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  1. Thread: Betfair Hurdle

    by wilsonl
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    124,929

    Maybe novices are overrated when posting decent...

    Maybe novices are overrated when posting decent performances in this race but while Get Me Out of Here (150 post Newbury) and MTOY (162) were both beaten in the Supreme, both were arguably...
  2. Thread: Betfair Hurdle

    by wilsonl
    Replies
    252
    Views
    124,929

    I think time will tell that a few ran well below...

    I think time will tell that a few ran well below form for a number of reasons Dessie, not least the ground and Irish Roe did look nothing like the horse at Doncaster and she normally travels much...
  3. Thread: Betfair Hurdle

    by wilsonl
    Replies
    252
    Views
    124,929

    Irish Roe's OR before heading into the race on...

    Irish Roe's OR before heading into the race on Saturday was based on a mares only conditions event - her Donny win prior to that didn't entitle he to be 145 rated.

    There has to be a strong...
  4. Thread: Betfair Hurdle

    by wilsonl
    Replies
    252
    Views
    124,929

    He's just won off 141 and will probably go up to...

    He's just won off 141 and will probably go up to near 150. MTOY won the Betfair, effectively in a common canter off 149 before just failing in the Supreme but that wasn't through lack of ability.
  5. Thread: Betfair Hurdle

    by wilsonl
    Replies
    252
    Views
    124,929

    Novices that have performed well in the Betfair...

    Novices that have performed well in the Betfair have a decent record of at least going close in the Supreme. Clearly down to the experience gained in a big field 2m hurdle run at a proper pace as...
  6. Thread: Betfair Hurdle

    by wilsonl
    Replies
    252
    Views
    124,929

    It's arguable that you need more stamina to win a...

    It's arguable that you need more stamina to win a Supreme than a Ballymore.
  7. Thread: Betfair Hurdle

    by wilsonl
    Replies
    252
    Views
    124,929

    Hope it turns around for you Danny. These are the...

    Hope it turns around for you Danny. These are the problems with betting ante post and the reasons you get the big prices. You can either be in a lovely position going into a race or have already done...
  8. Thread: Betfair Hurdle

    by wilsonl
    Replies
    252
    Views
    124,929

    As much as I wanted to get involved I’m too wary...

    As much as I wanted to get involved I’m too wary of carrying small field graded race form into something like this.

    You said it yourself DO, I remember Vicario Di Bray only too well. Had only been...
  9. Thread: Betfair Hurdle

    by wilsonl
    Replies
    252
    Views
    124,929

    I've little doubt he's capable of shrugging off a...

    I've little doubt he's capable of shrugging off a 7lb rise (inc. the reduction in claim) over this C&D Danny. My bigger concern is what's lurking in amongst the other 23 runners.
  10. Thread: Betfair Hurdle

    by wilsonl
    Replies
    252
    Views
    124,929

    It will vary Bookie to Bookie. I'd expect 365 and...

    It will vary Bookie to Bookie. I'd expect 365 and Skybet to bring it in this afternoon but clowns like Hills, Ladbrokes and Corals possibly not until late tomorrow afternoon.
  11. Thread: Betfair Hurdle

    by wilsonl
    Replies
    252
    Views
    124,929

    Betfair are already. Now offering 6 places, 1/5...

    Betfair are already. Now offering 6 places, 1/5 odds. Their own website shows BOG but while Oddschecker says they're NRNB it isn't clear from the Betfair racecard - although it doesn't say ante post...
  12. Thread: Betfair Hurdle

    by wilsonl
    Replies
    252
    Views
    124,929

    That's after the claim DG. 11st 12lb without.

    That's after the claim DG. 11st 12lb without.
  13. Thread: Betfair Hurdle

    by wilsonl
    Replies
    252
    Views
    124,929

    I was all prepared to join the Irish Roe fan club...

    I was all prepared to join the Irish Roe fan club in this but the more I look at Jenkins the more I think he can overcome the 11st 9lb and take this.

    He traveled so powerfully at Ascot over just...
  14. Thread: Betfair Hurdle

    by wilsonl
    Replies
    252
    Views
    124,929

    Read what ?. Where's it say he 100% won't run ?

    Read what ?. Where's it say he 100% won't run ?
  15. Thread: Betfair Hurdle

    by wilsonl
    Replies
    252
    Views
    124,929

    True Grassy but we're talking Paul Nicholls and...

    True Grassy but we're talking Paul Nicholls and not Clive Brittain *. A poor performance from Cliffs of Dover and I doubt he'd throw him into the Champion on his second run from a long lay off.

    *...
  16. Thread: Betfair Hurdle

    by wilsonl
    Replies
    252
    Views
    124,929

    I think the NRNB bet for the Champion Hurdle at...

    I think the NRNB bet for the Champion Hurdle at big prices is decent. If he performs averagely or worse in the Betfair - presuming he runs - then he won't go so you'll get your money back. On the...
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