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Thread: Daily picks.

  1. #8761
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    Great shout! I got 14s and 12s and the money came for it all day. Won too easy ! Thanks again for posting!

  2. #8762
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    The ground came perfect for it as well,there was zilch form in the race bar its run at newbury run I forgot to mention was gelded after last run as well and the 4th from the newbury run won off 80 recently knew the race was over after 4 furlongs,glad to see you got both prices wouldn't have out anyone off taking 10/1 or even 8s..

  3. #8763
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    Gigilo as always, simply brilliant .
    Thank you


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  4. #8764
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    Struggling to get online lots of things marked off but having trouble just getting online so will just post this one for now speculative but betting will be very interesting.May not be able to get online for a couple of days unless things get fixed quickly,don't even know if I will be able to put a write up for this...

    Wolves 8.10

    Twist and turns 14/1 ppower/sportsbook

    16/1 365


    Although a terrible race quite unusual loads of horses in very good form carlovian,danot,deben and tigerfish and there in lies the one reason why twist and turns may just be out for the run.I've never heard of the horse that has joined Declan carrolls stable from Ireland,been with him since july hsad the two runs for him strangely running over trips has never shown anything over previously.The 6yr old has a good record on the aw 4/26 mainly running at Dundalk in better races than this was 3rd to Alans pride was rated 51 won a 30 hordse handicap yesterday off 60 that was back in january.twist and turn was off 55 that race was for horses rated upto 65 alsio has form in even better races on this surface.Probably when originally entered in this 0-55 this would've been a huge gamble at these prices but there are so many horses in form in this race,the most sensible thing to do would be to make sure its out of the frame as another entry in this grade really would make it look an even better bet and may even get a bigger price.The 16-1 14-1 even 10-1 would look a big price on its Dundalk form it couldn't be bigger than 5-6/1 if running anywhere near its best so the betting will be very interesting.


    Forgot to mention runs off just 52 and claimer takes off another 5 pound,don't be surprised if it goes off the early ptrices or alternatively fav...
    Last edited by gigilo; 9th August 2017 at 9:16 PM.

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  6. #8765
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    9-2 now!! I'm actually tempted to take the cash out. Doubles me money!! You the man Giggsy!

  7. #8766
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    Backed it all the way into 8s then laid off at 7s so a days wages,also got a separate bet on it at the bigger prices drifting like a barge now so interesting to see how it runs,get the feeling dropped out or run wide throughout looking at that drift..



    Wolves 3.50

    Critical thinking 12/1 365..

    Critical thinkings been running well on the turf run lots of decent races in low 60s was onkly beaten 6ls at chester for horses rated upto 80 and other decent runs over these distances.He started off on the aw and has only won 1/13 that was a claimer at lingfield,then changed trainer and ran over tomorrows c/d off 66 behind flood defence race for horses upto 75,time was quite decent going under 1m59.Tomorrow returns off a mark of 60 and finley marsh takes off 7 pound down to just 53 getting quite a bit of weight over the older horses.These kevin frost horses are a nightmare to predict I try and avoid them if possible but critical thinking has been running consistently on the turf and if transfers those runs back on the aw then can't see any reason why he shouldn't be around 5-6/1 in what is a poor race..
    Also noticed masonic has dropped 13 pound since april when running at Chelmsford off 72 in a mile race ran in a very quick time,he is still a maiden but this race could easily be his cl;ass and another that could run well at double figures..

    10/1 betfred/totesport

    And ew multiple


    Haydock 6.45

    Exort 4/5 ppower/sportsbook

    Exort touched off in second place at Donny,the time looked good compared favourably to the rest of the card although I find using these Donny times on horses I've backed going onto other tracks hasn't really worked out,but it compared so favourably to the class 3 on the card only .10 slower than firefright winning the handicap on the card and open to improvement presume ground will be pretty slow and looks like could be half decent.Presuming ground rides roughly the same then this could possibly go off very short,maybe as short as 3s on,should be a great trading opportunity..



