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Thread: What are you backing Today?

  1. #17941
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    Shamilan 3.40 Carlisle...this one is expected to do the business

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    Quote Originally Posted by Marble View Post
    Keep a betting-market check on The Blue Bomber in the 4:00 at Kempton. The nine runners makes it an appealing race each way. The Blue Bomber hasn't ran since April. The Racing Post says he left Mick Channons yard for his new handler only five days ago on 7th November 2017. So he's now with jumps trainer Caroline Fryer, and obviously turns out quickly for her. The Blue Bomber had fair form when second in a twelve grand national hunt flat-race at Cheltenham in 2016. He placed in novice hurdles when fancied in the betting. They are either running this quickly for fresh air and to get tailed off, or there's more to this than meets the eye. He's been dropped from 120 to 112 in the handicap which looks good.16/1 is a price worth speculating to accumulate.
    The bookies fear this, 16's into 12's, not even midday yet, looks like this is going to be backed. If anyone wants to follow me in get involved now!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Marble View Post
    The bookies fear this, 16's into 12's, not even midday yet, looks like this is going to be backed. If anyone wants to follow me in get involved now!
    Think the one thing we can be sure of in that race is that Stonecoldsoba won't win, opened at around 7's, now available at 25's.

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  5. #17944
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    True mate. That horse you've mentioned won its last two races as well. The betting markets aren't fair! My last word...I can't guarantee it, but I did go through the cards last night. Mr Blue Bomber is literally the only horse worth chancing today. Without boasting, I had more than I should have on Houblon yesterday (long story), and I'm happy to play up my winnings. Make hay while the sun is shining and all that.
    Last edited by Marb; 13th November 2017 at 3:12 PM.

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    Mr Blue Bomber out to 20s now, but that's cos dudes with more money than sense wanna make me look stupid! I'd love it if he won or placed but not really expecting much, confidence is seriously dented now. Screw these cheeky swine's.
    Last edited by Marb; 13th November 2017 at 4:55 PM.

  7. #17946
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    Market right, Marble wrong.
    Last edited by Marb; 13th November 2017 at 5:10 PM.

  8. #17947
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    What are you backing Today?

    3.20 Lingfield
    Sirop de Menthe has a similar profile to stablemate Trans Express who did me a favour a few weeks ago. Won first time out last season before form tailed off badly. That win was off 4lb higher and this fella was a C&D winner the previous year. Could easily be out with the washing but I’ve had a go at 16/1 hoping lightning will strike twice


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    Last edited by viking; 14th November 2017 at 8:59 AM.

  9. #17948
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    I just noticed one of my dark horses for the compo, Keep In Line, has entries on Saturday in handicap hurdles, at Cheltenham and Wetherby. This thing is going to win a very big hurdle this year, probably the Ladbroke in December or Tote Trophy in February or something like that. Hopefully he can go some way to substantiating this claim on Saturday.
    Last edited by Marb; 16th November 2017 at 7:29 AM.

  10. #17949
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    I find it amazing that the top jockey has gone to Newcastle when Cheltenham is on. He must think he has some great chances.

    Today - 12:30 Jassas
    (Overnight) at Newcastle Barclays Premier Novices' Hurdle
    11/4
    Today - 1:05 Triopas
    (Overnight) at Newcastle Newcastle Flooring Handicap Hurdle
    11/10
    Today - 2:15 Mary Eleanor
    (Overnight) at Newcastle Driver Hire Darlington Mares' Maiden Hurdle
    7/4
    Today - 3:25 Ballinslea Bridge
    (Overnight) at Newcastle Lovely Laundry Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race
    5/2
    Pluralism of Ideas and the prosperity of any land are intertwined. Freedom of minds and skill of intellect to 'think the unthinkable' is how humanity has progressed; when minds are incarcerated nothing endures.

  11. #17950
    Senior Member Double Handful's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by swedish chef View Post
    I find it amazing that the top jockey has gone to Newcastle when Cheltenham is on. He must think he has some great chances.

    Today - 12:30 Jassas
    (Overnight) at Newcastle Barclays Premier Novices' Hurdle
    11/4
    Today - 1:05 Triopas
    (Overnight) at Newcastle Newcastle Flooring Handicap Hurdle
    11/10
    Today - 2:15 Mary Eleanor
    (Overnight) at Newcastle Driver Hire Darlington Mares' Maiden Hurdle
    7/4
    Today - 3:25 Ballinslea Bridge
    (Overnight) at Newcastle Lovely Laundry Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race
    5/2
    The last 2, Mary Eleanor & B Bridge, have both drifted significantly overnight since opening prices

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    Quote Originally Posted by Marble View Post
    I just noticed one of my dark horses for the compo, Keep In Line, has entries on Saturday in handicap hurdles, at Cheltenham and Wetherby. This thing is going to win a very big hurdle this year, probably the Ladbroke in December or Tote Trophy in February.
    As I suspected, Keep In Line declared for the shorter, two mile hurdle at Wetherby, with top weight, in the 2:50.
    Last edited by Marb; 17th November 2017 at 1:09 PM.

