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Thread: Daily picks.

  1. #7501
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    5.20 Catterick


    Lord rob has a very poor profile only 3 places from 13 runs and rated 45 runs over 7fs at catterick tomorrow same as one of his placed runs when drawn in the car park as ytpmorrow again when finishing 3rd at 100/1,mister royale won that race then won another twice so form just through winner looked good for grade,tanawar in second has been running well in better races since as well.The times were interesting on the card that day this first div was 1.1 seconds quicker than Debdens winning the second div tomorrows fav and lord rob is even better off at weights,also adiator was in debdens race and has a big pull in weights with the winner.Lord rob at least has now shown he has some ability on slower ground on this track over c/d,although that negative draw and a few others that are more consistent the 20/1 would be a big price of that run reproduced,looks the sort of horse that will go unnoticed in the autumn at a big proce and win an even worse race than this but I will be following hik at these and bigger prices.Still worth a small bet tomorrow,the betting will be interesting although I doubt even stable know when he will run well..

    Lord rob 20/1 Hills

    16/1 betfred/totesport/sportsbook..
    5.55 Catterick Saturday..

    Lord robs now a 16 race maiden this is a better race than the one he finished behind tomorrows fav plus there are lots of runners with better form but he has that one run mentioned above when having dr red eye behind when third to mister royal and tanawar.He's worth a token bet with not much course form on offer,think it would've been more of a positive if there had been np rain when running 3rd to mister royal the time was very good for grade,yet last time out behind emblaze that one got on the front on softer ground and he struggled.Hopefully the ground will dry out a little,i think he looks unlikely winner but 20/1 just based on that one piece of form then have to have a token bet..

    Lord rob 20/1 ppower/victor/sportsbook
    Last edited by gigilo; 16th September 2016 at 11:05 PM.

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  3. #7502
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    Miles out with forecast ground at catterick virtually soft ground slow by almost 6 seconds as opposed to the 2.9 when he was 3rd over the c/d yet still traded 3s in running, hopefully will get good ground at some point and maybe a bigger price and maybe an even lower grade race..

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    5.40 Kempton

    There look to be more races for german whip was big eyecatcher at grighton before winninbg twice don't know if anything can beat him tomorrow but will have two token bets in same race ubla and cryptic in same race.They came 1,2 over c/d back in august and probably were favoured by a collapse from the pace runners but ubla looked the winner with 3 furlongs to go winning off 66 beating cryptic by anb easy 1 1/2ls tomorrow cryptic gets 11 pound pull in theory should turn that around,think ubla was quite impressive with first time tt whether that run will ever be produced again with gay kelleway training is another question but the 4 pound rise looked generous just on that run.
    Then obviouslt cryptic has that turn around in weights and from better draw,the time of the race that day was a lot slower than recent winner in kens memory but surface was a lot slower that night,if they can reproduce that c/d run then they should both run well..

    Cryptic 10/1 sportsbook 9/1 skbet/betfred 8/1 lads Ubla 14/1 365/victor/lads/corals/hills

    Still 12s with sportingbet 11/1 hills
    Last edited by gigilo; 19th September 2016 at 9:31 AM.

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  7. #7504
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    4.50 Hamilton

    Was going to leave this race as I like one but was hoping to see a bigger price,so now will just but a small bet may even be slightly bigger in the morning anyway but would expect it to be bet if fancied by stable,voice from above has three wins two of them over 13fs at Hamilton on soft ground but both of those wins were june 2014 and 2015.This season obviouskly has had some sort of niggle as ran well at thirsk in better race but run [poorly since and only 5 runs this season,actually on the 11f race here in may has no chance with the thrown in celtic power,celtic powers 21 pound better in with voice from above and beat it over 3ls.This is why I was hoping to see 8-10/1 from handicapping perspective the two goldie horses look likelier winners but on this ground on this track over this trip,voice from above probably has a better chance if those two don't get the trip or like the ground have yet to prove it.The two races voice from above won were 0-65 this is a 0-60 danny tudhopes booked,paula muirs been riding all season,think it will be obvious after a couple of furlongs as usually travels well here but hasn't been doing that in recent runs,to test out their suspect stamina on ground if he does lay up with pace early should trade lower in running..

    Voice from above 6/1 365/skybet/hills/victor

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  9. #7505
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    5.40 Kempton

    There look to be more races for german whip was big eyecatcher at grighton before winninbg twice don't know if anything can beat him tomorrow but will have two token bets in same race ubla and cryptic in same race.They came 1,2 over c/d back in august and probably were favoured by a collapse from the pace runners but ubla looked the winner with 3 furlongs to go winning off 66 beating cryptic by anb easy 1 1/2ls tomorrow cryptic gets 11 pound pull in theory should turn that around,think ubla was quite impressive with first time tt whether that run will ever be produced again with gay kelleway training is another question but the 4 pound rise looked generous just on that run.
    Then obviouslt cryptic has that turn around in weights and from better draw,the time of the race that day was a lot slower than recent winner in kens memory but surface was a lot slower that night,if they can reproduce that c/d run then they should both run well..

