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Thread: Daily picks.

  1. #8841
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    Hopefully covered the bases on this one.
    Chocolate Box @ 6.00
    Mister Music @ 10.00
    Sam Missile @ 17.00
    Banish @ 12.00
    Kasperenko @ 11.00
    Big Baz @ 11.00
    Speak In Colours @ 4.00
    Bombastic @ 5.00
    Sacred Act @ 7.50
    Brandon Castle @ 3.00
    Trebles, 82 bets * 0.10
    Plus a few other combos.

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  3. #8842
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    London mile handicap Kempton saturday

    Ripoll 20/1 ppower

    Ripoll has won four times all on the aw looks an exposed handicapper,only rated 72 on the turf and no wins from 14 runs was a massive eyecatcher in the coral challenge handicap cantering with a furlong to go but getting no run was running against 100+ horses in that race that would've been by far best ever run on the turf and wouldn't have been a fluke as time was very good.It looks as though theseright handed tracks suit with three wins at kenpton and that eyecatching run at sandown,as all other form does not compare on straight tracks or different ground I've been waiting for him to run on a right handed track on fast ground but that looks more and more unlikey as season goes on.
    Last time he won was in a 0-90 over Saturdays c/d as yet he hasn't produced any decent finishing times on aw runs but the win in may off 78 was still impressive giving the field 6ls off a slow pace and picking them up under hand's n; heels,thought it was quite interesting pat dobbs never went for the whip in the race and was very cionfident of reeling them in.Saturdays race has obviously quite a few horses that are unexposed the 20/1 might not seem overly generous on overall form but purely on the sandown run and back on fav surface there could still be some improvement to come on the surface,not worth going too mad as may not even run but if declared at the two day stage could possibly get a bigger price.It's a speculative bet in a highly competitive race,i think the horse can definitely win more races just a case if this grade is slightly too high..Mudallel has won a couplr of c/d handicaps recently,they havn't been great races but the time of its win last time out was pretty decent and off just 8-8 looks the one most open to progression..

    20/1 365/sportsbook..
    Three books cut it too 16/1 worth keeping an eyeout incase bigger tomorrow..

  4. #8843
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    Slowly run race ruined mister musics chances,did say in wriyte up that would need decent pace,thats two bets this week at the track still think there was a strange drift on it though out to 13s on betfair,overly competitive stuff at the moment and ground changes all the time might be a quiet patch for awhile.Havn't had a losing run this year,whether it's this month October or November bound to happen especially with the winter autumn/winter form changing just try and keep it as short as possible..





    Wolves 8.30

    Hussar ballad 12/1 ppower/sportsbook...


    Hussar ballad very rarely wins bit of a veteran now hasn't won for a longtime has a c/d record of 6/66,3/65,3,67,3/65 and 4/65 so usually runs well over this c/d although rarely wins,last win was December 2015 but has won three on the aw.Tomorrow drops into a 0-60 now on that mark that's lowest since decemmber 2013 the claimer takes it down to 53 wghich is lowest ever mark,usually runs in 0-70s really if could produce anywhere near best should be 4-5/1 for this race tops.There is a possibility of it goinjg off near favourite although does run against quite a few in form,but that's probably negated that the trainer rarely has any winners but at least this one usually runs the same race,at least a decent ew chance..Am going to keep backing it see if I can make a few quid trading aswell as most of the turf racing looks like its going tio be on dodgy ground at ascot and haydock,will keep backing it dowen to 7/1 hopefully no dodgy druft tomorrow..

    Thirsk 4.40

    Start time 12/1 lads/corals..


