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Thread: What are you backing Today?

  1. #17221
    Senior Member PlaceBacker's Avatar
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    My bets [1pt win on each @ BOG]

    2.20 Ffos Las-Boston De La Roche @ 7-2 [Skybet]
    3.10 Fakenham-Fortified Bay @ 11-8 [Paddy Power]
    4.00 Ayr-Burrishoole Abbey @ 6-1 [Bet 365]
    4.30 Ayr-Tommy G @ 8-1 [William Hill]
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

  2. #17222
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    Quote Originally Posted by BennyB View Post
    Tough luck - traded 1.19
    Cheers, Benny - pity he didn't see it out.

  3. #17223
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    That's more like you, well done PB.
    Ah! but a man's reach should exceed his grasp......

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  5. #17224
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    Kafoo was a non runner at Chelmsford yesterday, being withdrawn when he burst out the stalls pre-race. His keenness to get on with things was nothing compared to Zoravan at Ayr. He was too free on his penultimate start and was arguably even worse on this occasion. His jockey's efforts to restrain him in the early stages led to him almost climbing an imaginary wall and it wasn't a surprise to see him fade out of contention a long way from home. Having shown progression initially for his current yard any further improvement will stall until he learns to settle. The day ended in profit when Spinners Ball got up on the line at Windsor.

    Today's Selections:

    3.30 - Ayr:
    Six Silver Lane. 2 pts win. Available at 11/2.
    Remember Rocky. 1 pt e/w. Available at 16/1.
    There doesn't seem much pace in this ten furlong handicap and it's the two that are likely to be at the head of affairs that are preferred. Irish raider, Six Silver Lane carries topweight but he has been in good form of late back home and he has won both times he has visited these shores for his current Trainer. The last of them came back in September 2015 over a mile from a mark one pound lower than he runs from today. In his last thirteen starts he has won twice and been placed on six occasions so he is admirably consistent for a horse at this level. The yard make their trips over here worthwhile, returning a l.s.p of £10 from a 25% strike rate in recent seasons. Remember Rocky was in good form at the end of the last campaign and, although still two pounds above his last win, he starts this campaign seven pounds below that from which he started last season. He has run well first time up for the last three seasons and has only run badly here once in nine previous visits. His victories have come over 8/9 furlongs but his four best career performances have come at today's trip, three of them on this track. The yard do well with their small flat string, especially here, where they show a 21% strike (8 from 38) returning a huge l.s.p of £84.

    3.50 - Ffos Las - Lettheriverrundry. 0.5 pts e/w. Available at 28/1.
    This is a decent race for the grade with only five pounds separating eight of the thirteen runners. Plenty come into the race on the back of good efforts and there appears to be plenty of pace in the race. That could set it up for a closer and, at a huge price, it may be worth taking a small punt on Lettheriverunrdry. An absence of 143 days after being two pulled up in his last two races doesn't make him an obvious choice but he could be seen to much better effect here. He showed some decent progressive form in his first six starts over hurdles last season and reappeared for this campaign in a handicap over fences at Wincanton in November. He ran better than his finishing position suggests, his effort catching the eye of the stewards. He dropped back to Novice company for his next start at Bangor and, facing a stiff task, he slipped into the first fence and was never going afterwards, eventually being pulled up. He obviously gave himself a scare there and connections put him back over hurdles for his last start but, whether it was the soft ground or it being only a week after his previous race, he didn't give his running and was pulled up a long way from home. His subsequent break may have done him good and a return to better conditions will suit. He has done most of his racing on right-handed tracks but he has often suggested an anti-clockwise track would suit better. He is a speculative selection but, if he returns to the form he was showing this time last year, he could outrun his odds from a mark of 122.

    5.00 - Ayr - In Focus. 2 pts win. Available at 5/1.

    8.30 - Leicester - Rakematiz. 1.5 pts e/w. Available at 9/1.
    Last edited by Ricko; 9th May 2017 at 1:18 PM.

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    Colin Phillips (9th May 2017)

  7. #17225
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    Cole Harden has to be a lay here at the prices. Hopeless on first start over fences.
    Last edited by BennyB; 9th May 2017 at 3:20 PM. Reason: typo

  8. #17226
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    Quote Originally Posted by BennyB View Post
    Cole Harden has to be a lay here at the prices. Hopeless on first start over fences.
    Horse is gone at the game - clearly not enjoying it for either mental or physical reasons. If he was mine he'd go for a few days' hunting to freshen him up, change yards and have one more season over hurdles.

  9. #17227
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    Quote Originally Posted by PlaceBacker View Post
    My bets [1pt win on each @ BOG]

    2.20 Ffos Las-Boston De La Roche @ 7-2 [Skybet]
    3.10 Fakenham-Fortified Bay @ 11-8 [Paddy Power]
    4.00 Ayr-Burrishoole Abbey @ 6-1 [Bet 365]
    4.30 Ayr-Tommy G @ 8-1 [William Hill]
    Profit of 12pts
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

  10. #17228
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    My bet [1pt win @ BOG]

    5.05 Chester-Russian Soul @ 9-1 [Bet Victor]
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

  11. #17229
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    What are you backing Today?

    Quote Originally Posted by PlaceBacker View Post
    Profit of 12pts
    Great picks PB. You should take account of rule 4s if you want a realistic p/l though.
    Last edited by BennyB; 10th May 2017 at 6:40 AM.

  12. #17230
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    Nice work, PB.
    Ah! but a man's reach should exceed his grasp......

