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Thread: Daily picks.

  1. #10421
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    Quote Originally Posted by Simpson Jersey View Post
    Marjorie Fife certainly has a way of bringing back other trainers cast offs.
    I missed the prices on it last time out was 14/1 and was hammered,i presumed it would be around that 4/1 today s,massive drifter 8.4 bfsp great price did exactly the same last season when i put it up i think two best horses in the race and from handicapping perspective..i can see it winning a couple more yert as well..

    Exacta £27 abd csf £21 that will do me today anything else a bonus,hope everyone backed clement when it drifted at those prices as i've been going on about it for months,she's different gravy that marjorie fife..this turfs a waste of time they overwareted on mondat at windsor and today at bniotts they have watered and the grunds absolutekly rattling the mile race at notts was fast by over a second...I can't ever rewmember seeing that at notts ever,just shows how impossible it is to judge the going reports especiially after mondays card at windsor..
    Last edited by gigilo; 10th April 2019 at 2:47 PM.

  2. #10422
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Will try an ew multiple,again looked overwatered at ponte supposedly gd/fm small stakes with these meetings being watered..

    Nottingham 4.40

    Bo samraan 4/1 365/sportsbook/ppower 5/1 hills

    De sousa rides the ralph beckett horse in the race while franny norton rides the johnston horse Bo saraam,lots of lightly raced horses most stepping up in trip although bo saraam ended last season running over this trip at newmarket.That race was a class 2 nursery was running off 76 and beaten only 2 1/2ls in fourth,still lightly raced out of sea the stars with 4 runs as long as its fit then should be about dropping into a 0-75 obvious place chance at the worst,betting will be interesting dropping into this grade and compared to other runners that havn't shown that level of form yet.If there's nothing expected to run well first time out then the johnston horse could easily halve in prices so that will probably point to its fitness.. could be a nice teade at worst..
    She's apple three runs in slowly run races so a roger charlton horse getting in off 63 from top australian sire,could be the biggest danger wit the beckett horse..

    Lingfield 2.20

    helfire 11/2 9/2 sportsbook/ppower/corals/betwat/betfred/totesport 5/1 hills/victor

    Helfire was rated 77 in 2018 still only 6 but has regressed this looks as good as he is now,started the aw season on 68 and now dropped to just 55 and running in its first ever 0-55 ,has been a little bit of an eyecatcher on a couple of runs but they were very poor races..Penultimate run looked to be cantering entering the straight,couldn't tell if horses didn't go through with run or did not have the turn of foot to win when 3rd to gainsay over c/d although that was a 0-70 so decent run,raced near the pace that day has been getting behind in recent times..Last time out missed break again on saturday,also got stopped in run would never have won anyway but ran ok in 6th may have challenged for third that was also a 0-70,am not totally convinced horse wants to win but as long as the pace is respectable has decent place chances at worst maybe tirn into a good trade wouldn't be titally surprised if it went off near eniough fav and overbet,Three C's the favourite and a horse i;ve been following clement look the obvious two maybe some forecasts...Typically clement came back to form last time out and with new trainer finishing second,so all the value has gone on it now could well win tomorrow but can't bet it at prices..


    Kempton 5.10

    Masaru 4/6 365 8/11 sportsbook/ppower generally 4/5 betfair/unibet


    A maiden and hannon runs masaru already sets a decent standard won by 4ls on debut in june 2018 seconds now rated 78 had previous experience although that runner has flopped in recent runs the third horse indian sounds is now rated 89 was over 6ls behind,then went to york and fav for the big yearling stakes race was hampered in final furlong eventually finishing 8th wouldn't have won so could say disappointing,but
    could still be open to improvement out of lethal force 7fs should be fine..still an interesting runner..

    4/5 generally now.
    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMM!!!A decent day sp 1/3 two places one beaten at 1.03 the other traded odds on both smashed in yhe markets,had saver on clement with drift a forecast as write up £27 plus the trixie pays 70% profit...bit of luck couldv'e had a right touch..

