Thread: What are you backing Today?

  1. #20761
    Senior Member barjon's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by reet hard View Post
    gl PB
    With plenty of rain around last evening, the Ayr going promises to be a deal softer than forecast, which favours John Kirkup (2.40) appreciably.
    2nd over C&D latest on ground officially described as soft. but not nearly as soft as that he won a similar race by a comfortable 5l on(albeit a slightly lesser contest) last backend.
    If the going lives up to expectation, Bet365's current 11/2 will look pretty generous, imo.
    Nice one, Sir.

  2. #20762
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    Cheers, Barjon; welcome to the forum, btw.

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    Quote Originally Posted by reet hard View Post
    gl PB
    With plenty of rain around last evening, the Ayr going promises to be a deal softer than forecast, which favours John Kirkup (2.40) appreciably.
    2nd over C&D latest on ground officially described as soft. but not nearly as soft as that he won a similar race by a comfortable 5l on(albeit a slightly lesser contest) last backend.
    If the going lives up to expectation, Bet365's current 11/2 will look pretty generous, imo.
    Well done Reet.

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  5. #20764
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    Citron Major 1.15R showed improved form for the first-time visor, latest, beating a decent field pointless, and with an advantageous draw, over the same C&D and ground, should take the 5lb rise in his stride.
    4/1 B365
    Last edited by reet hard; 6th August 2020 at 3:30 AM.

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    Have bet Native Tribe 17/2 ew in the 3.30 at Sandown, in the knowledge that he was WB's preferred (and fav)i n a simiiar race at Newmarket; won by his stablemate.
    I'll take it on trust that his consequent gelding has ironed out his problem.
    Last edited by reet hard; 6th August 2020 at 5:58 PM.

  7. #20766
    Senior Member PlaceBacker's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by PlaceBacker View Post
    5.10 Ayr-Delgrey Boy

    Each Way @ 11-1 [William Hill] 4 Places

    Still green but has ability
    Race ​Abandoned
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

  8. #20767
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    4.15 Wolverhampton-Far From A Ruby @ 10-3 [Paddy Power]

    Coming back in trip will benefit her
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

  9. #20768
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    Quote Originally Posted by reet hard View Post
    Have bet Native Tribe 17/2 ew in the 3.30 at Sandown, in the knowledge that he was WB's preferred (and fav)i n a simiiar race at Newmarket; won by his stablemate.
    I'll take it on trust that his consequent gelding has ironed out his problem.
    2nd - a decent return robbed by the withdrawal of a horse owing to similar ground to that he was declared on. Best laid plans of mice and men?

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    I've already given a good shout to Tomorrows Dream at Haydock in the 2:05. I'm pleased to say she is a mover in the market, now 8s from 20/1 a couple of days ago. My confidence is seriously boosted that she'll run a huge race. A lot depends on how well the favourite Veracious does.

    Ascot

    1:50 Woven won at Meydan with Chief Of Chiefs franking the form in a big way back in this country. Woven looks a type to be able to bounce back in an open handicap at a decent price having shown twice already he runs well at Ascot in big fields. Market support would increase confidence.

    Haydock

    2:40 Fox Tal is the value. He finished a head behind the Japanese horse Deirdre last season, (rated 114), when third in a race won by Magical. The ratings have him closer to the favorite than the odds would have us believe. Fox Tal can run a huge race on good to firm ground that we're forecast.
    Last edited by Marb; 7th August 2020 at 7:22 PM.

  11. #20770
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    Also like Tomorrow's Dream, Marb & the same trainer's Nicklaus in the race before. so I've done them to small stakes and an ewd.

  12. #20771
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    Quote Originally Posted by PlaceBacker View Post
    4.15 Wolverhampton-Far From A Ruby @ 10-3 [Paddy Power]

    Coming back in trip will benefit her
    No chance after being hampered early
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

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    4.45 Ascot-Daschas

    Each Way @ 6-1 [Bet 365]

    Improving race by race
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

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    Aesthete 2.50 Newmarket

    Last 2 furlongs out at Newbury in last race he came romping through the field to finish a decent third and the extra furlong today should suit him.

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    There probably isn't a horse in training, at least on the flat, that i've backed more than Zaaki. In a fairly uncompetitive Rose of Lancaster today he appeals at 4/1 (got 9/2 last night). He ran over 10f a few times as a 3yo before being largely campaigned at shorter since and I'm hoping as a 5yo a return to a mile and a quarter may eek out some improvement. The fav looks short to me, the race he won at Newbury was average at best. As ever with the Gosden/Frankie team though actual form goes out the window when it comes to price. It'll probably still win.
    Last edited by Euronymous; 8th August 2020 at 10:11 AM.

  18. #20775
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    Game Player 2.25A

  19. #20776
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    Quote Originally Posted by barjon View Post
    Aesthete 2.50 Newmarket

    Last 2 furlongs out at Newbury in last race he came romping through the field to finish a decent third and the extra furlong today should suit him.
    Well, what to say? I suppose “you don’t usually see them tailed off in a 7 furlong race” about sums it up (him and the steamer favourite together).

    Stewards Report:
    Following the race, Callum Shepherd reported that AESTHETE, which started second favourite and finished unplaced, ran freely to post, too freely during the race and subsequently stopped quickly; the Veterinary Officer reported that a post-race examination of the colt shortly after the race failed to reveal any abnormalities.

    Surprised that they don’t seem to have asked for an explanation of the favourite’s running after all the money coming for him.

    Ps: addition to Stewards Report -l William Buick reported that HIGH PEAK (IRE), which started favourite and finished unplaced, ran too freely; the colt was routine tested.” That’s it, no questions asked.
    Last edited by barjon; 8th August 2020 at 4:25 PM.

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  21. #20777
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    Quote Originally Posted by barjon View Post
    William Buick reported that HIGH PEAK (IRE), which started favourite and finished unplaced, ran too freely; the colt was routine tested.” That’s it, no questions asked.
    RP analysis supports that view, B.. went off too quickly and folded tamely

  22. #20778
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    Plenty of pace in Thirsk's 2.30, which should suit Aberama Gold well. Won 28k lstd at York last backend and contested group races since. Promising run back at York last month, albeit over the wrong distance.
    12/1 freely available.

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  24. #20779
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    Quote Originally Posted by PlaceBacker View Post
    4.45 Ascot-Daschas

    Each Way @ 6-1 [Bet 365]

    Improving race by race
    Unplaced
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

  25. #20780
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    1.15 Southwell-Thomas Shelby

    Each Way @ 11-2 [Skybet]

    Could peak today..
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

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