the one decent run was penultimare run when 4th to Brancaster in a 0-70 over tomorrows c/d on 28th of December..Then ran another poor race last time out over 2mile here,but will have a small bet on it running off just 63,last time it ran off this mark it won over this c/d October 2016..
    Ad Libitum won over c/d last time out,back to form looks well handicapped still should run well would add that in for forecasts/saver,Major Blush doesn't look good enough to win this,think it will drift it has two runs on turf that suggest when back on grass its going to be worth following its form looks weaker on the aw the positive was when it ran here over this c/d the time looked ok..

    2.0


    Hajey 5/1 365 9/2 general Man of Verve 10/1 generall

    A desperate classified stakes 0-50 over 1m2fs,Hajey has had ten runs no wins a few places,but was third to Ad Libitum last time out over 2furlongs further in a better race,consdering the track was so slow the time looked ok faded i last furlong if it backs that run up a decent chance..
    Man of verve 3/17 on the aw strike rates good for a horse rated just 46,won a 0-55 over c/d in september off 46 nearly all of its runs in between its been nearer last than any other position but at least in the right race..




    3.0


    Al Ozzdi 15/2 ppower/sportsbook


    A 0-55 over a mile 2/19 on the aw but is now on a losing streak of eighteen runs that goes back to january 2020 winning off 60,been running loads of consistent races since,unlikely winner on profile but recent races here have been in better grades a 3rd here too traveller in a 0-65 back in september off 62..Tomorrow runs off 57 he doesn't scream out wiinner waitung to happen but anywhere near that run then decent ew chances again.



    3.30


    My Boy Lewis 11/1 generally


    My Boy Lewis has run two respectable races here over a mile 2nd to Vive La Difference and a third to Kentucky Connection,this is the same grade
    but horses in here like Ghatanfar looks to be improving and Kindly been running in better races,Kindly bit to prove over 7fs if they crawl i think the fav Ghatanfar and Kindly look the two to beat as run in a 0-80 last time out running on well over 6fs..Will have a token bet on Mty Boy Lewis he looks a bit outclassed on theur runs,am hoping with the cold weather the track might be running slow and suit My Boy Lewis so small ew bet,maybe add others in for forecasts..


    4.0


    Hagar 15/2 skybet/victor 13/2 betfred (3 places)

    Hagar was a big eyecatcher last time out in this garde back in September looks to be running over the wrong trip again tomorrow as previous run 6fs,so surprised to see it entered in this race,just a token bet as only 7 runners betfred going 3 places one for the notebook probably




    4.30


    Nellies French 6/5 ppower/sportsbook

    A very short price for a horse thas only won one race and that was last time out in this grade at wolves,might just win on default everything looks out of form but there are a few pretty well handicapped but they havn't won for along time..Suwaan is just 2/43 but one run here in a 0-65 when 5th in a far better race twio races back would give it a great chance,has to be considered against such a poor field..


    What a waste of time and effort that was...
    Last edited by gigilo; 10th February 2021 at 5:41 PM.

  21. #11077
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    A couple of small interests might do something at newcastle as well,minimum stakes anyway..

    Wolves 7.45

    Global Humour 9/1 365/hills/skybet 17/2 ppower/sportsbook

    Global Humour has three runs over the 6fs at Wolves,1/2/3 off marks of 60,64 and 64 those runs were all back to back August/September time
    hasn't been at its best since although last three runs have been over 5fs at Newcastle running on in two of them 0-65s..Its recent form has enabled it to drop to a mark of 59 and claimer takes off another 5 down to just 54,so returns here off a ten pound lower mark when it went off 5/2 favourite finishing third..Was hoping it would be a bigger price as Goldies horses not running well,this 0-60 is the right grade but runs agaunst a couple that could be improving like the impressive Eldelbar,Chooseys come back to form as well beat that one last time out over this c/d and still very well handicapped..Global Humour decent ew chances if anywhere near its best..



    8.15


    Toolmaker 33/1 victor/betfred/sportsbook/ppower


    Toolmakers a speculative pick had seven runs where looked useless then last time out ran over tomorrows c/d was 5th behind Choosey and Eldebar and Charles Le Brun was fourth,finished 3 34ls behind the winner,but go stopped a little in run twice during the race may have finished close up to Charles Le Brun the three horses mentioned are 1,2,3 heading the market in the first division tomorrrow.Probably worth following for a few runs,suspect it might have too run in one of those classified races to win,so a speculative bet eve though a pound out of the handicap..
    Kingsley Klarion showed promise in only third run in 12 months,if john butlers got it back to its best then would taje some beating and Secret Potions been running consistently and not beaten far in 0-65s recently hasn't won since april 2019 but runs off just 57,decent ew chances..

    Another nice little touch,gutted it got beat tried to make all,just did too much an unlucky loser to run into one...



    Newcastle

    1.30

    Major Blush 9/2 365 Ajman prince 13/2 ppower/sportsbook


    Ajmam Prince a veteran at 8 but only 21 runs 2/17 on the aw has been one to avoid in recent time was running in far better races here in the past was rated 77 in june on the aw,lots of poor runs since the one decent run was penultimare run when 4th to Brancaster in a 0-70 over tomorrows c/d on 28th of December..Then ran another poor race last time out over 2mile here,but will have a small bet on it running off just 63,last time it ran off this mark it won over this c/d October 2016..
    Ad Libitum won over c/d last time out,back to form looks well handicapped still should run well would add that in for forecasts/saver,Major Blush doesn't look good enough to win this,think it will drift it has two runs on turf that suggest when back on grass its going to be worth following its form looks weaker on the aw the positive was when it ran here over this c/d the time looked ok..