  3. #10423
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    Newcastle 7.30

    Magical molly joe 10/1 sportsbook/ppower 9/1 totesport/betfred/hills/skybet

    Magical molly joe hadn't shown a great deal even in these weak races,then four races back won in first time headgear at wolves off this race looks slightly better but did have false id behind that day,tomorrows second fav second run in headgear saddke slipped,then third run a good run over tomorrows c.d when 3rd.That was best ever run and slightly better race than tomorrows a 0-60 again having false id behind,last time out ar wolves in a 0-55 alwayts looked to be travelling well but found loads of trouble and stopped in run..so four runs in headgear a win a decent third and excuses for the other two runs..I wouldn't be overly confident though as is drawn 3 there's loads of pace standside,so highs could be at a big advantage but horse still looks like its going to win another 0-55 at some point,if earlier races show noi draw advantage could be well backed and go off nearer 5/1..Probably one for notebook if draw beats it for another day..Sykvia cliffs looks the obvious one as improving if it goes on the syrface,plenty of others with track form too many to mention that have chances..

    9/1 boyles/corals/lads/skybet
    Last edited by gigilo; 10th April 2019 at 6:58 PM.

  4. #10424
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Newcastle 7.30

    Magical molly joe 10/1 sportsbook/ppower 9/1 totesport/betfred/hills/skybet

    Magical molly joe hadn't shown a great deal even in these weak races,then four races back won in first time headgear at wolves off this race looks slightly better but did have false id behind that day,tomorrows second fav second run in headgear saddke slipped,then third run a good run over tomorrows c.d when 3rd.That was best ever run and slightly better race than tomorrows a 0-60 again having false id behind,last time out ar wolves in a 0-55 alwayts looked to be travelling well but found loads of trouble and stopped in run..so four runs in headgear a win a decent third and excuses for the other two runs..I wouldn't be overly confident though as is drawn 3 there's loads of pace standside,so highs could be at a big advantage but horse still looks like its going to win another 0-55 at some point,if earlier races show noi draw advantage could be well backed and go off nearer 5/1..Probably one for notebook if draw beats it for another day..Sykvia cliffs looks the obvious one as improving if it goes on the syrface,plenty of others with track form too many to mention that have chances..

    9/1 boyles/corals/lads/skybet
    Chelmsford 5.50

    Dukes meadow 25/1 totesport/betfred

    Dukes meadow has won 2/52 so is an unlikely winner 8 year old now did win in february 2018 off 49 in a 0-60 over c/d ,hasn't even placed since that win but best two runs since have been last two runs a 4th and a 5th in a 0-55 on 19th march was 4th but wouldv'e been 2nd in the other divsion that night on the clock and infront of seaquinn priced at 14s tomorrow and a 0-60 over c/d last run was just behind mondays winner kilbaha lady,and a couple of dual winners were first and second..This is a classified stakes race just a 0-50 so racing off just 43 is not well in with most of the foeld,clements also entered just a repeat of todays win would be good enough but lingfield has always looked more preferable even though was second here recently in a 0-55 may win again wouldv'e lookecd a good bet at lingfield not so much here..I wouldn't want to trust any of these so a speculative few coppers on a c/d winner paying 4 places with firms above..

    Laid clement and place laid it,doesn't run anywhere near its best on track,knew they were an untrustworthy bunch a 50s shot wins,leads al the way ypu'd have to be mad to back anything out of that race at shoprt prices...clement back at lingfield could be worth a bet next time out.
    Last edited by gigilo; 11th April 2019 at 6:04 PM.

  5. #10425
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    Lots of gueswork at the moment will try a multiple just looking through the cards prices now...form of first one just advertizrd by winner at newbury..in conditions race.

    Newbury 4.25

    Raise you 5/4 365 11/8 skybet

    Runner up to king ottaker on debut last season on very soft ground on this track,king ottaker won the conditions race on todays card at newbury so raise again could well be something at least 90+ maybe a 100 horse,the third ballymelon in last years maiden is now rated 84 and that one had previous experience and was beaten over 3 3/4ls so the form is backed up..Varian and gosden have two well bred types making their debuts and could be anything the latter costing 625,000 but if raise again has imprived the likelyhood is one of thems going to have to run to a 100 on debut..

