Page 10 of 117 FirstFirst ... 567891011121314152060110 ... LastLast
Results 181 to 200 of 2332

Thread: The Long Shot Thread

  1. #181
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Posts
    3,410
    Thanks
    600
    Thanked 581 Times in 486 Posts
    Fantastic call. You've had some right touches this week DO. Well done

    Shame I've paid f**k all attention


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

  2. #182
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Dec 2003
    Location
    Talbot Green
    Posts
    13,268
    Thanks
    2,133
    Thanked 958 Times in 720 Posts
    Blog Entries
    1
    Excellent work, DO.
    Ah! but a man's reach should exceed his grasp......

  3. #183
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Posts
    23,660
    Thanks
    2,930
    Thanked 3,483 Times in 2,743 Posts
    Thanks, guys. It's always nice when a longshot comes in.

    Those who know me better than just via the forum will know I've been on the longest losing run of my betting 'career' with just the occasional winner along the way to temper the despair. I'd pretty much decided to give up completely if I couldn't make Ascot pay.

    Harry Angel - or should I say Caravaggio - beat me for a near 900/1 treble the other day. That would have recovered all losses and put me a long way in front over the period. Such is racing.

    Mrs O has been nagging me for 36 years about my hobby but even she was upset [for me] when I told her I was thinking of giving up. I might have had to sit and watch TV with her...
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  4. The Following User Says Thank You to Desert Orchid For This Useful Post:

    PRICEWISE2008 (25th June 2017)

  5. #184
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Dec 2003
    Location
    Talbot Green
    Posts
    13,268
    Thanks
    2,133
    Thanked 958 Times in 720 Posts
    Blog Entries
    1
    Stick with it, DO, you know it makes sense.

    Struggling to maintain interest myself, unable to go racing anymore and the TV coverage just doesn't do it for me, too many talking heads (spouting cliche after cliche) and not enough walking horses.
    Ah! but a man's reach should exceed his grasp......

  6. #185
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jan 2017
    Posts
    912
    Thanks
    572
    Thanked 319 Times in 293 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by viking View Post
    Fantastic call. You've had some right touches this week DO. Well done

    Shame I've paid f**k all attention


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    I'm in that camp too DO but that's my loss - big respect for the regular winners you post

  7. The Following User Says Thank You to 2017diary For This Useful Post:

    PRICEWISE2008 (25th June 2017)

  8. #186
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Posts
    23,660
    Thanks
    2,930
    Thanked 3,483 Times in 2,743 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Colin Phillips View Post
    Struggling to maintain interest myself, unable to go racing anymore and the TV coverage just doesn't do it for me, too many talking heads (spouting cliche after cliche) and not enough walking horses.
    The new RP site hasn't helped. It was my go-to site for copying & pasting cards that I could then edit, print and annotate. I experimented for a while a couple of seasons back with Raceform Interactive but it didn't/couldn't do what I wanted as it doesn't have the capacity to think as laterally as I sometimes do.

    At the moment I can access and do as before via the RP bloodstock site as the cards there are still in the old format so I'll keep going for as long as that keeps going.

    But the fact is my ratings have been fine, I've just been picking the wrong horses on the day. Strangely, though, it's the festival meetings where I tend to come good which leads me to believe the ones I believe are the best in the race probably are but aren't there to win.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  9. #187
    Senior Member Euronymous's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2005
    Location
    Leyland
    Posts
    18,859
    Thanks
    336
    Thanked 833 Times in 691 Posts
    Nice work DO.

  10. #188
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Apr 2009
    Posts
    3,698
    Thanks
    22
    Thanked 22 Times in 18 Posts
    My punting this year is my best ever and I've done the least work and bet less than ever.... Strange how these things play out.
    I'm clever enough to ask the questions i'm too stupid to answer

  11. #189
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Location
    North Cork. Home of steeple chasing
    Posts
    5,341
    Thanks
    2,209
    Thanked 1,335 Times in 801 Posts
    Blog Entries
    7
    Great punting DO.
    great to read your progress through the week also, so thanks for sharing.
    My own punting week was brutal but a double at Gowran park took all the losses away, all 40 euro of it !!

  12. The Following User Says Thank You to edgt For This Useful Post:

    PRICEWISE2008 (25th June 2017)

  13. #190
    Senior Member Grasshopper's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2006
    Posts
    16,018
    Thanks
    1,467
    Thanked 1,553 Times in 1,112 Posts
    Blog Entries
    3
    I'm having two bites at the 20:00 novice chase at Kilbeggan.

    A few in here running under big penalties, have yet to give me the impression that they will necessarily be capable of defying them, and I'm drawn towards Aspen Colorado (33/1), as one who might be able to take advantage of the bit of weight he receives this evening.

    He was rated mid-120s as a hurdler, which would theoretically leave him with a fair bit to find with the likes of Dicosimo (for example), but Aspen Colorado was lightly-raced over hurdles, and I wouldn't want to judge him too harshly on that measure. His maiden chase was two weeks ago, where he was given a very quiet ride (returning after 6 months off), and it's interesting that he is pitched in against many of the same horses, so quickly again. On breeding, he'd be wanting this kind of trip.

    Landofhopeandglory was in that same maiden chase, finishing 4th and a 1/2 length behind Potters Point. The pair re-oppose on the same terms today (as does Aspen Colorado), with LOHAG again getting a stack of weight. He shouoldn't have too much trouble improving past Potters Point, and his chance is obvious. I've therefore done the LAHOG/AC straight forecast as a cover-bet (a shade over 59/1 with B365).
    "Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".

