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Thread: What are you backing Today?

  1. #18021
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    Lami Serge
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    E/w treble. Returns a nice number as well.

  2. #18022
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    I have a few crazy multiples running tomoro but I suppose my least mad one would be.

    12.25 summer getaway 8-1
    13.15 road to rome 10-1
    13.20 Theo's charms 8-1
    15.40 jaleo 20-1

    I'm looking forward to the boozing and if I find a few winners, even better. I think 4-1 for Bristol de Mai is very fair so I've had a decent wager on him.
    Last edited by Nonannyimfine; 26th December 2017 at 3:29 AM.

  3. #18023
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    Last night I was already planning to punt the outsider of the smallish field in Wetherby's 1:40, ZARIB, as he looks on a lenient mark.

    I've just checked Oddschecker and he's the best backed horse in the race this morning, which does confidence levels the world of good.

    Fancy he'll go very close, myself.
    Last edited by Marb; 26th December 2017 at 12:14 PM.

  4. #18024
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    Quote Originally Posted by Marble View Post
    I've no time to post anything in the next day or two, so I'll take this opportunity to tip a horse, who if declared, could run on Wednesday in the 2:40 at Fakenham. The horse is called BABY JAKE, trained by Joseph Hanlon.
    Baby Jake hasn't had many attempts at fences. As a 8 year old, his chase career is a work-in-progress. However, the form of his last chase start looks excellent for class three level. Horses have come out and won.
    The winner was Olivers Hill this day, who franked the form at Kempton. The fifth horse was Orbasa, trained by Paul Nicholls, who hacked up next time.
    Baby Jake was fourth. He's actually been lowered a couple of pound in the handicap to 121, which seems generous, as the form looks very solid.
    Some may remember BABY JAKE who ran a belter this day when second. He's out tomorrow in 2:25 at Leopardstown with a light weight over hurdles and not without a chance.

    Another horse I've mentioned plenty on here, EDDIEMAURICE, is declared for 3:40 at Kempton tomorrow. He has a squeak.

    I reckon these two and FOREST BIHAN will make a good patent and/or Trixie tomorrow.

    Good luck to everyone.
    Last edited by Marb; 26th December 2017 at 2:19 PM.

  5. #18025
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    Changed my bet slightly based on the betting markets. Eddiemaurice has halved in price from 20's to 10's, and Forest Bihan is shortening all the time. So I've done those two and a strong favourite, (Shantou Rock, 1:20, Kempton), in a patent and taken out Baby Jake whose price has drifted badly. See how the day goes!
    Last edited by Marb; 27th December 2017 at 2:03 PM.

  6. #18026
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    Kempton 3.05 - Holly Bush Henry (11/2 taken) could be chucked in back over fences.

    Wetherby 2.05 - poor race and I think Duke Of Navan (7/2) can do something positive.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  7. #18027
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    Quote Originally Posted by Desert Orchid View Post
    Kempton 3.05 - Holly Bush Henry (11/2 taken) could be chucked in back over fences.
    Pilgrims Bay surely a danger to all. Track form and fifth at Newbury. Will do for me.
    Last edited by Marb; 27th December 2017 at 2:56 PM.

  8. #18028
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    Pilgrims Bay is a horse to keep an eye on this season. I'm guessing the big chase back here at Kempton in February is the obvious race to go for. The race he won last year!
    Last edited by Marb; 27th December 2017 at 4:15 PM.

  9. #18029
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    Quote Originally Posted by Marble View Post
    Another horse I've mentioned plenty on here, EDDIEMAURICE, is declared for 3:40 at Kempton tomorrow. He has a squeak.
    Nothing much to report lately in terms of winners, so I hope my cliff horse Eddiemaurice is my saving grace...I'm not banking on it though, lol.
    Last edited by Marb; 27th December 2017 at 4:23 PM.

  10. #18030
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    Pilgrims Bay is one for the B2L. Such a fine art for a jockey to have the horse covered up the whole race and upsides at the last, to them keep that winning advantage.

    Anyone with sense knows they just have to track Pilgrims Bay and kick on of the back of 2 out. He won't make the ground up.

  11. #18031
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    Quote Originally Posted by DanB88 View Post
    Pilgrims Bay is one for the B2L. Such a fine art for a jockey to have the horse covered up the whole race and upsides at the last, to them keep that winning advantage.

    Anyone with sense knows they just have to track Pilgrims Bay and kick on of the back of 2 out. He won't make the ground up.
    He's still only a second season chaser. He'll have another day where he pulls it off, me thinks.

  12. #18032
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    Quote Originally Posted by Marble View Post
    He's still only a second season chaser. He'll have another day where he pulls it off, me thinks.
    Not saying he won't Marble, I'm just warning against doing ones bollocks trying to find the time he pops up at a double figure price. He'll never be a horse to put a sequence together as it's all about him being right on the day and the jockey hitting the nail on the head.