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOO OMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Absolutely hacked up,incredible prices really managed to get a load more on at 2.2 as well,so at least nap goes in after the farce of the sopring cup..wwill settle for it..


    Thirsk 5.25

    Senza limiti 4/5 365 5/6 skybet/victor/boyles

    Senza limitu won its debut run at sailsbury on goodish ground looked one of the fastest races on the card the runner up had solid previous form and is rated 84,won easily as well so similarky to raise you could be looking at at least 90+ horse,the other runners that have experience hard to weugh up there form doesn'yt look as good on what they've done to date..The danger as per could be the sbs horse great example with josephine gordon riding,maybe a forecast with that one.

    Newbury 3.15


    Escobar 16/1 skybet/ppower/betfred/totesport Humbert 25/1 skybet/hills/victor


    Don't really like anything in the springmile was going tp back red starlight as it looked to be running on well at ascot last year over 7fs on sogft ground and last time out stayed on well again behind sharja prince on seasonal debut could well be the one tp beat..Am just going to have a couple of token bets on the o'meara horses, Humberts form even its second in this last year doesn't look good enough this looks a far better race,but as the grounds dead and on slow side it might stop a few of these..Hasn't show anything in last three runs very poor and joined o'meara stable,was beaten a long way in the lincoln but on reasonably quick ground,tomorrow the conditions look similar to last years when second just look a little quicker but still pretty slow ground.
    His other runner Escobar doesn't look well handicapped either crept up the weights finished last season with a second to sharja pribce at ascot which looks dubious form as first run on soft ground,so looks out of line with other form all on faster ground.Intersting thing is the siore famous name ran on all sorts of ground gd/fm and soft and was equally as good so there might be a chance escobars run was improvement even though a mark of 103 first time out might be a lot to ask,kirby rides.Ground will be similar tomorrow to the ascot form,speculatuve picjs with one seemingly out of form and the other on seasonal debut so just a couple of token bets..Been looking at the race for ages,was going to back totally different horses or just leave it,have gone against the more recent form horses and hoping the slower ground will stop a few.

    Will leave it at that for now,too much guessing on draws on ground so easy to have 10 guesses and no returns might even have a week off to catch up on replays as anythings winning on the turf and the aw finals next friday..


    Thirsk 5.55

    Meshardal 14/1 365/skybet/victor/betway/marathonbet/titesport/betfred.


    Meshardal hasn't won for two seasons now and on downgrade,but stable might still be trying to land a gamble but am not at all convinced will be tomorrow as for some reason last three runs pieces let off and suspiciously not being put back on again..Once pieces were put on only second run it won then ran up a four timer,and previous to that had not won any of iots previous 22 starts so tomorrow tells you on all known recent stars from last four seasons it won't be winning..It does look bvery strange as now it's dropped into a 0-60 first time since october 2013,last season was still running ok in far better races running in 0-85s early season finishing 4th several times and in a big field handicap ar york last season finishing 4th in a 0-80 nine times in first five not beaten far...On those races would proabably be favourite for this race,is drawn 17 tomorrow would normally be a decent draw if the grounds not been watered plus decent c/d reciord 1/2/7/1,the negative as mentioned looks having no pieces on but i still wouldn't be surprised to see it halve in price so coud be nice for trading anyway...and maybe make a nice few quid on race regardless of result.One thing to watch out for is when pieces get put back on though because eve if not as good as once was ruth carr does well with these older horses and in this grade may win a race or two this season now running off just 57 last seaso started off on 74 and all the better runs were in the high 60s..
    There are two similar types in the race lucky beggar another that used to be different class and simply can't win but ridiculously well handicapped and even its form last seasson good enough to figure in this and the maiden danhill desert loads of better form in higher class races simply can't win but again another big drop in class non of these would be a surprise in such a weak race..
    Last edited by gigilo; 13th April 2019 at 4:31 PM.

