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Thread: What are you backing Today?

  1. #13821
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    Reve De Sivola couldn't win off this sort of mark over fences in his younger days so heaven knows why he's 7/2 to do so aged 11 in the Peter Marsh.

    Fingal Bay has a useless jockey but Virak will love the ground, is 2/2 at Haydock and has a decent claimer on board.

    11/2 is fair.

  2. #13822
    Senior Member Tanlic's Avatar
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    I am laying uds when i get home for as much as i can when i think the price hits rock bottom.....the when he drifts i will back him and take the profit before the off....and trust me the layers will be out to get him sometime close to the off....lay to back guys and enjoy the cream

  3. #13823
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    3:15H - Cloudy Too - Shaped well in the Tommy Whittle and down to a workable mark.

    2:05H - It'safreebee - Looks value v the favourite and I'm trying to work out why Harry goes to Haydock instead of the Ascot for Value At Risk.

    1:35T - Miss Mobot - Would be interesting if straight for this. Fair bumper horse and getting weight from her rivals including a short priced favourite from the same stable.

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    jarv (24th January 2016)

  5. #13824
    Senior Member Tanlic's Avatar
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    I will post a green up later....show you fookers how to make money lol

  6. #13825
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    Cape Speed (1.45L) has just one to beat and will likely improve again for the drop in trip.
    7/2 will do nicely.

  7. #13826
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    1.00 - Haydock - Shades Of Midnight. 2 pts win. Available at 7/1.
    I supported Shades Of Midnight last time out over this C/D in soft ground and there are reasons to believe he can reverse the form with his conqueror that day, Island Heights. He finished well against a pace bias and the likely strong gallop in this race will be in his favour. He is still unexposed over this sort of trip and a five pound pull in the weights will also help his cause. The way he finished off his race suggests that stamina is his forte and the likely deeper ground here should play to those strengths. He is only six years old and this is just his eighth start over hurdles, so there is potential for further improvement. His small yard and their jockey turn up with just the one entry on the card.

    2.25 Ascot:
    Rock The Casbah. 1.5 pts win. Available at 8/1.
    Value At Risk. 1.5 pts win. Available at 9/1.

    This is a good handicap over hurdles and there are several open to further improvement. There are some who are tempting at bigger prices to place at least but preference is for splitting stakes between Rock The Casbah and Value At Risk. Rock The Casbah has a progressive profile and ran out a facile winner over 19 furlongs in soft ground at Haydock last time out but the form of that race has taken a few knocks and he is eight pounds higher in the weights here in better company. However he may be good enough with underfoot conditions again in his favour. He can race keenly so the likely generous pace should help him settle and he represents a top yard who are in very good form. He has the assistance of Richard Johnson who has a 19% strike rate over hurdles on this track (although it has returned a negative l.s.p). Value At Risk returns to hurdles after not getting beyond the second fence in two Chases this season. A Chasing campaign has been shelved until next season and he could enjoy the sight of these smaller obstacles. He was a very good Novice hurdler last season and a mark of 143 is certainly justified on the balance of that form. His ability to stay further will hold him in good stead if the trailblazers go off too hard and the only concern is his Trainers comments that some of his horses are not finishing their races as well as they can.

    3.15 - Haydock - Algernon Pazham. 1 pt e/w. Available at 12/1.
    Reve De Sivola is very well weighted as a Chaser given the form he has shown since he was last seen over the bigger obstacles and these fences are not as stiff as they once were. He will have conditions to suit and it wouldn't be a surprise to see him win this easily. However there are plenty of viable alternatives and this could go to one of the youngest horses in the field. Algernon Pazham doesn't have very compelling claims at first glance, he has fallen on his last two starts, but he brings potential to the table. To be fair to him, those two falls have come in the face of stiff jumping tests. The first came over the National fences in the Becher Chase at Aintree and the last came in the Betfair Chase at Warwick in heavy ground last Saturday, where he was still going well within himself. He went close on his reappearance over three miles at Bangor in soft ground and he is weighted closely with Virak on their running here last April. He gets on well with Sam Twiston-Davies, the pair having been placed five times and winning twice from eight races together. He had form in heavy ground here over hurdles and he is a good traveller when on song.

    3.35 - Ascot - Salubrious. 2 pts win. Available at 11/2.

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    Colin Phillips (23rd January 2016)

  9. #13827
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    Not sure each way is the play on Algernon given his completion record.

  10. #13828
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    Back him to win then

  11. #13829
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    Quote Originally Posted by reet hard View Post
    Cape Speed (1.45L) has just one to beat and will likely improve again for the drop in trip.
    7/2 will do nicely.
    good call Reet

    good call Ricko with Casbah

    that heavy ground stat re meldoic rendevous mentioned last time..by reet?....gets a try out in the next..might have gone at game..but loves this ground..scott had a 10/1 winner yesterday
    Last edited by EC1; 23rd January 2016 at 3:35 PM.

  12. #13830
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    Quote Originally Posted by reet hard View Post
    Cape Speed (1.45L) has just one to beat and will likely improve again for the drop in trip.
    7/2 will do nicely.
    Quote Originally Posted by Ricko View Post
    2.25 Ascot:
    Rock The Casbah. 1.5 pts win. Available at 8/1.
    .
    well done

  13. #13831
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    Good shouts Reet and Ricko.

    Not looking good for Tanlic though. UDS continues to be blue all round. Two shorties have come in and plenty will have him for the third leg so not surprised tbh.

  14. #13832
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    I've backed Third Intention ew in this. His handicap mark makes him competitive and the 7lb claim is handy.

  15. #13833
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    Quote Originally Posted by DanB88 View Post
    3:15H - Cloudy Too - Shaped well in the Tommy Whittle and down to a workable mark.

    2:05H - It'safreebee - Looks value v the favourite and I'm trying to work out why Harry goes to Haydock instead of the Ascot for Value At Risk.

    1:35T - Miss Mobot - Would be interesting if straight for this. Fair bumper horse and getting weight from her rivals including a short priced favourite from the same stable.
    Excellent work.

  16. #13834
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    Yes great shout Dan.

    I can't desert my old favourite Cold March at Ascot. He should perhaps go on Grassy's cliff horse thread. Backed him ew at 8's.

  17. #13835
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    Thanks Ricko/ Maruco

    Wonder if Tanlic has his green up yet?

  18. #13836
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    Small play on What a Moment for the Pipe's in the 4:10 at Ascot. Shaped with promise the penultimate run and could have been a case of the course not suiting at Fakenham.

    The yard going a little bit better now too. 7s I think is fair.

  19. #13837
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    well done Dan

  20. #13838
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    Quote Originally Posted by DanB88 View Post
    Thanks Ricko/ Maruco

    Wonder if Tanlic has his green up yet?
    Couldn't have done. Backed all the way in. On the face of it you could see why it was a play, but I suspect he was done for because of UDS being in trebles with VroumVroum Mag and The New One.

  21. #13839
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    Quote Originally Posted by Maruco View Post
    Couldn't have done. Backed all the way in. On the face of it you could see why it was a play, but I suspect he was done for because of UDS being in trebles with VroumVroum Mag and The New One.
    Yeah good point.

  22. #13840
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    Quote Originally Posted by Maruco View Post
    Yes great shout Dan.

    I can't desert my old favourite Cold March at Ascot. He should perhaps go on Grassy's cliff horse thread. Backed him ew at 8's.
    Who was on board? Hope they're OK whoever it was because that looked nasty.

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