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Thread: Daily picks.

  1. #8821
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    Chelmsford 4.20

    First summer 18/1 365 16/1 ppower/sportsbook/betfred/lads/corals

    Impossible looking low grade handicap for horses rated upto 55,first summer has been running poorly over the sticks previous run to those ran on the turf beaten quite easily but in slightly better race has won twice and both of those wins have been over this c/d, this time last season winning off marks of 57 and 60 back to back, a week later ran again over the c/d ruinning 2nd off 60.It's last run when 2nd to Estrella eria was beaten 3 1/2ls conceding 16 pound that horse is now rated 69 was rated 46 that day won four in the bounce,first summer returnd here off 54 lowest ever mark and George wood rides again he rode him on all the wins and places and hasn't ridden him since October so that's quite interesting despite hurdle form.
    He went off 5/4fav when 2nd in this grade on that last c/d run tomorrow generally 16/1,whatever happens tomorrow he will be a longterm project on the aw he maybe lined up for a massive gamble when the aw season starts proper as his form shows last season these grade races on this track are ideal.One thing's for sure can't see this drifting tomorrow and running well with all that c/d form and if stable think he's spot on then there's no reason why he wouldn't be well backed off lowest ever mark.Hard to predict after recent hurdle form but the prices are miles out if he can produce last seasons form,especially if the hurdle runs are just a dislike of that code,the prices might be due to trainer form as well hasn't had any winners recently so betting even more interesting.
    Last edited by gigilo; 30th August 2017 at 7:49 PM.

  2. #8822
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    Quote Originally Posted by dvds2000 View Post
    giggs, when you login are you ticking the box saying 'keep me logged in'? What browser are you using?
    As a temporary measure I've increased the cookie length to around 3 hours of inactivity but it messes with the 'who's online now' stats, as rather than being who has been online in the last 20 minutes it increases it to 3 hours.
    I always tick the box,what's been happening lately is almost as though refreshing the page leaves me logged in but everything I'm writing at the time gets deleted could be this pc,i have 6 and they are all on their last legs getting another next weekend perhaps that will help..

  3. #8823
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    Good work today again. Price contracted to 11-2 bit then drifted so I traded out. Nice bit of profit! Thanks

  4. #8824
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    I backed it all the way down to tens,never made anything on the race as backed it ew as well predictable gamble in a terrible race stables ouit of form probably pop up when the aw season starts.Done this months figures for on here again and the bank holiday turned it into another mammoth month,best of the winners..

    Master the world 25/1 Antepost Betfred mile
    Medaille d'or 16/1
    Save the bees 7/1
    Cullingworth 11/2
    Yes you 11/4
    Exort 4/5
    Flo's melody 11/4
    Baron bolt 6/1
    Go on gal 16/1
    Hee haw 14/1

    Very similar amount of picks as last two months 40+ and again over 200 ROI this month 233% the figures are enormous and must be near 100% at sp have not included multiples or forecasts even though over the year there have been some touches on the multiples overall they would be well infront just on the one set I put up in june...You look at sea gull he's running at 1% at advised prices laughable even for a tipster,hugh taylor had his best season off 44% and was knowhere near at winning at sp,you'll be liucky if you find any tipstersr anywhere winning at sp to be fair 44% is good ,but on here I show what much more can be achieved plus you can get a bet on even if not best prices especially when I've made it clear in wrute ups of range of prices I put them up and have waited for them for 2 days.A monthly roi is building up of 200% you show that to anyone they will say its impossible tell them you're doing 100% at sp that doesn't exist,not in the land of tipsters it doesn't on here it does..
    Last edited by gigilo; 1st September 2017 at 2:30 AM.

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    Carl (1st September 2017), Colin Phillips (1st September 2017), Therightroad (1st September 2017), ubedizzy (1st September 2017)

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  7. #8826
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    Ayr gold cup The wagon wheel 25/1 sportingbet/ppower/sportsbook

