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Thread: What are you backing Today?

  1. #16581
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    He's going to have to win to get in that as things stand PB as his mark has slipped to such an extent that he won't even get in the Aintree framed weights.

    I suppose after his run today he's going to be lurking off <11st for the Ultima. If Nicky doesn't go the festival then he'll have to look for a 0-140 to try and nick in a couple of weeks if he's to entertain any hopes of making the National.

    I've just been going through his form. He's always prone to chucking in a shocker. Even at the last in the Neptune.

    Be interesting to see if they can get him back on track.

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    PlaceBacker (10th February 2017)

  3. #16582
    Senior Member PlaceBacker's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by PlaceBacker View Post
    Loss of 6pts

    Would forgive the runs of Marracudja [bled] & Silver Quay [interference]
    See Silver Quay is out tomorrow [4.50 Lingfield]

    Got a each way chance @ 11-2 [Coral]
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

  4. #16583
    Senior Member del boy's Avatar
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    I would be inclined to forgive Thomas Shelby as well placebacker, got shuffled back at a key point in the race, and was chancey at a couple of hurdles. Il go again.

  5. #16584
    Senior Member PlaceBacker's Avatar
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    Needs to be upped in trip to 3 miles Del.

    Will win when that happens
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

  6. #16585
    Senior Member PlaceBacker's Avatar
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    My bets [1pt win on each @ BOG]

    2.00 Lingfield-Munro @ 9-4 [Paddy Power]
    2.55 Uttoxeter-Lovenormoney @ 13-8 [Paddy Power]
    4.10 Newbury-Lessons In Milan @ 11-2 [Bet Victor]
    4.25 Warwick-Kaki De La Pree @ 9-4 [Bet Victor]
    4.45 Newbury-Daphne Du Clos @ 5-2 [Betfair Sports]
    4.50 Lingfield-Silver Quay @ 5-1 [William Hill]
    4.55 Warwick-Mountain Of Mourne @ 9-1 [Skybet]
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

  7. #16586
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    1.50 - Newbury - Scotchtown. 2.5 pts win. Available at 4/1.
    Only eight runners in this Handicap Hurdle but there's only nine pounds separating seven of the runners and the other is quite capable of winning receiving plenty of weight from the rest. It's a very competitive affair but slight preference is for Scotchtown. We supported him last time out when he found Tobefair a length and a half too good over 26 furlongs on soft ground at Warwick. The three pound turnaround in the weights should see them finish close together once again and both have claims to being progressive. Tobefair will not be an easy nut to crack having won six handicaps in succession but Scotchtown travelled well through the race at Warwick and gave the impression that he was just outstayed in the latter stages. The drop back to three miles could be a good move and he again has the assistance of a very good seven pound claimer. He holds an entry in the Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle at the Festival and, while that may be a bit too fanciful, it at least gives an indication of the regard he is held in by connections.

    2.20 - Uttoxeter - Armedanddangerous. 1.5 pts win. Available at 15/2.
    Armedanddangerous is now well into veteran status at twelve years old but he doesn't have many miles on the clock and these are his conditions. In ten races between 24 and 26 furlongs on soft/heavy ground he has won three times and made the frame on a further four occasions. He is weighted to the hilt, being six pounds above his highest winning mark, but these dour staying tests are often won by horses who are not seemingly well handicapped. He benefited from his return at Towcester by getting within just under four lengths of the winner in the Lincolnshire National at Market Rasen last time out. The G/S ground that day would've been as quick as he wanted it and the deeper conditions today are in his favour. That effort was up there with his best and suggests he still has the ability to win at this level. The jockey who rode him to his last victory is on board and the tongue/tie/blinkers combination worn for the first time on his last start are retained.

    3.35 - Newbury:
    Clyne. 2 ptswin. Available at 7/1.
    Zubayr. 1 pt e/w. Available at 14/1.
    Last edited by Ricko; 11th February 2017 at 1:35 PM.

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    Colin Phillips (11th February 2017)

  9. #16587
    Senior Member PlaceBacker's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by PlaceBacker View Post
    See Silver Quay is out tomorrow [4.50 Lingfield]

    Got a each way chance @ 11-2 [Coral]
    2nd

    Winner got first run on him, that was the difference

    Think he is worth step up in trip to 1m 5f or 1m 6f
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

  10. #16588
    Senior Member Double Handful's Avatar
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    2:00 Leopardstown tomorrow - Lagostovegas 6/1 - I can't even begin to describe how strongly I fancy this horse. Look at the form of her last race, beaten a head by Charlie stout conceding 13lbs!! Charlie Stout went and won again afterwards and is now rated 122. Lagostovegas runs off 124 tomorrow and has at least 10lbs in hand IMO. If she reproduces her run LTO, she will win. Max Bet for me. Will add the safety net of doing it E/W. I'm away out to the garden shed now to get my wheelbarrow!
    Last edited by Double Handful; 11th February 2017 at 7:59 PM.