    He's rising on 8 which as you say should leave plenty in the tank. I would argue that the race he won last February was much stronger form than today's. On the face of it. It looks like he needs a couple more lbs off. He won't want to go up for today's 2nd anyway (even though the winner is mildly progressive).

  13. #18033
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    Fair points, Dan.

  14. #18034
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    Quote Originally Posted by DanB88 View Post
    I would argue that the race he won last February was much stronger form than today's.
    Of course, beating Double Shuffle looks very good now doesn't it!

    Quote Originally Posted by DanB88 View Post
    On the face of it. It looks like he needs a couple more lbs off.
    He's won't be getting lowered in the handicap with the form he's in, Dan.

    If anything I'd expect him to get raised to about 140 after this. He's been fifth in a excellent Hennessy, second today, so I'd argue he won't be double figure prices next-time-out either.

    Today should put him spot on for a crack at a more valuable race next time out. I'm guessing that'll be the race he won here last February, but couldn't they also go for a 3 mile + handicap chase at Cheltenham....? This wouldn't necessarily have to be the big handicap on the Tuesday, as on a mark of 140 (ish)... they could go for The Kim Muir. A much more winnable race aswell, imho.
    Last edited by Marb; 27th December 2017 at 6:00 PM.

  15. #18035
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    Quote Originally Posted by Marble View Post
    Of course, beating Double Shuffle looks very good now doesn't it!



    He's won't be getting lowered n the handicap with the form he's hitting, Dan. If anything I'd expect him to get raised to about 140 after this. He's been fifth in a excellent Hennessy, now second today, so I'd argue he won't be double figure prices next-time-out either.

    Today should put him spot on for a crack at a more valuable race next time out. I'm guessing that'll be the race he won here last February, but couldn't they also go for a 3 mile + handicap chase at Cheltenham....? This wouldn't necessarily have to be the big handicap on the Tuesday, as on a mark of 140 (ish) they could go for The Kim Muir. Much more winnable, imho.
    Not just Double Shuffle, Marble. Theatre Guide is a grand yardstick with good Kempton form and Aso is no mug either.

    You're right about his future price. Now his chase form is taking shape the odds compilers will have an idea of where to have him. I'm no man to tell Neil Mulholland where to place a horse but I'd keep looking for those big handicaps where he can get in with a light weight. That will give him the best chance IMO.

  16. #18036
    Senior Member Euronymous's Avatar
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    In a couple of places Double Shuffle is actually 8s for the Ryanair. Mental.

  17. #18037
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    Quote Originally Posted by DanB88 View Post
    Not just Double Shuffle, Marble. Theatre Guide is a grand yardstick with good Kempton form and Aso is no mug either.

    You're right about his future price. Now his chase form is taking shape the odds compilers will have an idea of where to have him. I'm no man to tell Neil Mulholland where to place a horse but I'd keep looking for those big handicaps where he can get in with a light weight. That will give him the best chance IMO.
    I forgot to say. I'd expect him to run a solid race in the Betbright (or whatever next year's will be called) but it will be hard for him off 140+. Surely something will be better In?

    As for the Kim Muir, whilst I'm sure it would be run to suit I'm just doubtful he's good enough. You want a real stayed for that and I'd worry about the hill for him.

  18. #18038
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    Quote Originally Posted by Euronymous View Post
    In a couple of places Double Shuffle is actually 8s for the Ryanair. Mental.
    Punters are a sucker for a Tom George chaser Euro.

  19. #18039
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    After checking, I can see he's not priced up for the chase on the Tuesday of The Festival. He was well beaten in it last season, finished fourteenth.

    They haven't priced-up The February race yet on Oddschecker.

    Overall, having just looked through the last few renewals of The Kim Muir, including recent winners, I would love to see him run there. The weights at the festival are very compressed these days anyway, so a high weight is not a huge barrier to winning as may seem the case.

    The Last few running's include winners such as Domesday Book, Spring Heeled, Causes of Causes and The Package.

    Domesday Book and Spring Heeled were second season chasers aswell, rated 137 and 140.

    If I could talk to Neil Mulholland I'd be urging him to enter Pilgrims Bay in The Kim Muir.
    Last edited by Marb; 27th December 2017 at 7:19 PM.

  20. #18040
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    Quote Originally Posted by DanB88 View Post
    As for the Kim Muir, whilst I'm sure it would be run to suit I'm just doubtful he's good enough. You want a real stayed for that and I'd worry about the hill for him.
    I'd take the chance he'd stay if he ran in The Kim Muir, Dan. I'd argue the extra distance would actually help him get involved, as opposed to the Tuesday handicap where once again like the last time he'd be up against classier horses... he'll just get left behind and taken off his feet again. I can't see what other races connections can possibly go for, apart from these two handicap chases at The Festival.
    Last edited by Marb; 27th December 2017 at 6:34 PM.

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