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  14. #17231
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    Quote Originally Posted by PlaceBacker View Post
    My bet [1pt win @ BOG]

    5.05 Chester-Russian Soul @ 9-1 [Bet Victor]
    Excellent shout. A nice SP too


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

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    PlaceBacker (10th May 2017)

  16. #17232
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    Quote Originally Posted by PlaceBacker View Post
    My bet [1pt win @ BOG]

    5.05 Chester-Russian Soul @ 9-1 [Bet Victor] @ 14-1
    Profit of 14pts
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

  17. #17233
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    Nice one.
    Ah! but a man's reach should exceed his grasp......

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    PlaceBacker (10th May 2017)

  19. #17234
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    4.35 - Chester - Munro. 1.5 pts e/w. Available at 9/1.
    We paid for selecting a horse drawn wider than ideal in a sprint here yesterday so it maybe folly to do so again. However Munro is a lot less exposed and has so far shown on the A/W that he handles a turning six furlongs. Since his debut in November he has won three of his four subsequent starts, his only disappointment coming in a Conditions race where he faced a very stiff task on Official Ratings. He beat today's favourite, Zamjar, in a Nursery in December but the half length runner up is weighted to turn the tables on seven pounds better terms and he has bagged a much more favourable draw. That makes Munro's task a difficult one but he looked as though he was still on the upgrade when winning last time out at Lingfield and he has already demonstrated that he is tactically versatile. This is his debut on turf but there is plenty of fast ground form in his pedigree and two of his three stablemates ran blinders at this meeting yesterday.


    4.45 - Catterick - Meshardal. 3 pts win. Available at 4/1.
    There has been early money for Extrasolar and he is well handicapped on his old form. He was just under a length in front of Meshardal at Redcar last time out and is weighted to confirm that result. He may well do so but his rival has won two of his five previous races over this C/D and he looks likely to get the generous pace that he needs to be seen to best effect. He isn't the horse he once was but he wasn't beaten far in better races from much higher marks last season and he had been in good from on the A/W prior to his latest disappointment. After 41 starts it's a surprise to see headgear (cheekpieces) enlisted for the first time but, if they have a positive effect, he could get very competitive under a jockey who has ridden him to all six of his career victories. The yard are in decent order and they have a profitable 15% strike rate here in recent seasons.


    4.55 - Worcester - Exotic Friend. 1 pt e/w. Available at 11/1.
    It's hard to be overly confident in any of the ten remaining runners in this staying handicap hurdle but some of them don't have many miles on the clock are possibly capable of being a bit better than they have so far shown. Of those, slight preference is for Exotic Friend, even though he appears quite weak in the early markets. He is now a nine year old but he was off the track for almost three years due to a tendon injury prior to returning last October and it's understandable that he never showed much initially. Three outings in handicaps saw him finish last, pulled up and a well beaten eleventh of fifteen but it was a different story on his last start. He was the length a quarter victor of an eight runner handicap over an extended 19 furlongs at Bangor and it was a victory which was far more comfortable than the distance he won by. It wasn't much of a race, and a subsequent eight pound rise in a better affair demands more, but this is just his tenth start under rules and, despite his age, there could be more to come. The step back up in trip looks likely to suit and the three pound claimer, who was on board for the first time last time out, retains the ride.

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  21. #17235
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    Quote Originally Posted by Euronymous View Post
    The Warrior was very eye catching right enough.
    Declared in Victoria Cup at Ascot on Saturday.

  22. #17236
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ricko View Post
    4.35 - Chester - Munro. 1.5 pts e/w. Available at 9/1.
    We paid for selecting a horse drawn wider than ideal in a sprint here yesterday so it maybe folly to do so again. However Munro is a lot less exposed and has so far shown on the A/W that he handles a turning six furlongs. Since his debut in November he has won three of his four subsequent starts, his only disappointment coming in a Conditions race where he faced a very stiff task on Official Ratings. He beat today's favourite, Zamjar, in a Nursery in December but the half length runner up is weighted to turn the tables on seven pounds better terms and he has bagged a much more favourable draw. That makes Munro's task a difficult one but he looked as though he was still on the upgrade when winning last time out at Lingfield and he has already demonstrated that he is tactically versatile. This is his debut on turf but there is plenty of fast ground form in his pedigree and two of his three stablemates ran blinders at this meeting yesterday.
    absolutely cursed. Can't buy any luck lately.

  23. #17237
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    Suitably inspired by Slim's Dambusters job in the first, I have had a poke at Lash It On (prophetic) at 16/1 in the next at Tipperary, to land a quiet midweek job. Byrnes puts up a 7lbs claimer.
    Last edited by Grasshopper; 11th May 2017 at 5:41 PM.
    "Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".

    SlimChance, March 2018

  24. #17238
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    Quote Originally Posted by Marble View Post
    A bit unlucky yes, but bumped into Gossiping who looked like its life depended on sticking its neck out today, and depriving me of a decent priced winner. The Warrior should reverse that form if they meet again and now looks a horse to follow.

    .
    To my surprise The Warrior has got into the Victoria Cup, and a 5lb claimer nullifies the 2lb he was out up for Goodwood. 16s.

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  26. #17239
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    Yeah I'll be sticking with him.

  27. #17240
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    Kafoo Shememi (7.15) won as he liked fto, from a horse that was subsequently close up - after a troubled pasage - in a french listed race. Reportedly worked well with he stable's Guineas' hpes prior to that, and needs to win this to justify his SJP entry.

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