    Start time is an interesting runner,he could be ome for later in the autumn and there maybe a plan for him from the new midgley stable could only be speculative tomorrow but one I will be following closely over the next couple of months.The horse has had 9 lifetime runs 2015 was 2nd in a group 3 for sbs then only one run in 2016,jpined the midgley stable and first two runs last in both,ran in the consolation st wilifred last time out and showed as lot more promise,started on farside and came standside had no chance racing on the outer of the field eventually only 12th beaten 7ls but for the last furlong and a half jockey stopped riding and lost very little ground.Think he was struggling on the track and probably ground a little to quivk,those three runs have enabled him to drop 12 pound from 92 to 80 ground will be softer tomorrow he obviously has had some problems but looks to have loads of ability and the blinkers are on forst time tomorrow.These midgley horses when well handicapped invariably get heavily backed,the ripon run was a lot more promising than the result appeasrs and worth a small bet,its one I will be following for a while as he rarely purchases sprinters that don't come right at some point.With this stable it could go off 4/1 it could go off 25/1 very hard to get rihht..The race looks wide open although quick look has joined mick easterby from the Jarvis yard and has been staying on over 5fs getting its mark to drop a couple of pounds to get in this grade and is still lightly raced..
    Last edited by gigilo; 9th September 2017 at 2:09 AM.

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  6. #8844
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    Start Time 7/2 giggsy and nobody seems to have noticed! Cracking spot again.

  7. #8845
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    Non runner

  8. #8846
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    What a surprise smashed into 3/1 and Midgley stable pull it,think it might be time for a little break hard enough trying to get a bet on without picks like this that are hard to find..

  9. #8847
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    Sometimes I hate this filthy game...was just about to trade out for a lovely profit and the horse is pulled. What a surprise. All the stables are rotten.Great shout anyway Giggs you can't win em all when you're up against crooked stables and bookies.

  10. #8848
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    Got my money back off Ripoll anyway on Quick look,huge prices considerung non runner of the fav to place as well, for 4 places got 2.9 places thought the lows would be an advantage there today and the 15 draws won thought quick look would've been near enough fav ashame it just got dione by the one..was 6/1 last night...

    Made a few quid trading hussar ballad but nothing like was expecting..
    Last edited by gigilo; 9th September 2017 at 8:29 PM.

  11. #8849
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    Curragh 2.0

    Raucous 10/1 365/skybet/sportsbook/10bet/betway/corals 9/1 betstars/betfred/victor/ppower/totesport/lads/boyles/betway

    Can't say I really fancy this but looks like being massively overbet and a decent trade so may as well do it,i put it up for the stewards after it running well behind outdo in the Wokingham 8th, but was 6ls behind the far side after a furlong and was out the back and stopped in run off 105 running on well at finish.Went to the stewards cup and got the 28 draw had absolutely no chance conceding at least 6ls at start from virtual standing start to follow field over to the far side was eventually 12th still running on beaten just over 4ls.Interesting was the 9th donjuan triumphant drawn 20 and from better position I put up for gold cup based on this run and raucous looked to concede and get a worse run than that one,donjuans franked the form recently winning listed race and one of the favs for the gold cup.Raucous then went to goodwood over 7fs which you can forgive any horse and over 7fs,he doesn't look straight forward and difficult to win with hung in the ascot race and has done previously,but drops in grade,moore rides,has the 22 draw although i'm not sure draw means that much anymore and he may need luck in rinning anyway,plus not sure whether he really wants softer ground now off 102.He could easily go off 5-6/1 in this race so looks decent trade anyway,may even go off a really stupid price..

    10/1 corals..


    Got to lay off at 8.4,money predictably came for it was easty enough to make a little profit on the race don't think i'd bother with the thing again till it gets back on decent ground was hanging yet again..
    Last edited by gigilo; 10th September 2017 at 2:08 PM.

  12. #8850
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Slowly run race ruined mister musics chances,did say in wriyte up that would need decent pace,thats two bets this week at the track still think there was a strange drift on it though out to 13s on betfair,overly competitive stuff at the moment and ground changes all the time might be a quiet patch for awhile.Havn't had a losing run this year,whether it's this month October or November bound to happen especially with the winter autumn/winter form changing just try and keep it as short as possible..





    Wolves 8.30

    Hussar ballad 12/1 ppower/sportsbook...


