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Thread: What are you backing Today?

  1. #18441
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Desert Orchid View Post
    I'm having a rare midweek bet.

    Pont 3.10 Atletico 7/2 - I got a tracker alert for this one. It has improved a fair bit on the AW over the winter and got a big sectional mark-up the time before last and was a bit unlucky most recently. I don't see why, until his form proves it, it should be the AW that has brought about the improvement. I reckon he's as likely simply to be on a nice curve yet he gets to run here off 10lbs lower than on the AW.
    Well, that has served as a sharp reminder about why I avoid midweek racing. Only two real triers in the entire field, both outsiders, and they fought out a photo.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


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    Quote Originally Posted by Marble View Post
    The 3:35 see's Garrity ride Ruth Carr's EXPLAIN E/W who also has some form with the aforementioned Muntadab. Explain has a good win strike rate of nearly twenty percent, (6/36), won on the soft/heavy last season. You need to put a line through the last couple of runs I think. He's value at 25/1 with the usual headgear applied.
    I thought this ran a nice race this day, finishing 6th when drifting to about 50/1. He is declared to run in Cattericks 5:10 on Wednesday so will be hard to beat. I'm putting this on here now so I don't forget. Twin Appeal (on a going day) maybe a possible danger but I've had Explain on my radar since that last run. I think he's nailed on.
    Last edited by Marb; 23rd April 2018 at 4:12 PM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Marble View Post
    The winner this day, Pretty Jewel, runs again on soft ground again at Windsor tomorrow in the 7:20, on just a five pound higher mark than when she beat Ingleby Hollow. Pretty Jewel will very hard to beat.
    Very unlucky mate

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    I know mate 5l late out the stalls and not beaten far. I wonder if the jockey was having problems in the saddle as he was riding her like a monkey on crack cocaine in the last furlong. All over the place. (No racism intended!).

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    Can't do a write up. Just one today. Giveaway Glance. Yarmouth 4:00. Well backed. From the Alan King stable. On a really workable mark, has decent form in the book. Double figure prices taken.
    Last edited by Marb; 24th April 2018 at 10:54 AM.

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    Hope you had it e/w Marble, decent price for 3rd!

    Today, will have a minimum stakes bet e/w on Someone Exciting in the last (17:40) at Catterick. Popped-up on my tracker from last season. Mare's fitness after 172-day break has to be taken on trust, but she is a C&D winner. Well-drawn in 3.

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    This time last year ish Fire Fighting was rated in the early 100s and after a winter of running in sand pits is now off 96 at Epsom today. And of course Epsom is possibly the best track in the country for top weights. He's very backable today as is the stable's Dee Ex Bee in the earlier race (Derby trial?)

  8. #18448
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    Fire Fighting was on my radar when he ran last time. I'd probably need to see that race again to see what it was about him as I didn't take any notes but in my book he is a really decent type on his best form, worth an OR of about 109/110. I haven't backed him today because I suspect they'll be trying to get him into the big royal Ascot 10f/12f handicaps off bottom weight.

    One I did back today was Edwulf at Punchestown. I was fizzing mad at the ride he got in the Gold Cup, one of the most incompetent pieces of race-riding I've seen. He was never given a chance (and I've since been told that the camp appeared not at all happy with the jockey). I reckon Edwulf is as good as anything in the field so took out some sickness insurance at 12/1 but my luck is so bad right now - hitting the bar right left and centre without scoring - he'll probably get beat in a photo...
    Illegitimi non carborundum


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    Console yourself, DO, I’m told luck evens itself out over the years............DON’T BELIEVE IT!!!!
    Ah! but a man's reach should exceed his grasp......

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    Road To Respect for me in the Punchestown Gold Cup (17:30). Fine effort to finish 4th in the Gold Cup at Cheltenham.

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    Douvan coist me a pretty packet but there's a licence to print money running at Perth in Calett Mad who will absolutely love this trip.course and going. He is a stone better than his 2 rivals and should be 1/10 at 1.79.
    Formely Fist of Fury

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    How easy was that? and I got 2.1 in running
    Formely Fist of Fury

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    Pain U Chocolate is a monkey LAY OF THE DAY
    Formely Fist of Fury

  14. #18454
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    Just a small e/w punt on Rathlin Rose for the weekend in the old 'Whitbread' at Sandown (3:35). Decent going should ensure he gets the trip. Rarely bet on a Pipe horse, so maybe a surprise?
    Last edited by Bolero; 28th April 2018 at 1:45 AM.

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    Ripon 1.45 have heard a whisper for Look Out Louis but it looks a tough ask.
    Pluralism of Ideas and the prosperity of any land are intertwined. Freedom of minds and skill of intellect to 'think the unthinkable' is how humanity has progressed; when minds are incarcerated nothing endures.

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    Quote Originally Posted by 2017diary View Post
    Just had a small interest on Daddies Girl there (wish I hadn't bothered).

    Funny thing was I'd left it @ 6's to place on Betfair with "take SP" selected if my 6's wasn't matched. Anyway it hadn't been matched so it reverted to BSP - which was 6.02 eh?
    She runs tomorrow and they are expectant...


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    With a small field,forecast ground no worse than g/s, and first run of the season, today might be the day to take on Cracksman in the Ganay.
    Cloth Of Stars isn't far behind on OR's, will act on the ground, and the drop back in trip won't do any harm after pulling far too hard in the 12f Sheema Classic.
    4/1 seeems a fair enough price.

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    Yeah, I thought he'd be 3s tops. Pacemaker is a massive plus and he's a good bet.

  21. #18459
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    No doubt that Pennsylvania Dutch (16:05 - Thirsk) is my current cliff horse, but better give him another chance. He has it in him to win a 6f race like this, but unfortunately is very dodgy at the start, and so a risky bet. Hopefully new trainer Kevin Ryan can teach him how to trap well (horse was with William Haggas).

    (Just took the 11/1 with Willie Hill e/w).
    Last edited by Bolero; 30th April 2018 at 10:51 AM.

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    Spring Lodge Handicap Stakes. Newmarket. Saturday 1:50. Third Time Lucky 16/1 generally. Do not underestimate what a competitive and appealing handicap this is! Third Time Lucky is a Cambridgeshire winner already here at Newmarket. After that win, he was bumped up to a mark of 106, then understandably went off the boil as horses often do when they reach the ceiling of their potential. Over a year later I don't think trainer Richard Fahey can argue or be disappointed with the handicapper dropping this Course and Distance winner to a mark of 93, where he'll carry just 8 stone 8 pounds, because the highly 110-rated Spark Plug hold the weights down, (a bit like when a highly rated chaser runs in a handicap).

    This won't be an easy task by any means for Third Time Lucky, but he looks the best horse on form and ratings to me. After a good sixth place at Newbury last time I do fancy him to run very well. I think he has one big more handicap to potentially win before he gets absolutely hammered up the handicap.
    Last edited by Marb; 2nd May 2018 at 10:09 PM.

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