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Thread: What are you backing Today?

  1. #10021
    Senior Member fonz's Avatar
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    Klynch 3.30 Ayr
    Very keen on this one, has been crying out for the step up to 7f IMO
    Only has 1 win at the trip but doesn't seem by this seasons standards to have the pace for it anymore and a mark of 75 is 6 behind his win at ripon last May.
    Also came 13th in a race at doncAster in May that I followed very closely in which the 4th 5th 6th 8th 9th 15th have won and the 11th and 16th have been neck 2nds at big prices.
    Last edited by fonz; 6th July 2014 at 8:34 PM.

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  3. #10022
    marbler
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    RIPON 7:10
    ORIENT SKY showed next to nothing in three maiden races.
    However, after a three month break, with the application of cheekpieces, (and first attempt in handicap company), he ran good handicappers close last time at Warwick, which like tomorrows test at Ripon is a sharpish track.
    The winner of that race could be one to follow whilst Rigoletto is a solid yardstick.
    There was nothing much distance-wise between the first four.
    The first three all had more experience and mileage whereas Orient Sky was just having his fourth run.
    So I'm very keen on him tomorrow back against the three years olds off the same mark.
    He could be extremely well-in. and whatever happens..'I won't be yelling 'shouldn't have backed that or that was a bad bet etc' afterwards.
    Last edited by marbler; 6th July 2014 at 11:26 PM.

  4. #10023
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    In danger of following it off a cliff maybe but surely Cono Zur will win the 4.00 Ayr wont he?
    Last edited by Colzoss; 7th July 2014 at 9:59 AM. Reason: spelling

  5. #10024
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    Tons of pace in the 8.10 at Ripon; should suit Telmeyd down to the ground and he ought to win this comfortably. That Seb Sanders travels up for the one ride suggests he thinks so, also.

  6. #10025
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    Quote Originally Posted by Colzoss View Post
    In danger of following it off a cliff maybe but surely Cono Zur will win the 4.00 Ayr wont he?
    Perseverance rewarded

  7. #10026
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    good call

    6.30 Uttox. a strong lay of Phase Shift @ 1.95

  8. #10027
    marbler
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    Nice one, Col.

    I feel Don't Stare will win today at Yarmouth. (4:10). Seemed to like this place on his first maiden start last year as a three year old, Fawshawe is the type of trainer to eak out a bit more improvement from him.

    Yar 5:10 - Question marks over The Ducking Stools ability to stay but does like the track and has form in class 5's whereas his opponents look dangerous but their form is at a lower level...so they have to improve whereas The Ducking Stool just has to stay. I'm with The Stool

    Lingfield 5:20 - A chance is taken on Topaling first time in a handicap.

    GL
    Last edited by marbler; 9th July 2014 at 4:31 AM.

  9. #10028
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    2.10 Yarmouth. A lay of Loumarin @ 1.92

  10. #10029
    Senior Member Euronymous's Avatar
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    Is the July meeting the mid point of the flat? I always think it's a bit poncey and false and it makes me yearn a bit for the jumps.

    I think Hillstar is overpriced in the POW though. Despite Arab Spring's undoubted promise it was only a handicap he won at the royal meeting and he was well placed throughout. Hillstar was given a stinker in th Hardwicke though and is better than his finishing position suggests. Worth one at 7/2ish

  11. #10030
    Senior Member Tanlic's Avatar
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    Forever Now couldn't fail but impress when winning last time out.

    The handicapper has given him a mark of 96 1lb higher than Windshear raced of at Ascot.

    Windshear was raised to 101 after Ascot but the bookies disagree and make Forever Now favourite despite the fact Altaayil has let the form down since.

    Windshear looked all over the winner at Ascot and a good one at that until Fallon produced Elite Army to come and mow him down.

    That form looks rock solid with Captain Morley in 3rd and Forever Now as smart as he clearly looked will find Windshear a totally different kettle of fish to anything he has met to date.

    Windshear around 3/1 looks a good bet to start the meeting

    Someone suggested the other day that Richard Hannon's best 2 year old is Baitha Alga but that may change after today when Ivawood hacks up.

    Maybe I am being overconfident and I have been wrong before but this horse looked like a machine first time out.

    The race was over 5f and he will be even more at home over today's 6 furlongs. I was hoping to get about 2/1 not the current 3/1 so I have been lumping on at 4.4 and 4.3 on the machine because there was fortunes for him at Sandown so I doubt if he'll go off unbacked today.


    Ivawood (NAP)

    I wondered if Hillstar would go for the Eclipse or not but as it turns out he goes here.

    Stouty did try him over 10 furlongs but he failed to make any sort of impression at the trip and was stepped up to 13 furlongs.

    He ran well enough but at no stage looked like getting to Brown Panther and he was giving it his all.

    I don't know if I agree with Euronymous about Frankies ride but he did hit a bit of trouble in running but when Frankie switched him to the outer it took him forever and a day to pass what were tiring horses. He wouldn't have gotten anywhere near Telescope even if Frankie's challenge hadn't been delayed IMO.

    Peppers Moon who he pipped on the line for 2nd was very keen early. Should he settle today there's no guarantee Hillstar will beat him this time.

    I'm having a small 3 cross bet on Hughsies first 3 mounts just in case.

    Arab Spring probably isn't as good as Hillstar's conqueror Telescope but he seems to be improving with racing and should take this in his stride.

    Arab Spring 11/10 looks a worth favourite and the most likely winner
    Last edited by Tanlic; 10th July 2014 at 12:56 PM.
    Formely Fist of Fury

  12. #10031
    Senior Member Euronymous's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tanlic View Post
    Arab Spring probably isn't as good as Hillstar's conqueror Telescope but he seems to be improving with racing and should take this in his stride.

    Arab Spring 11/10 looks a worth favourite and the most likely winner
    He probably will now it's pissing down. July meeting, its cracking the flags where I am, I just didn't expect it to be raining at headquarters.
    Last edited by Euronymous; 10th July 2014 at 1:37 PM.

  13. #10032
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    Arab spring isn't far behind Telescope..should be a good bet..yes i was surprised when i just put tv on and its raining there

  14. #10033
    Senior Member Tanlic's Avatar
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    I just had an orgasm.........best 2 year old in the country says David Cleary
    Formely Fist of Fury

  15. #10034
    Senior Member Perpetual's Avatar
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    Good call. He looks very good

  16. #10035
    Senior Member Tanlic's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Euronymous View Post
    He probably will now it's pissing down. July meeting, its cracking the flags where I am, I just didn't expect it to be raining at headquarters.
    Time of the 2nd would indicate the ground is still good towards firm according to TFR
    Formely Fist of Fury

  17. #10036
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tanlic View Post
    I just had an orgasm.........best 2 year old in the country says David Cleary
    Good call. Did it very well. Have you taken a price for the Guineas?
    The older I get the better I was.

  18. #10037
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    6.40 epsom. publilia [nap]

  19. #10038
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    Starlet in the 9 o clock at Leopardstown is the most interesting runner of the week for me.An obvious candidate for a maiden at Galway where she would be a penalty kick I am surprised Weld is running her tonight -I doubt he is looking for a handicap mark at the moment and that leaves two possibilities-1) she needs more experience or 2) she is listed class or better.My money is on her being much better then tonight's opposition-I expect her to win under a confident Smullen ride.

  20. #10039
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    You must be right as the horses odds have cratered to 2/5
    Luck leaves when unlucky people speak

  21. #10040
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    8:40 Epsom Desert Command.

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