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Thread: The 'Will Win' Thread (Copy)

  1. #21
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    I don't see how I can possibly give you a higher mark.

    I turned a profit on the win and place markets and that was without trading on the photo, as I thought it won and it's always end up a dead heat when I bet/lay on photo finishes.

    1 up as far as I'm concerned.

  2. #22
    Senior Member Bar the Bull's Avatar
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    As soon as one is put up with a get-out price and intention, then fine.

    Otherwise, no dice.
    Welsh and Proud.

  3. #23
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    Unlucky Slim, great tip, always one isnt there to beat you.

  4. #24
    SlimChance
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bar the Bull View Post
    As soon as one is put up with a get-out price and intention, then fine.

    Otherwise, no dice.
    My get out price would have been 1.01
    I predicted the SP would be 9/2 (returned 5/1) but the Betfair SP was 5.9 so surely I'm the morale winner there.
    She was fav in the photo so again a morale winner

    While I appreciate you are grading me to the highest standards can you please recheck my score?

  5. #25
    Senior Member On The Bridle's Avatar
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    I'm still empty reaching 6 hours later....great thread
    Do not mistake my silence for ignorance, my calmness for acceptance nor my kindness for weakness.

  6. #26
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    Great idea for a thread, Slim, and unlucky with your first one.
    Wouldn't be everyone's cup of tea at the price (currently 11/10 tops), but Ryan Moore pays his first ever visit to Southwell AW tomorrow, specifically to ride his father's easy lto course winner Stentorian, and the hint should be taken.

  7. #27
    SlimChance
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    Quote Originally Posted by reet hard View Post
    Great idea for a thread, Slim, and unlucky with your first one.
    Wouldn't be everyone's cup of tea at the price (currently 11/10 tops), but Ryan Moore pays his first ever visit to Southwell AW tomorrow, specifically to ride his father's easy lto course winner Stentorian, and the hint should be taken.
    Surely thats enough for it to go off 4/7 or shorter. Is the form in the book?

  8. #28
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    Ponty 4.15 Spanish Duke @ 8/1 & 7/1

    I wouldn't beg borrow or steal to back this, but I have had a decent bet on this, even though I'm clueless how the stable move will affect the horse. It's a competitive race with the rag price only 14/1.

    Pointless profiling this race, as most of the trainers have a decent record with the race, but the Ellison has won the race at 16/1 from three attempts recently.

    I simply think there are a few factors that combined mqake him a bet for me.

    I'm keeping a close eye on the ex J. Dunlop horses, as he had a terrible season, even if he did recover slightly at the end of the season.

    SD comes here on a mark of 92, 3lb lower than last winning mark, but had little chance last year running off the 100's, from a stable totally out of form.

    Career best run came on a stiff 10f on g- g/s and has a decent draw.

    Won off a similar break break before.

    Although it's entirely possible other targets are the plan, I really wouldn't expect the 1st time hood to be on.

    There is another ex Dunlop horse making it's debut for new trainer, but his best form appears to be with "firm".

    If anyone can put me off, all comments welcome.

  9. #29
    SlimChance
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    If you don't know that the stable fancy it you're essentially guessing.

  10. #30
    SlimChance
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    Quote Originally Posted by On The Bridle View Post
    I'm still empty reaching 6 hours later....great thread
    Surely it was the worst beat of akl tine? Even worse than the filly in Limerick last summer (9/4 from 6/1)

  11. #31
    Super Moderator Irish Stamp's Avatar
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    Wish I'd known you lads were jinxing it earlier - I'd have gone for something else in my preview ;-)

    Top call SC - was 2/5 in the photo too
    Hurricane Fly - whatever he runs in he wins

    Twitter: @Quevega

  12. #32
    SlimChance
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    Quote Originally Posted by Irish Stamp View Post
    Wish I'd known you lads were jinxing it earlier - I'd have gone for something else in my preview ;-)

    Top call SC - was 2/5 in the photo too
    Good spot tipping it mate. Never a 10/1 shot. I'vse heard the print is dubious to say the least

  13. #33
    Super Moderator Irish Stamp's Avatar
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    They had two odds-on shots beaten in photo's at Gowran today - the photo judges are normally spot on so that sort of thing would certainly have me asking questions and the 10's didn't last very long this morning (7 mins according to Oddschecker) so hope you were on E/W
    Hurricane Fly - whatever he runs in he wins

    Twitter: @Quevega

  14. #34
    SlimChance
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    Was it 10/1? I wouldnt know...

  15. #35
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    Quote Originally Posted by Irish Stamp View Post
    They had two odds-on shots beaten in photo's at Gowran today - the photo judges are normally spot on so that sort of thing would certainly have me asking questions and the 10's didn't last very long this morning (7 mins according to Oddschecker) so hope you were on E/W
    You can buy the photo finish print of any race in Ireland on the goracing.ie site for only €20.

  16. #36
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    Quote Originally Posted by SlimChance View Post
    Is the form in the book?
    They're clearly running him to escape a sizeable rise, and over a distance he's failed twice before at, but that was 18 months ago, and with a small field and one of the finest pace judges in the business, it oughtn't to be a problem.

  17. #37
    Senior Member On The Bridle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SlimChance View Post
    Surely it was the worst beat of akl tine? Even worse than the filly in Limerick last summer (9/4 from 6/1)
    Almost as bad as the Orfevre Arc beating....I don't think I'll ever get over that
    Do not mistake my silence for ignorance, my calmness for acceptance nor my kindness for weakness.

  18. #38
    Senior Member On The Bridle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Grey View Post
    You can buy the photo finish print of any race in Ireland on the goracing.ie site for only €20.
    I have requested the HRI to put it up on twitter I'm usually a better loser than this
    Do not mistake my silence for ignorance, my calmness for acceptance nor my kindness for weakness.

  19. #39
    Senior Member Bar the Bull's Avatar
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    0/2 and counting.
    Welsh and Proud.

  20. #40
    SlimChance
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bar the Bull View Post
    0/2 and counting.
    The day I back a horse with an angle as weak as a jockey booking will be a sad day. The clever money came for the winner during the afternoon.

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