Thread: What are you backing Today?

  1. #20401
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    Paul Cole rarely has winners on the AW at this time of year, but has gone against the trend this year with 3 winners so far with 2 individual winners, he also hasn't had a runner at Sthwll for over 5 years and had just 1 winner in previous 5 years there.
    Dark Phoenix runs in the 5.30 having just got home to win 2 races at Wolver and Kempton over 1m and 1m 1/2f holding on gamely. He's up 4lbs for last win but drops to 7fs today, horse has improved for leading and really its a matter of wether he takes to the fibresand, hopefully he does and looks value at 10/1 to give the fav a race.

  2. #20402
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    Not far off a big priced winner Jersey , good placed runner and must have traded shortish , well researched tip !
    Last edited by Therightroad; 18th February 2020 at 8:40 PM.

  3. #20403
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    Straight Right 3.10N probably ran as well as he ever has, over a distance short of his best, latest.Should have teed him up perfectly to win the same race he won 2 seasons ago. SDS travels for the ride.
    11/2 B365.
    Last edited by reet hard; 19th February 2020 at 12:00 PM.

  4. #20404
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    Quote Originally Posted by reet hard View Post
    Straight Right 3.10N probably ran as well as he ever has, over a distance short of his best, latest.Should have teed him up perfectly to win the same race he won 2 seasons ago. SDS travels for the ride.
    11/2 B365.
    RP analysis:won this two years ago from 2lb higher and was desperately unlucky this time, denied clear runs on a couple of occasions. He will be of obvious interest when next seen. .
    Seems I'm cursed at the moment.
    Last edited by reet hard; 19th February 2020 at 6:07 PM.

  5. #20405
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    Newcastle 3:55 Secrete Stream

    For various reasons he is highly likely to win tomorrow.

    Get stuck in.

  6. #20406
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    Highway One O One in Kemptons 3:35 is my other one to back.

    I reckon he is a good horse.

  7. #20407
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    Good Luck

    2.05 Lingfield-Corinthia Knight

    Each Way @ 9-1 [Ladbrokes]

    Not run this track for a while but is very effective here
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

  8. #20408
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    Hareem Queen 2.05L is the only one that could hold a candle to Good Effort (nr) and is taken to be
    too speedy for these.
    4/1 in places.
    In the Winter Derby, JG usually knows the time of day and runs Dubai Warrior here in preference to such as Global Giant.

  9. The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to reet hard For This Useful Post:

    Double Handful (22nd February 2020), Tout Seul (23rd February 2020)

  10. #20409
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    I'm thinking of backing Pistol Whipped in the Pendil (1.15) at Kempton.

    On the face of it, he has a lot to find, which is reflected in his price (14/1 or thereabouts) but I fully expect him to outrun those odds. The problem is, I'm not sure he can afford to win.

    Hendo appeared to make a point in his media event the other day of mentioning him, saying he had to run here to go up the ratings in order to get into the Close Brothers. He'll probably need to go up at least 5lbs to be certain of doing so, meaning that he has to show his hand to a degree. If Hendo thinks the horse can win the Cheltenham race he must privately rate the horse at least 150 but running to that mark today will kill any chance at the festival. I think De Boinville will need to judge it quite fine to run well enough to go up but not by too much so he might just ride the horse for second or third . It's a race I'll be watching very closely but the Cheltenham race was utterly dominated by the Irish last year, the first British horse home in fourth beaten nearly 25 lengths.

    And if last year's race is any indication, half of the runners will be Irish.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  11. #20410
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    Should Benson be 17/2 for today's Dovecote?

    It was totally unconsidered on its debut in a much classier race but came there strongly on the heels of the leaders when he crashed out. The jockey seemed keen to play down the run afterwards and it's possible the form is misleading but had he negotiated the last two there has to be a chance he'd have been placed at worst and any of the other principals (Quel Destin OR 156, Call Me Lord now 157 and Eldorado Allen now 150) would be a short price favourite here.

    Benson is weak in the market and he might be a head case but I'm happy to pay to find out at that price.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  12. #20411
    Senior Member Maxbet's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Desert Orchid View Post
    I'm thinking of backing Pistol Whipped in the Pendil (1.15) at Kempton.
    You know what they say....He "Who Dares Wins"
    Last edited by Maxbet; 22nd February 2020 at 12:56 PM.

  13. #20412
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    Quote Originally Posted by Maxbet View Post
    You know what they say...."Who Dares Wins"

    Attached Images Attached Images
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  14. #20413
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    Good shout Max.

    I have done a couple of Alan King horses today.

  15. #20414
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    Quote Originally Posted by reet hard View Post
    Hareem Queen 2.05L is the only one that could hold a candle to Good Effort (nr) and is taken to be
    too speedy for these.
    4/1 in places.
    In the Winter Derby, JG usually knows the time of day and runs Dubai Warrior here in preference to such as Global Giant.
    Well done Reet!

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  17. #20415
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    Cheers,T - a near 14/1 double at early prices. Nice change for the cards to fall my way, for once.

  18. #20416
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    I'm having another pop at the football today. I haven't been too far off the mark with them lately but, as they say, a miss is as good as a mile.

    Tommy Wright appears to have steadied the good ship St Johnstone, who are becoming one of my preferred 'diddy teams'. You never hear anything bad about their supporters and the people who run the club have seen the light of commercial day and opened the stadium to more visiting supporters, realising the importance of gate income and atmosphere over sparsely populated stands and little noise.

    The home pitch is apparently one of the biggest anywhere so, in theory, it should suit today's visitors from Ibrox who, when they go expansive, can exploit the space. However, apart from a second-half comeback on Thursday night against Braga, they've been tactically slow since the winter break and with Morelos's mind seemingly elsewhere and Defoe out injured, they're relying on the midfield for goals, and they're hardly prolific.

    Wright is a good manager with a lot of experience. I'm trusting he can set up the Saints to stifle the midfield and minimise the supply to Morelos.

    As ever, it's odds-on that the visitors will leave with all three points but I didn't see much value in the odds for the draw. Saints were 7/1 when I logged on but the best price I could get was 13/2 with shorter in a lot of other places. Clearly I'm not the only one half-expecting a minor upset.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  19. #20417
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    Have written-off the Thomas Darby Champion Hurdle bet, but will avail myself of the odds-against today as recompense. He is favoured by the weights, has the most scope for progress, is on an upward-curve form-wise (nicely franked), and is a straightforward, genuine type that will run his race.

    Also, the yard aren’t swerving Cheltenham to finish second to these rags.

    Bet of the day.
    Last edited by Grasshopper; 23rd February 2020 at 2:15 PM.
    "Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".

    SlimChance, March 2018

  20. #20418
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    1-0 Saints. Been trying to take a profit but can't get through to Betfair!
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  21. #20419
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    Half-time. Profit taken. Job done.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  22. #20420
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    Quote Originally Posted by Grasshopper View Post
    Have written-off the Thomas Darby Champion Hurdle bet, but will avail myself of the odds-against today as recompense. He is favoured by the weights, has the most scope for progress, is on an upward-curve form-wise (nicely franked), and is a straightforward, genuine type that will run his race.

    Also, the yard aren’t swerving Cheltenham to finish second to these rags.

    Bet of the day.
    That went well.
    "Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".

    SlimChance, March 2018

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