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Thread: Daily picks.

  1. #9321
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    Lowest was about 1.65

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    Can't understand how it never went lower than that with a furlong to go,only two in it and still wasn't sure it was going to get beat near the line strange in running that..

  3. #9323
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    I left a 1.4 lay in play , watched race, couldn't believe myself that it never got matched, checked as soon as race ended.

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    Quote Originally Posted by moviebuff View Post
    I left a 1.4 lay in play , watched race, couldn't believe myself that it never got matched, checked as soon as race ended.
    Bottom's fallen out of markets these days but been coming for a while

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    Junior Member THEBOO's Avatar
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    Timeform results say the in-running low was 1.81 - I find that incredible the way race went I would've expected 1.1 or 1.2 at most.

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    Timeform hi and low is based on it being matched..........was a real toughie to pic the loser in the last furlong especially on a PC or TV with camera angles changing..watching it live the would be easier to see coming. All 3 looked like winning for a second and that's enough to scare backers/layers
    Last edited by Tanlic; 22nd January 2018 at 7:57 PM.
    Formely Fist of Fury

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    Southwell

    3.55

    An impossible looking handicap loads in form on the surface some like muqaared even seem to be improving at 6 last time out over c/d was 2md in a 0-90 over c/d with alpha tauri not far behind also been running well you can mention most of the field and give them some sort of chance..Keith dalgleish horses are in form he runs zoravan,won maiden handicap off 68 over this c/d this time last year ,then beaten 17ls in this grade over the c/d but then was 2nd to showbating off 77 in a 0-80 that form is as good as anything in this race then went onto win at Donny off 80 claimer taking off 5 same jock tomorrow in a 0-85.Since that win has shown absolutely nothing nearer last than first most runs,you could make a few excises like soft ground,trip and surface for a lot of them but certainly not all..12/1 would've looked massive on bestform at the track now off just 72 with same jock that won taking off another three down to just 69,certainly wouldn't be a surprise if drifted like a barge but as trainers in form same jock,lowest mark since thec/d win and obviously loves the surface then will have a small bet..Definitely one to keep in notebook though off these marks,i thought books may go bigger,if it had actually looked in form it would've been near enough fav for this race,betting will be interesting if they think they have it spot on,although could only be a speculative bet on recent runs till shows some sor of revival in form..

    Zoravan

    12/1 365/sportsbook/ppower/betway/victor 10/1 skybet/totesport/betfred wouldn't bother taking less than 10/1 as could easily be drifter tomorrow..


    12/1 lads..

    11/2 out to 16s no great surpruise really as I said in write up,although will still be backing it but maybe when prices are slightly bigger..
    Last edited by gigilo; 25th January 2018 at 5:05 PM.

  8. #9328
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    AW Sprint finals..


    Kachy 7/1 lads 6/1 corals will keep an eye out for other books..

    Kachy caught my eye last night,group horse over 5fs put on to the aw for first run over 6fs dascombe obviously thinking the conditions would suit and the 6fs at liongfield was perfect up with pace even from a poor draw,winning easily after 4 month break.The time of 1m9.19 decent time off 9-7 fotst attempt fropm poor draw plud the track may not be riding asquick as usual,very slow a couple of days ago,rest of races on card suggest may still not be running that quick so run looks even better..Now proven on aw and 6fs on this track with improvement to come could easily make a case for it being favourite, may not seem a lot in prices but its as good as anything seen so far including favourite gifted master .39 quicker than gifted masters win here earlier in season...potentially biggest impriover in race..
    5/1 biggest now,doesn't need to win to run just run in two qualifying races if it wins first entry then automatically qualifys,can't see anyway it will get bigger now and if it wins will be cut again...

  9. #9329
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    Kempton

    8.15

    Bluff crag 16/1 sportsbook/ppower 10/1 skybet/lads/corals/betbright/10bet/victor/boyles/totesport/betfred/sportpress/188bet/

    Massive drift on bluff cragg,16/1 lads/corals/ppower/hills/boyles/blacktyppe/betsras/betway/betbright/victor/winner/188bet/totesport/betfred this is why isaid only 2nd run for Mcentree just never know if he's going to be running them down the field and still over twice the price of lacan,interesting to see of any late money..