    Cryptic 10/1 sportsbook 9/1 skbet/betfred 8/1 lads Ubla 14/1 365/victor/lads/corals/hills

    Still 12s with sportingbet 11/1 hills
    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Gamble landed,nice runner at Hamilton as well ran exactly as expected!!!

  10. #7506
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    Thanks Giggsy ,well done

  11. #7507
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    Great call thank you Gigilo

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    Excellent once again.

  13. #7509
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    very well done , your other one traded very short too , excellent

  14. #7510
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    Have had 2 small ew tirixies and some small bets on these,nothing special in prices so minimum stakes,was going to have a few bets at Beverley but just seems to be impossible to have a bet on the turf night before without ground changing,might wait till morning see the going report.Not stuff for getting rich tomorrow at lingfield unfiortunately..

    2.30 Lingfield

    Awesome quality has been really disappointying winning at Newcastle on handicap debut beating wowcha and be kool in a very good time be kools 5ls behind has win since,infact was quicker than the class 3 on the card don't know what happened to the horse you could excuse the turf run and if pushing it maybe the surface at Newcastle was too slow on last run,when he won there winning time was 1.24.81 when he returned there and looked slow, time was 1.27.34 so there's a possibility that surface was just to slow.Lingfield has the quicker surface so in a poor race worth having a token bet on him although if he doesn't show tomorrow I don't think he'll be seen again for awhile..
    Classical rose should run well,she's nothing special but her c/d win here in may beating golden wedding in higher grade race looks as good as anything,think music major looks the other interesting runner and maybe worth doing some forecasts if they all run as music major ran today..

    Classical rose 13/2 victor/hills Awesome quality 3/1 victor/ppower/hills pushed out to 10/30 victor/hills

    4.40

    Pushkin museums not much of a price in a dodgepots race but he has been running ok on the turf in slightly higher grade races and his aw form is 2 wins from 8 runs,last run on the aw was off 70 has dropped another 11 pound tomorrow so fit and c/d winner although doesn't look totally convincing hopefully will just run to turf form and that would put him thereabouts at worst.Get the feeling this could be massively overbet even though the price is short enough now..

    Pushkin museum 9/2 365

    5.10

    Entsar ran behind ecureil at Chelmsford won snce off 80 beating Athlon the 3rd canonbury won since as well,again not much of a price but the time at Chelmsford looked decent,there could be something in here open to more improvement but will probably have to run to 90 about all I could find to make up three bets on the card for the trixies..

    Entsar 8/11 skybet 4/6 generally..

    Will have a little KKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMM!!!As drifted out to lovely price 6/5 thought it would be 2s on at best so saves the day terrible days racing!!1
    Last edited by gigilo; 20th September 2016 at 5:15 PM.

  15. #7511
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    Quote Originally Posted by ozgood View Post
    very well done , your other one traded very short too , excellent
    Been ill all week been in bed most of afternoon so havn't seen the race do you know what it went in running..

  16. #7512
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    very well done , your other one VFA traded very short too , excellent

  17. #7513
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    Value from above led all the way , till inside final furlong traded at 1.49

  18. #7514
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    I read it had led so as soon as that happened then was always going to trade short,hope a few won more on the race than me as only backed it ew again at 7s I will always mention the in running angle of its there as I know plenty are interested in that side of it..

  19. #7515
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    3.55 Redcar

    Couple of token bets in the race very rarely bet at recar as usually ovber watered hopefully will be quick,captain dunne hasn't been running as badly as his price suggests although dominating a race this big probably a lot to ask at 11 but shown this season still retains some ability a 4th to Fredericka off 79 over c/d in may now only racing off 66 hasn't run in this grade before so lower grade than usual.It was only two races back was 4th to seamster off 73 at thirsk,there looks a race in him but probably in smaller field but so well handicapped worth a token bet..
    Savannah bay hasn't shown much this season ,finished last sesson on a mark of 81 runner up to thesme at York and other very decent places last time ran in this grade won by 3 1/2ls off 69 not really much to recommend on this years form but hasn't been beaten that far especially last time out and this race is far weaker than anything run in for a long time..

    Captain dunne 16/1 365 Savannah beau 16/1 365 14/1 betfred

    Forgot to mention firecracker ground has conspired against this one a few times I've been waiting for 6fs on fast ground and some big prices has already been 5th this season to final venture and 3rd ti available in different class races,it's another that takes a drop into this class for first time and could run well especially if field splits as he's drawn high as opposed to the other two drwwn low although there's a ? over this 5fs there should be loads of pace..
    Last edited by gigilo; 21st September 2016 at 9:31 AM.

  20. #7516
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    4.55 Goodwood

    Just seen going has been changed at goodwood to good/sft and as divine call won this race last year off 65 on very soft ground then is worth a token bet for some reason excels at goodwood, 3 runs over c/d won twice off 65 and 68 lasty season and this season 9 pound out of the handicap when got no run and 4th of 6 to yeeoow.Tomorrow is 10 pound out of the handicap but with the claim of 3 so is running off 63 still below all those decet runs over c/d,there are 3/4 in the race that strictly on form should finish infront of it but with just pettochside with decent course form divine call could run well.Lasr season when the ground was soft and winning off 65 in this grade there was 3ls back to the third and it looks like ground will be similar,an unlikely winner but course form at 20/1 could well see this being well backed and going off nearer 10-12/1..The run behind yeeoow showed that he's a different horse here compared to all his other form this season,so could run well all depending how many with no track form act on it..