    Brighton 4.10

    Under the covers 6/1 365/victor/ppower/corals/365 13/2 betfred/totesport/victor/lads/corals/boyles/skybet

    I put under the covers on here to follow after he won,never backed him next time out when touched off by pixileen,has gone up again in the weights from 75 to 78 could never understand why ron harris ran him in that race I was hoping for a run down the field but touched off.Tomorrow he's only 6/1 can't say there's much value in the prices and drawn in the car park in 14,i still think there are more races in him though the Johnston horse is the obvious pick was rated in the 90s last season and better draw.Will stick with him as I think he still is well handicapped and won't be deserting him if draw does beat him..

    5.15

    Hurrican alert 16/1 365/skybet/betway..28/1 totesport/lads big drifter although probably explained by runs off bigger weights as previous form..

    Unreliable profile and an unlikely winner only ever won one race but has an ew chance in a ridiculously competitive handicap,looks like one of those horses runs best races when upped in class off low weights as opposed to running in this grade,already this season run over c/d just touched off by come on dave in a 0-75 and also a fourth to swendab missed the break for horses rated upto 75.Those two runs are miles infront of any of its other form,as said drops into these lower grade races and doesn't repeat that level,as being as it has that c/d run and decent draw then will give it a chance but there are lots in the race in form.
    Last edited by gigilo; 11th August 2017 at 11:39 AM.

  8. #8767
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Backed it all the way into 8s then laid off at 7s so a days wages,also got a separate bet on it at the bigger prices drifting like a barge now so interesting to see how it runs,get the feeling dropped out or run wide throughout looking at that drift..



    Wolves 3.50

    Critical thinking 12/1 365..

    Critical thinkings been running well on the turf run lots of decent races in low 60s was onkly beaten 6ls at chester for horses rated upto 80 and other decent runs over these distances.He started off on the aw and has only won 1/13 that was a claimer at lingfield,then changed trainer and ran over tomorrows c/d off 66 behind flood defence race for horses upto 75,time was quite decent going under 1m59.Tomorrow returns off a mark of 60 and finley marsh takes off 7 pound down to just 53 getting quite a bit of weight over the older horses.These kevin frost horses are a nightmare to predict I try and avoid them if possible but critical thinking has been running consistently on the turf and if transfers those runs back on the aw then can't see any reason why he shouldn't be around 5-6/1 in what is a poor race..
    Also noticed masonic has dropped 13 pound since april when running at Chelmsford off 72 in a mile race ran in a very quick time,he is still a maiden but this race could easily be his cl;ass and another that could run well at double figures..

    10/1 betfred/totesport

    And ew multiple


    Haydock 6.45

    Exort 4/5 ppower/sportsbook

    Exort touched off in second place at Donny,the time looked good compared favourably to the rest of the card although I find using these Donny times on horses I've backed going onto other tracks hasn't really worked out,but it compared so favourably to the class 3 on the card only .10 slower than firefright winning the handicap on the card and open to improvement presume ground will be pretty slow and looks like could be half decent.Presuming ground rides roughly the same then this could possibly go off very short,maybe as short as 3s on,should be a great trading opportunity..

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Saves the day surprised wasn't a lot shorter ended up 4/9,stinking ride earlier on the frost horse but as I said getting hios winners virtually impossible although was absolutely smashed off the boards into 7/2.Might give tomorrow a miss have 30 horses marked off has losing day written all over it,if I do anything maybe some thieving bets but certainly can't see anything that looks outsyanding as not sure of the ground..



    Brighton 4.10

    Under the covers 6/1 365/victor/ppower/corals/365 13/2 betfred/totesport/victor/lads/corals/boyles/skybet

    I put under the covers on here to follow after he won,never backed him next time out when touched off by pixileen,has gone up again in the weights from 75 to 78 could never understand why ron harris ran him in that race I was hoping for a run down the field but touched off.Tomorrow he's only 6/1 can't say there's much value in the prices and drawn in the car park in 14,i still think there are more races in him though the Johnston horse is the obvious pick was rated in the 90s last season and better draw.Will stick with him as I think he still is well handicapped and won't be deserting him if draw does beat him..

    5.15

    Hurrican alert 16/1 365/skybet/betway..28/1 totesport/lads big drifter although probably explained by runs off bigger weights as previous form..

