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Thread: What are you backing Today?

  1. #21701
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    This is the nearest I will ever get to knowing what it’s like to be connected to a winning horse (I only see him on the beach). He was way out the back (only heard it on the radio so had no idea what was happening). I’m SO pleased for Adam. Woohoo! I’m shaking!

  2. #21702
    Senior Member PlaceBacker's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by PlaceBacker View Post
    Christophe Soumillon is having a good stint in Hong Kong and got a chance today on...

    1.45-Naboo Star

    Each Way @ 9-2 [Paddy Power]
    ​3rd
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

  3. #21703
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    Keyser Soze 2.00L
    5/1 B365

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  5. #21704
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    I find myself laying the Hoops again this evening at Livi who could easily have taken all three points away from Celtic Park at the weekend.

    There's actually value to be had somewhere in the market with, at best odds, a 98.5% book.

    Celtic have their isolating players back this evening so we have a stronger team - in theory - but the Dubai debacle may have a lingering negativity.

    There is clearly disharmony behind the scenes between Lennon and his paymaster and I'm not convinced there is harmony between him and the players, except maybe skipper Scott Brown and one or two others. I suspect he doesn't get on well with a lot of the foreign guys.

    David Martindale, on the other hand, has clearly got his team 100% committed to his tactics and this evening they'll have the added advantage of their artificial surface. Celtic do not play well at this stadium. I'd need to check for certainty but I'm pretty sure we haven't won here since 2018.

    In the big scheme of things, we are better man for man and should be a far better team but, as I keep saying, the psychology of competition interests me and Livi have bottle by the crateload these days.

    I'm anticipating another very uncomfortable night for Celtic and the fans watching at home but dearly hope we can use the negative environment towards (and within) the club as motivation to deny those who love seeing us lose.

    That brings its own concerns. A really good performance might see Lennon hold on to the job for longer. He should have been out long before now. I never wanted him there in the first place but for now we're stuck with him.

    I'm dreading tonight but I have to watch it...
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  6. #21705
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    Was gonna put up 1700N Jack of Trades but not going on it at evens fgs after 12/1 LTO

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  7. #21706
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Desert Orchid View Post
    I find myself laying the Hoops again this evening at Livi who could easily have taken all three points away from Celtic Park at the weekend.

    There's actually value to be had somewhere in the market with, at best odds, a 98.5% book.

    Celtic have their isolating players back this evening so we have a stronger team - in theory - but the Dubai debacle may have a lingering negativity.

    There is clearly disharmony behind the scenes between Lennon and his paymaster and I'm not convinced there is harmony between him and the players, except maybe skipper Scott Brown and one or two others. I suspect he doesn't get on well with a lot of the foreign guys.

    David Martindale, on the other hand, has clearly got his team 100% committed to his tactics and this evening they'll have the added advantage of their artificial surface. Celtic do not play well at this stadium. I'd need to check for certainty but I'm pretty sure we haven't won here since 2018.

    In the big scheme of things, we are better man for man and should be a far better team but, as I keep saying, the psychology of competition interests me and Livi have bottle by the crateload these days.

    I'm anticipating another very uncomfortable night for Celtic and the fans watching at home but dearly hope we can use the negative environment towards (and within) the club as motivation to deny those who love seeing us lose.

    That brings its own concerns. A really good performance might see Lennon hold on to the job for longer. He should have been out long before now. I never wanted him there in the first place but for now we're stuck with him.

    I'm dreading tonight but I have to watch it...
    Another totally wimpy performance against a highly motivated, well organised outfit. We didn't deserve to take anything from that. Lucky to get away with 2-2.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


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  9. #21707
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    Meydan
    4.50 I looked at the card and Quip is interesting. Well supported too.

  10. #21708
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    Nigel Nott 6.15C
    11/2 general

  11. #21709
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    I haven't studied any of the form for the Taunton 2.45 tomorrow but have backed Brewin'upastorm at 5/1.

