Have done a preview of southwell,bit of guesswork on some very low grade racing if you're getting involved keep stakes to minimum first race priced up so will put this up first..could be a chance of a decent placepot there tomorrow especially if fav bombs out in first leg..i will probably be having a massive perm there over 10,000 bets try and cover the card just incase..and maybe a few smaller ones.
11.50
Restive was quite impressive on tuesday probably a case of wehther the race comes to quick as this race looks weaker and just up the 6 pound,runner up luv u whatever was 7ls behind in the race just gets the 6 pound to reverse the form although still might be the main danger.Coming into the straight they both looked to be travelling equally well,get the feeling luv u whatever may try and go on a lot further out in this race as looks the only possible way of reversing the form,they both drop in class in look the obvios two,maybe blue et noir if goes on surface..
Restive 11/10 365/evens lads/betway/10bet /Luv u whatever 7/1 365/ppower/corals sportsbook/ppower/victor
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Th ought this was going to open 1/2 only decent betting race iof the day,had a nice ew bet on the 2nd as well at 7/1 that returnede a nice few quid and the forecasts £3 csf and exacta £3.25 the rest of the card all free bets now,only had small bets on other races class 6s/7s most of them...Gives a nice bit of interrst for day anway..
12.20
A weak looking maiden,the ones with most of the form look exposed so maybe worth looking at other runners ladies first is an interesting runner out of monsieur bond 13.6% on this surface a debut third in maiden looked decent behind ciaoadiosimdone and macedon in a respectable time over a mile at wolves looks a better race than this.The question mark could be the trip after debut run coming backl to sprining,but still one of the most interesting runners in the race mick easterby trains,would almost be definitely heavily backed if spriniting is her game..
As the runners with form look exposed then maybe worth looking at the debutant romantic story cost 50,000 nice pedigree running for robert cowell,out of poets voice 16% strike rate on surface and only needing to run to 70+ to figure with morris riding,the betting will b very interesting..
Ladies first 4/1 365 / Romantic story 7/1 365
Got my ew money back on ladoes first and backed it to place certainly no sprinter on that run...
12.50
A 0-55 for horses rated upto 55 terrible race best form in the race comes from jock talk trained by gordon elliot will undoubtedly be backed,sire famous name has only had 1 winner from 32 runners but out of dansili 13.4% on surface so could suit our jock.On two of last three runs been 3rd off 51 in a 0-65 and then second off 54 in a 0-65 drops in class,betting will be very interesting in an appauling race..
Breaking free has run well at swell in three runs rns now,4th on friday in a 0-60 no reason from the 3 draw cannot run well in this as well,although is a 16 race maiden,i put cockney boy up last week could also run well..Mr coco bean drops in class david barron with ben Curtis riding,only 8 runs
debut for stable after running in 0-60s just needs to go on surface in this would add in for forecasyts/saver..
Jock talk 9/2 365 / Breaking free 10/1 sportsbook/ppower/lads/corals/ppower/victor/10bet/betway 9/1 /subets/totesport/betfred
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!I had it clear on the times as well,what a tiuch and the forecsst!!! £21.80 exacata £15.45 csf..
1.20
Same grade another 0-55 but a lot more runners open to improvement on surface like sonnet rose form poor so far but out of poets voice 16% on surface only 7 runs so far,queen moon only 6 runs and 3rd to medici moon over c/d off 55 tomorrow off just 50 touch of colour has better form but sire stats aren't great these three you couldn't discount.Gatillo i put up the last twice at the track ran well when 3rd to queens royale in a 0-60
staying on strongly but again missed break last time out and ran poorly ps on tomorrow and drops in class maybe worth another chance in terrible race.
From stats sires on the surface then pentito rap could be interesting,rod millman 8 raced 3yr old has run a couple of respectable races although they have been over a lot further earlier in season was 3rd off 55 over a mile on the turf in a 0-65 best run wws when 5th to arab moon in a 0-65 over 1m4fs.This maybe a run down the field then step up in trip next time out,what is tempting is not just the mark of 45 but the suire smart strike has a 29% strike rate on fibresand and a 20% strike rate over the mile,an interesting runner after a 170 days off,will be watcghing this closely as you can guarantee if not getting prices will probably be given a quiet ride.The betting should be a massive pointer I this terrible race for a horse that could be well handicapped and could relish the surface..
Gatillo 5/1 365/hill/sunbets 11/2 corals/victor / Pentito rap 12/1 365 11/1 betfred/totesport 10/1 365/lads/sportsbook/marathonbet
Pentito rap places so no damage done,shouldv'e just bet the sire stats as write up,gatillo went of 5/2 nevrr even bothered trading it as only small bets..
1.50
Gin in the inn has improved again this season,started the turf season winning off 74 and has finished second off 90 and ws 6th of 22 at the curragh drawn 4 only two runners drawn in single figures finished in first 10 over that big field 6fs,that race was better than tomorrows did disappoint last run of season but dropped down in grade off 87 with sire alfred noble 20% on surface then could run well.
