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Thread: The Long Shot Thread

  1. #581
    Senior Member swedish chef's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by swedish chef View Post
    Monday
    Fakenham 1.55 Pri Massini 28/1 general - Won a PTP just over two years ago over distance and going, but hasn't been seen since - The 2nd that day Woods Well achieved a rating of 134 on his first season under rules and the 3rd Hurricane Dylan had one run in a NHF race btn 6L by Geordie Des Champs rated o/r 140 now. Shame there are only 6 runners but if the horse is over his problems he may have the ability to give his stablemate the fav a race, especially with the 7lb claimer on board, Fergus Gregory (2 wins from last 3 runs for trainer). He's getting nearly a stone off his stablemate and his price tempts me to have a go.
    Trainer wrote on his betfair blog about this horse today.

    Piri Massini (13:55) is a grand horse who has been off the track for a long time, he will certainly come on for his run as he is very fragile and today is a very much a watching brief.
    Pluralism of Ideas and the prosperity of any land are intertwined. Freedom of minds and skill of intellect to 'think the unthinkable' is how humanity has progressed; when minds are incarcerated nothing endures.

  2. #582
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    Steak for tea tonight then? VWD
    Last edited by 2017diary; 22nd January 2018 at 3:05 PM.

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  4. #583
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    Get in!! Cheers chef


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

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  6. #584
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    WOW! Well done Chef.

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    Brilliant Chef saw this last night and didn't back it have no idea why. Top work again.
    Man who catch fly with chopstick .... accomplish anything.

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  10. #586
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    Incredible stuff, well.done chef. Gutted I didn't jump on.

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  12. #587
    Senior Member Grasshopper's Avatar
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    Only occasionally look into the thread, but it seems Chef (and others) are in ripe form, banging-in the long-shots.

    Great work.
    "Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".

    SlimChance, March 2018

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  14. #588
    Senior Member swedish chef's Avatar
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    BOOOOOOMMMMMM!!

    Was watching race at work when 3 out someone came in the office and had to turn it off - then the fire alarms went off, sorted that out and finally saw the result - all I know is my account is £670 better off - got the f/c matched at 100.0 - I also have the stable runners in an e/way acca and win trebles with 7/2 & 28/1 for first two winners - LOVELY JUBBLY - Now I need to find a replay.
    Pluralism of Ideas and the prosperity of any land are intertwined. Freedom of minds and skill of intellect to 'think the unthinkable' is how humanity has progressed; when minds are incarcerated nothing endures.

  15. #589
    Senior Member swedish chef's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by swedish chef View Post
    BOOOOOOMMMMMM!!

    Was watching race at work when 3 out someone came in the office and had to turn it off - then the fire alarms went off, sorted that out and finally saw the result - all I know is my account is £670 better off - got the f/c matched at 100.0 - I also have the stable runners in an e/way acca and win trebles with 7/2 & 28/1 for first two winners - LOVELY JUBBLY - Now I need to find a replay.
    22-Jan-18
    14:05:34 13:55 Fakenham
    1 - 4 - Forecast
    Betfair Bet ID 1:11432230***** | Placed: 22-Jan-18 13:36:09 Back 27.00 2.00 --
    -2.00
    Lost
    22-Jan-18
    14:05:34 13:55 Fakenham
    4 - 1 - Forecast
    Betfair Bet ID 1:1143****** | Placed: 22-Jan-18 13:43:24 Back 100.00 2.00 --
    198.00
    Won
    22-Jan-18
    14:05:33 13:55 Fakenham
    Piri Massini - 3 TBP (3 TBP)
    Betfair Bet ID 1:1143104****** | Placed: 22-Jan-18 10:24:08 Back 4.22 10.00 --
    32.22
    Won
    22-Jan-18
    14:05:32 13:55 Fakenham
    Piri Massini - To Be Placed (2 TBP)
    Betfair Bet ID 1:1143137***** | Placed: 22-Jan-18 11:25:05 Back 10.50 3.00 --
    28.50
    Won
    22-Jan-18
    14:05:32 13:55 Fakenham
    Piri Massini - Win
    Betfair Bet ID 1:1143225***** | Placed: 22-Jan-18 13:40:06 Back 46.00 2.35 --
    105.75
    Won