    In the red 20/1 sportsbook/ppower 14/1/lads/corals/betbright/10bet/victor/boyles/365 12/1 skybet

    A couple of token bets in a very competitive handicap,couldn't be confident as trainer of in the red hasn't had a winner in 50 runners and 200 days and bluff craggs running only second tme for Philip mc bride.In the red was third in a listed race last time out at lingfield form looks dubious just beaten over 3ls by arcanada at 100/1 off levels,1st and 2nd were rated 104 and 107 although very unreliable profile and trainer out of form the time of the race that day was 1m35.05 anything below 1m36 in this grsde is good, so if repeated that form would have some sort of ew chance in this drop in class..Did win in the summer off 80 at goodwood and is a c/d winner so potentially well in off 77,wouldn't have liked to price up double figures on that run even though unreliable..
    Bluff crag ran over c/d last time out on debut for Philip Mcbride finishing 6th of the 13 in a 0-85 over c/d on paper an easier race tomorrow,travelled well into the race from similar draw as tomorrows but got stopped in run aftyer getting alittle outpaced at the 2 furlong marker running on with knowhere to go,finished behind lacan 5/1 tomorrow but would've finished infront of it although lacan had to come from a long way back the price differences if they run to that form should be a lot closer..
    Last edited by gigilo; 27th January 2018 at 5:30 PM.

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  11. #9330
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    Another dire card,thinking of having some time off from the aw cards don't seem to be getting any better and half way through season,got one ante post bet all the horses with massive speedfigures I have, about a dozen not one is entered up anywhere just looks like a quiet few months to me..Still not well either so maybe some time off if i'm going to attempt the turf season..Everything I had markd off head most of the markets,too many short ones the only reason I;ve done this is it may go off a really short price so maybe some decent trading,you have the two walker horses everyman and his dog will be on them so probably halve in price,trading wise on the card looks good if you can get decent amounts on..

    Wolves

    7.30

    Abe Lincoln 4/5 365..8.13 betfred/boyles

    Abe lincoln looked very promising as 2yr old and went off 11/4 fav in the aw 3yr old finals,was cantering in that race at 2furlong pole and looking like it would've hacked up stoped in run the winning time of 1m22.28 would've been an extremely quick time as well on 3rd ever run..Looks as though has developed some quirks hasn't won a race since debut run,been an eye catcher several times 2nd in the 3yr old Britannia at asvot on grpund would've hated,made 2017 reappearance as 13/2 fav in the hunt cup then 13/14 at York he's starting to run out of excuses and although was 3rd at Chelmsford in a handicap off 97 you would hope he is still better of better than that at least on the aw..Looks a bit of a strange entry maybe desperation as can't really see what horse is being aimed at now,but he has one to beat and looks like going off extremely short to me.that last run was nothing special but if he still retains the ability of 2016 run he could go off 3s tops on in this race so at the very worst trading wise should be good.The biggest negative is why they have persisted with all the headgear when only had 8 runs and its best run was without it in thatv 3yr old final

    4/6 left 365.4/7 skybet/lads/hills/corals/boyles/blacktype/betway/188sport/10bet/victor/winner/unibet/

    1.68-1.72 betfair
    Last edited by gigilo; 29th January 2018 at 2:47 PM.

  12. #9331
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    Entered for Winter Derby - 24th Feb.

  13. #9332
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    Quote Originally Posted by reet hard View Post
    Entered for Winter Derby - 24th Feb.
    Would imagine that entry was ages ago,especially over that trip..