    Unreliable profile and an unlikely winner only ever won one race but has an ew chance in a ridiculously competitive handicap,looks like one of those horses runs best races when upped in class off low weights as opposed to running in this grade,already this season run over c/d just touched off by come on dave in a 0-75 and also a fourth to swendab missed the break for horses rated upto 75.Those two runs are miles infront of any of its other form,as said drops into these lower grade races and doesn't repeat that level,as being as it has that c/d run and decent draw then will give it a chance but there are lots in the race in form.

  9. #8768
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    Hard to bet tomorrow currently gd/fm at ayr rain forecast,windsors ddrying out all the time u get the feeling by the off that meeting will be gd/fm
    and looks a certainty on the straight track and not sure what the ground will be at ripon either.Have had a small bet at ripon and a small bet at wolves..


    Ripon 3.30

    Cullingworth 11/2 ppower/sportsbook

    Cullingworth takes on a fav that could be anything from the simon crisford stable,but might be worth having a small bet on cullingworth to see if it can give it a race,won earlier in the season at musselburugh first time out off 82 beating 99 rated great Britain.After that run showed nothing in next couple of runs possible excuses but then ran a couple of decent races at Newmarket and York 5th to defoe and then 6th to marzouq in hot handicaps goijg off big ptrices.Strange thing about the horses has been outpaced in those races on more galloping tracks over 1m2fs as opposed to its win over the mile at musselburugh although you could put that just down to class of race.Hopefully back on a right handed track off just a pound higher mark than win will get more involved and at least trade relatively low if fav is better than these.


    Wolves 7.50

    Many a tale 9/1 ppower/sportsbook

    Dusky maid seems to be improving after looking a bit exposed after winning some weak race but still only had 9 runs and last time out wonnover 6fs at the track in a time of 1m13.82 winning by comfortable 5ls,the time standing out on the card with ease of win,strangely that improvement was expected and went off 15/8 fav when winning that race if he runs to that form will take all the beating.One of the more interesting runners bar the fav is Many a tale hasn't shown much on the turf although ran ok when 4th of 8 at ffos las maybe on ground to slow in this grade.His aw win on debut is the most interesting run at this track over 6fs as a 2yr old,this time last year showing bags of pace and winning in a decent time for a 2yr old maiden on debut 1m13.97,only .15 slower than dusky maids win potentially many a tale based on that debut time could be well handicapped off a mark of 71 any sort of improvement back on this surface you'd expect there to be little between him and the fav.
    That maiden was quite interesting as the runner up golden easter already has a rating of 72 but slready had a previous run,the 3rd is now rated 76 and had a previous run and the 4th moonilit show now rated 96.Has only had five runs again the negative is the drawv in 8 and fav has low draw,so couldn't be over confident and the step up inj trip as well I would perservere with the horse for awhile though even if doesn't show up especially when getting abetter draw or even stepping back to 6fs.I'd be surprised as long as hasn't regressed which turf form suggests not isn't better than a 71 horse so one for notebook regardless of result..Trainers last two runners have won andTom Marquand had a winner today.
    Last edited by gigilo; 13th August 2017 at 5:46 PM.

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  11. #8769
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Hard to bet tomorrow currently gd/fm at ayr rain forecast,windsors ddrying out all the time u get the feeling by the off that meeting will be gd/fm
    and looks a certainty on the straight track and not sure what the ground will be at ripon either.Have had a small bet at ripon and a small bet at wolves..


    Ripon 3.30

    Cullingworth 11/2 ppower/sportsbook

    Cullingworth takes on a fav that could be anything from the simon crisford stable,but might be worth having a small bet on cullingworth to see if it can give it a race,won earlier in the season at musselburugh first time out off 82 beating 99 rated great Britain.After that run showed nothing in next couple of runs possible excuses but then ran a couple of decent races at Newmarket and York 5th to defoe and then 6th to marzouq in hot handicaps goijg off big ptrices.Strange thing about the horses has been outpaced in those races on more galloping tracks over 1m2fs as opposed to its win over the mile at musselburugh although you could put that just down to class of race.Hopefully back on a right handed track off just a pound higher mark than win will get more involved and at least trade relatively low if fav is better than these.