    Boom! You have won £185.00
    Single Each Way
    W
    13:55 NOVICES' HURDLE 2m 7f 95y - Each Way
    20/1
    Piri Massini
    28/1
    E/W Terms: 1/4 Odds | 2 Places
    Stake:
    £10.00
    Returns:
    £185.00
    Bet ID: O/6561083/*****

    Boom! You have won £111.00
    Single Each Way
    W
    13:55 NOVICES' HURDLE 2m 7f 95y - Each Way
    20/1
    Piri Massini
    28/1
    E/W Terms: 1/4 Odds | 2 Places
    Stake:
    £6.00
    Returns:
    £111.00
    ---------------------------------------------------

    Trebles

    0 Legs In-Play
    Stake £11.30


    Awaiting Result
    Potential Return: £4,379.49
    Cash Out Part of Your Bet
    WON Leg 1: Win | Hurricane Rita | 7/2
    LOST Leg 2: Win | Ataman | 20/1
    WON Leg 3: Win | Piri Massini | 28/1
    PLACED Leg 4: Win | Rio Quinto | 4/5

    Leg 5: Win | 5 More Than Luck | 6/1

    Leg 6: Win | 1 Captiva Island | 15/8

    Leg 7: Win | 4 No Alarm | 50/1

    Leg 8: Win | 3 Flynnvincible | 20/1

    Leg 9: Win | 2 Wood Pigeon | 9/4

    Leg 10: Win | 6 Bisoubisou | 7/4

    Leg 11: Win | 4 Flow With Eve | 5/1
    Pluralism of Ideas and the prosperity of any land are intertwined. Freedom of minds and skill of intellect to 'think the unthinkable' is how humanity has progressed; when minds are incarcerated nothing endures.

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  17. #590
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    Unbelievable stuff, Chef!!!

    I got 28/1 last night. To say I'm fair chuffed is putting it mildly.

    You can take over this thread any time!!
    Illegitimi non carborundum


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    Nice work, Chef.
    Ah! but a man's reach should exceed his grasp......

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    Incredible stuff Chef, great shooting. Really chuffed for you.

    What a day to follow Olly Murphy. Must be a very nice overall return.
    Last edited by wilsonl; 22nd January 2018 at 5:03 PM.
    Alcohol, because no good story ever started with "I was eating this salad..."

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    Quote Originally Posted by wilsonl View Post
    Incredible stuff Chef, great shooting. Really chuffed for you.

    What a day to follow Olly Murphy. Must be a very nice overall return.
    Yes one of my better days - with the 4 trebles just coming in about £47 laid out and just short of £800 returned.
    Pluralism of Ideas and the prosperity of any land are intertwined. Freedom of minds and skill of intellect to 'think the unthinkable' is how humanity has progressed; when minds are incarcerated nothing endures.

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    Tuesday
    Leicester 1.00 Hayley Belle 22/1
    Positives
    Ran a good race l/t/o against better horses imo at least going by racing post ratings - leading for 2 1/2 miles before either running out of stamina or a breathing problem as jockey pulled her up very quickly. Lost many lengths in the process by jumping violently right, so a switch to a right handed track should suit. Cost the most of all the horses in the race at £48,000 but no information on how much J.P.McManus paid for his. Won a PTP over 3 miles on the going and wears a tongue tie for the first time. Many of trainers(Mark Bradstock) horses like to gallop off in front. Trainers last two runners finished 3rd & 2nd so stable form looking good. Hopefully I see her making the running and if tongue tie works to good effect she may see her race out better over 1/2 a mile shorter. Odds look too big.
    Pluralism of Ideas and the prosperity of any land are intertwined. Freedom of minds and skill of intellect to 'think the unthinkable' is how humanity has progressed; when minds are incarcerated nothing endures.

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  26. #595
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    May I respectfully suggest that people thinking of backing this one hold off for a couple of hours?

