Mythical Magic 2.55G - 6/1 in places.
Mythical Magic 2.55G - 6/1 in places.
I think Willie John is worth a go at Goodwood. This is a step down in class and his best form has been at this track. Oppo seems tres ropey certainly in comparison to the rivals he faced in the Golden Mile.
Playing in Hong Kong today
1.45-Rich And Lucky
Each Way @ 9-1 [Paddy Power]
"The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"
WJ pulled. Suspicion is they've watered (in September, unreal) and it's raining down there.
In the 2.25 at Newmarket, I reckon Caspian Queen has at least as good a chance as anything ahead of her in the market so 9/1 strikes me as pretty sound value but 8/1 to four places (Sky) in a 9-runner race just has to be bitten.
Illegitimi non carborundum
I like to oppose a braveheart shortie in listed/group races and Mildenberger is a juicy candidate today in the Rose Bowl. I've gone with Ghostwatch who was disappointing in the Ebor but I can give a pass there given the poor ground. His previous run when 3rd in France was well advertised by the 2nd running well behind Call the Wind in the Kergorlay and 11/2 is fair. Withold I fear more than the fav tbh.
I wouldn't oppose it for that sole reason, Euro, but I wouldn't back it at today's price. It's top on my figures so deserves to be favourite but it's very tight between the four of them so the market is probably wrong.
I wouldn't back Withhold at 2/1 either so Ghostwatch and Ranch Hand are probably very good value at 11/2 and 9/1 respectively. Ghostwatch owes me from the Ebor too. Ranch Hand was 11/2f for the Ces last year but ran too free. His form over 14f this year doesn't convince me that today's trip will suit and Ghostwatch's dosage profile is much more loaded towards stamina so Ghostwatch will carry some sickness insurance for me too.
Same destination, different route
Illegitimi non carborundum
Euronymous (24th September 2020)
I see Henderson is giving one of his bigger guns an early start. Fusil Raffles being sent chasing 1:00 Uttoxeter and it’ll be interesting to see how he goes on his debut. At 5/6 early price he won’t be a value bet though.
If the forecast's correct, the ground should have softened appreciably by the time of the Joel Stakes, which would be against Benbatl and Kameko. Top Rank should be the one to benefit.
9/2 currently.
Ilaraab has the look of a classic 'group horse in a handicap' in the Cambridgeshire, in which 3yo have a very good record. Said to have big feet,too, so ground shouldn't be a problem.
Gone in deep, at the prevailing 12/1.
Fusil Raffles was One of my big hopes last season but like so many 5 year olds he disappointed stepping up to open company.
I’d be against him at the price today and Quick Grabim makes some appeal for Fergal and Paddy Brennan. But I see he’s drifted out to 9/1 and is another who disappointed last season. One to leave alone I think
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barjon (25th September 2020)
I'm noticing a few non-runners today.
Has there been a lot of rain?
I'm not seeing any in the forecast and the times yesterday suggest reasonable ground although it looked to me like Ghostwatch was kicking up a lot of divots.
Illegitimi non carborundum
4.20 Uttoxeter-Shanroe Tic Tec
Each Way @ 12-1 [William Hill] 5 Places
Well treated if near best
"The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"