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Thread: What are you backing Today?

  1. #18941
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    Sam Red was also one I considered strongly but have gone for Ramses de Teillee with the easing of the ground in his favour



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  2. #18942
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    Kings Odyssey one for me today

  3. #18943
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    Little L15 for Sunday. Navan 1:35 Apple's Jade, (good thing?), 2:10 Doctor Phoenix. Sandown 2:20 Thomas Patrick 2:55 Don't Ask

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    The best race tomorrow is at Bangor - Which is the three mile chase at 1:50. I am prepared to take on the market leaders and go left field with Delusion Of Grandeur who I reckon is handicapped to win again on his best form. 16/1 tickles my fancy.
    Last edited by Marb; 13th November 2018 at 10:32 PM.

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  6. #18945
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    Looks that sort of race Martin, misfits and pipe openers all at shorter- follow you in

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  7. #18946
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    Yeah that's the thinking, Geoff. Each way with the three places available. Good luck fella!

  8. #18947
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    Following you in there. Sure to go better at today’s trip


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  9. #18948
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    Morning

    7.00 Kempton-Chookie Dunedin


    Each Way @ 10-1 [Ladbrokes] BOG

    Of interest he comes all this way to make his artificial surface debut
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

  10. #18949
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    Wasn't a bad run in fifth for Delusion Of Grandeur. He has to go in the tracker.

  11. #18950
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    Quote Originally Posted by PlaceBacker View Post
    Morning

    7.00 Kempton-Chookie Dunedin


    Each Way @ 10-1 [Ladbrokes] BOG

    Of interest he comes all this way to make his artificial surface debut
    Frustrating 4th as Fanning got the horse into all sorts of bother on the inside
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

  12. #18951
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    Quote Originally Posted by Marble View Post
    Wasn't a bad run in fifth for Delusion Of Grandeur. He has to go in the tracker.
    Was on the 4 places with skybet ffs - but yrs one to look out for. Yala enki the definition of a perennial misfit ! wrong course , wrong going, sky high in weights - surefire winner we should have seen

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  13. #18952
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    Delusionofgrandeur seemed to be asked to go a stride faster than he was comfortable with from about halfway. He may need more of a stamina test than he got today and softer ground. Let’s not forget he would have been 6th if not for the faller


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  14. #18953
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    Yeah there was a possibility Delusionofgrandeur would be up to winning today but he will surely improve for the run. He was doing the donkey work but at least he looked willing and trying to respond for pressure, and faded gradually as opposed to just going out like a light. Agree with Vikings comments and a drop in class might help too. Given more favourable conditions I'd be looking to back him next time out or even the time after that. I just hope he isn't one of these horses who turns out to be a cliff horse and wins a chase next April, when I have thoroughly burnt my nuts on him by that time.
    Last edited by Marb; 14th November 2018 at 10:36 PM.

  15. #18954
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    Am I mad or is doctor Phoneix a huge price today?

    Wouldn't have thought connections would run him unless they thought the ground was soft enough for him to perform (he was a NR at Navan on Sunday). Looked to be running a huge race over 2m4f at fairyhouse against UDS at Easter.

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  16. #18955
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    What's your thoughts on For Good Measure in the opener tomorrow? Dropped 2lbs for last run...will this be punted or will it be softly softly?

  17. #18956
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    Saturday [2.25 Cheltenham]

    A couple of outsiders appeal each way to outrun their odds

    West Approach @ 16-1 [William Hill] 6 Places & Javert @ 25-1 [Ladbrokes]
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

  18. #18957
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    Cheltenham 3.00 Sweet Home Chicago 14/1 - This race doesn’t look too competitive other than that there are a few unknown quantities in it. However, I wonder if Sweet Home Chicago might be another Abolitionist in that there may be a case for saying his form is vastly better than his rating and under the old guidelines maybe the handicapper would have been tempted to bump him up at least a stone. He’s certainly the only one I’d consider backing in the race and the double-digit price makes it very much worth any risk involved. Last time at Galway he won a seemingly modest conditions hurdle. Rated 115 at the time, he gave the third (OR 124) 20lbs, including that latter’s claim, and a 15-length beating. A literal interpretation of that puts him on 156, which seems ridiculous. The runner-up didn’t have an OR on the day, which makes me wonder if the handicapper has chosen to ignore the third. However, dig a little deeper and you’ll see that the runner-up had been a 150 chaser and 135 hurdler not too long ago. That 135 rating would make Sweet Home Chicago a 148 hurdler, plus the notional 6lbs rise for coming here, ie 154. Maybe that 156 isn’t too ridiculous after all. Even if it’s only half-right, it still makes him 17lbs well in. I might be miles wrong but I’m more than happy to pay to find out.
    Last edited by Desert Orchid; 17th November 2018 at 11:31 AM.
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  20. #18958
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    Looked at Lingfield's listed sprint from various angles, and am drawn to the invariable conclusion; Muthmir (17/2) should have too much speed for these over this sharp 6f.

  21. #18959
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    I've got Verdana Blue (9/2) as the main bet in the Greatwood. I was seriously tempted to go in double-strength but there doesn't seem much in the way of market confidence and it's only a week since the Elite but she's a good thing on her best form, I reckon.
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  22. #18960
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    Verdana Blue has a favourites chance for sure. He has to be on the premises at the business end. If The Cap Fits will turn out to be a good horse. This is a tricky handicap though. There will be horses who have been plotted up for this race from after their flat maidens three years ago, ucchhmm: Nietzsche). As I say, Verdana Blue will surely run well, but there's no guarantees he will have his head in front at the finish line, me thinkz.
    Last edited by Marb; 18th November 2018 at 12:37 PM.

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