    Hussar ballad very rarely wins bit of a veteran now hasn't won for a longtime has a c/d record of 6/66,3/65,3,67,3/65 and 4/65 so usually runs well over this c/d although rarely wins,last win was December 2015 but has won three on the aw.Tomorrow drops into a 0-60 now on that mark that's lowest since decemmber 2013 the claimer takes it down to 53 wghich is lowest ever mark,usually runs in 0-70s really if could produce anywhere near best should be 4-5/1 for this race tops.There is a possibility of it goinjg off near favourite although does run against quite a few in form,but that's probably negated that the trainer rarely has any winners but at least this one usually runs the same race,at least a decent ew chance..Am going to keep backing it see if I can make a few quid trading aswell as most of the turf racing looks like its going tio be on dodgy ground at ascot and haydock,will keep backing it dowen to 7/1 hopefully no dodgy druft tomorrow..


    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!! !!!!!!!!!!Who the hel lays these horses,the best horse in the race,miles clear on speedfifgures and wuinsd exactly how I thought it should was backing it all last night and today won 400 trading and had 600ew at average of 10s unreal and still the layers were offering 10s,that's the beauty of unfashionable trainer if punjters just jnew how much classs difference there was incredible.Whereare the aw punters these days,that thing should've been 3/1 unreal it is... won by half the track!!!

    Thirsk 4.40

    Start time 12/1 lads/corals..


    Start time is an interesting runner,he could be ome for later in the autumn and there maybe a plan for him from the new midgley stable could only be speculative tomorrow but one I will be following closely over the next couple of months.The horse has had 9 lifetime runs 2015 was 2nd in a group 3 for sbs then only one run in 2016,jpined the midgley stable and first two runs last in both,ran in the consolation st wilifred last time out and showed as lot more promise,started on farside and came standside had no chance racing on the outer of the field eventually only 12th beaten 7ls but for the last furlong and a half jockey stopped riding and lost very little ground.Think he was struggling on the track and probably ground a little to quivk,those three runs have enabled him to drop 12 pound from 92 to 80 ground will be softer tomorrow he obviously has had some problems but looks to have loads of ability and the blinkers are on forst time tomorrow.These midgley horses when well handicapped invariably get heavily backed,the ripon run was a lot more promising than the result appeasrs and worth a small bet,its one I will be following for a while as he rarely purchases sprinters that don't come right at some point.With this stable it could go off 4/1 it could go off 25/1 very hard to get rihht..The race looks wide open although quick look has joined mick easterby from the Jarvis yard and has been staying on over 5fs getting its mark to drop a couple of pounds to get in this grade and is still lightly raced..

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  14. #8851
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    Nice one gig

  15. #8852
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    It's exactly how I pictured it winning,don't understand why it wasn't smashed off the boards off a mark of 53 its hardly been unplaced over c/d in 0-70s craziness and a cracking speedfigure in june,looked and was different class...

  16. #8853
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    Thanks Giggsy , Brilliant tipping as always

  17. #8854
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    i love this Man

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    on the drink all day yesterday, big win singles on the three of them and two ew doubles, huge, huge profit on the day, the crown jewels if the first won... excellent as always gigs......

  19. #8856
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    Some small ew multiples no strong fancys..


    Catterick 2.15

    Vintage dream 14/1 ppower/sportsbook 9/1 victor/hills/365/betstars/188bet.

    Vintage dream looks like he's going to be difficult to win with all sorts of headgear going on but does have ability could easily run well tomorrow or just chuck it in first time EB tomorrow.Vintage dream has already finished infront of hamidans girl at Hamilton over 5fs and is 8 pound better off with the fav tomorrow,went off 7/2 fav vintage dream in the Hamilton race, also a respectable 2nd over 6fs at tomorrows track for horses rated upto 75,tomorrow drops into a 0-65,last two runs a 13/14 and a poor second of 4 over 6fs at Hamilton.Looks a bit of a dodgepot but likes the grounjd,is drawn 1 form at the track not one to have too much faith in but would have a decent ew chance on earlier form,there is a possibility of pace collapse with dapper man likeky to take on vintage dream so maybe something in running..

    Nice little touch got 16/1 ew 2.36 for 4 places and 3.2 for 3 places and made a little in running,very strange betitng race with the 2 favs drawn wide
    and one of them no soft ground form amazing prices,nice result for placepot..




    Newcastle 8.15

    Rock warbler 13/2 ppower/sportsbook 7/1 sunbets 11/2 hills/victor/365

    Rock warbler has run respectable races all runs at Newcastle,would have an obvious ew chance on 2nd off 72 in a 0-80 over c/d going off 4/1jf nothing much in prices but not particlarly strong race for grade and maybe open to some small improvement,guncase is well handicapped another that's impossible to predict and could also run well in this 0-75..

    Newcastle 8.45

    Joyful delight 13/8 365..

    Amazing grace could be better than joyful delight it's impossible to know on what it's done so far but joyful delight should win a little race as the 7f weak handicap it ran in last time out is working out very well and was run in a decent time for grade when finishing 4th Robbie roo roo and bell heather 2nd and 3rd both recent winners.



    9.15

    Lotara 18/1 365 /victor

    Boogie baby looks the obvious choice lightly raced and improver only off 55 having finished 2nd in a 0-65 last time out after just 5 lifetime runs,this is a drop in class similarly ground worker c/d winner 2nd off 60 over c/d last season won by 2ls off 58 over c/d and in same class tomorrow actually last run on the aw was 4th to baghango off 62 at wolves in a 0-70 different class race to tomorrows could easily win this but hasn't been running great on the turf compared to last season but on a nice mark of just 54.Have gone for the biogger priced one Lotara has only ever won a poor maiden over c/d but was 5th in a better race than tomorrows over c/d off 59 in december and a 4th off 59 in this class following week.Forms not as good as ground workers and would probably struggle to beat the other two mentioned but has been running quite well on the turf in recent runs has an ew chance off just a mark of 50 in first time visor claimer taking off 3,bit speculative against horses that are better if at their best.Maybe worth doing some small forecasts..

    ..

    Leicester 4.55

    Lynwood gold 2/1 365/victor

    This could be a redhot maiden the johnston horse won by 5ls on debut,obviously complete guesswork as most of the runners are on debuts the Johnston horse won in a rrespectable time at Epsom could well be a 90+ horse hard to see it out of the frame unless the maiden is excettional,could be quite an informative race this especially if the Johnston horse goes off in front..
    Last edited by gigilo; 12th September 2017 at 2:34 PM.

  20. #8857
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    A complete waste of time at the moment racing post site just useless,not updating results for some reason some horses like for example Yeoow have no race record so no form there are plenty of others as well never gets fixed,the last week a high % of runners when going to form you can't get specific races up comes up with this
    Could not receive response (http://rp1-api.rp-digital.com/horses/results/672236) just making everything impossible to do.The sites desperately slow,has become worse over the last few weeks the last couple of days all these new glitches wgich never get fixed,can also add the BHA site as well no big deal but they have changed that as well to make things more long winded..I reckon it's a conspiracy two days ago they asked me would I recommend the site,i replied no and I doubt you'll have any subscribers left for the same reasoms I pointed out, since then things have been a 1000x worse...
    Last edited by gigilo; 13th September 2017 at 2:05 AM.

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  22. #8858
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    Chepstow 2.50

    Milan reef 10/1 ppower//skybet/betfred/totesport 11/1 sportsbook

    A weak 0-60 over a mile,but there are better stables with lightly raced ones milan reefs only had 5 runs itself and at Leicester over 7fs was 2nd to shovel it on winner won easily and won again next time out but milan reef travelled well enough and still stayed on at finish on soft ground.That race worked out quite well and was a 0-70 the 5th won off 67 next time out, 6th gabriel the devil was runner up in a 0-70 at wolves and the 7th dark blue reversed form with milan reef at bath on their next runs.When they ran at Leicester the ground was very slow,so milan reef might be ground dependant as on quicker ground at bath didn't run to that form hopefully will be soft enough,if it is then could be a negative for the fav.I wouldn't dismiss this one tomorrow either as that 0-70 at Leicester looks goodform especially for a horse just running off 54 there maybe at least a win maybe two through the winter even if grounds not soft enough tomorrow.If ground is slow enough can't really see why this won't be nearer 5/1 with that soft ground form with the fav,betting will be a massive pointer i'd expect it to be great trade on slow ground..
    Will try and make a few quid trading backing it all the way down to 7/1,don;t have a good record with this trainer seem to catch a lot of huge drifters hopefully can buck the trend..

    Made a few quid trading laying off at 8.0 a few coppers..

    Epsom 4.15

    Groor 10/1 365/hills/victor

    Am disappointed with groors price thought it would be overlooked and nearer 16/1,maybe a case like milans reef and follow for a couple of runs,the 5yr old was rated 91 in jan running in meydan 2016 after leaving james tate,has regressed and dropped down to just a mark of 75 and joining Mohamed moubarak.Didn't run to badly on debut for stable when 5th in a 0-85 at Donny,then nothing in three starts then an eyecatcher over c/d last time out in a 0-80 in a small field,managed to get stopped 3/4 times in run in that race and would've been a clear 2nd
    to fujaira bridge.The ground that day was good maybe gd/sft in places certainly on all known fornm wouldn't want it any slower which it could be.
    Will probably have to follow it for a few runs if no show tomorrow,trainers in form though as last runner won,the race looks wide open to me even the rag could run well that's why price is slightly disappointing for horse with downwards profile although again drops down another grade,betting will be interesting..
    Harlequin striker has become well handicapped not run in this grade since 2015 off this mark of 75 course record of 1/4/4/1/2 the 2nd was off 83 last season would have to be incvolved if anywhere near best...

    9/1 10bet/
    Last edited by gigilo; 14th September 2017 at 2:51 PM.

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    Genius


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  25. #8860
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Chepstow 2.50

    Milan reef 10/1 ppower//skybet/betfred/totesport 11/1 sportsbook

    A weak 0-60 over a mile,but there are better stables with lightly raced ones milan reefs only had 5 runs itself and at Leicester over 7fs was 2nd to shovel it on winner won easily and won again next time out but milan reef travelled well enough and still stayed on at finish on soft ground.That race worked out quite well and was a 0-70 the 5th won off 67 next time out, 6th gabriel the devil was runner up in a 0-70 at wolves and the 7th dark blue reversed form with milan reef at bath on their next runs.When they ran at Leicester the ground was very slow,so milan reef might be ground dependant as on quicker ground at bath didn't run to that form hopefully will be soft enough,if it is then could be a negative for the fav.I wouldn't dismiss this one tomorrow either as that 0-70 at Leicester looks goodform especially for a horse just running off 54 there maybe at least a win maybe two through the winter even if grounds not soft enough tomorrow.If ground is slow enough can't really see why this won't be nearer 5/1 with that soft ground form with the fav,betting will be a massive pointer i'd expect it to be great trade on slow ground..
    Will try and make a few quid trading backing it all the way down to 7/1,don;t have a good record with this trainer seem to catch a lot of huge drifters hopefully can buck the trend..


    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!!Form looked diofferent class,was different classs lagged uop cracking form at Leicester running against slow boats unreal prices again oon betfair,taking all the pl;aces as well amazin hopw they over lpook the punters and back stables instead of form pissed iot!!!

    Epsom 4.15

    Groor 10/1 365/hills/victor

    Am disappointed with groors price thought it would be overlooked and nearer 16/1,maybe a case like milans reef and follow for a couple of runs,the 5yr old was rated 91 in jan running in meydan 2016 after leaving james tate,has regressed and dropped down to just a mark of 75 and joining Mohamed moubarak.Didn't run to badly on debut for stable when 5th in a 0-85 at Donny,then nothing in three starts then an eyecatcher over c/d last time out in a 0-80 in a small field,managed to get stopped 3/4 times in run in that race and would've been a clear 2nd
    to fujaira bridge.The ground that day was good maybe gd/sft in places certainly on all known fornm wouldn't want it any slower which it could be.
    Will probably have to follow it for a few runs if no show tomorrow,trainers in form though as last runner won,the race looks wide open to me even the rag could run well that's why price is slightly disappointing for horse with downwards profile although again drops down another grade,betting will be interesting..
    Harlequin striker has become well handicapped not run in this grade since 2015 off this mark of 75 course record of 1/4/4/1/2 the 2nd was off 83 last season would have to be incvolved if anywhere near best...

    9/1 10bet/

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