    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MM!!!!!Anyobe got any binoculars looked a certainty once fav was out only won by 10ls pulling up even baxcled it againat 3.35 and some nutjobs were laying 1.87 a place insane stuff,beat a load of slow boats THE RELENTLESSNESS goes on!!


    Wolves 7.50

    Many a tale 9/1 ppower/sportsbook

    Dusky maid seems to be improving after looking a bit exposed after winning some weak race but still only had 9 runs and last time out wonnover 6fs at the track in a time of 1m13.82 winning by comfortable 5ls,the time standing out on the card with ease of win,strangely that improvement was expected and went off 15/8 fav when winning that race if he runs to that form will take all the beating.One of the more interesting runners bar the fav is Many a tale hasn't shown much on the turf although ran ok when 4th of 8 at ffos las maybe on ground to slow in this grade.His aw win on debut is the most interesting run at this track over 6fs as a 2yr old,this time last year showing bags of pace and winning in a decent time for a 2yr old maiden on debut 1m13.97,only .15 slower than dusky maids win potentially many a tale based on that debut time could be well handicapped off a mark of 71 any sort of improvement back on this surface you'd expect there to be little between him and the fav.
    That maiden was quite interesting as the runner up golden easter already has a rating of 72 but slready had a previous run,the 3rd is now rated 76 and had a previous run and the 4th moonilit show now rated 96.Has only had five runs again the negative is the drawv in 8 and fav has low draw,so couldn't be over confident and the step up inj trip as well I would perservere with the horse for awhile though even if doesn't show up especially when getting abetter draw or even stepping back to 6fs.I'd be surprised as long as hasn't regressed which turf form suggests not isn't better than a 71 horse so one for notebook regardless of result..Trainers last two runners have won andTom Marquand had a winner today.

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    spectacular vwd

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    Outstanding


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  15. #8772
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    Very nice start to the week again,these Mondays are nearly always the best days of the week,wouldn't give up on many a tale either unless you're up with the pace at wolves just a waste of time poor bet from the 8 draw no chance,hope some backed that Chinese whispers ran at ayr again today after me putting it up there last time out.Never got a run and upped to the mile today,was gutted as i'd made up my mind to leave ayr as I didn't know what the going was,am not betting tomorrow have far to many picks maybe 20 far too many to try and pick 3 or 4 out from...

    6:50
    Wolverhampton (AW)
    14 Aug 2017
    FCL Global Forwarding Fillies' Handicap
    (Class 5) (0-75, 3yo+) (1m4f51yds) 1m4f Standard
    1st £3,234.50 2nd £962.50 3rd £481 4th £240.50

    HORSE / SP
    TRAINER / JOCKEY
    AGE WGT OR TS RPR MR
    1 (5)

    Tomorrow Mystery 11/1
    Dougie Costello
    Jamie Osborne
    3 92 72 – – –
    Made all, pushed clear over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, eased well inside final furlong (op 9/1)
    2 (4)
    6
    La Vie En Rose 5/1
    Franny Norton
    Mark Johnston
    3 94 74 – – –
    Pushed along in rear early, switched right and headway over 2f out, ridden to go 2nd over 1f out, no chance with winner (op 9/2 tchd 4/1)
    3 (6)
    2½ [8½]
    Stepney 8/1
    David Probert
    Robyn Brisland
    3 90 70 – – –
    Held up, headway on outer and hung right over 2f out, stayed on under pressure to go 3rd well inside final furlong (tchd 9/1)
    4 (7)
    nk [8¾]
    African Beat (IRE) 7/2F
    Shane Kelly
    Richard Hughes
    3 94 74 – – –
    Headway to go prominent 10f out, chased winner over 2f out, soon ridden, lost 2nd over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong (op 3/1 tchd 11/4)
    5 (3)
    4½ [13¼]
    Monaco Rose 6/1
    Adam McNamara3
    Richard Fahey
    4 911 h 74 – – –
    Chased leaders, pushed along over 9f out, lost place over 6f out, not clear run over 2f out, hung left over 1f out, never dangerous after (tchd 5/1 and tchd 13/2)
    6 (1)
    7 [20¼]
    Sure To Explore (IRE) 5/1
    David Egan5
    William Muir
    3 92 77 – – –
    Held up, headway over 6f out, soon pushed along, weakened over 2f out (op 13/2 tchd 7/1)
    7 (2)
    3 [23¼]
    Plage Depampelonne 13/2
    Ted Durcan
    James Bethell
    3 810 66 – – –
    Chased winner 1f, remained handy, ridden to go 2nd again over 3f out until over 2f out, soon weakened, eased over 1f out (op 10/1)
    8 (8)
    3¼ [26½]
    Inke (IRE) 10/1
    Charlie Bennett3
    Jim Boyle
    5 100 77 – – –
    Chased winner after 1f until ridden over 3f out, weakened over 2f out (op 9/1)
    8 ran Winning time: 2m 35.72s (slow by 0.72s)