  6. #10426
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Lots of gueswork at the moment will try a multiple just looking through the cards prices now...form of first one just advertizrd by winner at newbury..in conditions race.

    Newbury 4.25

    Raise you 5/4 365 11/8 skybet

    Runner up to king ottaker on debut last season on very soft ground on this track,king ottaker won the conditions race on todays card at newbury so raise again could well be something at least 90+ maybe a 100 horse,the third ballymelon in last years maiden is now rated 84 and that one had previous experience and was beaten over 3 3/4ls so the form is backed up..Varian and gosden have two well bred types making their debuts and could be anything the latter costing 625,000 but if raise again has imprived the likelyhood is one of thems going to have to run to a 100 on debut..

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOO OMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Absolutely hacked up,incredible prices really managed to get a load more on at 2.2 as well,so at least nap goes in after the farce of the sopring cup..wwill settle for it..


    Thirsk 5.25

    Senza limiti 4/5 365 5/6 skybet/victor/boyles

    Senza limitu won its debut run at sailsbury on goodish ground looked one of the fastest races on the card the runner up had solid previous form and is rated 84,won easily as well so similarky to raise you could be looking at at least 90+ horse,the other runners that have experience hard to weugh up there form doesn'yt look as good on what they've done to date..The danger as per could be the sbs horse great example with josephine gordon riding,maybe a forecast with that one.

    Newbury 3.15


    Escobar 16/1 skybet/ppower/betfred/totesport Humbert 25/1 skybet/hills/victor


    Don't really like anything in the springmile was going tp back red starlight as it looked to be running on well at ascot last year over 7fs on sogft ground and last time out stayed on well again behind sharja prince on seasonal debut could well be the one tp beat..Am just going to have a couple of token bets on the o'meara horses, Humberts form even its second in this last year doesn't look good enough this looks a far better race,but as the grounds dead and on slow side it might stop a few of these..Hasn't show anything in last three runs very poor and joined o'meara stable,was beaten a long way in the lincoln but on reasonably quick ground,tomorrow the conditions look similar to last years when second just look a little quicker but still pretty slow ground.
    His other runner Escobar doesn't look well handicapped either crept up the weights finished last season with a second to sharja pribce at ascot which looks dubious form as first run on soft ground,so looks out of line with other form all on faster ground.Intersting thing is the siore famous name ran on all sorts of ground gd/fm and soft and was equally as good so there might be a chance escobars run was improvement even though a mark of 103 first time out might be a lot to ask,kirby rides.Ground will be similar tomorrow to the ascot form,speculatuve picjs with one seemingly out of form and the other on seasonal debut so just a couple of token bets..Been looking at the race for ages,was going to back totally different horses or just leave it,have gone against the more recent form horses and hoping the slower ground will stop a few.

    Will leave it at that for now,too much guessing on draws on ground so easy to have 10 guesses and no returns might even have a week off to catch up on replays as anythings winning on the turf and the aw finals next friday..


    Thirsk 5.55

    Meshardal 14/1 365/skybet/victor/betway/marathonbet/titesport/betfred.


    Meshardal hasn't won for two seasons now and on downgrade,but stable might still be trying to land a gamble but am not at all convinced will be tomorrow as for some reason last three runs pieces let off and suspiciously not being put back on again..Once pieces were put on only second run it won then ran up a four timer,and previous to that had not won any of iots previous 22 starts so tomorrow tells you on all known recent stars from last four seasons it won't be winning..It does look bvery strange as now it's dropped into a 0-60 first time since october 2013,last season was still running ok in far better races running in 0-85s early season finishing 4th several times and in a big field handicap ar york last season finishing 4th in a 0-80 nine times in first five not beaten far...On those races would proabably be favourite for this race,is drawn 17 tomorrow would normally be a decent draw if the grounds not been watered plus decent c/d reciord 1/2/7/1,the negative as mentioned looks having no pieces on but i still wouldn't be surprised to see it halve in price so coud be nice for trading anyway...and maybe make a nice few quid on race regardless of result.One thing to watch out for is when pieces get put back on though because eve if not as good as once was ruth carr does well with these older horses and in this grade may win a race or two this season now running off just 57 last seaso started off on 74 and all the better runs were in the high 60s..

