I wasn't on Native River but that was as brave as Coneygree, fantastic to see it done from the front on that kind of ground.
Type: Posts; User: Aughex
I wasn't on Native River but that was as brave as Coneygree, fantastic to see it done from the front on that kind of ground.
Should've taken those odds back then, looks a real contender if not for the jumping frailties..
Timeform does that all the time Grass, its absolutely impossible to calculate their margin of success from the past based on their ratings because they keep altering them once 'new evidence' arrives...
But DO, they might think the horse will have a chance of winning at the festival, he's giving the right signs and lets say he will run badly. By Grass judgement we'll think of Tizzard as a horrible...
I knew sprinters that ran as 14yo's, they were leading the youngsters every morning at Milton Bradley yard, I'll let you guess who that was.. Horses love racing and training, taking that away...
12yo for a jumper is not that old. They should all be running at this age if healthy. Going out on a high, winning perhaps his final race before retirement would be a dream for many not only his...
Killultagh Vic runs on Sunday, I wonder what are the chances of him targeting the GC and whether to take the odds on offer now before too late :ninja:
Before 'they' were saying he could win any championship race, after another race he might prove he won't win anything at Chelt. Think CC might be the preferred route after today but little chances of...
Don't think Djak is forever gone, but his old jumping errors returned and made him lose a ton of ground late in the race.
Overall the staying chase division continues with a bunch of average...
Money and eyes on Djak, 9s to make up a short head over 3 miles seems gold unless Mullins forgot to report he lost a leg..
https://www.theirishfield.ie/ruby-walsh-confident-of-recovering-in-time-to-make-festival-return-331286/
He's beginning early Feb physiotherapy, then back riding in another 1-2 weeks thats mid...
its one thing having the spleen removed and another having a leg injury. Someone can confirm it perhaps but anyways thats why I said 50-50, maybe he will manage but I don't see how he gets into shape...
Speaking of jockeys, how does Ruby plan to turn up at Chelt after a recent injury and in the worst shape possible for a 4-day competition? I don't know how many weeks before he's fully recovered, but...
No way Richard Johnson gives up the ride on Coneygree in favour of Native River, I'd be amazed if he does. Champions belong with champions.
Depending on the number of shares and being so slow I'd be happy with that win .. some are real donkeys and never place :lol:
Back to it, its pretty obvious the form is more relevant than dosage...
Thats Don Poli you 2 are talking about ?
Like Digger said, they don't always work out but are a good indicator in most cases. The breeders I believe are all about them. I remember first year...
haha Tanlic, just before he won the KG you said his trainer was out of his mind? :lol: He then confirmed he was a top class horse by winning the KG.
You confirmed you changed your mind about him,...
I heard Tizzard said beforehand that Thistlecrack was very fit and ready to go so don't think they thought of this as merely a prep. Regardless, I don't see why some like to bring the horse down...
The point strengths its validity even more so when you're using bias to judge bits of their career to explain why they've received such high ratings whilst everything I've said in the past few posts...
You're making it invalid for unrelated reasons to their performances on the day during which they achieved those huge improvements. Another recent example at the top level would be Don Cossack, which...
Yes Sprinter on RP scale, on his nth start was given a rating of 190 from his previously best 178: https://www.racingpost.com/profile/horse/750129/sprinter-sacre
As @wilsonl pointed out with Dato...
It still doesn't explain Dodging Bullets from recent memory. We're talking here about the top class horses not handicappers who had enough races and are completely exposed. Top ones can find a...
A rating is a difference in quality between horses, that includes all the conditions of the race(ground, pace, trip, etc.). The fact that a horse performs the best on certain conditions, doesn't mean...
I also don't know the exact methodology employed by RP, but official handicappers and TF I know for sure that both distance, ground and race time does matter in determining pounds per length and...
If he wins the GC, everything about him will be revised, he's only 6 so lets wait to have more evidence before judging his career as if its over. Beating a G1 field by 50+ lengths is rare, so I'm not...