    Divine call 20/1 365/betfred/Ladbrokes


    Totesport 20/1 as well..
    Last edited by gigilo; 20th September 2016 at 11:56 PM.

  21. #7517
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    Done ew Trixie

    5.10 ponte


    Van gerwen 13/2 victor/skybet/365

    6.15 Chelmsford

    Evergate 4/1 365/victor/skybet/corals

    7.45

    Tommy's secret 16/1 skybet 20/1 sportsbook 14/1 betfred

    Write up later been in hospital allday so loads of catching up to do..

  22. #7518
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Done ew Trixie

    5.10 ponte


    Van gerwen 13/2 victor/skybet/365

    Van gerwen has been running respectably in similar or better races 4th to dutch mist over tomorrows c/d beaten 3/4l off 73,for horses rated upto 90
    disappointed next time out over c/d but was runner uop back over this c/d went off 3/1 fav had a couple of these behind market choice and spike.The recent 6th to Ustinov looks ok as well for horses rated upto 85,gets dropped a pound for that run and Nathan evans takes off 5 so on same mark as win over the c/d earlier in the season..

    6.15 Chelmsford

    Evergate 4/1 365/victor/skybet/corals/ppower

    From memory thought evergate was really impressive last time out and have mistakenly thought the 2nd was a different horse as rushing when looking through the prices,just watched replay and probably not as impressed as still .80 slower than the older class 4 on the card at wiondsor that night.Lots of the runners are completely unexposed as well but have already done him, 85 doesn't look massively generous at prices but has proven he travels well and the 3rd moi moi moi won today 7ls behind,he's only had four runs so will give him a chance with decent draw and jock..

    7.45

    Tommy's secret 16/1 skybet/hills 20/1 sportsbook 14/1 betfred/ppower/victor/corals/lads

    As mentioned last time I put tommys secret up jane chapple hyam having a nightmare season,there's no real reason to back the horse besides the fact it;'s in a race that it would be red hot fav on last seasons Chelmsford form gets dropped into a race for horses rated just upto 65 and with claimer taking off another 5 pound.He probably would've been a 5/2 shot on last seasons form tops with form such as 2nd to superstar,drawn out in the car park in 14 tomorrow probably won't be his day but running in these grade races can't go unbacked at 16/1 despite stable form as the race is dire.The betting would be very informative as that draw wouldn't be anywhere near problematic if at best and prices will crash if fancied by stable,really would expect it to be near the top of the betting off this mark if anywhere near..

    Write up later been in hospital allday so loads of catching up to do..
    Last edited by gigilo; 22nd September 2016 at 1:33 AM.

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  24. #7519
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    5.05 Haydock

    Wilde inspiration 12/1 hills

    9.15 Newcastle

    Widforpower 25/1 365 50/1 sportsbook.

  25. #7520
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    5.10 ponte


    Van gerwen 13/2 victor/skybet/365

    Van gerwen has been running respectably in similar or better races 4th to dutch mist over tomorrows c/d beaten 3/4l off 73,for horses rated upto 90
    disappointed next time out over c/d but was runner uop back over this c/d went off 3/1 fav had a couple of these behind market choice and spike.The recent 6th to Ustinov looks ok as well for horses rated upto 85,gets dropped a pound for that run and Nathan evans takes off 5 so on same mark as win over the c/d earlier in the season..

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMM Scrapes home by 5ls looked ew bet of the day was getting a bit worried with ground bit wasn't to soft!!Will do me for today,show back on the road!!

    6.15 Chelmsford

    Evergate 4/1 365/victor/skybet/corals/ppower

    From memory thought evergate was really impressive last time out and have mistakenly thought the 2nd was a different horse as rushing when looking through the prices,just watched replay and probably not as impressed as still .80 slower than the older class 4 on the card at wiondsor that night.Lots of the runners are completely unexposed as well but have already done him, 85 doesn't look massively generous at prices but has proven he travels well and the 3rd moi moi moi won today 7ls behind,he's only had four runs so will give him a chance with decent draw and jock..

    7.45

    Tommy's secret 16/1 skybet/hills 20/1 sportsbook 14/1 betfred/ppower/victor/corals/lads

    As mentioned last time I put tommys secret up jane chapple hyam having a nightmare season,there's no real reason to back the horse besides the fact it;'s in a race that it would be red hot fav on last seasons Chelmsford form gets dropped into a race for horses rated just upto 65 and with claimer taking off another 5 pound.He probably would've been a 5/2 shot on last seasons form tops with form such as 2nd to superstar,drawn out in the car park in 14 tomorrow probably won't be his day but running in these grade races can't go unbacked at 16/1 despite stable form as the race is dire.The betting would be very informative as that draw wouldn't be anywhere near problematic if at best and prices will crash if fancied by stable,really would expect it to be near the top of the betting off this mark if anywhere near

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