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Thread: What are you backing Today?

  1. #18221
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    I'll try my luck on AW tomorrow in 3:25 with Swashbuckle. I don't know why Andrew Balding keeps selling the well handicapped horses in his yard, but Swashbuckle is one of them, now with Donald McCain. He can take the honours here.

    He arrives in good form over hurdles, and I don't think he's there tomorrow to make up numbers. A competitive contest nevertheless, even with the small field, but Swashbuckle looks the one. I haven't seen prices but anything over 4/1 should be taken.
    Last edited by Marble; 12th February 2018 at 9:06 PM.

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  3. #18222
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    9/1 early show looks a hell of a good price.
    Last edited by Marble; 12th February 2018 at 9:07 PM.

  4. #18223
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    Quote Originally Posted by Marble View Post
    The Rooney owned and John Quinn trained, Master Of Irony in the handicap hurdle at Ascot Saturday, is appealing. This beat a good yardstick and tracker horse of mine called Keep In Line in December. I believe Master Of Irony is on-the-up in the handicap ranks, progressing well, on a nice mark, so has as good a chance as any of them, if not the best chance of all!

    Three firms have priced the race up, including Hills, who go 8/1. While he's clearly not a double digit price, he is not a double digit chance either. Master Of Irony could go off a lot shorter if he gets there in one piece on the day. I'm looking to have more than my usual two pound each way on this one. I'll nibble away throughout the week.
    Betfair and Powers go 20's, the plot thickens....

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    Outsider (13th February 2018)

  6. #18224
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    Quote Originally Posted by Marble View Post
    I'll try my luck on AW tomorrow in 3:25 with Swashbuckle. I don't know why Andrew Balding keeps selling the well handicapped horses in his yard, but Swashbuckle is one of them, now with Donald McCain. He can take the honours here.

    He arrives in good form over hurdles, and I don't think he's there tomorrow to make up numbers. A competitive contest nevertheless, even with the small field, but Swashbuckle looks the one. I haven't seen prices but anything over 4/1 should be taken.
    7 runners now and Swashbuckle out to 20/1. Im not expecting much based on the market negativity.
    Last edited by Marble; 13th February 2018 at 2:19 PM.

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    Outsider (13th February 2018)

  8. #18225
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    Quote Originally Posted by Simpson Jersey View Post
    Fancy a couple of top weights running from their lowest marks for donkeys years at Wolverhampton tomorrow night.
    7.10 Emjayem-This is a pretty diabolical race, the likely favourite and lto winner Barnsdale gave its jockey her 1st victory on her 24th attempt on this horse and 41st ride in all in a C7 at Kempton, the 1st time the horse has started under 20/1 in 30 races, which shows the calibre of horses engaged in this race! Emjayem is having its 1st run for Patrick Charmings tmr having been a stablemate of Barnsdale last year for Mr Holt. Had previously been with Ed McMahon where he last ran from 72 in a c5 here btn 4 1/2 lengths by Captain Lars in a 0-75 race, had been btn a hd at Goodwood in a C4 a few runs before, and won 4 races in all for McMahon. If Charmings has got him anywhere near back to form should have a great chance here, decently drawn in 5, a lot of the more favoured horses are drawn out wide, has already found support from 12/1>9/1 and less, hope it's stable money.

    8.40 Idol Deputy this old boy looked to be coming back into form lto finishing strongly into 4th over C/D after a while out of form, was ridden by Katherine Glenister for the 1st time lto and seemed to give the old boy to much ground to make up, she should be more clued up this time, usual jockey Raquel Kneller had a bad fall on the gallops or would have ridden him. Has a great record in February with something like 4 wins from 6 runs since 2011, was 16/1 early doors generally 12/1 now and looks a very decent EW bet to me, good luck anyone who follows.
    NR and a place; thanks SJ.

  9. #18226
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    Completely blew out, Saturday.

    Poetic Imagination (3.20) was bought out of John Gosden's stable fpr 48,000 guineas, and Archie Watson has an excellent record with such acquisitions - particularly on their 2nd run. Thought enough of to run in a 0-105 h/cap last Saturday - though eventually taken out with Vet's certificate - he ought to be well up to taking this 4 rnr 0-80.
    5/2 generally at the mo, though does appear to be shortening.

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    BennyB (15th February 2018)

  11. #18227
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    Quote Originally Posted by reet hard View Post
    Completely blew out, Saturday.

    Poetic Imagination (3.20) was bought out of John Gosden's stable fpr 48,000 guineas, and Archie Watson has an excellent record with such acquisitions - particularly on their 2nd run. Thought enough of to run in a 0-105 h/cap last Saturday - though eventually taken out with Vet's certificate - he ought to be well up to taking this 4 rnr 0-80.
    5/2 generally at the mo, though does appear to be shortening.
    Good shooting reet - didn't see the forum till now but had backed it with decent money

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    reet hard (15th February 2018)

  13. #18228
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    cheers, TC, needed it myself.

  14. #18229
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    I fancy two at Sandown tomorrow.