    The wagon wheel massive eyecatcher in the Beverley bullet today making up 10ls in the last fuirlong,the 3yr old receiving 9pound off the older horses but could well have been 2ls clear in another 100 yards so at least visually impressive,the time of the race wasn't great only .51 quicker than the weak class 5 on the card,but that makes the wagon weheels run even look better from that position.Was very disappoting in the consolation stewards I remember on the day thinking would goof fav around 4-5/1 but was easily beaten on soft ground drifting out to 10/1,previous to that was a cracking piece of form at chester hacking up by 3ls from avon breeze,avon breeze followed up by winning twice after that run and retired on a mark of 92 so could quite easily make a case for the fahey horse a 100+ horse at least on that form,that race was franked by the 5th and 6th finishing 2nd and 3rd in a fillies handicap for horses rated upto a hundred at haydock on next runs as well.Today the ground was over watered was nearer gd/gdsft at Beverley so maybe that's it's deal ground similarly at chester the ground was gd/gdsft,the horse is obviously progressive don't think there was any fluke about the run,think her mark will get raised to a hundred she looks one to follow for the future.Her participation may just be reliant on the ground not being desperate,was pretty soft ground at goodwood when running well below form, bar that type of ground then looks likely anything else will suit,kimberella was 5th in the ayr gold cup last season and the wagon wheel finished infront of it today,fahey has plenty of horses he could leave in the race so would be a big positive if she runs and also will probably point to the prices contracting considerably.Have had some poor lucj with ane post bets lately lots not running but with this trainer and looking thoroughly unexposed have to have some sort of interest..

    25/1 sunbets never heard of them..
    Last edited by gigilo; 3rd September 2017 at 2:21 AM.

  8. #8827
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    Kempton 7.50

    Secondo 14/1 lads/corals

    Secondo has obviously had loads of problems with only 20 runs as 7 yrold onkly one run in 2015 and changed trainer four times,in 2014 was rated 92 and was third to pretend at wolves has other decent aw form although a long time ago from that season was 3rd to steelriver over tomorrows c/d in a decent time under 1m11 seconds.Ran two races for previous trainer in france on soft ground,not even convinced that was right ground as all its best form has been on quicker and the aw,made his reappearance after almost a year off when 8/13 to upstaging at Windsor on gd/gdsft ground for horses rated upto 105 for new trainer joe tuite, was unlucky not to be involved in finish getting baulked between two of the place finishers he would've been in the first four.
    Next time out ran over 5fs that was on softer ground,don't think it really suited and the trip definitely didn't even though didn't run that badly behind Atletico, last time out ran at windsor in a really hot race,but the ground was very soft drifted like a barge huge prices.Those losses have enabled him to run off just 82 tomorrow,5 pound lower than the decent run on seasonal debut he obviously retains plenty of ability,has run well at this track as above 7 pound lower than when 3rd here in better race,betting will be interesting probably a bit to ask to predict when he runs to best but he could be well gambled the Windsor unlucky run would make him look overpriced.Most of these are pretty exposed it looks like one of those races any could win,oisin murphy rode a winner for joseph tuite today so stable in form ,could easily see this going off half its current price so could be a decent trade especially if stable think they have him spot on in a race for horses rated uopto just 85,get the feeling he needs a decent pace to be seen to best..Would aoso not put anyone off the other rag dutiful son has 5 c/d wins at the track and tomorrow will be off lowest ever mark over this c/d won here last season off 77 now off just 75,wouldn't surprise me if both of these moved above a copuple of the other runners currently in the betting,could well be another that trades well at 12/1...

    11/1 365 10/1 hills/betfred/skybet/victor/totesport/betbright..
    Last edited by gigilo; 4th September 2017 at 5:55 PM.

  9. #8828
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    Ah balls missed the price. 9-1 or worse now. It really doesn't last long

  10. #8829
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    Holy ****, 4-1 now. Had no access to web yesterday, missed it.
    Obviously too short to punt now

    How about laying it hoping the right people aren't on (highly possible) and trading out when it drifts?
    Last edited by pottsy; 5th September 2017 at 10:59 AM.

  11. #8830
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Kempton 7.50

    Secondo 14/1 lads/corals

    Secondo has obviously had loads of problems with only 20 runs as 7 yrold onkly one run in 2015 and changed trainer four times,in 2014 was rated 92 and was third to pretend at wolves has other decent aw form although a long time ago from that season was 3rd to steelriver over tomorrows c/d in a decent time under 1m11 seconds.Ran two races for previous trainer in france on soft ground,not even convinced that was right ground as all its best form has been on quicker and the aw,made his reappearance after almost a year off when 8/13 to upstaging at Windsor on gd/gdsft ground for horses rated upto 105 for new trainer joe tuite, was unlucky not to be involved in finish getting baulked between two of the place finishers he would've been in the first four.
    Next time out ran over 5fs that was on softer ground,don't think it really suited and the trip definitely didn't even though didn't run that badly behind Atletico, last time out ran at windsor in a really hot race,but the ground was very soft drifted like a barge huge prices.Those losses have enabled him to run off just 82 tomorrow,5 pound lower than the decent run on seasonal debut he obviously retains plenty of ability,has run well at this track as above 7 pound lower than when 3rd here in better race,betting will be interesting probably a bit to ask to predict when he runs to best but he could be well gambled the Windsor unlucky run would make him look overpriced.Most of these are pretty exposed it looks like one of those races any could win,oisin murphy rode a winner for joseph tuite today so stable in form ,could easily see this going off half its current price so could be a decent trade especially if stable think they have him spot on in a race for horses rated uopto just 85,get the feeling he needs a decent pace to be seen to best..Would aoso not put anyone off the other rag dutiful son has 5 c/d wins at the track and tomorrow will be off lowest ever mark over this c/d won here last season off 77 now off just 75,wouldn't surprise me if both of these moved above a copuple of the other runners currently in the betting,could well be another that trades well at 12/1...