    SlimChance, March 2018

  14. The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to Grasshopper For This Useful Post:

    Len Madeiros (26th June 2017), PRICEWISE2008 (26th June 2017)

  15. #191
    Senior Member Grey's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2004
    Location
    Dublin
    Posts
    9,397
    Thanks
    882
    Thanked 912 Times in 550 Posts
    John Ferguson had a lot of success in maiden and novice hurdles with Godolphin refugees from the flat, but there tended to be a glass ceiling to their progress.

    It's going to be interesting to see how Joseph gets on with these Ballydoyle rejects.

    I think it's rare enough for horses bred purely for the flat to do well over fences in particular.

  16. #192
    Senior Member Grasshopper's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2006
    Posts
    16,018
    Thanks
    1,467
    Thanked 1,553 Times in 1,112 Posts
    Blog Entries
    3
    Agreed, Art.....but I don't think you'd need to be anything very fancy, to beat the ones carrying the penalties. in this particular race.
    "Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".

    SlimChance, March 2018

  17. #193
    Senior Member Grasshopper's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2006
    Posts
    16,018
    Thanks
    1,467
    Thanked 1,553 Times in 1,112 Posts
    Blog Entries
    3
    Picked the wrong outer.
    "Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".

    SlimChance, March 2018

  18. #194
    Senior Member Grey's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2004
    Location
    Dublin
    Posts
    9,397
    Thanks
    882
    Thanked 912 Times in 550 Posts
    In fairness I would have opposed Landofhopeandglory as well as his stablemate, but he held on after a mistake at the last. Not bad going for a 4yo, perhaps the German side of the pedigree helps when it comes to chasing.

  19. #195
    Senior Member swedish chef's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jun 2010
    Location
    London
    Posts
    4,847
    Thanks
    580
    Thanked 580 Times in 401 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by swedish chef View Post
    Ayr 3.30 Kentuckyconnection 25/1 - Just over a year ago he finished 5th in the 2,000 guineas and took part in G2's and listed races last season. Ran well f/t/o this season but didn't handle 1m2f on soft ground l/t/o. Handicapper has dropped him to a mark of 92 and it wouldn't surprise if back to a mile on good ground he ran well.
    Out again 3.40 Newcastle and still looks overpriced to me.
    Pluralism of Ideas and the prosperity of any land are intertwined. Freedom of minds and skill of intellect to 'think the unthinkable' is how humanity has progressed; when minds are incarcerated nothing endures.

  20. #196
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2014
    Location
    Salford
    Posts
    157
    Thanks
    6
    Thanked 24 Times in 23 Posts
    Blog Entries
    1
    Quote Originally Posted by swedish chef View Post
    Out again 3.40 Newcastle and still looks overpriced to me.
    Well done SC.

  21. #197
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Posts
    23,660
    Thanks
    2,930
    Thanked 3,483 Times in 2,743 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Desert Orchid View Post
    Ascot Stakes - Suegioo 25/1

    One of the hurdlers will probably win and Suegioo might well just be prepping for the Northumberland Plate but he's the best in on Flat form of the entire field.
    33/1 today. Carries an each-way interest.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  22. #198
    Senior Member Grasshopper's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2006
    Posts
    16,018
    Thanks
    1,467
    Thanked 1,553 Times in 1,112 Posts
    Blog Entries
    3
    Sort of can't help myself with this one.

    Minella Foru was my Nash and Irish Nash ante-post horse last season, but didn't run in the former, and jumped like a pig in the latter, before hitting the deck after about a mile.

    He is dropped right back in trip to 2m this evening in the Grimes Hurdle at Tipp, and whilst he is perhaps a bit of a forlorn hope (outsider of McManus's four in the race), he does at least have G3 winning form over hurdles from early in his career, so there are some tenuous reasons to roll the dice today - based purely on it being a bit of an odd race to run him in.

    33/1 with Hills big enough to tempt me in.
    "Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".

    SlimChance, March 2018

  23. The Following User Says Thank You to Grasshopper For This Useful Post:

    PRICEWISE2008 (6th July 2017)

  24. #199
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Location
    North Cork. Home of steeple chasing
    Posts
    5,341
    Thanks
    2,209
    Thanked 1,335 Times in 801 Posts
    Blog Entries
    7
    Getting ready for Galway Plate Grassy; are there prices up yet ???
    He was too fresh at Fairyhouse and they need to get a race into him before then.
    That said he should not be too far away being a graded hurdle winner.

  25. #200
    Senior Member Grasshopper's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2006
    Posts
    16,018
    Thanks
    1,467
    Thanked 1,553 Times in 1,112 Posts
    Blog Entries
    3
    Yep, Eddie - Slim said much the same thing. He is currently rated h137 and c145 (I think) so either of the big races could be the plan - in which case, they might not be trying too hard tonight, but I'm hopeful he can comfortably out-run the odds. We'll see.

    PS. No Galway betting on Oddschecker as yet.

    PPS. Well done to DO on his recent run. I've not been following the thread too closely (obvious given time of year), but nothing like a juicy one or two, to restore the punting equilibrium.
    Last edited by Grasshopper; 6th July 2017 at 11:41 AM.
    "Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".

    SlimChance, March 2018

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •