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Thread: Punchestown Festival 2018

  1. #21
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    Great Field has had another set-back and is out until the autumn.

  2. #22
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tanlic View Post
    Mullins taking the **** yet again....Douvan 5/4 I will believe it when he is at the post and will empty my account at a sniff of thst price..Min wouldn,t get him out of first gear.....which tells me he is not running or hid odds will half if declared....
    Aren’t today’s declarations final?


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  3. #23
    Senior Member Perpetual's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by chroniclandlord View Post
    Great Field has had another set-back and is out until the autumn.
    Such a shame

  4. #24
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tanlic View Post
    Mullins taking the **** yet again....Douvan 5/4 I will believe it when he is at the post and will empty my account at a sniff of thst price..Min wouldn,t get him out of first gear.....which tells me he is not running or hid odds will half if declared....
    Dunno,Fist. Seems Paul Townend has opted to ride him, and there's around 1/4m Euro to split between the first 3 home (assuming Willie is still in the hunt for the trainer's title?). Money back for n/r too, if those are the final decs.
    What could possibly go wrong?

  5. #25
    Senior Member Tanlic's Avatar
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    Seems you are correct...when I looked there was nobody jocked up so I assumed the worst. I just took 5/4 NRNB and to my surprise they took the bet without a hitch.............Gotta be a catch.?

    The way he was travelling at the Festival min wouldn't have gotten near him and you'd have to think he's come on for the run despite the fall.

    UDS has become a bit of a pussy cat throwing the toys out of the pram the minute anything comes near him there's just no fight there....although I must admit I think 2 miles could suit him more in the sense he may be able to keep the gallop up over the shorter trip

    I will wait with baited breath to see if Douvan turns up
    Formely Fist of Fury

  6. #26
    Senior Member Tanlic's Avatar
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    Of course should Mullins pull Min out the deductions would be massive....duh!!!!
    Formely Fist of Fury

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    Senior Member granger's Avatar
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    It's not raining today at least
    Some people say he’s the best since Arkle and that’s certainly true when you look at what he’s done

  8. #28
    Senior Member Tanlic's Avatar
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    Formely Fist of Fury

  9. #29
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    i've stepped in on Douvan

    UDS's punchestown form is generally a fair bit below what he produces elsewhere and Min has had quite a long season now, going into his 3rd spring festival race

    he probably wont need to be that near 100% to win this

  10. #30
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    Be interesting to see the opening shows later today for the 4:55 tomorrow as there's a serious standout here but I'm worried it won't be missed.

    6 places going to be available with Skybet and Paddy.
    Alcohol, because no good story ever started with "I was eating this salad..."

  11. #31
    Senior Member Frankel's Avatar
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    Mon Douvan.
    All comers, all grounds, all beaten!

    This perfect mix of poetry and destruction.

  12. #32
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    Quote Originally Posted by wilsonl View Post
    Be interesting to see the opening shows later today for the 4:55 tomorrow as there's a serious standout here but I'm worried it won't be missed.

    6 places going to be available with Skybet and Paddy.
    So 365 were first up and had him in as 8/1 fav. Hills have just put up a show and he's 6/1. I've taken the 8s, 5 places, 1/4 odds

    The horse of course is Ballyoisin and he must have a huge chance in this.

    Ballyoisin (the choice of Geraghty from the JP sextet) is off a mark 25lb lower than his chase rating. He runs here off 131 yet has been running over fences all season with some excellent performances, beginning with a 4 length beating of Doctor Phoenix when giving him 6lb, albeit he had a 7lb claimer on board that day.

    He has since been touched off by Disko with the likes of A Toi Phil and Aniballe Fly back in the field then was then the only horse to remotely challenge Un De Sceaux in the market in the Hilly Way before looking like losing out on 2nd place to Top Gamble when taking a tumble two out.

    He's only had 3 runs over hurdles, starting with a 4L 3rd behind good horses Limini and Sandymount Duke followed by an 11L, eased down maiden win at Navan.