  14. #9333
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    AW mile final championships

    Stormy Antarctic 8/1 corals 15/2 betway/10bet 7/1 lads

    Stormy Antarctic was a massive eyecatcher in the fast track qualifier at Kempton looked to be cantering over the field getting stopped a couple of times near finish would surely have won winner second thought 6/1 fav for final,was 3rd in the summer in a group 2 to spirit of valour that form will be as good as anything in the final if not the best form.He was gelded in august came back and won by 4ls in a listed race at Chantilly,then ran that race at Kempton form was good enough without being gekded but travelled so sweetly on first run on the aw looked a natural..
    The sire stormy atlantic out of storm cat has a 15% strike rate on polytrack but when running at lingfioeld has already had 7 wunners from just 25 runners,i can't see any entrys for the horse which is the negative may not run has to run in another qualifying race,risk you take with ante post bets as wouldn't surprise me to see if fav on the day being so lightky raced on surface and still open to improvement compsred with a lot of the usual suspects entered up..
    Could leave it another week or so for better prices and an entry as from what I can see not many have any entrys,although I very much doubt there will be any bigger prices in this field..
    Last edited by gigilo; 28th January 2018 at 11:11 PM.

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    Another dire card at swell will have some small ew multiples and,can't see anything outstanding on prioces looks better on places..

    Placepots

    2,4,5
    3,5,6,8,10
    2,3
    6,7,8
    1,2,3,4,5,
    1,2,3

    2,4,5
    5,8
    2,3
    6,7,8
    1,2,3,4,5,
    1,2,3

    2,4,5
    5,8
    2,3
    6,7,8
    1,2,3,4,5,
    1




    Southwell

    2.15

    Angel palanas 9/2 365/skybet/victor/betfred/totesport/corals 4/1lads / Kommander kirkup 9/2 skybet/corals/totesport/betfred 5/1 hills/betway

    Think there's more races to be won with angel palanas won by 6ls last time out and the time of that race was faster than the0-80 kommander kirkup contested on same card .30 quicker,has gone up 10 pound at revised weights should still beat commander kirkup especially as looked good for the 6ls.The big negative for me is jock,he went off really quick in that race and although was never going to get beat hit the horse 9-10 times,can just see this inexperienced jock trying claiming 7 use same tactics asnd burning horse out but have to follow it on clock run.Don't be surprised if he gives it a stinker,kommander kirkup is the other 2nd to hammer gin in that 0-80 still looks competitive,declamation ran a stinker last time out but the previous 6f run would probably figure if coming back to form..

    There must be a possibility hugh taylor putting up angel palanas as it does look worth following,but similarly he may avoid because of jock don't think it would be easy to resist thiough if goes bigger than current price,didn't mention above but if he rides it like last time it should trade well in running..


    2.50

    Love rat 15/8 skybet/betfred/totesport/sportingbet/sunbets

    Scott Dixon fav in a maiden would usually be one to avoid,has some decent form in maidens at the track looks maybe high 70s horse still open to impriovement,dichato had some good form on the turf changed stables now with stuart Williams from gosden stable been running over some strange trip compared to best form over far shorter..Could well be be as good as love rat and obvious danger,has to prove itself on surface,,
    Betting will be interesting as you'd expect the Dixon horse to probably go off nearer odds on if the others aren't thought capable of running to high 70s,am pretty sure that will be reflected in betting even though shown little they are all lightly raced.


    3.25

    Best tamayuz 11/2/victor/lads/skybet 365 5/1 betstars/hills/corals 6/1 sportsbook/ppower

    Best tamayuz I put up at 12/1 in a weaker race 12 days ago so can't say there's any value in the 9/2,plus again has another terrible draw hasn't had a decent one all season,main positive has run six times at swell this season and worst finishing position is 4th in a far better race than this of just a pound lower..If draw doesn't beat it then could be battling out for another place.

    4.25

    Sooqaan 6/4 soortsbook/ppower/totesport/ppower

    Sooqaan again very little in prices but taken to surface really well,was 2nd off 66 over c/d in February 2016 will probably get overbet considering how close together wins have come at thhe track,strictly on all known form so far then obviously should be fav but horses like street art and rivers of asia could imprive with switch to fibresand rivers of asia out of medicean.Betting again will probably tell the story..

