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Thread: Daily picks.

  1. #6841
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    Doubt it Gig think the winner is retiring haha. Good shout though.
    Man who catch fly with chopstick .... accomplish anything.

  2. #6842
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    Chelmsford (AW) Result
    24 Sep 2015
    « 6:45 » JOIN ESSEX RACING CLUB SYNDICATES HANDICAP (DIV I)
    (Class 5) (0-70, 3yo+) 1m Standard
    £3,881.40, £1,155.00, £577.20, £288.60
    RESULTRATE RACE
    Show all comments in runningShow all pedigrees
    HORSE/SP AGE WGT TRAINER/JOCKEY OR TS RPR

    « 1 7 Manolito 4/1 3 8-10 t Hughie Morrison 63 * * »
    Oisin Murphy


    « 2 10 2¾ Dark Avenger (USA) 9/1 3 9-3 Jamie Osborne 70 * * »
    Timmy Murphy


    « 3 2 1 Enriching (USA) 25/1 7 9-2 Nick Littmoden 65 * * »
    J F Egan


    « 4 6 ¾ The Happy Hammer (IRE) 20/1 9 9-1 Eugene Stanford 64 * * »
    Robert Tart


    « 5 1 hd Hot Mustard 9/4F 5 9-7 William Muir 70 * *
    Martin Dwyer


    « 6 8 nk Mandria (IRE) 7/1 3 8-8 h Daniel Kubler 61 * * »
    Richard Kingscote


    « 7 3 nk Unnoticed 33/1 3 8-11 p Denis Quinn 69 * *
    Noel Garbutt5


    « 8 5 1 The Gay Cavalier 5/1 4 9-7 t John Ryan 70 * *
    Adam Kirby


    « 9 9 shd Trulee Scrumptious 25/1 6 8-12 v Peter Charalambous 64 * *
    Marc Monaghan3


    « 10 4 14 Nufooth (IRE) 12/1 3 8-12 James Eustace 65 * * »
    Luke Morris


    « 11 11 2 Wu Zetian 16/1 4 8-13 b Pam Sly 67 * *
    Rob Hornby5


    11 ran TIME 1m 37.49s (fast by 1.51s)

    The gay cavalier

    Not subtle booking Kirby for this ride when horse blatantly running over the wrong trip giving these 10ls start and although finished 6ls behind in 8th was nearest finish with no clear run at the moment looks thrown in off 68,last season improved won of 70,74 and then 80 then was 4th of 7 to tryster off 86 so mark has come crashing down.Alot of punters picked up on the mark at Chelmsford something like 16/1 opening pruices but the trip was far to short no form over a mile,so really needed a nice run down fioeld again to take that eyecatching run away so today egan booked and over wrong trip at Windsor so now should be some noce value switchedback to the aw.He could appear at Kempton again as but looks like he handles all the aw tracks,hasn't run at swell they may even try getting him down to 65 which would make him look virtually unbeatable back over 1m2fs off 65.He will get overpriced as the books are clueless pricing these tyopes up and you could see 16s for a horse that should be 3-4/1 running over 1m2fs...

  3. #6843
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    Mengli khan 14/1 sporting bet 12/1 365/hills Racing post trophy

    Mengli khan as yet does not have the form in the book as front two in the market but still an interesting runner hugo palmer has had group 2 winner galileo gold this season and that runner 3rd in group 1 at longchamp beating Johannes Vermeer and shogun bioth runners in Saturdays race priced at 6/1 and 12/1.You would have to assume potentially this is his best 2yr old and to be better than galileo gold so could be a little bit of value,if you took some of those formlines literally Johannes vermeeer beating sanus per aquam
    at leopardstown sanus per aquam just touched off by Deauville earlier in season.Hugo palmer has plenty of formlines there to make comparisons so no reason to think he won't be up to this grade,ran very well on debut over c/d when there was a bias with the pace horses on the day he came from off the pace and the time was respectable for first ever run.A lot to ask to win but previous runners hugo palmers had this season through the above formlines suggest he will be up to this class and likely to be his best 2yr old,if he is then he should out run those prices..

    12/1 sjames..
    Last edited by gigilo; 20th October 2015 at 11:11 PM.

  4. #6844
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    Entered over 1m2f on Saturday at Chelmsford.
    Edit - The Gay Cavalier that is...
    Last edited by Saltyjim; 20th October 2015 at 6:38 PM.

  5. #6845
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    Windsor Result
    20 Oct 2015
    1:50 » BRITISH STALLION STUDS EBF FILLIES' MAIDEN STAKES (PLUS 10 RACE)
    (Class 5) (2yo) 6f Good
    £3,363.88, £1,001.00, £500.24, £250.12
    RESULTRATE RACE
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    HORSE/SP AGE WGT TRAINER/JOCKEY OR TS RPR

    « 1 3 Exist 7/2 2 9-0 John Gosden — * *
    Robert Havlin


    « 2 2 1 Welsh Rose 25/1 2 9-0 William Muir — * *
    Steve Drowne


    « 3 7 nk Kylla Instinct 8/1 2 9-0 Philip McBride — * *
    Jamie Spencer


    « 4 8 2 Evangelical 6/1 2 9-0 Richard Fahey 69 * *
    Tony Hamilton


    « 5 4 1¾ Clodianna (IRE) 10/1 2 9-0 h1 Roger Charlton — * *
    William Twiston-Davies


    « 6 14 ¾ Kath's Legacy 50/1 2 9-0 Ben De Haan — * *
    John Fahy


    « 7 5 hd Belle Mare Plage 25/1 2 9-0 Stuart Williams — * *
    Martin Harley


    « 8 11 1½ Sacrament (IRE) 5/2F 2 9-0 Ralph Beckett — * *
    Harry Bentley


    9 6 ½ Mercifilly (FR) 66/1 2 9-0 Ed Walker — * *
    Liam Keniry


    « 10 9 nse Mheelah (IRE) 16/1 2 9-0 Richard Hannon — * *
    Frankie Dettori


    11 10 1 Fleeting Dream (IRE) 5/1 2 9-0 William Haggas — * *
    Pat Cosgrave


    « 12 13 9 Song Of Paradise 66/1 2 9-0 Chris Wall — * *
    Jack Mitchell


    13 15 2 You're A Goat 50/1 2 9-0 Gary Moore — * *
    Fergus Sweeney


    14 1 2½ Loveisreckless (IRE) 66/1 2 9-0 William Muir — * *
    Sam Hitchcott


    14 ran TIME 1m 11.79s (slow by 1.29s) Total SP 124%


    Welsh rose
    Kylla instinct

    Five 6f races through the afternoon at Windsor kicking off with this fillies maiden,the winner had disappointed o n debut at Leicester but the runner up and third from the willie muir and Mc bride stables made this maiden look even weaker,but this wasn't backed up by the times through the afternoon infact the opposite.The following nursery won by 75 rated art collection was .55 slower the fillies carried 7 pound less,anonymous johns win was only .03 quickerspring loaded won the other class 4 .31 quicker and the class 6 was
    a second slower.Hopefully the handicapper will be lenient with these two and coming out of less fashionavble stables they could well be overpriced,its difficult to give them set marks not knowing if the winner of the following nurserty was an improver if he was then opening marks of 75 would look very fair anything lower which is quite possible would look generous.Guessing I think they will get marks below 75 can'yt see how handicapper ca n go to 75 on form so they should be well in,might even see them on the aw as well so worth looking out for even if not running on turf again..

  6. #6846
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    its difficult to give them set marks
    Exist = 81
    Welsh Rose = 78
    Kyla Instinct = 77

  7. #6847
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    Goodwood Result
    01 Aug 2014
    « 2:30 » BONHAMS THOROUGHBRED STAKES (GROUP 3)
    (Class 1) (3yo) 1m Good To Firm
    £34,026.00, £12,900.00, £6,456.00, £3,216.00, £1,614.00, £810.00
    RESULTRATE RACE
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    HORSE/SP AGE WGT TRAINER/JOCKEY OR TS RPR

    « 1 3 Wannabe Yours (IRE) 7/1 3 9-1 John Gosden 100 * * »
    William Buick


    « 2 7 nk Hors De Combat 9/2 3 9-1 James Fanshawe 99 * * »
    Frederik Tylicki


    « 3 4 3½ Bow Creek (IRE) 4/1 3 9-1 Mark Johnston 108 * * »
    Joe Fanning


    « 4 6 1½ Windfast (IRE) 11/1 3 9-1 Brian Meehan 108 * * »
    Jimmy Fortune


    « 5 5 8 Shifting Power 6/4F 3 9-1 Richard Hannon 115 * * »
    Richard Hughes


    « 6 8 22 Rapprochement (IRE) 8/1 3 9-1 h Charlie Appleby — * *
    Adam Kirby


    6 ran TIME 1m 36.10s (fast by 0.10s)

    Wannabe yours Aw mile final 16/1 corals might see 20s somehwhere yet

    Might be worth having a small bet on wannabe yours for the aw mile championships,this season has been really disappointing after winning last year at goodwood beating hiors de combats as a 3yr old the winning time at goodwood that day was 1.3 seconds quicker than 96 rated red avenger winning the betfred mile was an unbelievable win from position he got in and looked different class to the field that day to get up after being stopped and hampered.He looked a group 1 horse and one to follow,since that run has just seemingly gone backwards for no apparent reason to the point where he's now only rated 104 ,he's been getting beat in midfield in a few group races but based on last years win at goodwood I find it hard to believe he won't recapture that form at some point and entered in the aw championships on what will be fast surfaces might just suit.The 16/1 could look massive over the next few months,some of the losses on the turf I think you can put down to ground as the run at goodwood was so quick and the way he won I can't believe that he would be the same horse on anything better than fast ground so I'm willing to forgive some of the runs this season.
    Last edited by gigilo; 20th October 2015 at 9:10 PM.

  8. #6848
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    Can actually see mengli khan turning into a fairly decent trade,you've got two clear on the form and then the potentioal of the palmer horse I would think segal or taylor if picking one in the race it would have to be mengli khan and the probability is one of them will make this a race to bet in with fav so short wouldn't surprise me to see it on the day 8/1 or shorter..

  9. #6849
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    Chelmsford (AW) Result
    22 Oct 2015
    « 5:55 » BET TOTEEXACTA AT BETFRED.COM NURSERY HANDICAP
    (Class 6) (0-65, 2yo) 1m2f Standard
    £2,911.05, £866.25, £432.90, £216.45
    RESULTRATE RACE
    Show all comments in runningShow all pedigrees
    HORSE/SP AGE WGT TRAINER/JOCKEY OR TS RPR

    « 1 10 Jassur 6/1 2 8-8 b Marco Botti 49 * *
    Oisin Murphy


    « 2 4 7 Tenzing Norgay 5/1 2 9-7 p Sir Mark Prescott Bt 62 * *
    Chris Catlin


    « 3 1 1¼ Captain Gerald 8/1 2 9-0 John Ryan 55 * *
    Martin Harley


    « 4 8 ½ Nietzsche 9/2 2 9-7 William Haggas 62 * *
    Pat Cosgrave


    « 5 6 7 Mr Marbin (IRE) 16/1 2 9-1over weight1 Harry Dunlop 56 * *
    Adam Kirby


    « 6 3 hd Ice Bond 12/1 2 8-13 Richard Hannon 57 * *
    Tom Marquand3


    « 7 9 nk Zebedee's Son (IRE) 10/1 2 9-0 v1 David Evans 55 * *
    Jim Crowley


    « 8 5 5 Regal Galaxy 16/1 2 8-9 Mark H Tompkins 50 * *
    Jimmy Quinn


    « 9 11 2½ Bourne Symphony (IRE) 33/1 2 8-11 p Jim Boyle 52 * *
    Sam Hitchcott


    « 10 2 5 Gameplay 3/1F 2 9-7 p Charlie Appleby 62 * *
    William Buick


    « 11 7 4½ Balqees (IRE) 50/1 2 8-9 David Evans 50 * *
    J F Egan


    « 12 12 5 Ryan The Giant 20/1 2 9-4 Richard Hannon 59 * *
    Sean Levey


    12 ran TIME 2m 4.99s (fast by 1.51s)

    Jassur

    A 140,000 as yearling winning off 49 tonight at chelmsfiord related to junipier pass winner on dirt over 1m4 and turf 1m 6f rpr of 114 dam related to storm vcat and sire canford cliffs so obviously disappointing to be running in these races.Was stepped up in trip tonight hacking up by 7ls,the race looked very poor on paper so beat very little and a rise of at least a stone inevitable that will take him to minimum of 63,considering the pace wasn't frenetic slow early pace the time was still good for a 2yr old rated just 49.He will probably be little value next time out evens maybe slight odds on even with rise,although think he's worth following just out of interest you would have to think he's probably capable of running to a mark of 70 looking at tonights race.

  10. #6850
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Chelmsford (AW) Result
    24 Sep 2015
    « 6:45 » JOIN ESSEX RACING CLUB SYNDICATES HANDICAP (DIV I)
    (Class 5) (0-70, 3yo+) 1m Standard
    £3,881.40, £1,155.00, £577.20, £288.60
    RESULTRATE RACE
    Show all comments in runningShow all pedigrees
    HORSE/SP AGE WGT TRAINER/JOCKEY OR TS RPR

    « 1 7 Manolito 4/1 3 8-10 t Hughie Morrison 63 * * »
    Oisin Murphy


    « 2 10 2¾ Dark Avenger (USA) 9/1 3 9-3 Jamie Osborne 70 * * »
    Timmy Murphy


    « 3 2 1 Enriching (USA) 25/1 7 9-2 Nick Littmoden 65 * * »
    J F Egan


    « 4 6 ¾ The Happy Hammer (IRE) 20/1 9 9-1 Eugene Stanford 64 * * »
    Robert Tart


    « 5 1 hd Hot Mustard 9/4F 5 9-7 William Muir 70 * *
    Martin Dwyer


    « 6 8 nk Mandria (IRE) 7/1 3 8-8 h Daniel Kubler 61 * * »
    Richard Kingscote


    « 7 3 nk Unnoticed 33/1 3 8-11 p Denis Quinn 69 * *
    Noel Garbutt5


    « 8 5 1 The Gay Cavalier 5/1 4 9-7 t John Ryan 70 * *
    Adam Kirby


    « 9 9 shd Trulee Scrumptious 25/1 6 8-12 v Peter Charalambous 64 * *
    Marc Monaghan3


    « 10 4 14 Nufooth (IRE) 12/1 3 8-12 James Eustace 65 * * »
    Luke Morris


    « 11 11 2 Wu Zetian 16/1 4 8-13 b Pam Sly 67 * *
    Rob Hornby5


    11 ran TIME 1m 37.49s (fast by 1.51s)

    The gay cavalier

    Not subtle booking Kirby for this ride when horse blatantly running over the wrong trip giving these 10ls start and although finished 6ls behind in 8th was nearest finish with no clear run at the moment looks thrown in off 68,last season improved won of 70,74 and then 80 then was 4th of 7 to tryster off 86 so mark has come crashing down.Alot of punters picked up on the mark at Chelmsford something like 16/1 opening pruices but the trip was far to short no form over a mile,so really needed a nice run down fioeld again to take that eyecatching run away so today egan booked and over wrong trip at Windsor so now should be some noce value switchedback to the aw.He could appear at Kempton again as but looks like he handles all the aw tracks,hasn't run at swell they may even try getting him down to 65 which would make him look virtually unbeatable back over 1m2fs off 65.He will get overpriced as the books are clueless pricing these tyopes up and you could see 16s for a horse that should be 3-4/1 running over 1m2fs...
    12/1 lads 11/1 victor

    Bit surprised out so quick only ran Monday,still have to back it at these prices and should be a decent trade anyway could well halve in price at the very least,race looks wide open unless the gay cavalier runs somewhere near....
    10/1 hills/lads
    Last edited by gigilo; 23rd October 2015 at 6:51 PM.

  11. #6851
    SlimChance
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post

    12/1 lads 11/1 victor

    Bit surprised out so quick only ran Monday,still have to back it at these prices and should be a decent trade anyway could well halve in price at the very least,race looks wide open unless the gay cavalier runs somewhere near....
    10/1 hills/lads
    Blue De Vega cost it's new owners 1.5 million. How is it odds against tomorrow?

  12. #6852
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    Is it worthy of a will win for old times sake Slim?

  13. #6853
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    Probably because the better O'Brien 2yr olds have improved after a couple of runs,interesting race to see how the form works out as tribal beat has 4 1/2ls to find on their run previously but blue de vega could've won 10ls, it looked to me as though tribal beat improved maybe for the ground last time out so will be interesting to see the distance between those two tomorrow.Lots of 2yr olds this season that have looked decent have since flopped leaving a crop of poor looking 2yr olds,compared to most years like air force blue any other yesr he'd be a 6/1 shot with at least 1/2 dozen other runners running to a similar level,it just shows you the poor quantity of quality horses around for him to be 5/4 to win a 2000..

  14. #6854
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    Doncaster Result
    23 Oct 2015
    « 2:35 » BETDAQ 2% COMMISSION BRITISH STALLION STUDS EBF MAIDEN STAKES
    (Class 5) (2yo) 7f Good To Soft
    £3,234.50, £962.50, £481.00, £240.50
    RESULTRATE RACE
    Show all comments in runningShow all pedigrees
    HORSE/SP AGE WGT TRAINER/JOCKEY OR TS RPR