    His final outing over timber was an admirable 3rd here last May, carrying top weight of 11st 10lb. Indicentally, Geragthy's lowest riding weight in the past twelve months is 10st 5lb yet he kicks off his meeting on this, doing 10st 6lb.


    To put his chance vs price into perspective; Total Recall had the same chase mark when winning the handicap hurdle at the DRF off 125 (a 31lb differential) and went off at odds on and I'm surprised Ballyoisin is as big as he is, probably partly because of the focus on the Mullins/Elliott horses.
    Alcohol, because no good story ever started with "I was eating this salad..."

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  14. #33
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    Quote Originally Posted by JamesRB View Post
    UDS's punchestown form is generally a fair bit below what he produces elsewhere
    Not sure how you arrive at that conclusion.

    UDS is an overlay here.

    The only thing I question about this horse at this stage is age.
    Altior is not running and while many seem to be swooning over Douvan, his price and current incarnation do not warrant much enthusiasm from me.

    I find UDS simply underrated in the scheme of this race and I'll take my chances and pay to find out at 7/1.
    ROLL ON THE RESISTANCE !!!

  15. #34
    Senior Member Grasshopper's Avatar
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    Monalee is stuck-on at 9/4 with Boyles. Bet of the day.
    "Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".

    SlimChance, March 2018

  16. #35
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    Quote Originally Posted by brendanr View Post
    Not sure how you arrive at that conclusion.

    UDS is an overlay here.

    The only thing I question about this horse at this stage is age.
    Altior is not running and while many seem to be swooning over Douvan, his price and current incarnation do not warrant much enthusiasm from me.

    I find UDS simply underrated in the scheme of this race and I'll take my chances and pay to find out at 7/1.
    his 2 chases there

    3 length win over just cameron as a novice

    1.75 length loss to fox norton with gods own half a length back

    doesn't take a long look through the form book to see this is a bit below his best

    think he was a better horse back then as well and has been on the wane this season

    also had quite a long season now this will be his 3rd spring run

    love the horse (think tanlic's talk of him being soft is a nonsense) and wish you luck with your bet but he wouldn't be for me today

  17. #36
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    Quote Originally Posted by Grasshopper View Post
    Monalee is stuck-on at 9/4 with Boyles. Bet of the day.
    I thought that initially too but three times he and Al Boum Photo have met. The first twice there was a length between them and it looked like being a similar scenario in the RSA.

    I'm in the camp that feels Monalee is better over the intermediate trip but on further reflection there are still doubts as to whether Al Boum Photo will truly stay 3m, albeit visually he's looked like he might need it on more than one occasion. If he's not as suited to it then Shattered Love, who also comes into this as basically the same horse as Al Boum Photo, has to be the value at 13/2, despite slight concerns about the drying ground and a long season.

    What Monalee does have is his jumping and he's a joy to watch so for that reason I'd be happy enough cheering him home but the more solid bet at the prices is Shattered Love e/w IMO.
    Last edited by wilsonl; 24th April 2018 at 9:51 AM.
    Alcohol, because no good story ever started with "I was eating this salad..."

  18. #37
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    I wouldn't be surprised if the ground is easier by 6.40 but the form puts Monalee, Al Boum Photo, Shattered Love and even Invitation Only within a good or poor jump of each other. I too think that Shattered Love ew is the most solid bet.
    The older I get the better I was.

  19. #38
    Super Moderator Diamond Geezer's Avatar
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    Faugheen and Yorkhill both declared in the stayers hurdle

  20. #39
    Senior Member tiggers1972's Avatar
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    Wow Yorkhill has had some campaign!!

  21. #40
    Senior Member granger's Avatar
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    Go get them old boy

    Yorkhill must be the most brutally campaigned horse in training
    Some people say he’s the best since Arkle and that’s certainly true when you look at what he’s done

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