A couple of each way bets at Sha Tin this morning
6.30-Nunchuks @ 13-2
8.35-Noble Birth @ 20-1
"The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"
Line Of Reason 2.50M is in good form, has a good draw and should be able to lie up with them.
Taken 11.98/1 - 4 places, Hills.
Luxor 3.15A was disadvantaged by the steady early pace when held up over this C&D recently. (Another similarly disadvantaged in the same contest won at Musselburgh, yesterday)
Worth a poke at Betfair's 12/1.
Tis Marvellous is 6/1 for the Rous Stakes at his fav track Saturday. He ran on well to finish second at Newbury but needs a stiff finish at 5 and that's why he does well at Ascot. On top that there are many horses double entered with the Bencough over 6 being on the same card. 6/1 will look huge come decs I think.
Wrong thread, should have put in the ante post bit.
Homespin 3.50A was 2nd in a decent 0-100 at Chelmsford, then went off too quickly around the stiff Pontefract track. Better expected today.
Small ew @14/1 (B365).
Eagle Creek 6.30K returned from a 2 year absence to run a so-so race at Ascot, early this month. 2 weeks later - up in class and over the wrong trip - he ran much better at Chelmsford;from a poor draw he chased a strong pace, and only capitulated in the closing stages, much like a horse in need of the outing. A strong pace likely today, over a C&D where he's coped well with similar in the past, the Champion up, well drawn and OR dropped considerably, there's little not to like about his chances.
Solid bet @ 13/2 B365
barjon (30th September 2020)
Ice Station Zebra 3.05S. First run in a h'cap.
14/1 4places generally.
moehat (1st October 2020)
I think 9/1 Sarajevo at home to Celtic this evening in the Europa League is far too generous.
Obviously I hope I'm wrong but I've watched Celtic toil through several games recently and worry about their confidence in matches of this nature. They're really struggling to break down teams that defend in numbers and they look vulnerable on the counter. Shane Duffy looks strong in attack at set pieces but he defends like a schoolboy. I'd rather have Jullien and the excellent Ajer in central defence but can't see Lennon abandoning the Irishman.
We're generally okay elsewhere but Taylor at left wing back is too cautious in attack and too slow in defence. He's not genuine Celtic quality but has been doing a decent enough job domestically.
Frimpong is a very exciting prospect and should start with Forrest not travelling through injury.
We can score plenty if the service is there so much will defend on how we cope with a couple of parked buses.
Overall we should be good enough to win but I wouldn't have us much shorter than even money away from home in Europe at this stage of competition and 9/1 Sarajevo is a strong sickness insurance option.
Illegitimi non carborundum
reet hard (1st October 2020)
Never saw that interview,BJ, though we'll probably know by how he's placed.
Should have stayed, though, given the lack of pace.
Last edited by reet hard; 1st October 2020 at 12:24 PM.
reet hard (1st October 2020)
Cheers, Simmo
Another dart: He's A Laddie 6.30C Was progressive last season, until a poor run cost him his manhood.
Well drawn & has gone well fresh in the past. 9/1 B365.
Tried to exit the course,early.
One more roll of the dice:
Old News 7.00C. From his draw, we may see a Wm Buick special.
6/1 generally.
reet hard (1st October 2020)