    There are two similar types in the race lucky beggar another that used to be different class and simply can't win but ridiculously well handicapped and even its form last seasson good enough to figure in this
    and the maiden danhill desert loads of better form in higher class races simply can't win but again another big drop in class non of these would be a surprise in such a weak race..
    Hope you had a saver got 22/1 unreal they were joint favs at one point last 5 mins big drift meshardal,nice trade though meshardal as well as suggested some nice money made pre race always going to get overbet wait for pieces, a very good day wish i'd put it in multies but bet all three...first decent winner io've had so far glad i added it in.. 16s when posted just incase anyone querys prices althouigh im sure anyone reading thread already saw that.Also the 6l maiden winner raise you,very interesting as was only 2ls slower than the spring mile winner carrying a pound more,be interesting to see what mark it gets in future should be a 100..
    Last edited by gigilo; 13th April 2019 at 6:43 PM.

  7. #10427
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    https://www.racingpost.com/news/wesl...pauline/374638

    Favourite 11/4 for queen mary already..

  8. #10428
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    See if i can find a few for a multiple,again they are watering last monday at windsor griyund was officaillt gd/fm rode as gd/sft so will just be minimum stakes and onte similarly for whatever reason watering there as well..


    Windsor 4.0

    Telecaster 9/4 365 Dollar deal 9/4 365

    Dollar deal made a nice debut at kempton finishing second over a mile time was pretty decent for a 2yr old race and compared favourably on the card could easily be a 90+ horse and stepping up in trip two furlongs out of frankel,similarly telecaster this turf season made debut at donny over this trip.
    The most impressive thing was the time was a second quicker than the big amateur riders race wn by 76 rated central city,so again you could easily be looking at a 90+ horse and with benefit of fitness looks a cracking maiden for a monday afternoon.

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!!It looked the best horse in the race on clock after debut,different gravy lovely early markets backed them both ew as well and got rest of stake back in place markets 1.218 and 1.27 forecast looked nailed on as well..


    5.0

    The secrets out 20/1 365 16/1 888sport/hills 14/1 ppower/sportsbook..

    Unlikely the secrets out will be winning especially after seven month break,3/16 on the turf and on highest ever mark last season won off 54 and 58 the last win by 7ls in a 0-75 over 1m6fs the step in trip bringing imprivement..Tomorrow steps back to 1m3 1/2furlongs which now doesn't look its trip but on penultimate run of last season even though only 7th of 10 over tomorriws c/d ran ok in a 0-75 maybe just out to blow cobwebs away over this trip but drops into a 0-65 so a token pick at prices..Trainer hasn't had a winner this season either which probanly explains the prices..sean levey rides so bettig will be a pointer if stable have any confidence.
    Famous dynasty if they do overwater could be one to benefit,looks exposed can't see it winning of grunds decent but has won off 59 in this grade and was 4th in a 0-70 last season would be a guess on ground as said before but if they chuck it on like last week the 16/1 would be big,maybe some coppers on it..just incase...Zenith one another interesting runner only six runs and those have been on the aw,wouldn't have to, improve much first run on turf in this race after wind op..and just six runs


    Ponte 5.20

    Foxtrot knight 7/2 365/sportsbook/ppower/totesport/betfred/boyles/victor/hills Super julius 4/1 365/victor

    Foxtrot knight rarely wins only 4/50 but always runs a decent race and has decent record over c/d last season 1/2/4 off 68,73 and 77 tomorrow off just 65 could never be confident with such low strike rate but good mark of just 65 last time was in a 0-70 was the win off 68 over c/d by 4 1/2ls..
    Main danger could be super julius was rated 85 with eve johnston houghton but left stable when on a mark of 79,has had four runs and been allowed to drop 17 piound finisghing nearer last than first but last time oiut was 5th of 23 at navan in a better race so might be coming back to form and given another 2 pound drop to just 62..Negatuve could be trainer only three winners from 129 runners in ireland travelling over from irekand..but when travelling here has a 14% strijke rate with 4/29...