    Tomorrow mystery

    Jamie Osborne runner hadn't shown much in five runs but won by 6ls tonight,there was very little decent aw form in the race so the race looked weak but the winning time 2m35.72 dedent time done quite easily by winner could point to it being a massive improver.There's a possibility could be slightly flattered as track was riding pretty quick,imagine will be put up 12-13 pound to 85,would like to see the horse back here over this c/d havn't seen much on the clock over these distabnces on the aw this season so maybe able to pick up some easy pickings..Be interesting to see how much improvement there is to come with only 6 lifetime runs..

    Will be looking for some ante post bets this week especially if this desperate qeather stays around..
    Last edited by gigilo; 14th August 2017 at 8:26 PM.

  16. #8773
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    Great st wilifred

    Raucous 14/1 365/hills/victor/lads

    Not a race I really like as course form can count for a lot,presuming raucous runs on Saturday then he may just turn intio a very good trading proposition as has gone off 11/2 for the Wokingham and even though went off 14/1 for the stewards last time out that was due to the uncertainty of draw and as it turned out was massive disadvantage to be drawn high.He went off 11/2 fav in the Wokingham drawn 21 was actually dropped out in that race and even at halfway was 6-7ls behind a long way behind in last behind the low draws,he came out 3rd best of the high draws and 8th in the race,was even worse in the stewards from the 26 draw everything went to far side and raucous came out at a crawl as the nearside waited to follow the low draws and was easily 8ls off the pace had no chance.Eventually running on reasonably well even though only 12th was second best of the high draws 3ls behind the fav on Saturday growl,the obvious fav for Saturdays race as usually breaks smartly and wouldn't surprise me if went off nearer to 4/1 on the day.I actually think raucous is a bit of a rogue all sorts of headgear was hanging at ascot a very difficult ride,the track may not even suit either but it does look like his price will contract and the draw is unlikely to be important on ground good or worse which it looks like being there's very rarely anything in the draw at ripon anymore unless it quickens up.Of course he's not a guartanteed runner yet,i presume tipsters will pick up on his two terrible draws in both of this seasons big races and that will undoubtedly have a big effect on his price,i'd be surprised if he goes off bigger than 8-9/1 come race day and if he's on a going day certainly has the ability to be involved at finish hopefully the main angle will be around his prices..
    Entrys will be out on Thursday around 11-12 in morning..
    Last edited by gigilo; 16th August 2017 at 1:55 AM.

  17. #8774
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    Yarmouth 7.0

    Nellies dancer 25/1 365 20/1 ppower/sportsbook


    Going changes everywhere on top of drying ground looks impossible to have a bet really think all of tomorrows meetings have rain forecast yarmouths gd/fm looking at weather map says around 11mm in total so at best good ground presuming that all arrives.Nellie's dancer the angle looks to be fast ground is a nine race maiden and penultimate run ran over tomorrows c/d finishing 2nd in a 0-65 tomorrow drops into a 0-55 has the pices back on after being unplaced last time out and that was on gd/sft ground.That second over tomorrows c/d coincided with her only going off 8/1 as well so presumably looking at all her other form then it is quicker ground she wants,she runs off 55 tomorrow and claimer takes off another 5 pound 2 pound less thab the run when second.Would imagine if ground does somehow stay quick she would be a big gamble as had older 60+ horses in behind her in that race nd tomorrow only runs against top rated 55 hortses.She remains of interest when getting some faster ground even if she doesn't get it tomorrow,if the rains don't get in can't see any reason why she wouldn't go off nearer 7-8/1 again tops.It's such a poor race if the rains do get in even Caledonian gold 18 horse maiden could run well after last run at the track on ground with some juice that was also a better race finishing second..

