Page 950 of 1090 FirstFirst ... 45085090094094594694794894995095195295395495596010001050 ... LastLast
Results 18,981 to 19,000 of 21797

Thread: What are you backing Today?

  1. #18981
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2011
    Posts
    7,312
    Thanks
    814
    Thanked 1,033 Times in 875 Posts
    Ghazawaat (1.25L) 7/2 was caught on the line in strongly run similar contest last week. She should come on for that first run in 5 months, and her trainer is past master in applying headgear at the right time, and today's first time pieces should see her home around a sharper Lingfield circuit.
    Last edited by reet hard; 24th November 2018 at 10:44 AM.

  2. #18982
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Posts
    3,410
    Thanks
    600
    Thanked 581 Times in 486 Posts
    1.50 Haydock
    Black Mischief looked sure to win when coming down at the last at Market Rasen last time out. The eventual winner that day Jersey Bean is now rated 136 having gone in again easily at Newbury and Black Mischief who was giving 12lb at Market Rasen (less the admirable Aine O’Connor’s claim) gets to race off 136 today with Dickie up. A strong bet for me at 11/2


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

  3. The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to viking For This Useful Post:

    redcat1 (26th November 2018), Tout Seul (24th November 2018)

  4. #18983
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2016
    Posts
    2,592
    Thanks
    246
    Thanked 446 Times in 318 Posts
    Shout.

  5. The Following User Says Thank You to Double J For This Useful Post:

    viking (24th November 2018)

  6. #18984
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jan 2017
    Posts
    912
    Thanks
    572
    Thanked 319 Times in 293 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by viking View Post
    1.50 Haydock
    Black Mischief looked sure to win when coming down at the last at Market Rasen last time out. The eventual winner that day Jersey Bean is now rated 136 having gone in again easily at Newbury and Black Mischief who was giving 12lb at Market Rasen (less the admirable Aine O’Connor’s claim) gets to race off 136 today with Dickie up. A strong bet for me at 11/2


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    Last edited by 2017diary; 24th November 2018 at 2:57 PM.

  7. #18985
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2011
    Posts
    7,312
    Thanks
    814
    Thanked 1,033 Times in 875 Posts
    Nice one.V.

  8. The Following User Says Thank You to reet hard For This Useful Post:

    viking (24th November 2018)

  9. #18986
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jul 2017
    Posts
    4,673
    Thanks
    4,074
    Thanked 1,108 Times in 979 Posts
    Blog Entries
    539
    Quote Originally Posted by viking View Post
    1.50 Haydock
    Black Mischief looked sure to win when coming down at the last at Market Rasen last time out. The eventual winner that day Jersey Bean is now rated 136 having gone in again easily at Newbury and Black Mischief who was giving 12lb at Market Rasen (less the admirable Aine O’Connor’s claim) gets to race off 136 today with Dickie up. A strong bet for me at 11/2


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    Very well done.nice price

  10. The Following User Says Thank You to Outsider For This Useful Post:

    viking (24th November 2018)

  11. #18987
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Posts
    23,661
    Thanks
    2,930
    Thanked 3,483 Times in 2,743 Posts
    Trying my luck at the fitba now...

    I've taken Livi not to lose at Ibrox. The home side remains seriously over-rated and Livi are the stuffiest team in the league. I hope they don't commit suicide by trying to change their style today.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  12. #18988
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Oct 2018
    Posts
    138
    Thanks
    32
    Thanked 17 Times in 14 Posts
    3.00 Musselburgh. Cap St Vincent. I think the horse is fairly well handicapped and a decent win 11 days ago, I think it will go in again today. Currently around 2.64.

  13. #18989
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Oct 2018
    Posts
    138
    Thanks
    32
    Thanked 17 Times in 14 Posts
    3.20 Ludlow. Thomas Campbell. This horse is far far superior to anything in this race. If the horse jumps around it should hack up. The current price is ridiculously high at 1.67 and I'm getting stuck into it now.

