Cheers, BJ - certainly had worse days.
Cheers, BJ - certainly had worse days.
reet hard (1st October 2020)
Not pretty but we were never really threatened and nearly all our good attacks came via Frimpong. It was very like a Scottish Premiership game where the home team sets out not to lose but on another night we could have scored another two or three.
Still, to go to Bosnia and come away with a win is a decent result and we were in total control. All we need now is a good group for the next stages.
I'm happy to have lost the bet.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Arbalet 3.05A ran his best race for a while, over this C&D and ridden by Josie Gordon 3 ago.
Drop in class and a useful draw gives her chance to go one better tomorrow.
16/1 4 places Skybet.
Have had my largest bet for some time on Veracious in the Sun Chariot. Showed she handles this ground in last season's QE11 and, though many attributed her poor finish to going off too quickly (and Oisin Murphy is a mug, and doesn't understand pace), connnections viewed it differently, and she had a wind op during lockdown.
Connections were delighted with her debut since, in a small listed race at Haydock, and reported her much stronger this season. Reckon she swerved the Matron and the Falmouth (good ground, not the official soft) to wait for the back-end ground in either this or the QE11.
Could be totally wrong, but I'll have a heck of a time, if I'm not.
Taken 9/1 with Betfair, and 8's with a number of others
Last edited by reet hard; 3rd October 2020 at 3:17 PM.
Colin Phillips (3rd October 2020)
Good luck
4.30 Newmarket-Lawahed @ 5-1 [Bet 365]
Is better than last performance suggests
"The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"
Tough weekend with the weather. Not confident even though I have some good ap positions.
I backed Tis Marvellous for the 1355 Rous Stakes at Ascot earlier in the week but the rain has tempered enthusiasm
Alpine Star was my choice for the Sun Chariot a bit ago. She's a top class filly with one Group 1 win to her name this year and I was thinking Jessie would head to Newmarket for an easier race instead of going to Paris. I saw the writing on the wall last week so chanced 5/1 on Peaceful and she looks the one to beat. Not convinced about the Gosden pair on really soft ground and Champs Elysees was flattered lto.
In France I thought 4/1 about Manuela De Vega for the Royallieu was very fair. She'll love the ground naturally.
Ascot abandoned - all that work, for nothing.
Indeed. Well done on your recent wins, Reet.
One I want to give a good shout to is Qaysar, (Redcar, 2.50). Seven furlongs often turns out to be a specialist distance to win over, and although Qaysar is the outsider of this small but select field, he's a horse who actually has a good record over this distance, plus excellent form on soft ground too. He can go close at nice odds today.
Good luck.
Last edited by Marb; 3rd October 2020 at 10:31 AM.
Dream World 4.30N Won on similar at the July course, first run on soft since.
13/2 B365
In the Sun Chariot I have taken a pop at Half Light 16/1. Buick rides with Doyle on Terebellum.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Some of the returns reinvested on Qaysar 12/1.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Longchamp 1:50
La Jonction (E/W) is open to more serious improvement having only run twice, those two wins coming on right handed tracks which she'll encounter again tomorrow. Her sire Kingman handled testing conditions extremely well and La Jonction's mother also won on very soft, so conditions may actually turn out to be perfect. La Jonction beat a consistent type of horse called Miss Louna the last day, who was herself then in a blanket finish at Lyon when fourth behind Darkness.
On this form line with Miss Louna La Jonction is likely already a group 3 or group 2 horse, especially as that was only her second run. I'll confess I've never heard of the trainer, though I see that connections landed a decent priced winner at the track today so the stable certainly are in form. There's lots of nice fillies in the race, but at the respective odds, based on what they've done, I had to argue the case for this horse.
Last edited by Marb; 3rd October 2020 at 7:18 PM.
4.00 Kelso-Speak Of The Devil @ 4-1 [Bet 365]
Quick turn around but can win again
"The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"
In today's Abbaye, I've taken Archer's Dream (18/1 three places and 14/1 four places). Simon Rowlands did an ever-informative piece on the Longchamp draw during the week highlighting the big advantage low-drawn runners have in soft ground. I like soft-ground six-furlong horses in soft-ground Abbayes and Archers Dream fits the bill at a nice price. She has plenty to do on the figures but the draw will inconvenience a few of the better ones.
SR's piece also suggested the draw won't be an issue for high numbers in the Arc.
Illegitimi non carborundum