    I backed this in the Arkle last year when Tricky Dicky was up to his usual and have backed it since - to my cost - but I've never lost faith in its ability so I have to back it here. Its rating of 148 is still its hurdles mark of the season before last and, had it stayed over hurdles, could easily have been expected to make up into a 158 second-season hurdler (/novice chaser, which was one of the reasons I backed it in the Arkle) so it should be able to win off this mark, whether it's this race or not.

    Fingers crossed...
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  12. #21710
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    I like the angle and Taunton looks a good weight carrying track but has he not just lost his way in general? His chase form last year reads quite well.

    Bets today are If the Cap Fits at Taunton even though I missed the price initially ap, Espoir de Guye at Ascot - I expect hom to come back to form back over a more appropriate trip and Defi who is just too big in the Clarence.

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  14. #21711
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    Haydock on.

  15. #21712
    Senior Member barjon's Avatar
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    Well, that’s a mighty co-incidence. I started off with fifteen horses to look at. Two non-runners and nine opposing each other in three of the races I was left with four: Brewin’ up a Storm, If the Cap Fits, Espoir de Guye (these three the co-incidence with above posts) and Tupelo Mississippi. I’ll go with those depending on market, plus a long shot small dabble on I K Brunel.

  16. #21713
    Senior Member Tout Seul's Avatar
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    I'm backing one today that I'm definitely not recommending. Stepney Causeway seemingly might get placed in the opener at Ascot and will carry £20 ew of my money.

    The horse carries the name of the street in the East End of London where the first Barnardos Childrens Home was founded in 1870. It was a dark and gloomy building made grimy by the smoke from the trains crossing the arch literally next door for nearly 100 years. I grew up living close by and would pass it several times a week going to see family or, for a short while, on a paper round. I think that most of its activities had been moved to a much more pleasant site in Essex by then but every time I passed it I thought how lucky I was to have family. So a sentimental bet.

    A donation whatever but any winnings will increase it.

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  18. #21714
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    Fanion d'estruval 335a

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  20. #21715
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    What are you backing Today?

    3.00 Ascot
    Domaine de L’isle won this race last year and is back on the same mark today having not stayed a couple of times over 3m and had a couple of runs over hurdles. Poor in the Paddy Power but this may have been the target. Gets a 9lb pull with Bennys King who was 2nd in last year’s race


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    Last edited by viking; 23rd January 2021 at 1:52 PM.

  21. #21716
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    Weren’t going to have a bet today, but Defi is too big a price to leave alone.

  22. #21717
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    Quote Originally Posted by Desert Orchid View Post
    I haven't studied any of the form for the Taunton 2.45 tomorrow but have backed Brewin'upastorm at 5/1.

    I backed this in the Arkle last year when Tricky Dicky was up to his usual and have backed it since - to my cost - but I've never lost faith in its ability so I have to back it here. Its rating of 148 is still its hurdles mark of the season before last and, had it stayed over hurdles, could easily have been expected to make up into a 158 second-season hurdler (/novice chaser, which was one of the reasons I backed it in the Arkle) so it should be able to win off this mark, whether it's this race or not.

    Fingers crossed...
    Was a great spot, win or lose. Congrats. Good winner.

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  24. #21718
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    Quote Originally Posted by viking View Post
    3.00 Ascot
    Domaine de L’isle won this race last year and is back on the same mark today having not stayed a couple of times over 3m and had a couple of runs over hurdles. Poor in the Paddy Power but this may have been the target. Gets a 9lb pull with Bennys King who was 2nd in last year’s race


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    Another shocker. Won’t be wasting money on this horse again


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  25. #21719
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    First Flow another overlooked improving and overpriced handicapper winning in graded company. How was that a 14/1 chance?
    Last edited by Marb; 23rd January 2021 at 4:42 PM.

  26. #21720
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    Remember the old days when races were won 'out in the country'. Great to see jumping count for so much in a NH race. First Flow was fantastic.

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