Great Field has had another set-back and is out until the autumn.
Great Field has had another set-back and is out until the autumn.
Seems you are correct...when I looked there was nobody jocked up so I assumed the worst. I just took 5/4 NRNB and to my surprise they took the bet without a hitch.............Gotta be a catch.?
The way he was travelling at the Festival min wouldn't have gotten near him and you'd have to think he's come on for the run despite the fall.
UDS has become a bit of a pussy cat throwing the toys out of the pram the minute anything comes near him there's just no fight there....although I must admit I think 2 miles could suit him more in the sense he may be able to keep the gallop up over the shorter trip
I will wait with baited breath to see if Douvan turns up
Formely Fist of Fury
Of course should Mullins pull Min out the deductions would be massive....duh!!!!
Formely Fist of Fury
It's not raining today at least
Some people say he’s the best since Arkle and that’s certainly true when you look at what he’s done
Formely Fist of Fury
i've stepped in on Douvan
UDS's punchestown form is generally a fair bit below what he produces elsewhere and Min has had quite a long season now, going into his 3rd spring festival race
he probably wont need to be that near 100% to win this
Be interesting to see the opening shows later today for the 4:55 tomorrow as there's a serious standout here but I'm worried it won't be missed.
6 places going to be available with Skybet and Paddy.
Alcohol, because no good story ever started with "I was eating this salad..."
Mon Douvan.
All comers, all grounds, all beaten!
This perfect mix of poetry and destruction.
So 365 were first up and had him in as 8/1 fav. Hills have just put up a show and he's 6/1. I've taken the 8s, 5 places, 1/4 odds
The horse of course is Ballyoisin and he must have a huge chance in this.
Ballyoisin (the choice of Geraghty from the JP sextet) is off a mark 25lb lower than his chase rating. He runs here off 131 yet has been running over fences all season with some excellent performances, beginning with a 4 length beating of Doctor Phoenix when giving him 6lb, albeit he had a 7lb claimer on board that day.
He has since been touched off by Disko with the likes of A Toi Phil and Aniballe Fly back in the field then was then the only horse to remotely challenge Un De Sceaux in the market in the Hilly Way before looking like losing out on 2nd place to Top Gamble when taking a tumble two out.
He's only had 3 runs over hurdles, starting with a 4L 3rd behind good horses Limini and Sandymount Duke followed by an 11L, eased down maiden win at Navan.
His final outing over timber was an admirable 3rd here last May, carrying top weight of 11st 10lb. Indicentally, Geragthy's lowest riding weight in the past twelve months is 10st 5lb yet he kicks off his meeting on this, doing 10st 6lb.
To put his chance vs price into perspective; Total Recall had the same chase mark when winning the handicap hurdle at the DRF off 125 (a 31lb differential) and went off at odds on and I'm surprised Ballyoisin is as big as he is, probably partly because of the focus on the Mullins/Elliott horses.
Alcohol, because no good story ever started with "I was eating this salad..."
Outsider (23rd April 2018)
Not sure how you arrive at that conclusion.
UDS is an overlay here.
The only thing I question about this horse at this stage is age.
Altior is not running and while many seem to be swooning over Douvan, his price and current incarnation do not warrant much enthusiasm from me.
I find UDS simply underrated in the scheme of this race and I'll take my chances and pay to find out at 7/1.
ROLL ON THE RESISTANCE !!!
Monalee is stuck-on at 9/4 with Boyles. Bet of the day.
"Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".
SlimChance, March 2018
his 2 chases there
3 length win over just cameron as a novice
1.75 length loss to fox norton with gods own half a length back
doesn't take a long look through the form book to see this is a bit below his best
think he was a better horse back then as well and has been on the wane this season
also had quite a long season now this will be his 3rd spring run
love the horse (think tanlic's talk of him being soft is a nonsense) and wish you luck with your bet but he wouldn't be for me today
I thought that initially too but three times he and Al Boum Photo have met. The first twice there was a length between them and it looked like being a similar scenario in the RSA.
I'm in the camp that feels Monalee is better over the intermediate trip but on further reflection there are still doubts as to whether Al Boum Photo will truly stay 3m, albeit visually he's looked like he might need it on more than one occasion. If he's not as suited to it then Shattered Love, who also comes into this as basically the same horse as Al Boum Photo, has to be the value at 13/2, despite slight concerns about the drying ground and a long season.
What Monalee does have is his jumping and he's a joy to watch so for that reason I'd be happy enough cheering him home but the more solid bet at the prices is Shattered Love e/w IMO.
Last edited by wilsonl; 24th April 2018 at 9:51 AM.
Alcohol, because no good story ever started with "I was eating this salad..."
I wouldn't be surprised if the ground is easier by 6.40 but the form puts Monalee, Al Boum Photo, Shattered Love and even Invitation Only within a good or poor jump of each other. I too think that Shattered Love ew is the most solid bet.
The older I get the better I was.
Faugheen and Yorkhill both declared in the stayers hurdle
Wow Yorkhill has had some campaign!!
Go get them old boy
Yorkhill must be the most brutally campaigned horse in training
Some people say he’s the best since Arkle and that’s certainly true when you look at what he’s done