5.15 Wolverhampton-End Zone @ 15-8 [Skybet]
Looks the banker today
5.15 Wolverhampton-End Zone @ 15-8 [Skybet]
Looks the banker today
"The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"
I like to play the short term ap markets half in the hope a race will cut up and leave me with good ew terms. Not that it did much good with Sottsass last week.
I backed Lazuli for the sprint at Newbury early in the week, 5/1 ew for three places. Only seven line up and it's a hodge podge of shite really. Equilateral never wins and Tis Marvellous doesn't score outside of Ascot. The selection was behind the latter in the Charge at Sandown but he went too hard up front and TM was flattered imo in coming from the rear. Lazuli ran ok at Deauville after that over 6 but he is better at the minimum trip. Wise Words is worth cover after a good run in the Scarborough.
Rhythm Master is too big at 11/4 for the Mill Reef. He brings good Group 1 form to the table and should be nearer 6/4
Hope you're right about Lazuli, Euro, He's my nap of the day. Found Sandown too stiff a test on his latest run there (easy lead, first time up) and will appreciate this flatter track.
11/4 B365.
Much the same logic applies to Tenbury Wells in the 2.15
7/2 B365.
In the 1.20 at Ayr Heights Of Abraham is proven on soft ground, while those shorter in the market aren't.
7/1 generally.
Luck to all.
I feel it, Outsider!
Well done Lazuli backers.
Last edited by Desert Orchid; 19th September 2020 at 4:53 PM.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Euronymous (19th September 2020), Outsider (19th September 2020), reet hard (19th September 2020)
Tom Marquand admitted he probably made too much use of Nahaarr, in the Steward's Cup - wish I'd have picked that up.
One bet in the last race at Sha Tin this morning
10.45-Savvy Nine
Each Way @ 15-2 [William Hill] 4 places
"The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"
Intrigued by Firepower 3.00C; 170k yearling, won first-time up then ran in 3 high class races without threatening again. However, did show enough early speed in the gp2 Mill Reef to suggest a drop back in trip may be in his favour. Gelded shortly afterwards and not seen until today.
That he runs for this 12k pot, rather than an easier 7k race tomorrow, offers encouragement for his chances. May be flying a kite, but has the profile of a ready horse to me.
12/1 B365
Last edited by reet hard; 20th September 2020 at 7:43 AM.
I'm experimenting with a couple today.
I don't usually look at the non-terrestrial stuff, all-weather or ordinary Sunday racing but am having a pop at the two more valuable races at Chelmsford.
Blown By Wind has carried my cash more than once this season but lost all chance at the start before finishing well. He's 11/1 today but I reckon that's like 1/10 he'ss mess up again at the stalls and I'm not convinced that's the case. at some point MJ will sort out this issue and he will take advantage of a lenient mark.
Firepower makes his 3yo debut against a couple of improvers but who are rising up up the ratings. Their curve will flatten soon. There has to be a chance that Firepower, who was running in Group races at two is better than a 90 handicapper. There's obviously been a reason behind the extended absence but what if he'd had a normal campaign? He might have started six months ago, ignoring lockdown obviously, and risen through the ranks himself. There are still a couple of decent sprint handicaps in the last couple of months of the season that he can aim for and he'll probably need to be higher than 90 to get in. At 12/1 today it's worth a small risk, as is the double.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Champion jockey Brian Hughes trundles off to Plumpton for the one ride on Jamacho in the 2:50 as he bids for a five timer. Carrying another penalty but Charlie Longsdon has another couple of runners on the card with a competent claimer up so he doesn’t seem too bothered about taking some weight off him. Drifting a bit in the market, though - 5/2 to 7/2 - which is a bit of a concern and may put me off if it keeps going.
Last edited by barjon; 20th September 2020 at 9:31 AM.
viking (20th September 2020)
Now 4/1 but I’m hoping he’s still ahead of the handicapper. The drift is a concern but I think his market rivals best form is in lower grade races
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Last edited by barjon; 20th September 2020 at 4:46 PM.
dvds2000 (20th September 2020)
Couple of experimental ew's @ Leicester:
2.00 First Lott 7/1
2.55 Rio Ronaldo 22/1
(Would've had a go at the 3.05, but the fav looks a laydown).
Outsider (21st September 2020)
I'll continue the experiment until some sort of pattern evolves:
Fred 2.05B 4/1
What's the nature of the experiment?
Working on some lower class races to fill the regular early-week void.