  13. #17952
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    A respectable third, after what's happened today I shouldn't give up on the idea that Keep In Line will win a big handicap hurdle over two miles this season! I'm just waiting for the Ladbroke/paddy power/ William hill /bet victor /unibet /balls bet /funny fanny bet or whatever its called these days, entries in a week or two. The event is held at Ascot each December that's about the only constant these days and that's all I know!
    Last edited by Marb; 18th November 2017 at 8:16 PM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Marble View Post
    The event is held at Ascot each December that's about the only constant these days and that's all I know!
    Wessex Youth Trust Handicap Hurdle is the race name, Brain Power won it last season, Keep In Line would probably make the cut off the current mark (137).
    Last edited by Marb; 18th November 2017 at 8:15 PM.

  15. #17954
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    Fontwell 2.05 Cyclop - Fergal Mael Duin - Morney Wing combo f/c's & tricasts - all three finished 2nd, 3rd & 4th in this race last year and all are better off at the weights this time round - just hoping they have all targeted this race? Going is the same as last year.
    Pluralism of Ideas and the prosperity of any land are intertwined. Freedom of minds and skill of intellect to 'think the unthinkable' is how humanity has progressed; when minds are incarcerated nothing endures.

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    Cork 12.10 Minella Times 7/1 e/way - Was quickening clear in his point race when fell at the last - The winner First Assignment ran well and finished 2nd in his first race under rules and the second was Red River and we saw what he did at Wincanton.
    Pluralism of Ideas and the prosperity of any land are intertwined. Freedom of minds and skill of intellect to 'think the unthinkable' is how humanity has progressed; when minds are incarcerated nothing endures.

  17. #17956
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    Quote Originally Posted by Marble View Post
    Wessex Youth Trust Handicap Hurdle is the race name, Brain Power won it last season, Keep In Line would probably make the cut off the current mark (137).
    Although I admit winning a hurdle before then would be good. It wouldn't surprise me if Alan King tries to get another prep before Keep In Line's D-Day. There'll will be a d-day, I'm pretty sure of it. Whether in December or February I don't know.
    Last edited by Marb; 19th November 2017 at 4:55 PM.

  18. #17957
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    I've took a chance on Sam Spinner 12/1 antepost for what used to be the fixed brush hurdle. Its a bit late to be posting full thoughts. So i'll keep it brief he's been put up only 3lb for finishing 2nd last time out at Chepstow. Would have won if not fluffing the last. Take a look at what some of those who finished in behind that day have done since and its probably as strong a line of collateral form as you'll find. Personally dont like betting antepost but chanced a decent bet on this but even if antepost is not for you he's one to keep an eye out for next Saturday or actually given I've punted him for Saturday then keep an eye out for when he actually runs next.
    Man who catch fly with chopstick .... accomplish anything.

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    Chepstow, 3:00

    Fille Des Champs looks a good bet, tomorrow. I'm not keen on the favourite at the prices, but Fille Des Champs is on a nice rating (105), with good recent form, for a top local Welsh trainer in Evan Williams. I just think he is better than the favourite. There is too much disparity in current prices.
    Last edited by Marb; 21st November 2017 at 8:46 PM.

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    In the last at Kempton tonight Cliff face 12/1 might have a chance. I really think this horse has a nice race in him over further than tonights 12F but he's tried in first time blinkers tonight which might just fire him up enough to take a hand.

    Just to add a bit of meat to the bones of that he won over CD last November off a mark of 81 (now off 85) he was turned out again quickly in a listed race over the same CD and unfortunately for him ran a bit too close to some highly rated rivals and got whacked up a stone by the handicapper. That did for him for a while. He first caught my eye at Chester running of a mark of 93 a couple of runs back in first time pieces and he was a lot better than his finishing position suggested. I wouldn't worry about his disappointing effort lto at Wolverhampton either as he was caught out the back off a married mans gallop he had literally no chance. I won't lie he's a bit of a monkey and needs things to fall right but all things considered and with some bookies offering enhanced place terms 4 places hes' gotta be worth a shot.

    Oh first time back at Kempton since the effort in that listed race too.

    Last edited by broadsword; Today at 06:45 AM.
    Last edited by Danny; 22nd November 2017 at 7:51 AM.
    Man who catch fly with chopstick .... accomplish anything.

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  22. #17960
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    Quote Originally Posted by Marble View Post
    Chepstow, 3:00

    Fille Des Champs looks a good bet, tomorrow. I'm not keen on the favourite at the prices, but Fille Des Champs is on a nice rating (105), with good recent form, for a top local Welsh trainer in Evan Williams. I just think he is better than the favourite. There is too much disparity in current prices.
    Well, hopefully this does as well as my recent economic growth forecasts.

    Although political forecasting and backing horse winners are two entirely different things, I know.
    Last edited by Marb; 22nd November 2017 at 3:47 PM.

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