  14. #18990
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    May 2003
    Location
    Waterford
    Posts
    8,253
    Thanks
    265
    Thanked 317 Times in 251 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Irishgoat View Post
    3.20 Ludlow. Thomas Campbell. This horse is far far superior to anything in this race. If the horse jumps around it should hack up. The current price is ridiculously high at 1.67 and I'm getting stuck into it now.

    Well done - takes balls to strongly recommend an odds on shot.

  15. #18991
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Dec 2003
    Location
    Talbot Green
    Posts
    13,268
    Thanks
    2,133
    Thanked 958 Times in 720 Posts
    Blog Entries
    1
    Two nice winners, well done..
    Last edited by Colin Phillips; 26th November 2018 at 5:16 PM.
    Ah! but a man's reach should exceed his grasp......

  16. The Following User Says Thank You to Colin Phillips For This Useful Post:

    Irishgoat (26th November 2018)

  17. #18992
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Oct 2018
    Posts
    138
    Thanks
    32
    Thanked 17 Times in 14 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by LUKE View Post
    Well done - takes balls to strongly recommend an odds on shot.
    I'd as easily lay an odds on shot. The other was odds against. You're probably a member of the other Irish forum where people tip and spout about big prices but never get a winner. I also lay horses that are 3.3/3.5/3.7. That an issue too ?

  18. #18993
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Mar 2016
    Posts
    7,401
    Thanks
    1,350
    Thanked 1,133 Times in 1,015 Posts
    Blog Entries
    110
    Welcome Irish. I think you might have misinterpreted Luke's sentiments. There are a lot of us on here that go for big prices, which I think Luke was, (possibly cryptically) aluding to! E.G not enough people tip short priced horses at a good win strike rate on this forum anymore, (which you have done well today). Keep posting fella.
    Last edited by Marb; 26th November 2018 at 6:08 PM.

  19. #18994
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Oct 2018
    Posts
    138
    Thanks
    32
    Thanked 17 Times in 14 Posts
    I understand Marble. I gamble for a living and I back at mostly of 3.0 and downwards to odds on. it's rare I'd back anything at bigger prices. I'd have no problem laying at even 4.0 if I think the horse has no chance but I mostly lay favourites at shorter prices. I could tell you I layed Might bite and Padre Mio on Saturday at low prices and I could be accused of after timing so I won't say it. I posted in the 'welcome' thread in which I said I keep my own ratings and price up most races each day. I'm new here, I fully understand that and people will be critical and and that's fine. All my bets are open to see on the other forum including Saturday's bets. I decided to take a break from that particular forum because the majority have no comprehension of class/grades/handicaps or ratings but still want to argue about them. I had a look at a few racing forums and I thought this was probably the most knowledgeable so I joined to have a bit of discussion and post my bets, the winners and losers.

    I post my bets near the off between 10 and 3 or 4 minutes from the off, some people don't like that either.

  20. The Following User Says Thank You to Irishgoat For This Useful Post:

    Marb (26th November 2018)

  21. #18995
    SlimChance
    Guest
    Quote Originally Posted by Irishgoat View Post
    3.20 Ludlow. Thomas Campbell. This horse is far far superior to anything in this race. If the horse jumps around it should hack up. The current price is ridiculously high at 1.67 and I'm getting stuck into it now.
    I like betting short ones especially in these races. Thomas Campbell is a tricky one though. I thought he ran a nice race LTO over a trip too short but he'd been a non runner twice before that so there was a nagging doubt the horse has a problem. In today's race by initial thought was he must be a certainty but when I looked at it I wanted 5/6 to back him. Psychedelic Rock looked a good opponent for him based on their last 3 runs. I'd have bet him at the SP of 7/2.