    11/1 365 10/1 hills/betfred/skybet/victor/totesport/betbright..
    Backed Secondo all the way down to 9/1 and Dutiful son to 8/1 and laid off for a 1/4 of a barrow 5.6 and 5.7 and couple of nice free bets cracking trading race...

  12. #8831
    Senior Member Tanlic's Avatar
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    I thought you had lost your mind when you put that up but stick a fistful on anyway......hasn't raised a gallop in ages.............who gives a hoot now great back to lay...cheers
    Formely Fist of Fury

  13. #8832
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    Won another few quid laying off at 6/4 in running as well,wouldv'e been worth fortunes if it had won will settle for it think the two I backed went off first and 2nd favs and they were the two rags...very slow pace which I thought might happen lost it the race very slow time..

    Went 1.02 in running...
    Last edited by gigilo; 5th September 2017 at 8:27 PM.

  14. #8833
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    London mile handicap Kempton saturday

    Ripoll 20/1 ppower

    Ripoll has won four times all on the aw looks an exposed handicapper,only rated 72 on the turf and no wins from 14 runs was a massive eyecatcher in the coral challenge handicap cantering with a furlong to go but getting no run was running against 100+ horses in that race that would've been by far best ever run on the turf and wouldn't have been a fluke as time was very good.It looks as though theseright handed tracks suit with three wins at kenpton and that eyecatching run at sandown,as all other form does not compare on straight tracks or different ground I've been waiting for him to run on a right handed track on fast ground but that looks more and more unlikey as season goes on.
    Last time he won was in a 0-90 over Saturdays c/d as yet he hasn't produced any decent finishing times on aw runs but the win in may off 78 was still impressive giving the field 6ls off a slow pace and picking them up under hand's n; heels,thought it was quite interesting pat dobbs never went for the whip in the race and was very cionfident of reeling them in.Saturdays race has obviously quite a few horses that are unexposed the 20/1 might not seem overly generous on overall form but purely on the sandown run and back on fav surface there could still be some improvement to come on the surface,not worth going too mad as may not even run but if declared at the two day stage could possibly get a bigger price.It's a speculative bet in a highly competitive race,i think the horse can definitely win more races just a case if this grade is slightly too high..Mudallel has won a couplr of c/d handicaps recently,they havn't been great races but the time of its win last time out was pretty decent and off just 8-8 looks the one most open to progression..

    20/1 365/sportsbook..
    Last edited by gigilo; 6th September 2017 at 10:50 PM.

  15. #8834
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    yeah, won quite a bit myself. Always stick quite a few short lays in-play, they only get matched when they win but it worked out quite well today, would have loved it to
    have won for those who followed but don't lay but hey hoh, excellent trade.....

  16. #8835
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Ayr gold cup

    One of the biggest eyecatchers recently was donjuan triumphant in the stewards at goodwood now with balding after being a group 2 winner with fahey,has just had the three runs with him and the last was the stewards cup,was rated 115 at one point ran off 106 in the stewards and now dropped another two pound.He was drawn 20 in the stewards had no chance from that draw held up everything that got a good pitch on the far rail was massive advantage,was only runner held up from near side to finish in the first 10 and still finishing strongly at finish.Shanghai glory is fav for the ayr gold cup was drawn 3 in the stewards and beat donjuan triumphant by 1 3/4ls there's now a tyrnaround of 4 pound in favour of donjuan triumphant and the likelyhood of no draw advantage,also has a 9 pound turnaround with growl as well for 2 1/2ls growl was drawn 8 in the race.
    What he does need is soft, gd/sft ground so would not go overboard as for the last few seasons I've backed jack dexter and he never really got his ground,septembers have tended to be quite decent months weather wise,if there is some cut then there's no chance he will be going off 25/1 as the tipsters will be onto it after the goodwood run and he'd probably go off 14s 16s tops...

