Wouldn't have put anyone off bettinf the 4/1 ew that was on offer,racings just impossible at the moment change of goings by the hour even shared equity that likes soft ground hated that bottomless ground at newbury,same at Newmarket don't know how they make it sft/gd/sft its completely bottomless impossible to have a bet.
Think its likely to be the same at Donny as well and maybe thirsk,so just going to have a couple of token bets I might do an ew lucky 15 but will only be to very small stakes on this ground..
Thirsk 2.45
Finnclass 22/1 ppower 20/1 365
In l;ast 16 runs finn class has never gone off shorter than 8/1 which suggests stable don't realy know when he's going to run well but most of his form has come on soft ground and won over this c/d last season when the ground was desperate off a mark of 88 the time of the race was slow by 12 seconds so desperate conditions In a decent race for horses rated upto 100.He didn't really go on from that race but still ran 3rd off 84 in September off 84 drops to 82 tomorrow,the ground and track look main positives and could easily run well in this if back to best..
Wilde inspiration has also become well handicapped hasn't won for a long time but at the weights has the beating of finn class on their Donny form but was over 6ls behind in the thirsk race still interesting down to last winning mark..
3.20
Will try naggers and Eccleston,naggers has been a progressive sprinter 4 wins from 15 runs was 4th on seasonal debut to wentworth falls and muntadab form that has worked out was running on well at finish as well and this is even a drop in grade,is drawn 1 but of a guessing game but previous meetings in big fields have suggestec there shouldn't be much in it.
Ecclestons been disappointing in last 12 months was 3ls behind naggers in the above race but still had some decent placed form last season on soft ground hasn't run in this grade since may 2015,might be worth having some speculative forecasts with intense style as well as that one os drawn by the fav and beat eccleston last season and finished behind him once so they could all run well and the last two mentioned have both run well over c/d,,
Naggers 6/1 paddy/totesport/lads/sjames Eccleston 10/1 lads/betbright 9/1 ppower/corals/totesport/betfred/boyles..
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4.30
Will add in a shorter priced one steaming not sure will go on the ground but did run ok at wolves over the trip,out rail link better stats on gd/fm but has had 2 winners from 18 runners on heavy,so might be able to give the odds on shot a race as long as ground isn't a negative..Betting will be interesting as the favs out of dubawi so ground should suit..
Steaming 15/8 power/betfred/totesport
Shouldv'e put the pair in would've been monster bet running on at least it placed traded 1.6 and goes off odds on crazy,just hope the fahey horse places tonight as would still make a big difference when all the place money is added up big drifter all day..
Donny 8.50
Khelman 14/1 lads/betway/365/victor Dandyleekie 10/1 ppower
Khelman was 3rd off 85 in ayr silver cup,he doesn't win very often now although races off 79 and claimer takes off 3 hasn't run in this grade since june 2014,dandyleekie won first time out last season on heavy ground not sure his style of racing at Donny will suit as usually up with the pace won off this mark of 79 in july.Would imagine tanasoq will win this if goes on the ground after a nice debut run of the season and beating some older hiorses rated in mid 80s..money team could also run well has finished infront of dandyleekie at catterick,maybe worth doing some forecasts if prices are still respectable..
6.20
2yr olds on desperate ground probably to avoid,but as I think flo's melody has the best known form then will add her she only ran in what looked a mediocre maiden at ripon but the time seemed ok compared to the first div,she hasn't shortened at all from opening prices of 7/4 not that surprising as ground could be heavy.Her sire swiss spirit showed nothing on slower ground,but invincible spirit sire of swiss spirit % wise is just as good on heavy as gd/fm,obviously not guaranteed again betting will be interesting being a fahey horse..
Flo's melody 7/4 365/victor/lads/corals/skybet/totesport/betfred..