    2.0


    Hajey 5/1 365 9/2 general Man of Verve 10/1 generall

    A desperate classified stakes 0-50 over 1m2fs,Hajey has had ten runs no wins a few places,but was third to Ad Libitum last time out over 2furlongs further in a better race,consdering the track was so slow the time looked ok faded i last furlong if it backs that run up a decent chance..
    Man of verve 3/17 on the aw strike rates good for a horse rated just 46,won a 0-55 over c/d in september off 46 nearly all of its runs in between its been nearer last than any other position but at least in the right race..




    3.0


    Al Ozzdi 15/2 ppower/sportsbook


    A 0-55 over a mile 2/19 on the aw but is now on a losing streak of eighteen runs that goes back to january 2020 winning off 60,been running loads of consistent races since,unlikely winner on profile but recent races here have been in better grades a 3rd here too traveller in a 0-65 back in september off 62..Tomorrow runs off 57 he doesn't scream out wiinner waitung to happen but anywhere near that run then decent ew chances again.



    3.30


    My Boy Lewis 11/1 generally


    My Boy Lewis has run two respectable races here over a mile 2nd to Vive La Difference and a third to Kentucky Connection,this is the same grade
    but horses in here like Ghatanfar looks to be improving and Kindly been running in better races,Kindly bit to prove over 7fs if they crawl i think the fav Ghatanfar and Kindly look the two to beat as run in a 0-80 last time out running on well over 6fs..Will have a token bet on Mty Boy Lewis he looks a bit outclassed on theur runs,am hoping with the cold weather the track might be running slow and suit My Boy Lewis so small ew bet,maybe add others in for forecasts..


    4.0


    Hagar 15/2 skybet/victor 13/2 betfred (3 places)

    Hagar was a big eyecatcher last time out in this garde back in September looks to be running over the wrong trip again tomorrow as previous run 6fs,so surprised to see it entered in this race,just a token bet as only 7 runners betfred going 3 places one for the notebook probably




    4.30


    Nellies French 6/5 ppower/sportsbook

    A very short price for a horse thas only won one race and that was last time out in this grade at wolves,might just win on default everything looks out of form but there are a few pretty well handicapped but they havn't won for along time..Suwaan is just 2/43 but one run here in a 0-65 when 5th in a far better race twio races back would give it a great chance,has to be considered against such a poor field..


    What a waste of time and effort that was...

  22. #11078
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    Chelmsford 4.05


    Holy Tiber 12/1 hills


    Holy Tiber only 1/22 on the aw won twice on the turf in the summer 5/45 runs altogether,doesn't look well handicappeed on lifetime marks but this season has run two eyecatching races,was 4th to Sir Hector over 6fs here in November when staying on the winners won again since and been placed in last three runs..Eldebar was 2nd was rated 55 in that race and recently won two races and thats now rated 69 and the 3rd Album has looked a decent sprinter since now rated 73,Holy Tiber was rated 62,then ran at lingfield got stopped numerous times so can put a line through that,then last time out again stopped several times,lost its action at finish but wasn't surprising as was stopped and switched several times..finishing 3rd..
    Saturday returns to Chelmsford,not sure why the visors on ran once in it ran poorly so one negative and has a poor draw in 9,but i will follow it for awhile as 12/1 in these sort of races and potentially a far weaker one if bombs out saturday would look decent ew value on the two good runs this season..That maybe the plan putting the visor on and the excuse but at the prices will have to have a small bet,the obvious two look like Velvet Vista going for four timer,won a 0-65 over c/d last time out,runs on friday if turns out again a very obvious chance it beat Swissal last time out in that race and that ones only two pound better off for 1 1/2ls but they do look the most likeliest winners..Might have a couple of savers/forecasts on the race as well..
    Last edited by gigilo; 12th February 2021 at 2:38 AM.

  23. #11079
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    Newcastle 6.40


    Maysong 9/1 365

    Has been inconsistent Maysong looked like she was going to be better than a 70+ horse but hasn't won since 2yr old win in a nursery at kempton,2020 in and out 5th at Wolves in October in a 0-78 beaten a length running on and one decent run here over this c/d in November beaten 1/2l in this grade...That was off a mark of 74 tomorrow claimer rides taking off 3 and takes it down too lowest ever mark of 70,negatives are there to see two poor runs last two runs,one at chelmsford although maybe track didn't suit but returned to Kempton LTO and although didn't run terroble was 61/4ls behind in 7th..The race looks wide open only the rag can be discounted,pieces are on tomorrrow first time so will have a small bet on it,the third here was run in a fairy decent time and only its second ever race at Newcastle..Kapono was 2nd last time it ran in this grade and that was here over this c/d off 76 tomorrow off 75,form ties in with Maysong looks nothing between them,but like Maysong disappoinyed last twice and here but now right grade..And also Great Heir hasn't won also since 2yr old days but 7 pound lower than when second in this grade over c/d..
    Last edited by gigilo; 15th February 2021 at 7:20 PM.

  24. #11080
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    Chelmsford 5.30


    Bellevarde 16/1 hills/ppower/sportsbook 14/1 365 12/1 Hills
    Last edited by gigilo; 17th February 2021 at 6:53 PM.

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