    1 11 Royal Artillery (USA) EvensF 2 9-5 John Gosden — * *
    Frankie Dettori


    2 8 2½ Wild Hacked (USA) 40/1 2 9-5 Marco Botti — * *
    Tom Queally


    3 12 4½ Philadelphia (IRE) 16/1 2 9-5 Roger Varian — * *
    Frederik Tylicki


    « 4 2 ¾ Briyouni (FR) 12/1 2 9-5 Kevin Ryan — * *
    Graham Lee


    5 10 1 D'Niro (IRE) 12/1 2 9-5 Harry Dunlop — * *
    Steve Drowne


    6 13 1¾ He's My Cracker 50/1 2 9-5 Clive Cox — * *
    Oisin Murphy


    7 7 nse Kalkrand (IRE) 8/1 2 9-5 John Gosden — * *
    Robert Havlin


    « 8 3 nk Mr Globetrotter (USA) 20/1 2 9-5 Michael Dods — * *
    Paul Mulrennan


    « 9 4 11 Night To Remember (IRE) 7/2 2 9-5 Ralph Beckett — * *
    Martin Lane


    10 6 1¾ Blaze Of Hearts (IRE) 25/1 2 9-5 Dean Ivory — * *
    Robert Winston


    11 1 3½ Touched By Love (USA) 100/1 2 9-2 Ismail Mohammed — * *
    Thomas Brown3


    « 12 5 8 Rob's Legacy 125/1 2 9-0 Shaun Harris — * *
    Jordan Nason5


    « 13 9 38 Rio Glamorous 125/1 2 9-5 t Roy Bowring — * *
    Raul Da Silva


    13 ran TIME 1m 29.22s (slow by 5.92s)

    Royal artillery 25/1 skybet 20/1 generally 2000 guineas

    An impressive winner visually 450,000usd out of war front high class dirt runner over 6-7fs on dirt 118 and the dam was rated 106 wion a grade 3 on gd/fm,not a lot to go on clockwise but looked more like a 3yr old the way he travelled and came from off the pace looking to have plenty of scope it's not a given ground would've suited either so the win maty be even better than first appears.Obviously is a speculative bet for next season,but I don't like the 2yr olds this season so looking for something that has potential and he's looked as good as anything on a debut run,i very much doubt runners in the 2000 with proven form already are going to amount to much so I think its wotrth having a small bet on yet another gosden horse that could be anything.Also I like to keep these potential dirt horses onside as well just incase they become good enough to go to the breeders,this season don't think I've mentioned anything about the breeders so will have him noted even if he doesn't show up for the guineas..

  15. #6855
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    The gay cavalier

    Not subtle booking Kirby for this ride when horse blatantly running over the wrong trip giving these 10ls start and although finished 6ls behind in 8th was nearest finish with no clear run at the moment looks thrown in off 68,last season improved won of 70,74 and then 80 then was 4th of 7 to tryster off 86 so mark has come crashing down.Alot of punters picked up on the mark at Chelmsford something like 16/1 opening pruices but the trip was far to short no form over a mile,so really needed a nice run down fioeld again to take that eyecatching run away so today egan booked and over wrong trip at Windsor so now should be some noce value switchedback to the aw.He could appear at Kempton again as but looks like he handles all the aw tracks,hasn't run at swell they may even try getting him down to 65 which would make him look virtually unbeatable back over 1m2fs off 65.He will get overpriced as the books are clueless pricing these tyopes up and you could see 16s for a horse that should be 3-4/1 running over 1m2fs...
    12/1 lads 11/1 victor

    Bit surprised out so quick only ran Monday,still have to back it at these prices and should be a decent trade anyway could well halve in price at the very least,race looks wide open unless the gay cavalier runs somewhere near....
    10/1 hills/lads


    At prices I expected 6/1 now,cracking trading opportunity wouldn't even surprise me if it went even shorter yet..

  16. #6856
    SlimChance
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    The Derby market is crying out for us to back something. There must be a bet in there.

  17. #6857
    SlimChance
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    Quote Originally Posted by SlimChance View Post
    The Derby market is crying out for us to back something. There must be a bet in there.
    Could Midterm be the one?

  18. #6858
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    Too much effort to guess over the middle distances especially with this years bunch the only reason I've looked at the guineas races next year is the races don't look that great or competitive so thought it was worth a couple of bets especially with the air force blue being so short..

  19. #6859
    SlimChance
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Too much effort to guess over the middle distances especially with this years bunch the only reason I've looked at the guineas races next year is the races don't look that great or competitive so thought it was worth a couple of bets especially with the air force blue being so short..
    Good point. The Derby horse could come from anywhere, Wolverhampton even...

  20. #6860
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    I have been looking out for something and at the obscurer races at wolves like that 1.1 million usd one of gosdens the other night as soon as I saw entry was thinking jack hobbs,wasn't that impressive but the aw has thrown up zilch this year been terrible year for 2yr olds on the aw and on turf where you can say that's going to be a group 1 horse necxt season.Very disappointing season 2yr olds wise which is what makes it interesting for me..

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