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Thread: What are you backing Today?

  1. #21041
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    Mythical Magic 2.55G - 6/1 in places.

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    Senior Member Euronymous's Avatar
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    I think Willie John is worth a go at Goodwood. This is a step down in class and his best form has been at this track. Oppo seems tres ropey certainly in comparison to the rivals he faced in the Golden Mile.

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    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Euronymous View Post
    I think Willie John is worth a go at Goodwood. This is a step down in class and his best form has been at this track. Oppo seems tres ropey certainly in comparison to the rivals he faced in the Golden Mile.
    I was thinking along similar lines last night, Euro, but ended up leaving the race alone.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  4. #21044
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    Playing in Hong Kong today

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    Each Way @ 9-1 [Paddy Power]
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

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    Quote Originally Posted by Desert Orchid View Post
    I was thinking along similar lines last night, Euro, but ended up leaving the race alone.
    Yeah, i'm not rampantly confident as he doesn't score very often. Small win and double with Benbatl on Friday

  6. #21046
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    Quote Originally Posted by Euronymous View Post
    I think Willie John is worth a go at Goodwood. This is a step down in class and his best form has been at this track. Oppo seems tres ropey certainly in comparison to the rivals he faced in the Golden Mile.
    Golden Mile was a much stronger pace than is likely here, and the bulk of his form is over further. He'll be outpaced at some stage, imo.
    Dawaam for me, now he's drifted to 9/2.

  7. #21047
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    WJ pulled. Suspicion is they've watered (in September, unreal) and it's raining down there.

  8. #21048
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    In the 2.25 at Newmarket, I reckon Caspian Queen has at least as good a chance as anything ahead of her in the market so 9/1 strikes me as pretty sound value but 8/1 to four places (Sky) in a 9-runner race just has to be bitten.
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    Senior Member Euronymous's Avatar
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    I like to oppose a braveheart shortie in listed/group races and Mildenberger is a juicy candidate today in the Rose Bowl. I've gone with Ghostwatch who was disappointing in the Ebor but I can give a pass there given the poor ground. His previous run when 3rd in France was well advertised by the 2nd running well behind Call the Wind in the Kergorlay and 11/2 is fair. Withold I fear more than the fav tbh.

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    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    I wouldn't oppose it for that sole reason, Euro, but I wouldn't back it at today's price. It's top on my figures so deserves to be favourite but it's very tight between the four of them so the market is probably wrong.

    I wouldn't back Withhold at 2/1 either so Ghostwatch and Ranch Hand are probably very good value at 11/2 and 9/1 respectively. Ghostwatch owes me from the Ebor too. Ranch Hand was 11/2f for the Ces last year but ran too free. His form over 14f this year doesn't convince me that today's trip will suit and Ghostwatch's dosage profile is much more loaded towards stamina so Ghostwatch will carry some sickness insurance for me too.

    Same destination, different route
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    Euronymous (24th September 2020)

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    Quote Originally Posted by Desert Orchid View Post
    I wouldn't oppose it for that sole reason, Euro,
    Speaking of which, Method is fav for the Middle Park. MMeade is one trainer I always oppose with a shortie

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    Senior Member barjon's Avatar
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    I see Henderson is giving one of his bigger guns an early start. Fusil Raffles being sent chasing 1:00 Uttoxeter and it’ll be interesting to see how he goes on his debut. At 5/6 early price he won’t be a value bet though.

  14. #21053
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    If the forecast's correct, the ground should have softened appreciably by the time of the Joel Stakes, which would be against Benbatl and Kameko. Top Rank should be the one to benefit.
    9/2 currently.

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    Ilaraab has the look of a classic 'group horse in a handicap' in the Cambridgeshire, in which 3yo have a very good record. Said to have big feet,too, so ground shouldn't be a problem.
    Gone in deep, at the prevailing 12/1.

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    Quote Originally Posted by barjon View Post
    I see Henderson is giving one of his bigger guns an early start. Fusil Raffles being sent chasing 1:00 Uttoxeter and it’ll be interesting to see how he goes on his debut. At 5/6 early price he won’t be a value bet though.
    Fusil Raffles was One of my big hopes last season but like so many 5 year olds he disappointed stepping up to open company.
    I’d be against him at the price today and Quick Grabim makes some appeal for Fergal and Paddy Brennan. But I see he’s drifted out to 9/1 and is another who disappointed last season. One to leave alone I think


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    barjon (25th September 2020)

  18. #21056
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    Quote Originally Posted by reet hard View Post
    Ilaraab has the look of a classic 'group horse in a handicap' in the Cambridgeshire, in which 3yo have a very good record. Said to have big feet,too, so ground shouldn't be a problem.
    Gone in deep, at the prevailing 12/1.
    Ah, that latest research indicates that small, dainty feet allow them to skip over the surface whereas big feet sink in more

  19. #21057
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    Quote Originally Posted by reet hard View Post
    If the forecast's correct, the ground should have softened appreciably by the time of the Joel Stakes, which would be against Benbatl and Kameko. Top Rank should be the one to benefit.
    9/2 currently.
    One of my trackers and has strengthened a tad - now 4/1 - probably due to your recommendation. Race is a bit hot for him, though.

  20. #21058
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    I'm noticing a few non-runners today.

    Has there been a lot of rain?

    I'm not seeing any in the forecast and the times yesterday suggest reasonable ground although it looked to me like Ghostwatch was kicking up a lot of divots.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  21. #21059
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    Quote Originally Posted by PlaceBacker View Post
    Playing in Hong Kong today

    1.45-Rich And Lucky

    Each Way @ 9-1 [Paddy Power]
    Skint and Unlucky!
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

  22. #21060
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    4.20 Uttoxeter-Shanroe Tic Tec

    Each Way @ 12-1 [William Hill] 5 Places

    Well treated if near best
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

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