  22. #18996
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Oct 2018
    Posts
    138
    Thanks
    32
    Thanked 17 Times in 14 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by SlimChance View Post
    I like betting short ones especially in these races. Thomas Campbell is a tricky one though. I thought he ran a nice race LTO over a trip too short but he'd been a non runner twice before that so there was a nagging doubt the horse has a problem. In today's race by initial thought was he must be a certainty but when I looked at it I wanted 5/6 to back him. Psychedelic Rock looked a good opponent for him based on their last 3 runs. I'd have bet him at the SP of 7/2.
    My take on it was, the horse was improving hand over fist over hurdles in 2017 into 2018. Rated 155 over hurdles in March this year. They said they wanted to go chasing with it. Gave it an 'educational' in a class 3 at Newbury when it just looked awkward. Today's trip was definitely on the sharp side for it but it was a class 4. I'd say now after winning today, it will be upped in class and trip next time out.
    Psychedelic Rock, was struggling to win a class 2 and eventually won a class 3 handicap off 133. So all in all there was a potential class 1 running against a decent handicapper. I thought the 1.67 was an amazing price.

  23. #18997
    SlimChance
    Guest
    No problem with your logic at all. We're basically in difference over 13 ticks.

  24. The Following User Says Thank You to SlimChance For This Useful Post:

    Irishgoat (26th November 2018)

  25. #18998
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Oct 2018
    Posts
    138
    Thanks
    32
    Thanked 17 Times in 14 Posts
    12.10 Southwell, Anna Jammeela. I'm laying this today. Currently 3.2. This is a very messy class 6 handicap. Anna Jammeela is running off 52 today, I think 53 could be about right. But I have a whole host of other horses within a 1lbs of the fav, and even 1 rated 'potentially' a few lbs higher taking weight into consideration. At best I think Anna Jammeela has 1 length on a few horse, but it's going to be messy and if sluggish out of the stalls or hemmed in and loses a length it's curtains. Strong lay for me.
    Last edited by Irishgoat; 27th November 2018 at 10:55 AM.

  26. The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to Irishgoat For This Useful Post:

    2017diary (27th November 2018), Colin Phillips (27th November 2018)

  27. #18999
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Oct 2018
    Posts
    138
    Thanks
    32
    Thanked 17 Times in 14 Posts
    1.05 Hereford, Dr Sanderson. Currently around 2.40 I'm laying this, much tougher races than it's previous 2 and under a penalty.

  28. #19000
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jan 2017
    Posts
    912
    Thanks
    572
    Thanked 319 Times in 293 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Irishgoat View Post
    12.10 Southwell, Anna Jammeela. I'm laying this today. Currently 3.2. This is a very messy class 6 handicap. Anna Jammeela is running off 52 today, I think 53 could be about right. But I have a whole host of other horses within a 1lbs of the fav, and even 1 rated 'potentially' a few lbs higher taking weight into consideration. At best I think Anna Jammeela has 1 length on a few horse, but it's going to be messy and if sluggish out of the stalls or hemmed in and loses a length it's curtains. Strong lay for me.
    Your balance is lighter after it won but what that doesn't tell is that it was backed at double figures in running. I'd say it shows that your reasoning was sound.
    Last edited by 2017diary; 28th November 2018 at 2:35 PM.

  29. The Following User Says Thank You to 2017diary For This Useful Post:

    Irishgoat (28th November 2018)

Similar Threads

  1. If You're Backing Australia For Guineas
    By NHughes in forum General Racing Topics
    Replies: 1
    Last Post: 21st March 2014, 11:48 PM
  2. Football bets - What are you backing today
    By dvds2000 in forum Other Sports
    Replies: 17
    Last Post: 2nd March 2014, 11:09 PM
  3. What are you backing today?
    By harry in forum Other Sports
    Replies: 134
    Last Post: 2nd June 2013, 7:31 PM
  4. backing outsiders
    By paanti in forum General Racing Topics
    Replies: 34
    Last Post: 23rd June 2012, 4:40 PM
  5. I'm trying to understand Betfair backing
    By montyracing2 in forum General Racing Topics
    Replies: 25
    Last Post: 2nd February 2009, 12:47 PM

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •