He was the sandwich between two Aintree National winners. I'd argue he'd have won a normal Welsh version.
Type: Posts; User: Euronymous
He was the sandwich between two Aintree National winners. I'd argue he'd have won a normal Welsh version.
I don't trust 160+ ratings that come via handicaps. Imperial Aura another example of this. Completely found out last week.
That 176 for CPS hard to justify
The 171/168 for Min and Saint C still from last year. Fair enough
168 Politologue is too high. His form is very dubious
163 Royal Pegaille is a joke. Should be 153...
He was found out in the Betfair, admittedly not at Cheltenham.
Frodon's a funny one and I did lay him on Saturday because I had him down as a dubious stayer based on the way he crawled home in the Cotswold. He is a 170 beast ratings wise but put him in a race...
Such lazy analysis. APT ran nowhere near his best.
Official ratings are balls. The year BUV won his first CH Petit Mouchoir and Yanworth were rated 164. Nonsense.
I don't and never have taken OR's into account when betting in conditions races,...
Yeah, was impressed. Powers let me have £2.50ew. Nice of them.
Yeah, slow run race, horse ridden to place. Very harsh
Glen Forsa ran just as well as Kalashnikov and Oldgrangewood on Friday. Just that lack of a recent run cost him. He's very well handicapped.
https://www.racingpost.com/results/32/aintree/1992-04-04/45936
Carvill's Hill beat PP by 20L giving him 19 lbs in the Welsh Nash.
Fox Norton is rated 166 but he jumped left at a fair proportion of his fences. I'd have him running to 158 Saturday which would make 176 for Cyrname about right.
Horrendous. At least half a stone too much
Timeform are taking the **** with their ratings for sprinters. They have Battaash and LA both on 135 which means they have to upgrade the very average Profitable to a redonkulous mark of 125. ****...
Fox Norton was outpaced at a crucial time in the QM. His optimum is two and a half.
I don't think he needs a flat track and soft ground to be at or near his best, but I do think the combination of good ground and an undulating track are not ideal. So I wouldn't fancy him at all for...
This sort of downgrading Yanworth because of Ch'Tibello's proximity. Do you not factor in a horse being ridden to place rather than trying to win a race to your figures.
For example:
...
War of Attrition was given 173 by OR? That surprises me.
Pure fantasy. He never had the tactical pace to lay up with the leaders when push came to shove.
Cannot have Muhaarar on a lower rating than Solow. Smacks of bias imo.
SC - Not sure he'll appreciate Cheltenham but 9/1 is fair.
BW - Fly in the ointment, huge danger.
FL - Really not sure he'll stay and imo should go Ryanair. Bridesmaid horse.
Flemenstar - Best...
Sir Des Champs has the scope to improve a lot more than 4lb when he gets even more of a trip on ground he will appreciate.
Somewhat surprised there still isn't a p attached to it.