Fantastic call. You've had some right touches this week DO. Well done
Shame I've paid f**k all attention
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Fantastic call. You've had some right touches this week DO. Well done
Shame I've paid f**k all attention
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Excellent work, DO.
Ah! but a man's reach should exceed his grasp......
Thanks, guys. It's always nice when a longshot comes in.
Those who know me better than just via the forum will know I've been on the longest losing run of my betting 'career' with just the occasional winner along the way to temper the despair. I'd pretty much decided to give up completely if I couldn't make Ascot pay.
Harry Angel - or should I say Caravaggio - beat me for a near 900/1 treble the other day. That would have recovered all losses and put me a long way in front over the period. Such is racing.
Mrs O has been nagging me for 36 years about my hobby but even she was upset [for me] when I told her I was thinking of giving up. I might have had to sit and watch TV with her...
Illegitimi non carborundum
PRICEWISE2008 (25th June 2017)
Stick with it, DO, you know it makes sense.
Struggling to maintain interest myself, unable to go racing anymore and the TV coverage just doesn't do it for me, too many talking heads (spouting cliche after cliche) and not enough walking horses.
Ah! but a man's reach should exceed his grasp......
PRICEWISE2008 (25th June 2017)
The new RP site hasn't helped. It was my go-to site for copying & pasting cards that I could then edit, print and annotate. I experimented for a while a couple of seasons back with Raceform Interactive but it didn't/couldn't do what I wanted as it doesn't have the capacity to think as laterally as I sometimes do.
At the moment I can access and do as before via the RP bloodstock site as the cards there are still in the old format so I'll keep going for as long as that keeps going.
But the fact is my ratings have been fine, I've just been picking the wrong horses on the day. Strangely, though, it's the festival meetings where I tend to come good which leads me to believe the ones I believe are the best in the race probably are but aren't there to win.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Nice work DO.
My punting this year is my best ever and I've done the least work and bet less than ever.... Strange how these things play out.
I'm clever enough to ask the questions i'm too stupid to answer
Great punting DO.
great to read your progress through the week also, so thanks for sharing.
My own punting week was brutal but a double at Gowran park took all the losses away, all 40 euro of it !!
PRICEWISE2008 (25th June 2017)
I'm having two bites at the 20:00 novice chase at Kilbeggan.
A few in here running under big penalties, have yet to give me the impression that they will necessarily be capable of defying them, and I'm drawn towards Aspen Colorado (33/1), as one who might be able to take advantage of the bit of weight he receives this evening.
He was rated mid-120s as a hurdler, which would theoretically leave him with a fair bit to find with the likes of Dicosimo (for example), but Aspen Colorado was lightly-raced over hurdles, and I wouldn't want to judge him too harshly on that measure. His maiden chase was two weeks ago, where he was given a very quiet ride (returning after 6 months off), and it's interesting that he is pitched in against many of the same horses, so quickly again. On breeding, he'd be wanting this kind of trip.
Landofhopeandglory was in that same maiden chase, finishing 4th and a 1/2 length behind Potters Point. The pair re-oppose on the same terms today (as does Aspen Colorado), with LOHAG again getting a stack of weight. He shouoldn't have too much trouble improving past Potters Point, and his chance is obvious. I've therefore done the LAHOG/AC straight forecast as a cover-bet (a shade over 59/1 with B365).
"Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".
SlimChance, March 2018
Len Madeiros (26th June 2017), PRICEWISE2008 (26th June 2017)
John Ferguson had a lot of success in maiden and novice hurdles with Godolphin refugees from the flat, but there tended to be a glass ceiling to their progress.
It's going to be interesting to see how Joseph gets on with these Ballydoyle rejects.
I think it's rare enough for horses bred purely for the flat to do well over fences in particular.
Agreed, Art.....but I don't think you'd need to be anything very fancy, to beat the ones carrying the penalties. in this particular race.
"Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".
SlimChance, March 2018
Picked the wrong outer.
"Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".
SlimChance, March 2018
In fairness I would have opposed Landofhopeandglory as well as his stablemate, but he held on after a mistake at the last. Not bad going for a 4yo, perhaps the German side of the pedigree helps when it comes to chasing.
Pluralism of Ideas and the prosperity of any land are intertwined. Freedom of minds and skill of intellect to 'think the unthinkable' is how humanity has progressed; when minds are incarcerated nothing endures.
Sort of can't help myself with this one.
Minella Foru was my Nash and Irish Nash ante-post horse last season, but didn't run in the former, and jumped like a pig in the latter, before hitting the deck after about a mile.
He is dropped right back in trip to 2m this evening in the Grimes Hurdle at Tipp, and whilst he is perhaps a bit of a forlorn hope (outsider of McManus's four in the race), he does at least have G3 winning form over hurdles from early in his career, so there are some tenuous reasons to roll the dice today - based purely on it being a bit of an odd race to run him in.
33/1 with Hills big enough to tempt me in.
"Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".
SlimChance, March 2018
PRICEWISE2008 (6th July 2017)
Getting ready for Galway Plate Grassy; are there prices up yet ???
He was too fresh at Fairyhouse and they need to get a race into him before then.
That said he should not be too far away being a graded hurdle winner.
Yep, Eddie - Slim said much the same thing. He is currently rated h137 and c145 (I think) so either of the big races could be the plan - in which case, they might not be trying too hard tonight, but I'm hopeful he can comfortably out-run the odds. We'll see.
PS. No Galway betting on Oddschecker as yet.
PPS. Well done to DO on his recent run. I've not been following the thread too closely (obvious given time of year), but nothing like a juicy one or two, to restore the punting equilibrium.
Last edited by Grasshopper; 6th July 2017 at 11:41 AM.
"Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".
SlimChance, March 2018