Looked value for 2 miles then faded into 6th. Conditions look pretty tough.
Looked value for 2 miles then faded into 6th. Conditions look pretty tough.
Mitigate looks solid at Lingfield (1.25). Will not get rich backing it, but has an excellent chance.
Last edited by Marb; 17th January 2017 at 6:18 PM.
Audacious Plan's last run when third was a return to form and he gets my vote at Newbury (2:55).
Loss of 8ptsOriginally Posted by PlaceBacker
"The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"
My bets [1pt win on each @ BOG]
1.25 Lingfield-Mitigate @ 15-8 [Bet Victor]
1.35 Market Rasen-Wicked Willy @ 13-8 [Bet Bright]
2.30 Lingfield-Major Ben @ 9-2 [Bet Bright]
4.05 Lingfield-Harry Holland @ 6-1 [Bet 365]
"The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"
Make Music (Lingfield 12.50) - 1 point e/w - 12/1 available
12.50 Lingfield. Giving a chance to Lexington Times.
Backed this morning as 3 runs over c and d, larges defeat was 6 1/2 lengths when rated 100. Now only 79 and first run at Lingfield since moving to Ruth Carr.
Great call, Ricko.
Last edited by Colin Phillips; 18th January 2017 at 2:09 PM.
Ah! but a man's reach should exceed his grasp......
Excellent Call. Cheers
Thanks guys. Sorry for no analysis I was in a bit of a rush.Excellent Call. Cheers
Pushing my luck and a much shorter price, but this one should also go well.
2.55 - Newbury - Potters Corner. 4 pts win. Available at 9/4.
This is a decent race for the grade and very competitive. There is only nine pounds between 12 the 14 runners and there are several open to further improvement. One of those is the market leader, Potters Corner, and he is preferred. This is just his third start over fences but he has showed useful form in his first two outings and the form of his fourth at Ascot last time out has worked out very well. The first and second have subsequently been successful and the third and well beaten fifth have both gone close. The Assessor has been surprisingly kind in dropping the selection two pounds and Potters Corner has proven he handles testing conditions. The yard have an envious 32% strike rate with their Chasers in handicaps in recent seasons (9 from 28) and the booking of Davy Russell is the icing on the cake.
2.40 Market Rasen
Kings Odyssey makes plenty of appeal here at his preferred trip with ground to suit. He'd likely have gone close at Cheltenham last time if standing up and I've taken some 3/1
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Great shout.
Not much of a price at 2/1 but Movie Legend will take all the beating in the 15:45 at Market Rasen.
Profit of 5.62ptsMy bets [1pt win on each @ BOG]
1.25 Lingfield-Mitigate @ 15-8 [Bet Victor]
1.35 Market Rasen-Wicked Willy @ 13-8 [Bet Bright]
2.30 Lingfield-Major Ben @ 9-2 [Bet Bright]
4.05 Lingfield-Harry Holland @ 6-1 [Bet 365]
"The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"
Colin Phillips (19th January 2017), Metro (19th January 2017)
My bets [1pt win on each @ BOG]
1.20 Ludlow-Amour De Nuit @ 5-4 [Bet Bright]
2.00 Southwell-Bring On A Spinner @ 7-2 [Bet 365]
"The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"
Metro (20th January 2017)
1.40 - Wincanton:
Cadoudoff. 1 pt e/w. Available at 12/1.
Ardkilly Witness. 0.5 pts e/w. Available at 20/1.
Walt is likely to prove hard to beat and he rightly heads the market. He is lightly raced, progressive and will be suited by this step back up in trip after winning over 19 furlongs in soft ground at Fontwell last time out. Bought out of Nicky Henderson's yard last May he has joined a yard who operate at an impressive strike rate and who are adept at improving horses they get from other Trainers. He is the most likely winner under a very competent seven pound claimer but there are a few at bigger prices that are of some interest. Cadoudoff and Ardkilly Witness both revert to hurdles after relative lean times over fences but they are well handicapped if they find the switch back to the smaller obstacles to their liking. Cadoudoff fell on his reappearance at Newbury in November and has disappointed twice since. He was a third of six over this C/D last March from a five pound higher mark and went close over 20 furlongs at Wincanton in January 2015. Both those efforts would see him get competitive here and he is reunited with the last jockey to win on him. He represents a yard whose horses having been running well recently. Ardkilly Witness is well into veteran status and his Chase form has been patchy in recent times. He hasn't been seen over hurdles much but the majority of his form over the smaller obstacles suggests a mark of 120 is very attractive if he is still capable of producing his former level of performance. Testing ground suits and he has a victory over this sort of trip on this track, albeit over fences.
3.20 - Wincanton - Saroque. 1 pt e/w. Available at 12/1.
Saroque has been slow to come to hand this season but there were more encouraging signs at Bangor last time out, even though he ran in snatches and looked anything but an easy ride. As a consequence he has fallen seven pounds in the weights since the start of the campaign and is now rated five pound below the mark from which he won at Exeter in November 2015. He has since been placed at both Chepstow (Welsh National) and Exeter (Devon National) from 13 and ten pounds higher marks in testing ground. At ten years old he may be feeling his age but he represents a Trainer whose horses are quite capable of showing their best well into veteran status and it wouldn't be a surprise were Saroque to build on his latest effort. He has a completion record of 122128 in Chases on right handed tracks, all in soft/heavy ground.
3.35 - Ludlow - Port Melon. 2.5 pts win. Available at 4/1. (Nap)
7.30 - Chelmsford - Zamperini. 0.75 pts e/w. Available at 16/1. (Nb)
Last edited by Ricko; 19th January 2017 at 2:13 PM.
Colin Phillips (19th January 2017)
Profit of 2.5ptsMy bets [1pt win on each @ BOG]
1.20 Ludlow-Amour De Nuit @ 5-4 [Bet Bright]
2.00 Southwell-Bring On A Spinner @ 7-2 [Bet 365]
"The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"
Colin Phillips (19th January 2017)
Nice work PB
PlaceBacker (19th January 2017)
Morning
My bets [1pt win on each @ BOG]
1.20 Musselburgh-Apache Pilot @ 8-1 [Bet Bright]
1.50 Musselburgh-Appy Days @ 5-4 [Bet 365]
2.45 Chepstow-Shaama Grise @ 6-4 [Bet 365]
"The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"
Sliding Doors in the last at Musselburgh.
Trainer can get one ready to win first time. Money for it this morning (significant from that yard). Doubt he's there to sample the Scottish air. 4/1 taken
Posting Permissions
