Reckon connections would be more concerned with finding Audience's ability than concealing it, and the drop in trip could well be the answer. Be a better proposition than the unreliable fav at current odds,imo
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Archiano 3.30L 9/1 B365
Fck me. I got 2s on Korker.
Quite happy with my two.had a run and didnt ruin their hcap Marks.
Bin Hyyan 3.40B 9/2 B365
Kind Gesture - 3.30 Salisbury 7/1 Ew
Amathus - 1.30 Salisbury - 11/4 Win
If anyone is interested in my reasoning, please have a look at my blog
1.55 Salisbury-Creme Chantilly
Each Way @ 10-1 [Bet 365]
She looks a interesting newcomer
Tadreeb - 5.10 Lingfield 9/2 Ew
Natural Path - 5.10 Lingfiled - Ew 10/1 6 places
Reverend Hubert - 8.10 Lingfield Ew 12/1 5 places
Gordon's Jet - 8.10 Lingfield 23/2 Ew 5 Places.
As ever, the rationale behind these choices can be found on my blog.
Nicely done. Profit.
Did you choose that on breeding, stable?
Saturday, Newbury 3.00 - Fivethousandtoone 7/2
Back in July in the Longshot thread I mentioned Run To Freedom:
It didn't run in the Hackwood that day and goes for the Hungerford with as good a chance as anything but what I didn't know was that it had since come out and won. Just behind it that day, on very disadvantageous terms, was Fivethousandtoone and under the current handicap guidelines they weren't allowed to give him a hike to reflect the form. If the reasoning for the guidelines is correct then its chance here is fair enough but if the form of that race can be taken at face value he should be a 6/4 shot. The concern is that it was a three-horse-field, slow-run conditions race and they can throw up very misleading form. But, rated 93, he was only a short head off Run To Freedom (OR 110) receiving just 7lbs and two lengths (6lbs) in front of the 104-rated Royal Commando.
RTF is still 66s for Haydock but at least it's still in the field and if it is 13lbs better than Royal Commando he is entitled to be in the mix for the places there. If he runs well in the Hungerford on Saturday he might shorten.
(Sits back and waits for you know who to throw in his best zinger...)
Is that the race Gisburn goes for?
I backed it each way the last day ran well against an in form horse of Mark Johnstons called I'm A Gambler.
Gisburn for me. A worthy fav.
Poet Of Darkness 7.58Nm
10/1 B365
France
4.45 Clairefontaine-Al Sahara
Each Way @ 8-1 [Bet 365]
Godolphin newcomer of interest
Saturday, Ripon 2.50 - Misty Grey 14/1, 5 places, BOG - I always like this race because it’s quirky. I’m looking for something that acts here and I prefer a higher draw, both allied to a decent mark. CD winner Misty Grey (14/1) ticks all those boxes even though his best form is on the all-weather but he hit a career peak last time dropped back to six furlongs in a very strongly run race and for me there's no conclusive evidence he needs an artificial surface. He might just be on the up. Justanotherbottle is likely to set the race up for him. Blackrod (7/1) was only 11/2 for the Wokingham but didn’t quite run his race there and I have to wonder why he has changed stables since that run. He’s obviously the danger on the ratings but is drawn on the other rail. Summerghand is also handicapped to win another big one and could well get away with a penalty in the Ayr Gold Cup on his best form but he too is drawn wrong for me. I think Misty Grey is a stonking each-way bet at the price with the best place terms on offer.
High Wells - 3.25 Nottingham - 22/1 Ew
I like the look of the fav Blackrod tomorrow....No one can get prices like DO does. Misty Grey 14/1 5 places was available for a short time before it was the only horse that went all blue across the board 8/1 to a high of 10/1 what a coincidence...:whistle:
Fair play to him maybe he got it from the same bookie who was going 7/1 Blackrod who opened at 4/1 and drifted to 9/2.:blink: I wish my bookie had gone 7/1 but alas!!!!
Only bet tomorrow is Tiber Flow in the Hungerford. I got 6/1 on Monday and like I said on the ante-post thread I liked his run in the Commonwealth where he tracked Flotus and kept on without looking dangerous, like a 7f horse would. I fear Chindit if only because he devastated me when he beat Mutasaabeq at Ascot and that's it really. Pogo will be vulnerable leading and if he couldn't win a terrible Lennox he shouldn't be winning this.