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  1. #21021
    Senior Member PlaceBacker's Avatar
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    5.15 Wolverhampton-End Zone @ 15-8 [Skybet]

    Looks the banker today
    Win some,lose some,but always enjoying it

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  3. #21022
    Senior Member Euronymous's Avatar
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    I like to play the short term ap markets half in the hope a race will cut up and leave me with good ew terms. Not that it did much good with Sottsass last week.

    I backed Lazuli for the sprint at Newbury early in the week, 5/1 ew for three places. Only seven line up and it's a hodge podge of shite really. Equilateral never wins and Tis Marvellous doesn't score outside of Ascot. The selection was behind the latter in the Charge at Sandown but he went too hard up front and TM was flattered imo in coming from the rear. Lazuli ran ok at Deauville after that over 6 but he is better at the minimum trip. Wise Words is worth cover after a good run in the Scarborough.

    Rhythm Master is too big at 11/4 for the Mill Reef. He brings good Group 1 form to the table and should be nearer 6/4

  4. #21023
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    Hope you're right about Lazuli, Euro, He's my nap of the day. Found Sandown too stiff a test on his latest run there (easy lead, first time up) and will appreciate this flatter track.
    11/4 B365.
    Much the same logic applies to Tenbury Wells in the 2.15
    7/2 B365.
    In the 1.20 at Ayr Heights Of Abraham is proven on soft ground, while those shorter in the market aren't.
    7/1 generally.
    Luck to all.
    “Today’s scientists have substituted mathematics for experiments, and they wander off through equation after equation, and eventually build a structure which has no relation to reality. ”
    ― Nikola Tesla

  5. #21024
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    Quote Originally Posted by Outsider View Post
    I'm slowly coming out of my depression after the bronze cup.i had a good bet on sounds of iona and watched it drift from 16s to 50s and never broke sweat and finished stone last.
    Tomorrow I hope I get a better run from mine.
    GOLDEN APOLLO silver cup
    And
    SPANISH CITY gold cup.on its run in the wokingham off the same mark and a top apprentice I will be disappointed if this cant get in the first 7 (skybet) 18/1
    Oh the pain

  6. #21025
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    I feel it, Outsider!

    Well done Lazuli backers.
    Last edited by Desert Orchid; 19th September 2020 at 4:53 PM.
    Two's company, three's allowed.

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    Euronymous (19th September 2020), Outsider (19th September 2020), reet hard (19th September 2020)

  8. #21026
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    Tom Marquand admitted he probably made too much use of Nahaarr, in the Steward's Cup - wish I'd have picked that up.
    “Today’s scientists have substituted mathematics for experiments, and they wander off through equation after equation, and eventually build a structure which has no relation to reality. ”
    ― Nikola Tesla

  9. #21027
    Senior Member PlaceBacker's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by PlaceBacker View Post
    5.15 Wolverhampton-End Zone @ 15-8 [Skybet]

    Looks the banker today
    Big drifter and a never nearer 4th
    Win some,lose some,but always enjoying it

  10. #21028
    Senior Member PlaceBacker's Avatar
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    One bet in the last race at Sha Tin this morning

    10.45-Savvy Nine

    Each Way @ 15-2 [William Hill] 4 places
    Win some,lose some,but always enjoying it

  11. #21029
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    Intrigued by Firepower 3.00C; 170k yearling, won first-time up then ran in 3 high class races without threatening again. However, did show enough early speed in the gp2 Mill Reef to suggest a drop back in trip may be in his favour. Gelded shortly afterwards and not seen until today.
    That he runs for this 12k pot, rather than an easier 7k race tomorrow, offers encouragement for his chances. May be flying a kite, but has the profile of a ready horse to me.
    12/1 B365
    Last edited by reet hard; 20th September 2020 at 7:43 AM.
    “Today’s scientists have substituted mathematics for experiments, and they wander off through equation after equation, and eventually build a structure which has no relation to reality. ”
    ― Nikola Tesla

  12. #21030
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    I'm experimenting with a couple today.

    I don't usually look at the non-terrestrial stuff, all-weather or ordinary Sunday racing but am having a pop at the two more valuable races at Chelmsford.

    Blown By Wind has carried my cash more than once this season but lost all chance at the start before finishing well. He's 11/1 today but I reckon that's like 1/10 he'ss mess up again at the stalls and I'm not convinced that's the case. at some point MJ will sort out this issue and he will take advantage of a lenient mark.

    Firepower makes his 3yo debut against a couple of improvers but who are rising up up the ratings. Their curve will flatten soon. There has to be a chance that Firepower, who was running in Group races at two is better than a 90 handicapper. There's obviously been a reason behind the extended absence but what if he'd had a normal campaign? He might have started six months ago, ignoring lockdown obviously, and risen through the ranks himself. There are still a couple of decent sprint handicaps in the last couple of months of the season that he can aim for and he'll probably need to be higher than 90 to get in. At 12/1 today it's worth a small risk, as is the double.
    Two's company, three's allowed.