    Donjuan triumphant 25/1 Betfred.totesport,corals..
    not fancy this today giggs?

  17. #8836
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    Nice run in prep for the big one

  18. #8837
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    It may not even run now,but taling all the 25s and 20s no reason why it should be bigger thab anything else in the race after winning that,nice trade in there wouldn't surprise me to see it 14s by end iof day..

  19. #8838
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    Already had some 25/1 but took 22/1 immediately after the race too.

  20. #8839
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    Kempton 5.50

    Mister music 14/1 365 12/1 hills

    11/1 victor 10/1 totesport/lads/corals/betfred/betway/betbright..
    Last edited by gigilo; 7th September 2017 at 6:50 PM.

  21. #8840
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    ew multiples small stakes speculative picks tomorrow think the betting will be interesting as they could be gambles or huge drifters as quite a few negatives but prices have tempted me in at very small £..


    Kempton 5.50

    Mister music 14/1 365 12/1 hills

    Mister music hardly ever wins now,has never won on the aw from 7 runs but equally never run a bad race at Kempton hasn't been running badly either always seems to be out the back off a slow pace and finishing strongly,last time out over an inadequate 7fs big turnaround with wannabe friends a stone over a furlong further andf mister music has c/d form wanna be friends 4/1 fav.Three or four horses have the best times over this c/d he is one of them although there are at least one or two that could easily be better than these,it was only june 28th he was a staying on fourth
    to chief of chiefs in this grade staying on not getting a run,that was off 78 tomorrow off 73 and with 3 pound claim down to 70.It's a very competitive race,hard to rule too many out but if he gets a decent pace to run at he could run well off this mark.Will be reliant on a decent pace to show his best..
    If the less exposed runners don't get backed he could easily go off 7-8/1and looks a decent trade,Ernststavroblofeld the least unexposed 3yr old ran in a different class race here on aw debut was beat 5ls but on this surface could be more improvement to come,think this one will determione mister musics price as looks the most likeliest to be gambled with just 6 runs..

    11/1 victor 10/1 totesport/lads/corals/betfred/betway/betbright

    8.50

    Banish 14/1 victor/ppower/betstar/boyles/sportsbook Sam's missile 20/1 ppower/lads 18/1 victor/lads/corals/boyles/betway/betstars

    A couple that have run fast times over 1m3fs at the track,but they have been very inconsistent and there are two progressive types heading the market so maybe playing for just one place probably wouldn't have bothered with them but as both are bigger than I thought they would be
    then worth doing at prices.Sam missile was 2nd in one of these qualifiers last season and time dipped below 2m18 and similarly banish beat mohatem off 85 last season over c/d wnning time 2m17.62 these times if at thier best would give them good ew chances..



    Ascot 5.0

    Big baz 14/1 365

    Big baz showed a glimpse of form last time out at York,a strong running on 6th of 17 to flaming spear he's probably coming into form although just looking at his profile it wouldn't surprise me if something else is lined up for him during the autumn.The reason being he has run here three times and shown absolutely nothing,which is the opposite iof what you're looking for, at this price it's worth seeing tio find out,runs off 96 lowest mark since October 2014 on turf.Just looks a strange place to run and muir knows exactly how much ability this horse has and off this mark becomes dangerous,the betting will be interesting as 14/1 with a horsecoming what looked back into form looks a big price even if it may not like the track..

    1.30

    Speak in colours 10/30 skybet 3/1 365/betfred/ppower/totesport/betfred...

    The form of speak in colours doesn't look upto much,running 3rd on debut on desperate ground at Nottingham heavy ground race was slow by 9 seconds not really sure what ground will be at ascot,looking more at the place side of things if ground is very slow and moore is booked for trainer in form.Not really going on form as its been let down,just thought the 6fs on slow stiff6fs might be negative for others..

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Backed it again with the drift on betfair and 1.45 a place,when it ran at notts the time wasn't that bad compared to guishans win,so was worth risking even though form hadn't worked iut covers most of my day and other dodgy picks..

    Musselburugh 7.05

    Brandon castle 5/2 ppower/sportsbook

    Archie Watson seems to have rejuvenated Brandon castle has won back to back races after looking on massive downgrade then last two runs for new trainer with HT applied and now sitting on 72,has only won three races so couldn't say looks well handicapped but this is no better than his last win at sailsbury and had plenty of place form in the high 70s.
    Last edited by gigilo; 8th September 2017 at 1:37 PM.

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