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    Dave G (12th February 2017), Kauto Abu (11th February 2017), tiggers1972 (11th February 2017)

  12. #16589
    Senior Member Kauto Abu's Avatar
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    Bit of a strange one but there's a Horse running in Tampa tonight @ 9.45 called Mccraken. I reckon he could win Kentucky Derby this year. He's 25/1 for that but 7/4 for tonight.

    If he's fit enough 1st time out he pisses this tonight.


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    Double Handful (11th February 2017)

  14. #16590
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    Good luck Double Handful.

    Lot of love the man in your avatar.

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    Double Handful (11th February 2017)

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    Senior Member Double Handful's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kauto Abu View Post
    Bit of a strange one but there's a Horse running in Tampa tonight @ 9.45 called Mccraken. I reckon he could win Kentucky Derby this year. He's 25/1 for that but 7/4 for tonight.

    If he's fit enough 1st time out he pisses this tonight.


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    Great shout. You're certainly a man on form! Just like you said, he absolutely sluiced up! Great finish to the day. Cheers

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    Kauto Abu (11th February 2017)

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    What are you backing Today?

    Yes indeed & on at 25s for the Kentucky Derby too. Into 10/1 fav now. He made up some ground there from the back & that will bring him on nicely.


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    Last edited by Kauto Abu; 11th February 2017 at 11:38 PM.

  19. #16593
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kauto Abu View Post
    Yes indeed & on at 25s for the Kentucky Derby too. Into 10/1 fav now. He made up some ground there from the back & that will bring him on nicely.


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    Honest question. Do you have inside info on stuff like this or can you study that good?

  20. #16594
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    well done Kauto

  21. #16595
    Senior Member trudij's Avatar
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    Kauto - where are you finding KD prices? I've been looking everywhere I can think of ( which isn't many I know!) but even oddschecker hasn't got it as far as I can see?


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    #YourStorm
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  22. #16596
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    Quote Originally Posted by Double J View Post
    Honest question. Do you have inside info on stuff like this or can you study that good?

    Little bit of both. Friend of mine trains out in Louisville, Kentucky. First time Mccraken ran he told me he was well fancied & I backed him. Only for him I probably wouldn't know of the horses existence.

    The rest tho is mainly research and a bit of study. I followed his next few wins up to last November and formed an opinion he was an ideal Derby horse from running style and races targeted etc. I have been on American Pharaoh & California Chrome the past few years so you get to know trends.

    McCraken took a break until last night & you're just hoping he's fit enough but it was a 250k race so you'd imagine he would be. However an app called Horse races now powered by Equibase is a serious help where you can essentially monitor any American horses work outs, breezing etc & see what they're up to.


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    Senior Member Kauto Abu's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by trudij View Post
    Kauto - where are you finding KD prices? I've been looking everywhere I can think of ( which isn't many I know!) but even oddschecker hasn't got it as far as I can see?


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    B365 Trudij. Antepost international section.


    He is 12/1 co fav this morning. Another horse won a trial well last night so they are co favs now.


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    trudij (12th February 2017)

  25. #16598
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    What are you backing Today?

    Aha!!! I thought I might throw 50p at it as you are so confident ( last of the big spenders, me!) but couldn't find it anywhere !!! Thankyou
    Pretty sure I don't have an account with them, wonder if there are any offers on....

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    Last edited by trudij; 12th February 2017 at 9:26 AM.
    #YourStorm
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    Kauto Abu (12th February 2017)

  27. #16599
    Senior Member Kauto Abu's Avatar
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    Yes. Good offer available for signing up with them.


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    trudij (12th February 2017)

  29. #16600
    Senior Member Euronymous's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by DanB88 View Post
    He's going to have to win to get in that as things stand PB as his mark has slipped to such an extent that he won't even get in the Aintree framed weights.

    I suppose after his run today he's going to be lurking off <11st for the Ultima. If Nicky doesn't go the festival then he'll have to look for a 0-140 to try and nick in a couple of weeks if he's to entertain any hopes of making the National.

    I've just been going through his form. He's always prone to chucking in a shocker. Even at the last in the Neptune.

    Be interesting to see if they can get him back on track.

    The ideal race for Vyta Du Roc is the Midlands Nash

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