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Thread: Ladbrokes Trophy Chase. Newbury. December 2nd.

  1. #81
    Super Moderator Diamond Geezer's Avatar
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    Weather forecast for Friday, could be a hard frost going into Saturday , assume their covers will be on

    http://www.myweather2.com/Horse-Raci...se.aspx?sday=3
    Last edited by Diamond Geezer; 28th November 2017 at 1:11 PM.

  2. #82
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    Oh ****, DG....whats the percentage chance of the meeting being abandoned?

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    Senior Member Euronymous's Avatar
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    Little rain forecast. Not ideal for the fav or American.

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    Definitely not ideal for American, but I wouldn't be concerned about SFP.

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    Tell you what, if this was a flat race I would be all-in on SFP. He's so solid.

    I also like Genie in the Bottle though.

  6. #86
    Senior Member Grasshopper's Avatar
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    Mild worry with Genie is he likes to make it. Front-runners have a decent-enough record in the race, so it's more a personal preference - but you need to be spot-on for pace, to last all the way home.
    "Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".

    SlimChance, March 2018

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    Is it me or is Double Ross a big each way price for a well handicapped horse from a yard that's on fire?

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    Senior Member Grasshopper's Avatar
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    He’s an 11yo who hasn’t yet won over this far, Paul. Can’t have him.
    Last edited by Grasshopper; 29th November 2017 at 9:39 PM.
    "Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".

    SlimChance, March 2018

  9. #89
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    Quote Originally Posted by Grasshopper View Post
    Mild worry with Genie is he likes to make it. Front-runners have a decent-enough record in the race, so it's more a personal preference - but you need to be spot-on for pace, to last all the way home.
    He certainly prefers to be ridden handily but probably doesn't need to make the running. They're going to go a good pace and as long as he gets into a good rhythm in the first four or so, he should be ok. While I wouldn't go overboard, Mala Beach winning on Sunday does the form no harm (I know Mala beach had been off for over 500 days but, A Genie in Abottle was also having his first run of the season and he has needed it historically). I think your 20/1 is looking a sound bet Grassy.

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    Grasshopper (29th November 2017)

  11. #90
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Maruco View Post
    Is it me or is Double Ross a big each way price for a well handicapped horse from a yard that's on fire?
    Sshhhhhhhhhhhhhh, ffs!!
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  12. #91
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    Warren Greatrex isn't doing so badly either, Missed Approach goes in deep waters but I suspect he'll enjoy carrying almost nothing than being top-weight like he was at end of last season in the Scottish National. At 33s just need him to run to his mark and he'll be thereabouts.

  13. #92
    Senior Member Grasshopper's Avatar
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    Children's List the only horse not dec'd for the Hennessy.

    FML.
    Last edited by Grasshopper; 30th November 2017 at 1:25 PM.
    "Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".

    SlimChance, March 2018

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    Hills have gone 7 places, 1/5 odds on the AP market.
    Alcohol, because no good story ever started with "I was eating this salad..."

  15. #94
    Senior Member Grasshopper's Avatar
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    I'll need the fu*cking tricast to break even on this race.
    "Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".

    SlimChance, March 2018

  16. #95
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    Quote Originally Posted by wilsonl View Post
    Hills have gone 7 places, 1/5 odds on the AP market.
    Hi Lee, hope you're well,......does this mean I get these terms on the bet (each way) I placed on Vyta with them at 25's three weeks ago?

    After all these years of talking shite on Talking horses, I still don't know enough about anti-post betting! :
    Last edited by Marb; 30th November 2017 at 1:57 PM.

  17. #96
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    No, marble, you get the terms you took at the time of striking the bet.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  18. #97
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    Thanks Maurice, well I'm 1/4 odds the first four then, as I thought.

    Very much looking forward to the race. I've got £40 each way at 25's which is more than enough for me.

    I hope the horse can do the talking.
    Last edited by Marb; 30th November 2017 at 2:02 PM.

  19. #98
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    Quote Originally Posted by wilsonl View Post
    Hills have gone 7 places, 1/5 odds on the AP market.
    Probably online-only anyway.

  20. #99
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    I'm good thanks Martin, I hope life's treating you well and the luck is in. I can't get a bet on with them if it's any consolation but I'd imagine at least SkyBet will be offering 7 places too so I'll hold fire, although I reckon I'll need 10 places with faller insurance just to stand a chance.

    I like your position on VDR and was tempted a while back but he's been a cliff horse for me so I decided I was going to cut the chord and step back from the cliff. He has a right chance though but the price has largely gone.

    Total Recall is the serious fly in the ointment based on that Munster nash performance and I've a feeling he'll be available at a backable price on the morning. If I can get 7+ with those sort of place terms then he'll be my main bet with an e/w on Double Ross. If I can't and he remains no bigger than 5/1 then I may edge back towards the cliff
    Alcohol, because no good story ever started with "I was eating this salad..."

  21. #100
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    Quote Originally Posted by wilsonl View Post
    I hope life's treating you well
    I wouldn't go this far, but it could be worse!
    Last edited by Marb; 1st December 2017 at 1:28 PM.

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