There are lots still open to improvement some have already proven form on the track,too many to mention call out loud won a similar handicap at chelmsford on friday,don't know if 6fs will suit after that 7f race on friday but did run custard the dragon close in a 0-90 so off 81 probably can still be competitve if drawn in 13 isn't a disadvantage..
Treaty of rome although not looking well handicapped ran over 5fs here in a 0-85 giving the field 10ls staying on nicely under hands n heels start meets razin hell,gnaad and crosse fire back over its preferred trip,may still be competitive..
Gin in the inn 16/1 365/sportsbook/sunbets/ppower/skybet/betway/188bet/victor 14/1 totesport/betfred /Call out loud 11/2 generally now 6/1 corals/lads/victor..
2.20
An impossible race,horses like sarabi stand out on some of their form,potentially thrown i has the best form in the race but follows a decent run with a poor run in a weaker class race really shouldv'e won more than 2/29 races impossible to predict but if gets out on terms would be the one to beat.The draws also a conondrum,used to be avoid the highs but when broadwat haven won here recently the highs looked to have the call so even though sarabi is drawn in 13 it's a possibility that it could be an advantage although that could change from meeting to meeting.
It's not worth going into too much detail,sarabi was 3rd in a 0-65 last time out and the winner has won again,others like lackaday have better turf form andf have run well at the track could run well scott dixons other runner coste bodhar another impossible top predict,novabridge was in that race when the highs looked at an advantage another that hasn't won for a long time is drawn on far side again in 5,was the only low draw to figure in that race so that run might be able to be upgraded..was running off marks in the high 50s last season and now off just 51 so couldn't discount of repeating run.
Roys legacy is also very well handicapped beat novabridge last season and even though veteran it wouldn't be total shock if ran well is on far side with novabridge so plenty of pace over there as well,a mark of just 48 and another 3 pound claim lowest ever mark..Something lucky debut for mick Appleby,always big eyecatchers for him on debuts as he rarely doesn't get them back to form running off just 48,rated as high as 70 in January,maybe add for forecasts..
Sarabi 9/1 365 8/1 betfred/totesport/365/sportingbet Novabridge 15/2 most generally sportsbook 8/1 corals
2.50
Bold spirits two runs at swell have been decent a 2nd to first excel won again since in a 0-65 and then 4th of 14 in a 0-75 got stopped in run and wouldv'e finished a lot closer in that higher grade,profile doesn't really look like a 7f horse at southwell but this is a drop in class a 0-60 and again has a decent draw does travel exceptionally well,could well go very short in running from some way out even if gets beat..
The rest of the field a complete guessing game to when they will run well,maggie pink for appleby has been tumbling down the weights tailed off last time out in first time pieces but run before that was 4th to fredericka at chelmsford off 63 in a 0-75,now dropped to a mark of 60 lowest mark since march 2013..Hasn't won a race since 2015,but this is a very poor race and could run well as last run here was 2nd off 74 back in 2014,you couldn't discount totally..Barista also has course form,like maggie pink a veteran now at 9 but won over a mile here last season off 56 claimer took another 5 off as well runs here off 59,another i wouldn't discount as trainers strike rate is 14% on this seasons flat stats so probably runs them when spot on surprising stats for small trainer..Gavin Cromwell irish raider also obvious chances in two better races in Ireland 3rd and 4th in a 0-65 and 0-70 suppose you could say has the best form in the race,he sends a couple to the meeting all about whether goes on surface..dropped 5 pound from those two runs as well out of Dubai destination over 17% great chance with those stats..trainers in great form as well,maybe saver and forecasts..
Bold spirit 4/1 365/ppower / Maggie pink 12/1 sportsbook/ppower / Barista 25/1 generally beyfre/totesport now 28/1 sportsbook
3,20
Desperate stuff Lean on pete only course winner in race and c/d winner in race,not great form but his class was 2nd here in august in this grade,
star ascending was 4th 2ls behind also has a chance ran 5 pound turnaround in weights,ran ok in a slightly better race recently over 1m4fs as well.The likely hood is something lighter raced will win but finding it on form shown so far bit of guesswork,one that might is tuolumne meadows was on a mark off 77 last season when obviously false mark,tumbled down the weights and now with tony newcombe a 4th to wolfcatcher at kempton over 1m4fs looks ok,off 60 back in august two desperate runs in visor then pieces are now taken off runs off just 54 with a the sire high chaparrall 10~% on surface so interesting.The jockey must be desperate for a winner unbelievably hasn't rode a winner since february yet has a lifetime record of 9% very strange stats although probably proves just how many decent claimers there are..
Siempre amigos might be the one that gets backed irish raider gary Cromwell again,better form than these on soft/heavy ground off marks of 57 and 61 in 0-70s obviously if that form is transferred to the aw will win,off just 56 and still only 10 lifetime runs..sires not great on surface but looks best horse in the race..
Lean on pete 10/1 365/skybet/victor / Tuolumne meadows 22/1 365 20/1 lads/betfred/totesport /Star ascending 9/2sportsbook/ppower /Siempre amigos 4/1 365