    Was going to do some more but i can see aprils going to be a waste of time on the turf,they muck about with the goings you just end up betting on the wrong ground same old story,if you look at tomorrows going reports you would be expecting good/good to fm ground when doing the fprm ]if they water you can almost say with certainty you will be lucky to get good ground..just makes you look stupid..Better off having soft in the ground constantly as then at least you know nothing can change..
    Last edited by gigilo; 15th April 2019 at 4:06 PM.

  9. #10429
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    My word that was some demolition job by telecaster. Won at a canter. Have a big ew double riding with the secret out. Looks a bit weak in the market though.

  10. #10430
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nonannyimfine View Post
    My word that was some demolition job by telecaster. Won at a canter. Have a big ew double riding with the secret out. Looks a bit weak in the market though.
    Trainer hasn't had a winner this year so no great surprise although was still relstuvely well backed,wasn't really its trip anyway i knew jonny cavagin was going to win when it went that short impossible to bet but that combination of lee and midgley when moneys down expect massive imprivement..A 10 year old now never won over the trip,but has just had a wind op,they must have it running to at least 70+ to be that confident he would run well,can see the horse running up sequence now to get it back like that..

  11. #10431
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    Wolves 8.15

    Final attack 12/1 sportsbook/ppower 10/1 skybet/hills/corals/totesporrt/betfred/boyles/victor/888sport/lads/betway/sportspresa

    Thoroughly exposed 8yr old,always gets left at start and doesn't win too often am wondering if after last ryn his enthusiasm is ebbing a bit but anytime he's double figures in a 0-55 then he usually shortens and can run well in this grade especially if some guaranteed pace..Last time out he finished behind herm favourite tomorrow no real reason why should reverse form but no real reason as long as they go quick enough shouldn't be up near it as i don't think they went that quick last time out..Cat royale ran poorly after a break but run previous to that was in same race as final attack there was 1/2l between them and cat royale has a pound turnaround for that 1/2l...Cat royale has been pretty disappointing over this c/d has run ok but always leads so is vulnerable possibly could get a relatvely easy lead and could trade ok in running,hopefully plenty of pace on and these would be my three against the field..Am hoping it turns into a decent trade so at least can make some profit on the race,lots of gambles going on hopefully money for it tomorrow..


    6.15

    Magical molly joe 5/1 hills/marathinbet

    Put up magical molly joe at newcastle a couple of days ago,i said in write up the pace was all stands side and was kicking myself as the three high draws came up with adventureman leading all the way till getting collared at 33s with massive forecast,same thing happened in following race..Am not convinced it was just the draw as they did race away from the rail,magical molly had to run wide and was dropped out 10ls although it may simply be she needed the run,this is a better race tomorrow and some horses that are lightly raced like muraadef from ruth carr stable,as today with her runner i did they are impossible to work out but no surprise if it ran well first time on the aw..
    Magical molly joe has had the headgear the last five runs including a win and a third,two other runs saddle slipped and the other was over tomorrows c/d i mentioned in previous write up stopped in run,that race was probably weaker certainly no better than tomorrows and hard to know where it wouldv'e finished probably wouldv'e hit the frame.Only worth a small bet after coming back from a break on friday after three months,there will be easier races than this 0-55..
    Last edited by gigilo; 16th April 2019 at 1:58 AM.