    16/1 Across the board now 365/skybet/hills/betfred/victor/totesport/betway
    Last edited by gigilo; 16th August 2017 at 7:02 PM.

  18. #8775
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    Gigilo
    here's what the trainer had to say before the race so was expected,

    Tomorrows Mystery was a little disappointing last time but the ground was too soft that day so she can be forgiven. She has come on nicely for that run and is working very well, trip and track will be ideal for her and I'm expecting a much better performance tonight. I think she will go close.
    Last edited by luckyme; 16th August 2017 at 8:37 PM.

  19. #8776
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    95% Of trainers say that about most of their runners,most of them havn't got a clue when they are going to run well that run was massive impriovement on its aw form previously and its speedfigure,the last thing I would take notice of is a jockey or trainer comment regarding their horses form when i'm pricing up a race or doing the form.The best thing to do is totally ignore what they have insight to doing the form and everything that goes with it,following their comments will only make you skint..

  20. #8777
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    A small interest again tomorrow 1/4 stakes on these ew multiples probably looking at place side of bets these forecast grounds could be completely the opposite tomorrow,with drying ground..think it will be impossiblr to predict the goings at the weekend.

    Catterick 5.30

    Sellingallthetime 11/2 365/skybet/betfred/totesport 13/2 sportsbook/ppower

    Sellingallthetime has been quite consistent this season has been 2/3/3/3/5 so far this season and c/d record of 2/1/3/5/2 but hasn't won since 2015
    ran 2nd to be perfect off 70 over c/d in april,for horses rated upto 85 has since had two more thirds in that grade to jacbequick and kasperenko at York and Donny.The negative could be the ground although last win was over this c/d on gd.sft it looks as though stable have been avoiding it,the bettibg should reflect this if stable are confident that will like the ground then aling with the fav and wotabreeze look the three to concentrate on in the race..

    Nottingham 4.10

    Saunter 11/1 365/victor/hills

    A speculative on saunter has some goof form over 1m2fs and then last time out ran at ascot coming 4th to gawdalpin staying on over 1m4fs in a decent handicap,tomorrow run over a further two futlongs and takes on lots of unexposed runners that form wise are impossible to read as progressive.If stays the trip then obvuious ew chance and in theory dropping slightly in grade from 105 to 95..

    4.40

    Indulged ppower/365/sportsbook 5/2 sportsbook

    Indulged runs in another race with unexposed runners 3rd to billesdon lbess conceding 13 pound in a fillies handicap last time out at goodwood ,the winner won a listed race earlier in the week beating older horses rated in the 90s and the second from the race titi makfi has also come out and won another handicap.She carrys a lot of weight and its impossible to weigh other runners up but has the best form so far..

    Newbury 3.45

    Out the flames 3/1 ppower/sportsbook/totesport/betfred. One minute 9/2 365/ppower 5/1 sportsbook

    Another meeting where not sure how sioft it will be out of the flames has the best form but not on this ground so there could well be a turn up in the race think the 2yr olds this season are rubbish,was 3rd in the queen mary though so will have to give it a chance.The other one minute was one I put up to follow after wuinning at lingfield,time compared favourably with Edward lewis winning off 96 on same card in an older horse handicap had some horses that are now rated in high 80s in behind and wion easily.Typical of haggas 2yr old went to Yarmouth and looked completely dofferent horse beat in a 5 runner maiden,has won since so will be interesting to see if can come back to that impressibve maiden win.


    Wolves 2.20

    Gold club 11/4 365 5/2 ppower/sportsbook/victor/betstars

    Put gold club up last time out,slightly missed the break and then was badly hampered 1/2 furlong out would never have won anyway might've got placed,this really is the right grade for it although the price is quite shoert for a horse that hasn't won recently,did also run well here over c/d when 3rd in higher grade 0-75 back in april in 0-65 tomorrow.Don't think the grades relevant its getting out on terms if he does then the one to beat,indian affair has looked like coming into form and newstead abbey could run well boty have form on the track..