    Only three or four firms have priced the race up (best price 25/1) and it's possible 28/1 or 33/1 might be on offer by mid-evening.

    I like the idea of NDB riding this one for the Bradstocks.

    (Don't see any McManus horse in the field, by the way, Chef.)
    Last edited by Desert Orchid; 22nd January 2018 at 6:18 PM.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


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    Quote Originally Posted by Desert Orchid View Post
    May I respectfully suggest that people thinking of backing this one hold off for a couple of hours?

    Only three or four firms have priced the race up (best price 25/1) and it's possible 28/1 or 33/1 might be on offer by mid-evening.

    I like the idea of NDB riding this one for the Bradstocks.

    (Don't see any McManus horse in the field, by the way, Chef.)
    I saw a Johnjo horse and mistook the colours for McManus - rechecked and it shows they paid £20,000 for this horse so my selection is the most expensive purchase. Found this on the Bradstock website written before horse had run.

    Hayley Belle
    Born: 2011
    Sire: Flemensfirth (USA)
    Dam: Tart of Tipp (IRE)

    Hayley is a massive 17 hand mare who had won a point to point in Ireland as a five year old before we bought her. The strain of doing that when she was clearly nowhere near fully mature had left her with some growing pains in her joints and so she has spent the year in the field to get over that. Before we decided that she needed that time, she had shown us a real engine which was not a surprise as she is out of a half sister to Plaid Maid who has given us Carruthers, Coneygree and Flintham. She is now so fat that she looks like a brood mare but we will give her a good long slow preparation and we cannot wait for the moment that she makes it to the racecourse.
    Pluralism of Ideas and the prosperity of any land are intertwined. Freedom of minds and skill of intellect to 'think the unthinkable' is how humanity has progressed; when minds are incarcerated nothing endures.

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    Thanks for the write up and info, Chef, and well done for today. You

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    Well done (again) Chef. Good to see one of us in decent picking nick.

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    Quote Originally Posted by DanB88 View Post
    Going to try 2 tomorrow at Wolves. Each way singles and double.8

    5.50 - Argent Knight 20/1 (365 & Ladbrokes)

    Have to go back in his form, think he's had some time off injured more recently. Basically the argument is that this is 3rd run back from the layoff. Class 5 should be well within his compass. Trip could be slightly sharp and so I'd hope to see him plugging on at the death. The mark is very fair.

    6.50 Gealach Ghorm 20/1 generally

    Looked a non-stayer last time out and the drop back to the 9.5f will hopefully suit. Handicap mark should be workable and hopefully from what is a decent draw I'm hoping we can get a decent early position and go from there.

    The worry is that we get 2 pulled out and end up at EW 1-2.

    Good luck all.
    Nothing doing.

    Argent Knight showing nothing like his old form.

    Gealach Ghorm withdrawn.

  35. #600
    Senior Member swedish chef's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by swedish chef View Post
    Tuesday
    Leicester 1.00 Hayley Belle 22/1
    Positives
    Ran a good race l/t/o against better horses imo at least going by racing post ratings - leading for 2 1/2 miles before either running out of stamina or a breathing problem as jockey pulled her up very quickly. Lost many lengths in the process by jumping violently right, so a switch to a right handed track should suit. Cost the most of all the horses in the race at £48,000 but no information on how much J.P.McManus paid for his. Won a PTP over 3 miles on the going and wears a tongue tie for the first time. Many of trainers(Mark Bradstock) horses like to gallop off in front. Trainers last two runners finished 3rd & 2nd so stable form looking good. Hopefully I see her making the running and if tongue tie works to good effect she may see her race out better over 1/2 a mile shorter. Odds look too big.
    Non - runner Reason: Vets Cert (Lame)
    Last edited by swedish chef; 23rd January 2018 at 11:18 AM.
    Pluralism of Ideas and the prosperity of any land are intertwined. Freedom of minds and skill of intellect to 'think the unthinkable' is how humanity has progressed; when minds are incarcerated nothing endures.

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