    The first one (1:20) must have cost Paul Nicholls connections a few bob back in the day, after winning a 25k pot in 2013 at Auteuil, with Art Mauresque back in second. VICENZO MIO hasn't set the world alight since leaving France, but has bits and pieces of decent form in England. He's now with Chris Gordon. He's on a low mark now, to exploit in a handicap hurdle, (utter understatement!) He's run on heavy ground plenty of times, so should act on it.

    12/1 win and place

    4:05 Warren Greatrex's ALOOMOMO probably paid the price in the handicap for winning three chases on the bounce in 2015. His form tailed off after a decent 6th at The Festival. He's just turned 8 years of age; looks the class horse in the race. He's been dropped to a mark in the high 120's so he'll go close.

    10/1 win and place
    Last edited by Marble; 15th February 2018 at 11:16 PM.

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    Danny (17th February 2018)

  16. #18230
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    Quote Originally Posted by Marble View Post
    I fancy two at Sandown tomorrow.

    The first one (1:20) must have cost Paul Nicholls connections a few bob back in the day, after winning a 25k pot in 2013 at Auteuil, with Art Mauresque back in second. VICENZO MIO hasn't set the world alight since leaving France, but has bits and pieces of decent form in England. He's now with Chris Gordon. He's on a low mark now, to exploit in a handicap hurdle, (utter understatement!) He's run on heavy ground plenty of times, so should act on it.

    12/1 win and place

    4:05 Warren Greatrex's ALOOMOMO probably paid the price in the handicap for winning three chases on the bounce in 2015. His form tailed off after a decent 6th at The Festival. He's just turned 8 years of age; looks the class horse in the race. He's been dropped to a mark in the high 120's so he'll go close.

    10/1 win and place
    Vizenzo ran ok in fourth, hopefully Aloomomo does better.

  17. #18231
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    Summer Icon (7.15K) beat better horses than these latest in a steadily run 7f race (though both were 6f winners, and neither slow).
    With the dead 8 competing, looks good EW at the general 8/1.

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    Danny (17th February 2018)

  19. #18232
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    Plenty of prize money on offer at MR today and my eye has been caught by old boy Sunny Ledgend in the 4.20. Trained by permit holder Andrew Martin and ridden by his son who's had plenty of rides but just 4 winning one's all aboard this horse, this will be by far the biggest prize they have chased after 13k. But looking at the opposition they've all been chasing smaller pots so think may have a decent EW chance in this C4 chase over just over 2m3fs.
    This years form figures don't look that inspiring P3P but did win this time last year after being pulled Up on previous outing and has dropped to that last winning rating of 111. His 3rd at Uttox over 2m4fs looks better behind the winner Newberry New who followed up from 6lb higher and has been raised another 7lbs since. The 4th horse 14 lengths behind SL was just btn 1/2 length over same C/D nto same class and the 5th another 10 lengths behind was btn just 2 lengths nto off 13 same class, back in 6th was todays opponent Freddies portrait, yet FP is 8/1 whereas SL is 20/1. Andrew Martin doesn't have that many horses but his last 5 winners have come in January/February with Midnight Mustang twice last year and Sunny Ledgend Once in Feb last year and twice in Jan 16. Horse generally runs prominently and is usually a safe jumper having fell just twice in 30 chases, looks a sporting EW bet to me in what is not a great race for the money.

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    Desperate Dan (18th February 2018)

  21. #18233
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    The stable companion Militarian just ran a blinder under a very good ride from young Mr Martin, hopefully bodes well for this horse.

  22. #18234
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    Just ran out of puff, to finish 4th but did trade as low as 3/1 so hopefully people saved their stake.

  23. #18235
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    Edit
    Last edited by Marble; 21st February 2018 at 12:34 PM.

  24. #18236
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    3.20 Doncaster
    The handicapper has taken a chance here with Carole’s Destrier who gets in off 146 having run a decent race for a long way in the Hennessy off 8lb higher.
    Poor run last time but excused that one on desperate ground
    8/1 with BetVictor and Bet365


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  25. #18237
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    Huge gamble in the Huter Chase at Donnie on Warden Hill from 40 to 3.6
    Formely Fist of Fury

  26. #18238
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    Poyle Vinnie (3.45S), returning from a 3 month break, ran well when 3.25l behind today's fav over c/d when clearly needing the run.
    A subsequent sharpener, way above his class, and a 14lb turnaround, might see a different result today.
    6/1 currently.

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  28. #18239
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    Quote Originally Posted by Marble View Post
    Joseph O Brien sends Grey Waters to Lingfield tomorrow. This filly has a major chance on near- enough bottom weight on a mark of 65. I could see Grey Waters ending up in the 2 mile handicap hurdle for four year olds at The Festival
    About the only thing I've predicted correctly in terms of long-range fancies being declared for The Festival.

    Grey Waters is interesting on a mark of 120 in the Fred Winter. She'll be high on my shortlist, having been running okay in graded company this season.
    Last edited by Marble; 22nd February 2018 at 1:49 PM.

  29. #18240
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    That race should be sponsored by the national lottery.


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