From my tracker; Liberty Beach L'abbaye
10/1 B365
From my tracker; Liberty Beach L'abbaye
10/1 B365
Non RunnerOriginally Posted by PlaceBacker
"The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"
n good shape today from an ap point of view. I have Sottsass at nice prices in singles and in a double with Tawkeel in the Opera. The Ballydoyle withdrawals are huge from a pace point of view and gives both Rouget horses better chances. I also backed Raabihah a bit ago but the ground is a doubt with her.
Tawkeel may outstay Alpine Star in the Opera and I've dutched Topbeau and Safe Voyage in the Foret.
Well done with Sottsass Euro.
I considered the horse a bit the last month or two but before today I thought he was dissapointing this season.
Last edited by Marb; 4th October 2020 at 3:25 PM.
Thanks Marbs. He was, but his form was boosted by the horse that beat him in the Group 2 at Deauville when he won on Saturday. That said I feel he was very fortunate - the Ballydoyle quartet coming out was huge for his chances. One of Serpentine or Sovereign would have set a faster pace and I doubt Sottsass would have held off a closer in that scenario.
Tidal Point 1.30P was a closing 2nd in a better race than this at a heavy ground Haydock, last June.
Hasn't encountered proper cut since, but worth an ew pop at B365's 28/1 today.
Close, but no cigar.
Celcius 2.50L has a propensity to pull too hard, if the first-time hood does what it's applied for, he should have the legs of these.
5/1 B365 & Hills (Oddschecker kaput at the mo.)
N/R
Last edited by reet hard; 6th October 2020 at 5:46 PM.
2.00 Nottingham-Viola @ 7-2 [Bet 365]
She is peaking race by race
"The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"
Eagle Court3.10N ran a new pb latest, and ought to improve again for this somewhat stffer test.
11/2 generally.
Tintern Theatre an interesting runner at Ludlow 3.20
Off for nearly 2 years but 10lb below where he left off and 12lb below the mark he won a better race than this off at Kempton in 2017.
Obviously has risks attached though
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Last!
"The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"
Non runner
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Riot 7.30K just failed to last home against Tammani (levels) at Sandown last July with the rest nowhere. That horse now races off 106.
Riot subsequently broke his maiden around the sharper track at Kempton. It may be significant this 850k yearling reurns to that he returns to the same C&D this evening (all runs on RH tracks). JG usually knows what he's doing with this type, so my money's following him.
11/2 generally.
Last edited by reet hard; 7th October 2020 at 4:25 PM.
Clearly, just a looksee. Ho hum!
Small ew on Mews House 4.10S; iffy draw, but plenty of pace on his side.
20/1 & drifting at the mo.
From my tracker:
Crownthorpe 2.05Y
17/2 betfair
Naswaary 4.10N has never raced on soft ground, but his sole win came on g/s at a stiff Salibury. Has the perfect acttion for it, though, and the way he won that race (10f) suggest he'll improve plenty for today's trip & ground.
Taken the 14/1 - 5 places, with Hills.
Last edited by reet hard; 9th October 2020 at 1:50 AM.
You're one hell of an enthusiastic punter, Reet. Good luck.
Newmarket 1.50
Burning Cash. He improved markedly from his first to second run when 4th at 150/1 the last day. He took a keen hold then, was short of room, but stayed on well in the final furlong. The stronger the gallop the better his chance. It's possible soft ground will mitigate some of the out-and-out front runners in this line up over the trip of five furlongs, making slightly more of a test. I envisage him running past a few horses in the final furlong.
York 2.05
A stab in the dark on Garden Oasis each way, who won wearing first time cheekpieces last time. He wears them again stepping up in class. Formerly with Sir Michael Stoute, its possible there's a good handicap in him I reckon. He's on that type of exploitable rating of 80 to go close. He won't lose for being badly handicapped that's for sure.
Last edited by Marb; 9th October 2020 at 6:46 AM.
reet hard (9th October 2020)
I've been musing over backing Pogo in the Challenge Stakes all week but the ground is a major turn off. It's also fairly competitive with Happy Power and Glourious Journey running well in recent starts.
So my sole bet is Magic Lilly in the Pride Stakes. I think Frankonia is one of these Gosden horses that the layers make fav for races just based on where they are trained. Don't see the form at all. Magic Lilly owns the best form in this race courtesy of her run behind Terebellum and Queen Power here in June. She was poor at Ascot over a mile the time after but that race featured a massive pace collapse and she was prominent throughout. I got 5s last night and 9/2 is still perfectly acceptable.
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