    Fewdrifters still in pisspot though but for how long..

    The placepots heading for a monster...
    Last edited by gigilo; 30th January 2018 at 5:01 PM.

  17. #9335
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Another dire card,thinking of having some time off from the aw cards don't seem to be getting any better and half way through season,got one ante post bet all the horses with massive speedfigures I have, about a dozen not one is entered up anywhere just looks like a quiet few months to me..Still not well either so maybe some time off if i'm going to attempt the turf season..Everything I had markd off head most of the markets,too many short ones the only reason I;ve done this is it may go off a really short price so maybe some decent trading,you have the two walker horses everyman and his dog will be on them so probably halve in price,trading wise on the card looks good if you can get decent amounts on..

    Wolves

    7.30

    Abe Lincoln 4/5 365..8.13 betfred/boyles

    Abe lincoln looked very promising as 2yr old and went off 11/4 fav in the aw 3yr old finals,was cantering in that race at 2furlong pole and looking like it would've hacked up stoped in run the winning time of 1m22.28 would've been an extremely quick time as well on 3rd ever run..Looks as though has developed some quirks hasn't won a race since debut run,been an eye catcher several times 2nd in the 3yr old Britannia at asvot on grpund would've hated,made 2017 reappearance as 13/2 fav in the hunt cup then 13/14 at York he's starting to run out of excuses and although was 3rd at Chelmsford in a handicap off 97 you would hope he is still better of better than that at least on the aw..Looks a bit of a strange entry maybe desperation as can't really see what horse is being aimed at now,but he has one to beat and looks like going off extremely short to me.that last run was nothing special but if he still retains the ability of 2016 run he could go off 3s tops on in this race so at the very worst trading wise should be good.The biggest negative is why they have persisted with all the headgear when only had 8 runs and its best run was without it in thatv 3yr old final

    4/6 left 365.4/7 skybet/lads/hills/corals/boyles/blacktype/betway/188sport/10bet/victor/winner/unibet/

    1.68-1.72 betfair
    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Hands n heels 25s in runninng!!!
    Last edited by gigilo; 29th January 2018 at 8:49 PM.

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  19. #9336
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    Amazing

  20. #9337
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Another dire card,thinking of having some time off from the aw cards don't seem to be getting any better and half way through season,got one ante post bet all the horses with massive speedfigures I have, about a dozen not one is entered up anywhere just looks like a quiet few months to me..Still not well either so maybe some time off if i'm going to attempt the turf season..Everything I had markd off head most of the markets,too many short ones the only reason I;ve done this is it may go off a really short price so maybe some decent trading,you have the two walker horses everyman and his dog will be on them so probably halve in price,trading wise on the card looks good if you can get decent amounts on..

    Wolves

    7.30

    Abe Lincoln 4/5 365..8.13 betfred/boyles

    Abe lincoln looked very promising as 2yr old and went off 11/4 fav in the aw 3yr old finals,was cantering in that race at 2furlong pole and looking like it would've hacked up stoped in run the winning time of 1m22.28 would've been an extremely quick time as well on 3rd ever run..Looks as though has developed some quirks hasn't won a race since debut run,been an eye catcher several times 2nd in the 3yr old Britannia at asvot on grpund would've hated,made 2017 reappearance as 13/2 fav in the hunt cup then 13/14 at York he's starting to run out of excuses and although was 3rd at Chelmsford in a handicap off 97 you would hope he is still better of better than that at least on the aw..Looks a bit of a strange entry maybe desperation as can't really see what horse is being aimed at now,but he has one to beat and looks like going off extremely short to me.that last run was nothing special but if he still retains the ability of 2016 run he could go off 3s tops on in this race so at the very worst trading wise should be good.The biggest negative is why they have persisted with all the headgear when only had 8 runs and its best run was without it in thatv 3yr old final

    4/6 left 365.4/7 skybet/lads/hills/corals/boyles/blacktype/betway/188sport/10bet/victor/winner/unibet/

    1.68-1.72 betfair
    Hardly surprising abe Lincoln only collared them at finish,the race was 1.23seconds slower than the 0-70 handicap last race on the card mustv'e been a 2f sprint think it also tells you the 2nd is probably nopt up to much and one to take on next time out,especially as form will be taken art face value..