  13. #21031
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    Champion jockey Brian Hughes trundles off to Plumpton for the one ride on Jamacho in the 2:50 as he bids for a five timer. Carrying another penalty but Charlie Longsdon has another couple of runners on the card with a competent claimer up so he doesn’t seem too bothered about taking some weight off him. Drifting a bit in the market, though - 5/2 to 7/2 - which is a bit of a concern and may put me off if it keeps going.
    Last edited by barjon; 20th September 2020 at 9:31 AM.

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  15. #21032
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    Now 4/1 but I’m hoping he’s still ahead of the handicapper. The drift is a concern but I think his market rivals best form is in lower grade races


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

  16. #21033
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    Quote Originally Posted by PlaceBacker View Post
    One bet in the last race at Sha Tin this morning

    10.45-Savvy Nine

    Each Way @ 15-2 [William Hill] 4 places
    2nd
    Win some,lose some,but always enjoying it

  17. #21034
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    Quote Originally Posted by Desert Orchid View Post
    I'm experimenting with a couple today.

    I don't usually look at the non-terrestrial stuff, all-weather or ordinary Sunday racing but am having a pop at the two more valuable races at Chelmsford.

    Blown By Wind has carried my cash more than once this season but lost all chance at the start before finishing well. He's 11/1 today but I reckon that's like 1/10 he'ss mess up again at the stalls and I'm not convinced that's the case. at some point MJ will sort out this issue and he will take advantage of a lenient mark.

    Firepower makes his 3yo debut against a couple of improvers but who are rising up up the ratings. Their curve will flatten soon. There has to be a chance that Firepower, who was running in Group races at two is better than a 90 handicapper. There's obviously been a reason behind the extended absence but what if he'd had a normal campaign? He might have started six months ago, ignoring lockdown obviously, and risen through the ranks himself. There are still a couple of decent sprint handicaps in the last couple of months of the season that he can aim for and he'll probably need to be higher than 90 to get in. At 12/1 today it's worth a small risk, as is the double.
    Looking at the positives, it's an experiment worth binning
    Two's company, three's allowed.

  18. #21035
    Senior Member barjon's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by barjon View Post
    Champion jockey Brian Hughes trundles off to Plumpton for the one ride on Jamacho in the 2:50 as he bids for a five timer. Carrying another penalty but Charlie Longsdon has another couple of runners on the card with a competent claimer up so he doesn’t seem too bothered about taking some weight off him. Drifting a bit in the market, though - 5/2 to 7/2 - which is a bit of a concern and may put me off if it keeps going.
    Yes, the market turned out to tell the story - Jamacho drifted from 5/2 to 4/1 (which is quite a lot in my book) and the final favourite (who won) strengthened from 6/1 to 100/30. Long experience has taught me not to back drifters - some go on to win but most don’t.
    Last edited by barjon; 20th September 2020 at 4:46 PM.

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  20. #21036
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    Couple of experimental ew's @ Leicester:
    2.00 First Lott 7/1
    2.55 Rio Ronaldo 22/1
    (Would've had a go at the 3.05, but the fav looks a laydown).
    “Today’s scientists have substituted mathematics for experiments, and they wander off through equation after equation, and eventually build a structure which has no relation to reality. ”
    ― Nikola Tesla

  21. #21037
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    Quote Originally Posted by reet hard View Post
    Couple of experimental ew's @ Leicester:
    2.00 First Lott 7/1
    2.55 Rio Ronaldo 22/1
    (Would've had a go at the 3.05, but the fav looks a laydown).
    1 first, 1 last; jury's still out.
    Last edited by reet hard; 21st September 2020 at 5:44 PM.
    “Today’s scientists have substituted mathematics for experiments, and they wander off through equation after equation, and eventually build a structure which has no relation to reality. ”
    ― Nikola Tesla

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  23. #21038
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    I'll continue the experiment until some sort of pattern evolves:
    Fred 2.05B 4/1
    “Today’s scientists have substituted mathematics for experiments, and they wander off through equation after equation, and eventually build a structure which has no relation to reality. ”
    ― Nikola Tesla

  24. #21039
    Senior Member simmo's Avatar
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    What's the nature of the experiment?
    Alba Gu Brath!

  25. #21040
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    Working on some lower class races to fill the regular early-week void.
    “Today’s scientists have substituted mathematics for experiments, and they wander off through equation after equation, and eventually build a structure which has no relation to reality. ”
    ― Nikola Tesla

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