Not my favourite festival (by far)
But some jumps racing at least
Any value in John Constable off 155 DO?
Not my favourite festival (by far)
But some jumps racing at least
Any value in John Constable off 155 DO?
Some people say he’s the best since Arkle and that’s certainly true when you look at what he’s done
Hopefully setting it up for something off about 10-10.Originally Posted by granger
I think that Rebel Fitz and Overturn would be the highest rated winners of recent times at 145.
Last edited by archie; 24th July 2017 at 6:00 PM.
The older I get the better I was.
Some Galway Hurdle 10 year stats:
10/10 previously won a hurdle over 2m or 2m1f.
9/10 aged 6 or 7. The exception was Clondaw Warrior last year aged 9.
9/10 rated 130 to 145. The exception rated 120.
9/10 carried 10-4 to 11-6. The exception carried 9-10.
Number of days since previous run ranged from 3 to 87 and, interestingly, 7 had their previous run on the flat.
6/10 had won a handicap hurdle previously. Of the other 4, 2 were having their first run in a handicap hurdle.
8/10 started at 7/1 or less although only 3 started favourite.
Last edited by archie; 24th July 2017 at 5:59 PM.
The older I get the better I was.
I have just had an e/w double on Minella Foru 16/1 Plate and Swamp Fox 14/1 Hurdle. I think Minella has been laid out for this since the IGN, rain would help and the forecast is deteriorating for the next week. Swamp Fox strikes me as a rapid improver with more to go.
"And still they gazed and still the wonder grew. That one small head could carry all he knew.
And that small head knew that Impaire Et Passe would win the Champion Hurdle."
Weld out of form at present, might create some value at Galway if his are overbet
Had to back MF this morning, though with very-low confidence. I would puke an ocean if he won here, and I'd not bothered.
"Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".
SlimChance, March 2018
Shanpallas has been trained for the Plate, 4lb lower than 2 years ago when not beaten very far. Would;ve gone off close to favourite last year if hadn't met with a setback.
Chase mark protected since..question is if he retains enough ability at nine years of age.
Riven Light has a nice racing weight and is open to improvement having being running in Graded company in the winter on testing ground. Can see him being the pick of Ruby in the Hurdle.
Forfeit declaration for both races is Thursday so they should take more shape then.
The older I get the better I was.
6 of the last 15 Galway Hurdles were won by horses which had already won at the track, 6 by horses which had never run there previously and 3 by horses which had run there before without winning.
5 of the last 15 Galway Plates were won by horses which had already won at the track, 9 by horses which had never run there previously and only 1 by a horse which had run there before without winning.
Make of this what you will.
Weather Forecast for next week in detail.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z23rc1Dk15A
"And still they gazed and still the wonder grew. That one small head could carry all he knew.
And that small head knew that Impaire Et Passe would win the Champion Hurdle."
edgt (25th July 2017)
I heard that DK Weld is blaming the dust from the Grandstand demolition for the poor form of his horses; a lot of asbestos on the roof seemingly.
Also given the closing of Kevin Ryan's stable during the spring makes one wonder if The Grey Gatsby might have a source of illhealth.
Definitely Swamp Fox and Minella Foru would be my ew double pick at the moment also.
edgt (26th July 2017)
The poor fu*ker
Some people say he’s the best since Arkle and that’s certainly true when you look at what he’s done
Rain is a concern but I've gone for Sandymount Duke for the Plate. Certainly has the ability to win provided the ground is not too soft.
I'm in Spain and don't have my stuff with me but even though I thought he might go up to 158 for last week I reckon something trained in ireland will have as much in hand of its mark as he had two runs back!
Illegitimi non carborundum
granger (28th July 2017)
Forfeits declared and the markets have had time to settle down. I obviously can't and won't bet against Airlie but, without her, I think that Tigris River has an excellent chance in the Hurdle.
Very difficult to carry 11st or more in the Plate. A slight doubt about whether he'll make the cut but On Fiddlers Green ticks most of the boxes as an improver with course form.
The older I get the better I was.
Dicosimo, Peregrine Run, Rathvinden, Landofhopeandglory and Townshend among the initial entries for the 2m2f Nov Chase on Thursday.
I won't look beyond Joseph Patrick's Tigris River in the Galway Hurdle if he goes.
He finished a close up 5th last year has gone up 5lbs since but for me he's a 10lbs better horse this year and the trainer probably improved more than the horse.
Formely Fist of Fury
No runner for Weld in 2yo maiden tomorrow night-big surprise.
The Game Changer (Galway Hurdle) has had a wind op since last run
Just sayin'
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