  21. #9338
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Another dire card at swell will have some small ew multiples and,can't see anything outstanding on prioces looks better on places..

    Placepots

    2,4,5
    3,5,6,8,10
    2,3
    6,7,8
    1,2,3,4,5,
    1,2,3

    2,4,5
    5,8
    2,3
    6,7,8
    1,2,3,4,5,
    1,2,3

    2,4,5
    5,8
    2,3
    6,7,8
    1,2,3,4,5,
    1




    Southwell

    2.15

    Angel palanas 9/2 365/skybet/victor/betfred/totesport/corals 4/1lads / Kommander kirkup 9/2 skybet/corals/totesport/betfred 5/1 hills/betway

    Think there's more races to be won with angel palanas won by 6ls last time out and the time of that race was faster than the0-80 kommander kirkup contested on same card .30 quicker,has gone up 10 pound at revised weights should still beat commander kirkup especially as looked good for the 6ls.The big negative for me is jock,he went off really quick in that race and although was never going to get beat hit the horse 9-10 times,can just see this inexperienced jock trying claiming 7 use same tactics asnd burning horse out but have to follow it on clock run.Don't be surprised if he gives it a stinker,kommander kirkup is the other 2nd to hammer gin in that 0-80 still looks competitive,declamation ran a stinker last time out but the previous 6f run would probably figure if coming back to form..

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!!Told you the clock never lies what a touch forecast for good measure,won exactly s my times worked out.. that going to smash the roi for the month!!!!Got 6.8 on tyher fair was sure taylor would out it uop,sluiced up nice horse plenty to come!!!

    There must be a possibility hugh taylor putting up angel palanas as it does look worth following,but similarly he may avoid because of jock don't think it would be easy to resist thiough if goes bigger than current price,didn't mention above but if he rides it like last time it should trade well in running..


    2.50

    Love rat 15/8 skybet/betfred/totesport/sportingbet/sunbets

    Scott Dixon fav in a maiden would usually be one to avoid,has some decent form in maidens at the track looks maybe high 70s horse still open to impriovement,dichato had some good form on the turf changed stables now with stuart Williams from gosden stable been running over some strange trip compared to best form over far shorter..Could well be be as good as love rat and obvious danger,has to prove itself on surface,,
    Betting will be interesting as you'd expect the Dixon horse to probably go off nearer odds on if the others aren't thought capable of running to high 70s,am pretty sure that will be reflected in betting even though shown little they are all lightly raced.


    3.25

    Best tamayuz 11/2/victor/lads/skybet 365 5/1 betstars/hills/corals 6/1 sportsbook/ppower

    Best tamayuz I put up at 12/1 in a weaker race 12 days ago so can't say there's any value in the 9/2,plus again has another terrible draw hasn't had a decent one all season,main positive has run six times at swell this season and worst finishing position is 4th in a far better race than this of just a pound lower..If draw doesn't beat it then could be battling out for another place.

    4.25

    Sooqaan 6/4 soortsbook/ppower/totesport/ppower

    Sooqaan again very little in prices but taken to surface really well,was 2nd off 66 over c/d in February 2016 will probably get overbet considering how close together wins have come at thhe track,strictly on all known form so far then obviously should be fav but horses like street art and rivers of asia could imprive with switch to fibresand rivers of asia out of medicean.Betting again will probably tell the story..

    Fewdrifters still in pisspot though but for how long..
    Pisspots looking like a touch,knew that Appleby thing was a slowboat...
    Last edited by gigilo; 30th January 2018 at 5:08 PM.

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    Forecast £24.57

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    Chelmsford

    4.10

    Penny dreadful 20/1 365..

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