  12. #10432
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    Swell 6.0

    Quila saeda 14/1 365/hills/totesport/betfred..generally

    Beaten easiy by 7ls on second run for mick appleby horse has had four runs that was first time on the surface really needs to improve on that run over a furlong further tomorrow,that was a 0-75 last time and tomorrow drops into a 0-60 really at this sort of price you'd want to see money for it in a lower grade race...It's a speculative pick relying on improvement didn't run that bad in that race was staying on and runs off just 57 with theodorre lad taking off 5 down to 52 so from basement mark,others like go native won a poor race over this c/d two runs back steps up in grade but won easily enough must have an ew chance as there's very little track form to go on..The two that stand out at weights are mundersfield and motahassen they have run well in better races on the turf if they transfer their form to this surface then coud be the most likeliest winners.. The appleby horse drifted like a barge in the 0-75,tomorrow for anysort of confidence you'd want to see this going off half current prices minimum,could yet still turn into a nice little trade as i thought it would open 7-8/1 with trainer reputation..Am hoping at least trade wise will make something so will just bet with as many books as possible,just hope it doesn;'t turn into one of those appleby drifters..

    9/1 left marathinbet..

    6.30

    Muqarred 13/2 ppower/sportsbook 6/1 most books Majestic moon 12/1 365 11/1 skybet/betfred.betway/totesport/skybet/blacktype/boyles/

    An impossible looking handicap half a dozen have a chance and appleby has casement running on debut on surface out of casemento should go well on surface and could be another he improves recently winning at ponte,muqarred and majestic moon don't win too often nowadays but were first and second last time time out over c/d in this grade 0-75, time was decent a few of these behind and both have run well in better races last season...They could both run well again now looking in better form eachway chances maybe forecasts with fav..

    Muqarred 9/1 365/victor/betway 8/1 generally..


    7.30

    Harbour quay 11/2 365/unibet/coras/betfred/totesport 6/1 victor/skybet/unibet


    A race full of rogues quite a few well handicapped as well very competitve,harbour quays only had six runs although 5yr old a seconf here to argus
    in a 0-75 over 1m4fs then beaten 7 1/2ls by purple rock over the same c/d ? is trip it may not stay had seasearch 11/2(saver) 5/1 with 4 places just behind in that race so looks little between them..decent time that race and on recent form the two to focus on.Lots of well handicapped horses in here though so nothing would surprise but they would be my two especuially as seasearch guaranteed to stay..harbour quay am not sure it will stay as seasearch wouldv'e headed in in another 100 yards over 2fs less..Hopefully it will be a slowly run race which could suit harbour quay if not then seasearch should run well..others like fern owl and high command if they came back to form would win but would be a complete guess on recent form..

    8.30

    Maisie moo 8/1 365/victior 15/2skybet/lads/sportsbook/corals/totesport/betfred/betway/hills

    Maisie moo might be flattering to decieve was recently second at kempton in a 0-70 staying on then last time out appeared to be travelling well in
    a 0-75 over 7fs but stopped in run several times,i am not totally convinced was going ti run on though even though did get stopped but will have small bet dropped into a 0-60..Sire swiss spirit is 16% on the surface and on only sixth ever run i think you'd want to see some stable confidence in betting as on those runs looks well in and if expected to impriove on surface,if it doesn't get backed i suspect it might just be an unreliable type..

    9/1 365/hills/betway/marathonbet 10/1 betway as i said there shouldv'e been money for this based on last two runs yet bnot a bean dropped in class probably now reflects chances..
    Last edited by gigilo; 17th April 2019 at 2:00 PM.

  13. #10433
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Wolves 8.15

    Final attack 12/1 sportsbook/ppower 10/1 skybet/hills/corals/totesporrt/betfred/boyles/victor/888sport/lads/betway/sportspresa

    Thoroughly exposed 8yr old,always gets left at start and doesn't win too often am wondering if after last ryn his enthusiasm is ebbing a bit but anytime he's double figures in a 0-55 then he usually shortens and can run well in this grade especially if some guaranteed pace..Last time out he finished behind herm favourite tomorrow no real reason why should reverse form but no real reason as long as they go quick enough shouldn't be up near it as i don't think they went that quick last time out..Cat royale ran poorly after a break but run previous to that was in same race as final attack there was 1/2l between them and cat royale has a pound turnaround for that 1/2l...Cat royale has been pretty disappointing over this c/d has run ok but always leads so is vulnerable possibly could get a relatvely easy lead and could trade ok in running,hopefully plenty of pace on and these would be my three against the field..Am hoping it turns into a decent trade so at least can make some profit on the race,lots of gambles going on hopefully money for it tomorrow..


