My football bets haven't looked too clever lately, not that there have been many, and Hearts appeared to take fright from the start on Sunday, parking the bus straight away. That was a tactic I wasn't really expecting given the bluster emanating from Tynecastle this season.
I tipped Kilmarnock to beat Sevco a few weeks back in the league cup but they too didn't turn up on the occasion but they've got back into the kind of form that apparently would have them clear top of the league if only the matches since Steve Clarke took over counted.
I still think Sevco are grossly over-rated but it seems the old club name remains enough to give them a psychological edge over most opponents and the hostile environment offers an easy excuse for Ibrox-facing referees to kow-tow to the crowd's baying for decisions whenever a player goes to ground. It has been very noticeable that since Gerrard took over, nearly every player goes to ground in a challenge (contact or not), looking for a decision. They only need to get 60% of these decisions to make a difference, a tactic he has been exploiting. They have had 7 pens this season (four in the last six minutes), Celtic - the most attacking team in the league - have had three.
I believe Killie are the better side and Clarke the better manager but Sevco have home advantage and a ref likely to favour them.
It hasn't stopped me backing Killie at 6/1 but deep down I think events will probably conspire to go the other way.