    Just had a nice little touch 1.69 a place the combi forecasts and tricast as write up there was nothing in the race forecasts Xacta £20.90 csf £18.14 tricast £43..trifecta £56 cracking start to the day,shouldv'r backed the 3 really but forecasts and tricasts have paid a lot more than expected...
    Last edited by gigilo; 18th August 2017 at 2:35 PM.

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  22. #8778
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Yarmouth 7.0

    Nellies dancer 25/1 365 20/1 ppower/sportsbook


    Going changes everywhere on top of drying ground looks impossible to have a bet really think all of tomorrows meetings have rain forecast yarmouths gd/fm looking at weather map says around 11mm in total so at best good ground presuming that all arrives.Nellie's dancer the angle looks to be fast ground is a nine race maiden and penultimate run ran over tomorrows c/d finishing 2nd in a 0-65 tomorrow drops into a 0-55 has the pices back on after being unplaced last time out and that was on gd/sft ground.That second over tomorrows c/d coincided with her only going off 8/1 as well so presumably looking at all her other form then it is quicker ground she wants,she runs off 55 tomorrow and claimer takes off another 5 pound 2 pound less thab the run when second.Would imagine if ground does somehow stay quick she would be a big gamble as had older 60+ horses in behind her in that race nd tomorrow only runs against top rated 55 hortses.She remains of interest when getting some faster ground even if she doesn't get it tomorrow,if the rains don't get in can't see any reason why she wouldn't go off nearer 7-8/1 again tops.It's such a poor race if the rains do get in even Caledonian gold 18 horse maiden could run well after last run at the track on ground with some juice that was also a better race finishing second..

    16/1 Across the board now 365/skybet/hills/betfred/victor/totesport/betway
    Will do nicely,a pity they had that bit of rain killed the ground lovely prices though think my 8/1 was the true price...

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    nice placer Giggs...

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    Symphony group handicap York

    Boom the groom 25/1 hills 20/1 ppower/skybet Edward lewis 14/1 hils.

    The prices of Boom the groom would've looked enormous after the Epsom dash run this season when finishing under hands n heels beaten 1 1/2ls in sixth,since then has run three poor races ran in the Wokingham over 6fs so could easily excuse that run has never run well at ascot either,ran poorly at goodwood where the standside dominated was beaten easily but jock stopped riding 1 1/2 furlongs out then last week ran at Chelmsford drawn 11 where front runners dominated had no chance.He obviously has a bit to prove now,but the Epsom run has the beating of a few that head the market and he won this race last season off 102,will be off a 100 faster the ground the better and looking at forecast
    at this point fast ground looks likely.
    York has been favouring horses on the pace this season like flying pursuit so he has a bit to prove now,but the prices are very big based on the Epsom run and last years win,as long as grounds on the quick side think he's guaranteed to run i'd be amazed if he went off these prices on with perfect conditions to suit,if he gets away on terms which has been missing this turf season no reason why couldn't figure.If these prices are around I think its almost certain sea gull or hugh taylor will put him up even though apparently out of form and that's not necessarily the case certainly is the stand out value at current prices.

    The same thing with Edward lewis had looked a progressive sprinter and only the 13 lifetime rujs going into the Epsom dash dropped out got no run whatsoever in the final furlong finishing with loads in hand,similar to boom the groom three runs since ran also in the Wokingham on the advantageous side but that was 6fs and dropped out and got stopped in run bearen 2ls.Then ran at ascot ground was on the dead side and the high draws at big advantage,then beaten 6ls over the 6fs afgain on slow ground in the stewards surprise it even ran under those conditions.York looks ideal over the extended 5fs is 2 pound lower than the Epsom run where similarly to boom the groom horses infront of it in the market on that form stricty should beat,o'mearas horses are hitting some form and as long as forecast ground is right wil look like Epsom conditionjs.This is another that could well shorten up by race day as well presuming it runs..
    Last edited by gigilo; 20th August 2017 at 3:04 AM.

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