    6.15

    Magical molly joe 5/1 hills/marathinbet

    Put up magical molly joe at newcastle a couple of days ago,i said in write up the pace was all stands side and was kicking myself as the three high draws came up with adventureman leading all the way till getting collared at 33s with massive forecast,same thing happened in following race..Am not convinced it was just the draw as they did race away from the rail,magical molly had to run wide and was dropped out 10ls although it may simply be she needed the run,this is a better race tomorrow and some horses that are lightly raced like muraadef from ruth carr stable,as today with her runner i did they are impossible to work out but no surprise if it ran well first time on the aw..
    Magical molly joe has had the headgear the last five runs including a win and a third,two other runs saddle slipped and the other was over tomorrows c/d i mentioned in previous write up stopped in run,that race was probably weaker certainly no better than tomorrows and hard to know where it wouldv'e finished probably wouldv'e hit the frame.Only worth a small bet after coming back from a break on friday after three months,there will be easier races than this 0-55..
    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMM!!Hacked up,just shows how unlucky was the othernight when on at 12/1 i put it on here,lovely tiuch thiough still improving!! Final attack misses break by 15ls agaiin,then they crawled no chance although i laid the fav as its an absolute dog,don't know what they were doing in that race front runners held up and they clock 2m0.17 at least a second and a half islower than iwouldv'e expected with the pace angles and the tracks like lightening so they must have really crawled round..strange race...
    Last edited by gigilo; 16th April 2019 at 8:48 PM.

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  15. #10434
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    Great call Giggs

  16. #10435
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    What horses have you backed already for tomorrow gigs ?

  17. #10436
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    Quote Originally Posted by Therightroad View Post
    What horses have you backed already for tomorrow gigs ?
    Aircraft carrier and Kachy seem to be the two still standing

  18. #10437
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    No
    I am aswell and its on the telly tomorrow

    I mean Tony Hamilton over 6f no attempt to push forward out the stalls
    What a lazy Moo
    Last edited by ubedizzy; 18th April 2019 at 10:02 PM.

  19. #10438
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    Quote Originally Posted by Therightroad View Post
    Aircraft carrier and Kachy seem to be the two still standing
    Also Rasima?

  20. #10439
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    AW Sprint finals

    Kachy 9/2 corals 4/1 lads City light 8/1 lads/betway

    No entrys for these two so they may not run as one qualifying race has already gone,so probably only worth small bets althoigh if they run to their best and aw form of last season then they won't be these prices on qualifying,last season city light won on finals day beating kachy and that was the fastest 6f sprint over c/d of the season 1m9.08 earlier in season kachy had qualified in 1m9.12 the second fastest 6f race of the season..Kachy has been running well on turf in group races a third to battash and city of light was toiuched off at ascot by merchant navy,kachy went off 11/8 fav last sesson on finals day and city of light 8/1,maybe they won't run on the aw as looking good to compete now in group races but prices would be big based on l;ast years races,presuming they qualify..
    JKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Bigges t bet of the season,been betting him since novemver and i've reposted him three times at 7/2 and 3/1 was getting worried as tracks desperately slow there today,but after he won at wolves track record and still 3/1 avaolable it just said was a certainty!!!Hope you filled your wgheelbarrows after wolves and last win over c/d different horse to last year sp 4/9 be a long time before see a bet like that ante post!!!! Aircraft carrier slaughtered watersmeet penultimate runs but flopped since so had something to ptove ad rasima hadn;t run for 159 days and missed the break...
    Last edited by gigilo; 19th April 2019 at 3:29 PM.

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  22. #10440
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    Had never rated that matterhorn till today as nothing on the clock,the tracj was riding reallky slow today but hacked up in 2m1.09 looks pretty special to me thats by far the fastest time this season there on a slower surface,might be worth some ante post ets byut woudn't have a cue what will be running in..

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