What are you backing Today?

[LUKE]

Will we see a de Bromhead 2yo winning at Dundalk tonight.

[LUKE]

Course commentator not impressed with jolly at Newcastle.

[2017diary]

5.45 Newcastle, Fightwithme, currently around 1.6, I'm laying this. I've already layed a few quid but the market is weak, when it's more liquid I'm lay it again. I made a note the last time it ran and that would have liked to see it over 6f. It stayed on over 7f last time on soft. If it was running over 6f tonight I'd lump on it. There is a lot of money for it as of now but regardless I'm laying. What will beat it, good question. I thought Bataar's run was fairly good last time out, but I'll just be delighted if the fav gets beat.

WD

[LUKE]

Great call by shouty man.

[LUKE]

Great call by shouty man.

Hope that isn't derogatory.

[trefflich]

Will we see a de Bromhead 2yo winning at Dundalk tonight.

Will we indeed?

[SlimChance]

I didn't even look at littlebitofmagic, it's 65 on Betfair at the minute. I just focused on the first 5 and even at that it's hard to separate them. On paper you'd think fightwithme should sloosh in. Gosden horse, good 3rd but I remember watching the race at the time and making a note to back it next time out if over 6f. I'll know my fate soon enough.


Edit, littlebitofmagic is into 42 now from 65, someones having a few quid on.

I was too clever and bet two each way against it. Great shout on the fav. He was staying on again at the finish.

[Irishgoat]

Hope that isn't derogatory.

I'm not as flowery tonight lol

If Gosden runs that horse over 6f I think it'll do the business, hope so anyway.

[Irishgoat]

I was too clever and bet two each way against it. Great shout on the fav. He was staying on again at the finish.

I've learned the hard way from my mistakes. It took awhile to sink it but it did eventually. You'd see a '2 horse race' on paper, e.g 1.7 and 2.5, you don't like the 1.7 and you back the 2.5 and something else wins. Happened to me numerous times so now if I don't like something I'll just lay it.

[SlimChance]

It is very hard to make money laying horses but I do like your approach.

[Irishgoat]

Last bet of the evening for me and then wait for the good racing tomorrow.

Dundalk, 7.00, Thebestfortheeast. I'm laying this, currently around 2.8. I think this is a trappy race and I wouldn't be surprise if something with a decent price wins this. Peralman looks a very interesting horse but for me I'm just going to stick with the lay.

I'm off out for the evening, good luck to anyone who's betting for the evening.

[Our Rita]

Breathoffreshair
Worth a dabble at the price

[LUKE]

Breathoffreshair
Worth a dabble at the price

Good shout.

[Our Rita]

Thanks Luke

[Grey]

Breathoffreshair
Worth a dabble at the price

Well done Slim

[Danny]

I fired a shot at Paddleyourowncanoe in the 1.50 at Newbury now he's going back up in trip I thought he'd improve on what he'd done last time but I'd probably fell into a bit of a trap of not accessing the opposition fully. I was fairly keen to take on the front 2 Speedo Boy and Champ not that they don't hold there own respective chances but I thought they were plenty short enough so PYOC would do for me at the prices and in fairness he's still a fair bet but as I've been up through the night I dug a little deeper through the form of some of the others and I could make a very good case for the vast majority of the field. Air horse one, Boite and Man of Plenty should all be very solid yardsticks at this trip and I just thought I'd mention it as it might be a race if not to get involved with today then at least might be worth following the fall out of it as I think it'll take some winning. As said there are some pretty useful yard sticks to judge some of the younger brigade by.

The next at Newbury also looked competitive between the front lot i probably favoured Nichols horse out of them after prepping over fences and dropping back to hurdles for a better prize looks better tactics than Ballymoy who picked up another 3lb rise at Chepstow although 12k probably worth it makes life more difficult here. Also thought Vodoo Doll would probably outrun its price.

Thoughts for the Ladbroke on the thread but if I've done my spuds at this point in the day then the last race I'll probably be having a stab at is the 3.35 and I'll be having a few quid on Shear Rock. rarely seen but decent when it is and had a wind op and tongue tie on for the first time today and for a horse who I could already have down as well handicapped to some degree any improvement at all for those factors would see him do the business at around 12/1 he's a fair bet.

Best of luck fellas.

[Bolero]

14:25 Newbury - Mont Des Avaloirs

(Switched back to hurdles after fair chasing debut LTO. 6/1 generally available at the moment.)

[Desert Orchid]

Bet of the day for me is Air Horse One 14/1 each-way six places with Hills.(Nwb 1.50)

[Desert Orchid]

Overall, it's a fairly heavy betting day for me:

Nwc	2.05	½ pt win Summerville Boy 6/1
Nwc	3.20	½ pt ew Captain Chaos 14/1; ½ pt win Ami Desbois 13/2
Nwb	12.45	½ pt win Mr Big Shot 9/1
Nwb	1.20	1 pt win Adrien Du Pont 9/2
Nwb	1.50	½ pt ew Air Horse One 14/1, 6pl (Hills)
Nwb	2.25	1 pt win Mont Des Avaloirs 13/2
Nwb	3.00	1 pt win Ms Parfois 11/2
Nwb	3.35	1 pt win Top Gamble 11/2

[Irishgoat]

11.50 Newcastle, Style De Vole, the dogs are barking about this one. Henderson horse. Around 1.58, backing this hard to win. Short price but supposed to be something special.