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Thread: The Nicky Henderson Thread

  1. #281
    Super Moderator Diamond Geezer's Avatar
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    This week's blog and Kotkikova retired

    https://www.unibet.co.uk/blog/horse-...ekend-1.998855

  2. #282
    Senior Member TheBear's Avatar
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    Henderson today talking about Brain Power’s chances in the Arkle. ‘He was the best of them over hurdles by quite a long way’

    Ever the optimist!


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    Senior Member Grasshopper's Avatar
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    He has heard of Footpad and Petit Mouchoir presumably?
    "Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".

    SlimChance, March 2018

  4. #284
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    optimist = im to pist
    The older I get the better I was.

  5. #285
    Super Moderator Diamond Geezer's Avatar
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    Report on NH Pre Festival Media Day held today

    https://www.sportinglife.com/racing/...le-tour/143224

  6. #286
    Senior Member trudij's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by archie View Post
    optimist = im to pist
    Not in February he’s not !!


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    #YourStorm
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  7. #287
    Senior Member Kauto Abu's Avatar
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    The 3rd option here at 7/1 looks a great bet to me.





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  8. #288
    Senior Member Tanlic's Avatar
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    all place 7/1 is a very good bet..couldn't see you getting that price backing them one by one
    Formely Fist of Fury

  9. #289
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    But Apples Shakira and On The Blind Side are likely to be contesting pretty hot Triumphs and Ballymores.

    and the "place" will inevitably require a first three finish whereas on the day you'll probably get 5 places. Meaning therefore there's a good chance On The Blind Side is running for one of two remaining places.

    Without even getting to Might Bite.
    Last edited by wilsonl; 21st February 2018 at 1:58 PM.
    Alcohol, because no good story ever started with "I was eating this salad..."

  10. #290
    Senior Member Grasshopper's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by wilsonl View Post
    Without even getting to Might Bite.
    Much like the remainder of the Gold Cup field.........
    "Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".

    SlimChance, March 2018

  11. #291
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    I hope so Grass
    Alcohol, because no good story ever started with "I was eating this salad..."

  12. #292
    Senior Member Tanlic's Avatar
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    as I was saying Shite bet that 7/1
    Formely Fist of Fury

  13. #293
    Senior Member Kauto Abu's Avatar
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    The Nicky Henderson Thread

    Quote Originally Posted by wilsonl View Post
    But Apples Shakira and On The Blind Side are likely to be contesting pretty hot Triumphs and Ballymores.

    and the "place" will inevitably require a first three finish whereas on the day you'll probably get 5 places. Meaning therefore there's a good chance On The Blind Side is running for one of two remaining places.

    Without even getting to Might Bite.
    Id expect OTBS to at least place in the ballymore and Apples to win the Triumph understanding it required a top 3 finish at the time of placing the bet. You may get 5 places on the day for some races but definitely not all and they certainly wouldn’t accumulate to 7/1.

    Every one of those has a very realistic chance of winning. Factoring in that all 5 have course winning form which is very important come festival time and you have 4 favs & a second fav and allowing for the fact that 2 are long odds on 7/1 seems ok to me.


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    Last edited by Kauto Abu; 21st February 2018 at 3:53 PM.

  14. #294
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    I don't think it's particularly bad value. I just don't think it's great value either.

    But everybody has a different perception of what is value.
    Alcohol, because no good story ever started with "I was eating this salad..."

  15. #295
    Senior Member Perpetual's Avatar
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    The place part of the EW acca with B365 (1/4 the odds, NRNB and BOG) comes out at 7.08/1. I know you can't back it place only, but sort of proves it's OK value and nothing more

  16. #296
    Senior Member Tanlic's Avatar
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    As I was saying that 7/1 is ok Value

    Actually it's hard to tell as prices in the place market fluctuate like crazy art times.

    1.3 can become 1.45 and vice versa in seconds.
    One draw back about backing them one at a time is when the first 2 win the temptation not to put the pot back on becomes hard to resist.

    A lot of these bets have no cash out option so once your in your in.
    Formely Fist of Fury

  17. #297
    Super Moderator Diamond Geezer's Avatar
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    This week's blog and supporting Musselburgh

    https://www.unibet.co.uk/blog/horse-...urse-1.1001367

  18. #298
    Senior Member Tanlic's Avatar
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    It may not be the end of the world but take heed next season could be tough for Nicky Henderson. (No his wife hasn't locked the liquor cabinet and hidden the key)

    Kempton is a meeting Nicky regards as a great meeting to sharpen up novices and other prior to Cheltenham. He reckons the sharp track is ideal to put an edge on them.

    Last year he was winning the Dovecote for the 7th time and this year he pinned his hopes on Epsom Derby 5th Humphrey Bogart who proved to be slower than the African Queen (See movies)

    Pym thought to be a possible Champion Bumper horse also got he a$$ felt further emphasizing this could be his worst crop in years.

    Time will tell but I'd go steady with those Cheltenham bets on his novices this year
    Formely Fist of Fury

  19. #299
    Senior Member Kauto Abu's Avatar
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    Apple's Shakira, Brain Power, Burbank, Days Of Heaven, Kilcrea Vale, Thomas Campbell, L'Ami Serge, Style De Garde, O O Seven, Fixe Le Kap, On The Blind Side, My Tent Or Yours and Gallahers Cross all set to work tomorrow at Kempton’s all weather track from 10.30am.


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    Perpetual (26th February 2018)

  21. #300
    Senior Member Perpetual's Avatar
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    Am liking that Gallahers Cross is in the squad. I know Nicky has an awful champion bumper record, but he's one that may go off a big price and think there's every chance he hits the frame

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